1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment view on synthetic rubber is bullish [2]. 2. Core View of the Report - The demand for domestic and overseas tires is decent, and the low - price synthetic rubber triggers a substitution effect. The current spread between synthetic rubber and natural rubber has reached a historical low, and there is limited room for the unilateral price of synthetic rubber and the spread between rubber types to continue falling. The BR on the futures market is in a low - valuation range [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Review - As of December 11, 2025, the ex - factory price of Sinopec's BR9000 was 10,600 yuan/ton, and that of PetroChina's BR9000 was between 10,600 - 10,700 yuan/ton. During the reporting period, the production and capacity utilization rate of high - cis butadiene rubber in China decreased slightly due to the maintenance of plants. The rising spot price of butadiene provided some bottom support for the price of butadiene rubber. Affected by external news such as the conflict between Thailand and Cambodia and the US interest rate cut in the natural rubber market, the low - price offer of the butadiene market gradually increased. However, the spot market had sufficient supply and high theoretical production profit, so downstream buyers resisted high - price offers, and middlemen faced pressure in selling [4]. 3.2 Factors Affecting Butadiene Rubber 3.2.1 Supply - Last week, the domestic butadiene production was [unspecified] tons with a capacity utilization rate of [unspecified]%, and the high - cis butadiene rubber production was [unspecified] tons with a capacity utilization rate of [unspecified]%. In the butadiene segment, plants of Nanjing Chengzhi, Sierbang, Yanshan Petrochemical, and Guangzhou Petrochemical remained shut down, and some plants of Shanghai Petrochemical, Maoming Petrochemical, and Sinochem Quanzhou Petrochemical carried out maintenance, leading to a decline in production. In the butadiene rubber segment, Yulong Petrochemical restarted production, and the supply of high - cis butadiene rubber in China remained sufficient [2]. 3.2.2 Demand - In the semi - steel tire market, trading was dull, and prices were weak. Some enterprises offered discounts to boost purchases, but the effect was limited as demand was flat, and agents mainly digested existing inventories and postponed replenishment. In the all - steel tire market, the market was cold, and it was the off - season. The trading volume further weakened, with the southern region performing better than the northern region. Sales in many southern regions decreased by about 15%, and some areas in the northwest and northeast saw a sharp decline. Agents had sufficient inventories and low purchasing enthusiasm [2]. 3.2.3 Inventory - Last week, the butadiene port inventory was 411,000 tons, a 13.11% week - on - week decrease; the inventory of high - cis butadiene rubber enterprises and traders was 323,300 tons, a 0.34% week - on - week decrease. The enterprise inventory of butadiene decreased by 8.22% week - on - week, and the port inventory decreased by 12.65% week - on - week. For butadiene rubber, due to continuous price - pressing by downstream buyers, the production enterprise inventory increased, while the trading enterprise inventory decreased slightly [2]. 3.2.4 Basis - The basis of butadiene rubber in North China was - 670 yuan/ton, in East China was - 520 yuan/ton, and in South China was - 470 yuan/ton [2]. 3.2.5 Spread/Price Ratio - The RU - BR spread was 4,510 yuan/ton (a 3.11% decrease), the NR - BR spread was 1,610 yuan/ton (a 1.53% decrease), and the BR - SC price ratio was 0.77% [2]. 3.2.6 Profit - The production gross profit of butadiene through oxidative dehydrogenation was - 1,764 yuan/ton, and that through C4 extraction was 202.23 yuan/ton. The production gross profit of butadiene rubber was 787 yuan/ton, with a gross profit margin of 8.02% [2]. 3.2.7 Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Factors - The IEA raised the global oil demand growth forecast for 2026 and narrowed the supply surplus forecast slightly. OPEC+ slightly increased crude oil production in November and maintained the global oil demand growth forecast for 2025 and 2026. The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized the continuation of a moderately loose monetary policy, efforts to stabilize the real estate market, and the implementation of a special consumption - boosting action. The Fed cut interest rates in December, and the expectation of further rate cuts increased. The conflict between Thailand and Cambodia reignited, and the impact of weather disturbances declined [2]. 3.3 Trading Strategies - Unilateral trading: No specific strategy. Arbitrage: Pay attention to going long on BR and short on NR/RU. Key risks to monitor include downstream demand, cost changes, plant maintenance, and geopolitical situations [2]. 3.4 Price Data - The report provides detailed price data of synthetic rubber, natural rubber, and related products, including ex - factory prices, market prices, and their daily and weekly changes [6][7]. 3.5 Plant Maintenance Data - The report lists the maintenance data of butadiene and high - cis butadiene rubber plants in China in 2025, including the production enterprises, maintenance capacities, shutdown times, and startup times [9]. 3.6 Market Seasonal Charts - The report presents multiple seasonal charts, such as the BR spread and basis seasonal charts, butadiene price seasonal charts (domestic and international), production and inventory seasonal charts of butadiene, butadiene rubber, and styrene - butadiene rubber, as well as production, start - up, and inventory seasonal charts of downstream products like tires and conveyor belts [10][26][31]

