Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus is on China's semiconductor localization efforts, particularly in the context of companies like ChangXin Memory Technologies Corp. (CXMT) and Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) [1][2][5]. Company-Specific Insights ChangXin Memory Technologies Corp. (CXMT) - CXMT plans to raise 29.5 billion yuan (approximately $4.22 billion) through an IPO of 10.6 billion shares in Shanghai to fund DRAM expansion [1]. - The company has Rmb43 billion in cash, with a total capital investment of approximately Rmb34.5 billion (around $4.9 billion) planned over three years, aiming for a capacity addition of about 50,000 wafers per month (wpm) [2]. Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) - SMIC announced a capital increase of $7.8 billion through the introduction of Big Fund Phase III and collaboration with major state-owned banks [2]. - The acquisition of the remaining 49% equity interest in SMIC North will enhance the net profit margin and strengthen the balance sheet for future capacity expansion [2][5]. Market Demand and Supply Dynamics - Chinese technology companies have ordered over 2 million Nvidia H200 chips for 2026, while Nvidia currently has only 700,000 units in inventory [3]. - There is uncertainty regarding the Chinese government's approval of these orders, as it may impact the adoption of local chips [4]. Stock Implications - The outlook is positive for SMIC and Chinese semiconductor equipment plays, driven by strong demand for leading-edge logic chips for local AI computing [5]. Import Trends - China's semiconductor equipment import value was $2.1 billion in November 2025, reflecting a 10% year-over-year decline. However, the three-month moving average showed an 11% year-over-year growth, down from 17% in October 2025 [10]. - Imports from the US, Netherlands, and Japan decreased by 32%, 7%, and 5% year-over-year, respectively, while imports from Korea and Singapore increased by 9% and 16% [10]. Localization Progress - China's semiconductor self-sufficiency ratio improved to 24% in 2024, up from 20% in 2023, with expectations to reach 30% by 2027 [52][54]. - Significant advancements have been made in advanced node logic chips, particularly with Huawei's Ascend 910B chips [55]. AI Demand - There is a strong demand for AI inference, with major Chinese cloud service providers processing a rapidly increasing number of tokens [20][21]. - ByteDance's token consumption reached 50 trillion daily by December 2025, indicating robust growth in AI applications [21]. Conclusion - The semiconductor industry in China is experiencing significant developments, with companies like CXMT and SMIC playing crucial roles in localization efforts. The demand for AI chips and the ongoing capacity expansions are expected to drive future growth in the sector [5][55].

资料显示，中芯国际集成电路制造有限公司位于上海市浦东新区张江路18号,香港中环康乐广场8号交易 广场1期29楼，成立日期2000年4月3日，上市日期2020年7月16日，公司主营业务涉及提供0.35微米至14 纳米多种技术节点、不同工艺平台的集成电路晶圆代工及配套服务。主营业务收入构成为：集成电路晶 圆代工93.83%，其他6.17%。 截至9月30日，中芯国际股东户数33.62万，较上期增加33.27%；人均流通股6134股，较上期减少 25.41%。2025年1月-9月，中芯国际实现营业收入495.10亿元，同比增长18.22%；归母净利润38.18亿 元，同比增长41.09%。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，中芯国际十大流通股东中，易方达上证科创板50ETF（588080） 位居第五大流通股东，持股5730.50万股，相比上期减少1650.36万股。华夏上证科创板50成份ETF （588000）位居第六大流通股东，持股5599.90万股，相比上期减少3972.76万股。华夏上证50ETF （510050）位居第七大流通股东，持股3797.30万股，相比上期减少103.16万股。华泰柏瑞沪深30 ...

