Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the strong performance in the first three quarters lays a solid foundation for the annual results, with a high growth trend in NBV expected to continue into 2025 [1][2] - It is projected that the net profit attributable to shareholders of A-share insurance companies will increase by 22.7% year-on-year to 426.4 billion yuan in 2025, with a decrease in growth rate of 10.9 percentage points compared to the first three quarters of 2025 [1] - Specific companies are expected to show significant growth in net profit, including China Taiping (215%-225%), China Life (45.8%), and New China Life (43.0%) [1] Group 2 - The liability side of life insurance is expected to maintain a high growth trend, with projected NBV growth rates for various companies such as PICC Life (60.2%) and Sunshine Insurance (49.9%) [2] - The property insurance sector is expected to see a year-on-year premium income increase of 3.9% to 1.76 trillion yuan in 2025, with claims expenses rising by 1.6% to 1.17 trillion yuan [3] - The impact of Typhoon "Maitai" in October 2025 is expected to cause a temporary effect on the combined ratio (COR) performance, with significant economic losses reported [3] Group 3 - The strategy for insurance capital entering the market is continuously advancing, with the scale and proportion of investments in the secondary market increasing significantly [4] - By the end of September 2025, the balance of insurance funds in the secondary market reached 5.59 trillion yuan, accounting for 14.9% of total investments, an increase of 1.49 trillion yuan and 2.6 percentage points from the end of 2024 [4] - Market fluctuations are anticipated to exert pressure on investment performance in the fourth quarter of 2025, with various indices showing mixed performance [4]

Group 1 - Tencent Holdings (00700) had a net inflow of 4.316 billion, representing a 22.17% increase in net inflow ratio [2][3] - Alibaba-W (09988) experienced a net inflow of 1.658 billion, with a net inflow ratio of 13.70% [2][3] - Pop Mart (09992) saw a net inflow of 588 million, with a net inflow ratio of 17.52% [2][3] Group 2 - Kangfang Biotech (09926) faced a net outflow of -285 million, with a net outflow ratio of -33.89% [2][3] - Yingfu Fund (02800) had a net outflow of -248 million, with a net outflow ratio of -1.88% [2][3] - Yum China (09987) recorded a net outflow of -213 million, with a net outflow ratio of -30.90% [2][3] Group 3 - Huaxia Hang Seng Technology (03088) led in net inflow ratio at 89.30% with a net inflow of 54.532 million [2][3] - Southern East Selection (03441) followed with a net inflow ratio of 68.86% and a net inflow of 14.5209 million [2][3] - China Foods (00506) had a net inflow ratio of 59.26% with a net inflow of 4.9995 million [2][3] Group 4 - Jinyuan International (02232) had the highest net outflow ratio at -50.27% with a net outflow of -40.079 million [3] - iFlytek Medical Technology (02506) recorded a net outflow ratio of -49.63% with a net outflow of -15.2262 million [3] - Sinopec Crown (00934) had a net outflow ratio of -45.08% with a net outflow of -5.1472 million [3]

证券研究报告 | 行业点评报告 2026 年 02 月 09 日 2025 年稳健收官，2026 年开门红值得期待 保险行业 2025 年 12 月保费收入点评 总量研究/非银行金融 近日，国家金融监督管理总局公布 2025 年 1-12 月保险业经营情况，人身险公 司全年保费增速接近两位数，2026 年开门红预计表现强劲；财产险公司全年 保费中低速增长，非车险"报行合一"有望推动盈利持续改善。 ❑ 风险提示：产品吸引力下降；资本市场波动；监管收紧；经济增长不及预期。 推荐（维持） 行业规模 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数（只） | 90 | 1.7 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 6622.4 | 5.9 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 6453.3 | 6.4 | 行业指数 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 -2.9 1.8 17.9 相对表现 0.2 -11.1 -3.0 资料来源：公司数据、招商证券 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 Feb/25 May/25 Sep/25 Jan/26 (%) 非银行金融 沪深300 相关报告 1、《非银金融 25Q4 ...