12月12日，440余吨中石油航空煤油经阿拉山口公路口岸出境，发往哈萨克斯坦，标志着全国首单出口 中亚的中石油航空煤油成功发运。该批航煤为1000吨外贸订单的首批发货，实现了中哈能源合作从"资 源引进"到"产品出口"的全链条覆盖。 阿拉山口口岸通过优化通关流程、建设专业化仓储体系，为航煤等高附加值能源产品贸易提供高效通 道。此次出口填补了区域跨境能源运输细分领域空白，推动口岸贸易结构向战略性能源产品升级。 （来源：央视新闻） 目前，该业务将带动口岸物流、通关等相关产业协同发展，进一步巩固阿拉山口作为国家物流枢纽的地 位。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF (159266) experienced significant net redemptions, indicating a trend of outflow in the cross-border ETF market [1][2] Group 1: Fund Performance - On December 12, the ETF faced net redemptions of 2.0134 million yuan, ranking 19th out of 200 in terms of cross-border ETF net outflows [1] - The latest fund size is 685 million yuan, up from 682 million yuan the previous day, with a net outflow representing 0.30% of the previous day's size [1] - Over the past 5 days, the ETF saw net redemptions totaling 3.0162 million yuan, ranking 27th out of 200 [1] - In the last 10 days, net redemptions reached 23.5849 million yuan, ranking 14th out of 200 [1] - Over the past 20 days, the total net redemptions amounted to 31.8381 million yuan, ranking 17th out of 200 [1] Group 2: Fund Management and Holdings - The fund is managed by Liu Tingyu and Cai Leping, with Liu managing since July 23, 2025, achieving a return of 1.19%, while Cai has managed since November 5, 2025, with a return of -1.59% [2] - The ETF's top holdings include COSCO Shipping Holdings (6.08%), China Nonferrous Mining (3.25%), and China National Offshore Oil Corporation (2.54%), among others, with significant positions in various state-owned enterprises [2] - The fund's management fee is 0.50% annually, and the custody fee is 0.10% annually [1] Group 3: Market Comparison - The ETF is part of a group of funds tracking the Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index, which includes other ETFs such as Huaxia and Wanji [2] - As of December 12, the fund's size is 685 million yuan, with a recent average daily trading volume of 15.0941 million yuan over the last 20 trading days [2] - The fund's recent net subscription figures indicate a trend of outflows, with a net subscription of -0.02 billion yuan over the past month [2]

央视网消息：受强寒潮影响，我国多地出现大范围雨雪降温天气，供暖用气需求随之攀升。面对极寒考验，能源企业多措并举筑牢能源保 供防线，守护千万家庭温暖。 能源企业在加快推进油气勘探开发的同时，也在通过智能化手段加强对关键设备的检查和巡护。在位于沙漠腹地的新疆油田克拉美丽气田 天然气处理站，一台智能巡检机器人正搭载着高清摄像头、红外热像仪和气体传感器，穿梭在厂区中进行全方位检测。 中石化中原油田储气库管理中心生产指挥中心副主任刘铁英称："目前我们供气量峰值是480万方/天，能够满足1000万户三口之家一天的 用气量，希望我们的付出能温暖更多的家庭。" 位于渤海湾的南港油田试验井产量不久前获得突破，日产油气当量340吨，预计今年新增原油产量1.5万吨、天然气2000万立方米以上。在 江苏如东液化天然气接收站，一艘满载15万立方米液化天然气的船舶进行装卸，自冬供以来，中国石油累计接卸液化天然气船舶20艘，单日气 化外输量最高可达8400万立方米，气化能力创历史新高。 为应对寒潮用气高峰，各地储气库全力保供。作为离北京最近的储气库集群，华北油田储气库群的单日采气量已突破2500万立方米，全力 守护京津冀区域百姓温暖过冬。 ...