Group 1: Core Themes - The insurance industry is focusing on "high-quality development" and "risk prevention" as core themes for 2026, with companies aiming for stable performance and effective risk management [2][3][4] - China Life aims to contribute to national modernization by achieving steady operational performance and solid risk control [2] - China Re emphasizes a business philosophy of "scale development, effective underwriting, and stable investment," aiming for breakthroughs through reform and innovation [3] Group 2: Service to the Real Economy - The insurance sector is transitioning from a "single risk provider" to a comprehensive role as a "national strategic financial tool," enhancing support for the real economy [4][5] - China Life provided risk coverage exceeding 1,400 trillion yuan and increased investment in the real economy by 800 billion yuan, reaching 5.4 trillion yuan in 2025 [4] - China Re reported a risk coverage amount exceeding 87.5 trillion yuan, reflecting an 11.4% year-on-year increase [5] Group 3: Digital Transformation and Internationalization - Digital and intelligent upgrades are seen as growth engines, with varying focuses among companies [6][7] - China Life has elevated "digital transformation" to a strategic level, focusing on data, algorithms, and platforms to optimize management and reshape business models [6] - China Re is prioritizing both digitalization and internationalization as key areas for future capability building [7] Group 4: Differentiated Strategies - Companies are adopting distinct strategies based on their functional positioning for 2026 [8][9] - China Life continues to implement its "333 strategy," focusing on three new growth areas: pension, health, and wealth management [9] - China Re is focusing on transforming business models and optimizing management mechanisms to enhance profitability in international business [9]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong insurance stocks experienced a collective surge, with significant gains observed across major companies in the sector [1] Group 1: Company Performance - China Life and Ping An Insurance both rose over 5% [1] - China Taiping increased by 4.8% [1] - China Pacific Insurance saw a rise of 4.5% [1] - China Insurance, New China Life, and China Property & Casualty Insurance all gained over 3% [1] - AIA Group experienced an approximate increase of 3% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong insurance stocks experienced a collective surge, with major companies like China Life and Ping An rising over 5%, driven by favorable market conditions and strategic positioning in the insurance sector [1] Group 1: Market Performance - China Life's stock price increased by 5.22% to 35.460 [2] - Ping An's stock price rose by 5.03% to 73.100 [2] - China Taiping's stock price went up by 4.79% to 25.820 [2] - China Pacific's stock price increased by 4.46% to 40.260 [2] - Other notable increases include China People's Insurance at 3.50%, New China Life at 3.39%, and China Property & Casualty at 3.22% [2] Group 2: Industry Insights - CITIC Securities' report indicates that with a large number of deposits maturing, savings-type insurance products are expected to meet the demand for stable long-term value growth due to their high returns and long terms [1] - The report anticipates that leading insurance companies will capitalize on improved bancassurance value rates, leading to rapid growth in new policies and new business value (NBV) [1] - The asset side is expected to benefit from a spring rally in the equity market, enhancing profits, while stable interest rates will support long-term returns for insurance funds [1] Group 3: Future Projections - Huaxi Research predicts that listed insurance companies will continue to see rapid growth in net profit attributable to shareholders through 2025, although Q4 may face some pressure from investment impacts [1] - The report highlights a high level of enthusiasm for the insurance sector in Q1 2026, driven by the "opening red" period and the transformation of savings-type insurance products, which will alleviate pressure from interest rate spreads [1] - Recommended stocks include Ping An for its improved fundamentals and high dividend yield, New China Life for its asset flexibility and high dividend yield, and China Life for its asset flexibility [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong insurance stocks have collectively risen, with major companies like China Life and Ping An increasing by over 5%, driven by favorable market conditions and growth in new business value (NBV) [1] Group 1: Market Performance - China Life's stock price increased by 5.22% to 35.460 [2] - Ping An's stock price rose by 5.03% to 73.100 [2] - China Taiping's stock price went up by 4.79% to 25.820 [2] - China Pacific's stock price increased by 4.46% to 40.260 [2] - Other companies like China People’s Insurance and New China Life also saw increases of over 3% [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - CITIC Securities' report indicates that with a large amount of deposits maturing, savings-type insurance products are expected to meet the demand for stable long-term value growth due to their high returns and long terms [1] - The leading insurance companies are expected to leverage the improvement in bancassurance value rates to enhance their market positioning, leading to rapid growth in new business and NBV [1] - The asset side is anticipated to benefit from a bullish equity market in spring, which will enhance profits, while stable interest rates will support long-term returns for insurance funds [1] Group 3: Future Projections - Huaxi Research forecasts that the net profit attributable to shareholders of listed insurance companies will continue to grow rapidly through 2025, although Q4 may face some pressure from investment impacts [1] - The high demand for new business value in Q1 2026 is expected to significantly increase year-on-year, driven by the favorable conditions at the beginning of the year [1] - The transformation towards dividend insurance is expected to alleviate pressure from interest rate spreads, further driving the valuation recovery of insurance stocks [1] Group 4: Stock Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Ping An for its improving fundamentals and high dividend yield, New China Life for its asset flexibility and high dividend yield, and China Life for its asset flexibility [1] - Other recommended stocks include China People’s Insurance and China Pacific for their stable performance, as well as ZhongAn Online for its business improvements [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the insurance sector, expecting the industry index to outperform the benchmark index by over 5% in the next 3-6 months [19]. Core Insights - The insurance index decreased by 0.73% this week, outperforming the broader market by 0.6 percentage points. Individual stock performances varied, with Ping An increasing by 0.22% and China Life decreasing by 4.53% [1]. - The report highlights that the long-end interest rates remain stable, and the equity market is active, suggesting potential for significant growth in the investment sector in the first half of the year. The insurance sector is expected to achieve high double-digit growth in new policies this year [3][4]. - The report indicates that the new business value for the insurance industry is projected to maintain a double-digit growth trend, primarily driven by the transformation of dividend insurance [3]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The insurance index's performance this week was a decline of 0.73%, with Ping An showing a slight increase of 0.22% while other companies like China Life and Zhong An experienced declines of 4.53% and 7.09%, respectively [1]. Regulatory Updates - The Financial Regulatory Bureau has revised the "Bank and Insurance Institution License Management Measures," effective June 1, 2026, which will apply to insurance institutions [2]. Premium and Claims Data - In 2025, the total premium for the auto insurance sector is expected to reach approximately 996.37 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 2.99%. Claims settled are projected to be around 622.46 billion yuan, with a growth of 4.06% [2]. Company Actions - Ping An increased its stake in China Life H shares by 10.12%, acquiring 10.89 million shares at a price of 33.2588 HKD per share, totaling approximately 362 million HKD [2]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides PEV valuations for various insurance companies, indicating that China Life has a PEV of 0.91x, while Ping An stands at 0.81x. The report suggests that PEV valuations are expected to recover towards 1x [3][4].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the continuous influx of incremental funds into the market, highlighting investment opportunities in the non-bank financial sector [1][7] - The industry rating remains at "Buy," indicating a positive outlook for the sector [2] Group 1: Market Performance - As of February 6, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4065.58 points, down 1.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 2.11% [12] - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.41 trillion yuan, reflecting a 3.38% decrease [7] Group 2: Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - The performance of listed insurance companies is expected to continue high growth, with a marginal improvement in long-term interest rate spreads [18] - China Ping An Group increased its stake in China Life H shares, indicating positive industry trends [18] - The first quarter of 2026 is anticipated to show better-than-expected performance for some insurance companies due to a low base in the first half of 2025 [18] Securities Sector - A significant increase in new accounts was observed in January 2026, with 491.58 million new A-share accounts opened, a 213% year-on-year increase [19] - The balance of margin trading reached a historical high, providing strong support for interest income in the securities industry [22] - The Hong Kong IPO market is active, with 384 companies applying for listings as of February 6, 2026, and a daily trading volume of 2202 billion yuan in January, a 94% year-on-year increase [24][28] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on specific stocks within the insurance sector, including China Ping An (A/H), China Life (A/H), and New China Life (A/H) [18] - In the securities sector, recommended stocks include Guotai Junan (AH), CICC (H), and Huatai Securities (AH) due to their potential for performance improvement [7][18]

Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry is transitioning from being a "risk bearer" to a "risk reduction manager," which is a necessary choice to adapt to the economic and social development needs in the new era. New technologies like artificial intelligence are playing a positive role in reshaping the insurance value chain [3][4][5]. Group 1: Industry Trends and Challenges - The insurance industry is tasked with serving the "new quality productivity" and the important mission of financial "five articles." China Taiping aims to redefine its role in this new era by focusing on risk reduction management [3][4]. - Key challenges and opportunities identified include the need for a shift in development concepts, strengthening operational foundations, and deepening cross-sector collaboration to enhance risk reduction services [5][6]. - The industry is experiencing a profound transformation, with a focus on enhancing service quality and adapting to diverse customer needs, particularly in the life insurance sector [6][7]. Group 2: Life Insurance Transformation - The life insurance sector is undergoing a significant transformation, with China Taiping achieving notable success in the transition of dividend insurance products, leading to substantial growth in new business value [6][7]. - Core drivers for sustainable growth in life insurance include strong policy support, enhanced ecological services, financial technology empowerment, and channel transformation [6][7]. Group 3: Technological Integration - The application of AI and other advanced technologies is positively reshaping the insurance value chain, making previously uninsurable risks insurable and allowing for more flexible and precise product designs [8][9]. - In underwriting, big data enables differentiated assessments based on individual behaviors and risk statuses, leading to more reasonable pricing for customers [8][9]. - The use of AI and big data in claims processing enhances fraud detection and reduces operational costs, significantly improving efficiency and customer experience [9][10]. Group 4: Ecosystem Development - China Taiping is focused on building a modern customer service ecosystem that integrates insurance, investment, and ecological industry collaboration, aiming to enhance its support for core business development [11]. - Future initiatives include enriching health management services, accelerating the application of financial technology in insurance, and expanding the ecological "friend circle" to improve resource sharing and professional capabilities [11].