Core Insights - The top three companies by stockholding ratio in the Hong Kong Stock Connect are China Telecom (00728) at 72.41%, Green Power Environmental (01330) at 69.93%, and Da Zhong Public Utilities (01635) at 69.81% [1] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810), China Merchants Bank (03968), and Agricultural Bank of China (01288) saw the largest increases in stockholding amounts over the last five trading days, with increases of +2.377 billion, +1.655 billion, and +0.815 billion respectively [1] - The largest decreases in stockholding amounts over the same period were recorded by WanGuo Gold Group (02979) at -3.768 billion, YingFu Fund (02800) at -1.184 billion, and China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (00857) at -0.624 billion [2] Stockholding Ratios - The latest stockholding ratios for the top 20 companies in the Hong Kong Stock Connect show that China Telecom leads with 100.50 billion shares, followed by Green Power Environmental with 2.83 billion shares and Da Zhong Public Utilities with 3.73 billion shares [1] - Other notable companies in the top 20 include Kaisa New Energy (01108) at 67.96% and Tianjin Chuangye Environmental Protection (01065) at 66.72% [1] Recent Increases in Stockholding - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) increased its stockholding by +2.377 billion, with a change of +55.329 million shares [2] - China Merchants Bank (03968) saw an increase of +1.655 billion, with a change of +32.2845 million shares [2] - Agricultural Bank of China (01288) increased by +0.815 billion, with a change of +146.8699 million shares [2] Recent Decreases in Stockholding - WanGuo Gold Group (02979) experienced the largest decrease of -3.768 billion, with a change of -494.5072 million shares [2] - YingFu Fund (02800) decreased by -1.184 billion, with a change of -45.2735 million shares [2] - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (00857) saw a decrease of -0.624 billion, with a change of -75.768 million shares [2]

Group 1 - The Central Commission for Discipline Inspection and National Supervisory Commission is enhancing digital supervision to combat corruption within state-owned enterprises, focusing on data-driven models to identify irregularities [1][3] - A recent inspection revealed issues such as frequent reimbursements by the same personnel and discrepancies in accommodation locations, leading to disciplinary actions against involved parties and the recovery of over 11,000 yuan in illicit funds [1] - The establishment of a comprehensive digital supervision system aims to integrate large data volumes, transforming isolated data into cohesive clusters, which is crucial for effective oversight [1] Group 2 - The digital oversight framework includes the development of risk alert models for various areas, such as vehicle and hospitality expenses, enhancing the ability to preemptively identify potential issues [1][3] - The National Pipeline Network Group's disciplinary inspection team is creating a detailed integrity archive for each enterprise, incorporating findings from audits and inspections to strengthen oversight [2] - The China Telecom disciplinary inspection team has implemented a digital platform that connects with other regulatory systems, allowing for real-time monitoring of multiple risk points related to financial operations [3] Group 3 - The use of small models, tools, and algorithms is being promoted to streamline data analysis and enhance the accuracy of investigations, facilitating the identification of risks in power operations [4] - Future initiatives will focus on leveraging big data and artificial intelligence to further empower the disciplinary inspection work, ensuring high-quality development in oversight practices [4]

Group 1 - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) announced a share buyback plan, intending to repurchase 678,000 shares at a cost of HKD 2.9243 million [2][4]

根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年10月中国石油焦产量为268万吨，同比下降0.5%；2025年1-10月中国 石油焦累计产量为2617.4万吨，累计下降4%。 2020-2025年1-10月中国石油焦产量统计图 上市企业：华锦股份（000059）,远兴能源（000683）,上海石化（600688）,华西能源（002630）,万华化 学（600309）,恒力石化（600346）,荣盛石化（002493）,新奥股份（600803）,中油资本（000617） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国石油焦行业发展形势分析及投资潜力研究报告》 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 ...

Core Insights - The breakthrough at the ZI201 well in Sichuan marks China's first successful extraction of high-yield commercial gas flow from Cambrian shale, indicating significant advancements in deep shale gas exploration [1][2] - China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) is enhancing its traditional oil and gas reserves while actively investing in renewable energy, aiming for sustainable growth through innovative technologies [1][3] Natural Gas Production Growth - Following the success of the ZI201 well, CNPC is accelerating exploration and evaluation in the area, with the establishment of the ZI201H2 platform for pilot testing development techniques [2] - The pilot tests achieved four significant milestones, including reducing drilling cycles to under 100 days and implementing advanced monitoring systems in deep shale gas wells [2] Industry Development and Trends - Sichuan Basin is recognized as China's most promising area for natural gas exploration, with the highest total resource volume, particularly in shale gas [3] - Natural gas is expected to play a crucial role in China's energy transition, with medium to long-term consumption projected to grow at a moderate to high rate, enhancing CNPC's profitability in this sector [3] Enhancing Industry Resilience - The Xiangguosi gas storage facility in Chongqing is part of a strategy to create a "Southwest 10 billion gas storage center," contributing significantly to national gas supply stability [4] - The facility has achieved a 15% actual peak shaving task against its design capacity, showcasing its operational efficiency and technological advantages [4] Digital Transformation and Efficiency - The gas storage facility has implemented digital operations, reducing inspection cycles by 60% and increasing efficiency by 200% through the use of automated systems and intelligent robots [5] - CNPC's Suining gas purification plant has become the largest in China, achieving rapid production milestones and adopting a smart management model for enhanced operational efficiency [5] Transition to Comprehensive Energy Stations - CNPC is transforming traditional gas stations into comprehensive energy stations, integrating various services such as refueling, charging, and retail [6] - The Yongquan comprehensive energy station in Chengdu exemplifies this transition, featuring advanced charging infrastructure and a diverse range of services [6][7] Future Outlook - CNPC aims to maintain its core oil and gas business while innovating in comprehensive energy services, focusing on long-term growth and value creation for shareholders [7]

Core Insights - The Amur Gas Processing Plant is a significant project in the natural gas sector and a testament to the deepening energy cooperation between China and Russia [6][11] - The East Route Gas Pipeline, which has been operational for six years, plays a crucial role in this cooperation [6][11] Group 1: Project Overview - The Amur Gas Processing Plant covers an area of 900 hectares, equivalent to 1,100 football fields, and was constructed over ten years with the involvement of 35,000 workers at its peak [4][6] - The plant has a planned annual processing capacity of 42 billion cubic meters and an annual helium production of 6 million cubic meters [6] - Currently, four production lines are operational, with a fifth line nearing completion and a sixth line under construction [6] Group 2: Operational Details - The plant processes raw natural gas from the Kovykta and Chayandinskoye gas fields, separating and refining it into marketable products [6] - The facility includes a central control room where technicians monitor critical parameters such as gas pressure, temperature, and composition [7] - The plant's separation tower, standing at 88 meters, purifies natural gas and produces methane, helium, and ethane, with helium supplies to China starting in September 2023, accounting for about 40% of China's helium imports [9] Group 3: Infrastructure and Community Impact - The Atamanskaya Compressor Station, the largest and closest to China on the East Route Gas Pipeline, ensures the necessary pressure for gas transportation across the Amur River [11] - The local community has benefited from the project, with the construction of 1,540 apartments for plant employees and educational facilities, including a school that will offer Chinese language courses [11] Group 4: Historical Context and Future Prospects - The cooperation between Russia and China in natural gas began with a 30-year supply agreement signed in 2014, aiming to deliver 38 billion cubic meters annually through the East Route [11] - Since the pipeline's commencement in December 2019, gas supplies have increased annually, with daily deliveries exceeding 10 million cubic meters as of December 2024 [11] - Future agreements signed in September 2025 are expected to further enhance gas supply volumes from Russia to China [11]