中芯国际A股涨2.7%，港股涨3.1%。摩根士丹利称看好该公司，因其是"中国人工智能本地化的关键支 持者"，并称因先进逻辑芯片需求将保持强劲，对中国芯片设备企业持积极看法。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor equipment sector is experiencing significant growth driven by a global semiconductor "super cycle" and the deepening of domestic chip replacement, leading to record highs for major equipment manufacturers and ETFs tracking this sector [1][2]. Industry Cycle - The semiconductor equipment sales are projected to reach a historical high in 2025, driven by AI-induced price increases in storage and advancements in process technology, which will boost domestic wafer fab utilization rates [2]. - SEMI forecasts that global semiconductor manufacturing equipment sales will reach $156 billion by 2026-2027, indicating a sustained growth trend [2]. Domestic Replacement Acceleration - The domestic semiconductor equipment localization rate is expected to rise to 22% by 2025, with significant breakthroughs in etching, cleaning, and CMP processes [2]. - Recent government and capital support initiatives, including increased investments in leading wafer fabs and mergers in the equipment sector, signal an acceleration in the self-sufficiency of the semiconductor supply chain [2]. Capital and Policy Support - The ongoing capital investment in advanced processes and the rising localization rate of equipment present historic development opportunities for domestic semiconductor equipment, with new order growth expected to exceed 30% and potentially reach over 50% [2]. Semiconductor Equipment ETF Overview - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) tracks the CSI semiconductor index, focusing on the upstream segment of the semiconductor industry, which has a nearly 60% equipment content [3]. - The top ten holdings in the ETF account for nearly 80% of its weight, including leading companies like Zhongwei Company (etching equipment) and Northern Huachuang (multi-field equipment) [3]. Performance Metrics - The CSI semiconductor index is projected to increase by 62.33% in 2025, with a maximum drawdown of 15.73%, outperforming other semiconductor indices since 2018 [4]. - The index has shown significant elasticity, indicating a more aggressive stance in the upcoming semiconductor cycle [4].

Group 1 - The top three stocks with net inflows are Yingfu Fund (02800) with 6.826 billion, Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828) with 2.151 billion, and Kuaishou-W (01024) with 1.553 billion [1] - The top three stocks with net outflows are Tencent Holdings (00700) with -0.920 billion, China Mobile (00941) with -0.365 billion, and China Hongqiao (01378) with -0.257 billion [1] - In terms of net inflow ratio, Jiangsu Ninghu Expressway (00177) leads with 68.66%, followed by COSCO Shipping Ports (01199) with 62.64%, and Beijing Enterprises Water Group (00371) with 62.27% [1] Group 2 - The top ten stocks by net inflow include Xiaomi Group-W (01810) with 1.020 billion and Southern Hang Seng Technology (03033) with 0.944 billion [2] - The top ten stocks by net outflow also include China People's Insurance Group (01339) with -0.255 billion and GCL-Poly Energy (03800) with -0.213 billion [2] - The net outflow ratio for China National Building Material (03323) is -48.46%, followed by Gao Xin Retail (06808) at -48.27% and Swire Properties (01972) at -47.79% [3]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.94% on January 7, closing at 26,458.95 points, while southbound funds through the Stock Connect recorded a net buy of HKD 9.178 billion [1] - The total trading volume for the Stock Connect on January 7 was HKD 134.393 billion, with a net buy of HKD 9.178 billion [1] - In the Shanghai Stock Connect, the trading volume was HKD 80.489 billion with a net buy of HKD 3.490 billion, while in the Shenzhen Stock Connect, the trading volume was HKD 53.905 billion with a net buy of HKD 5.688 billion [1] Group 2 - In the top ten active stocks in the Shanghai Stock Connect, Alibaba-W had the highest trading volume at HKD 8.352 billion, followed by SMIC and Tencent Holdings with trading volumes of HKD 4.491 billion and HKD 3.434 billion respectively [1] - The stock with the highest net buy was the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong, with a net buy of HKD 1.465 billion, despite its closing price dropping by 0.82% [1] - The stock with the highest net sell was China Mobile, with a net sell of HKD 1.126 billion, and its closing price fell by 0.97% [1] Group 3 - In the Shenzhen Stock Connect, Alibaba-W had the highest trading volume at HKD 6.705 billion, followed by Tencent Holdings and SMIC with trading volumes of HKD 2.831 billion and HKD 1.991 billion respectively [2] - The stock with the highest net buy in the Shenzhen Stock Connect was Tencent Holdings, with a net buy of HKD 1.069 billion, while Alibaba-W had the highest net sell of HKD 0.850 billion [2] - The closing price of Alibaba-W fell by 3.25%, while Tencent Holdings dropped by 1.26% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.94% on January 7, with southbound capital transactions totaling HKD 134.39 billion, indicating a net inflow of HKD 9.18 billion [2] Group 1: Southbound Capital Transactions - Total southbound capital transactions amounted to HKD 134.39 billion, with buy transactions at HKD 71.79 billion and sell transactions at HKD 62.61 billion, resulting in a net buy of HKD 9.18 billion [2] - The Shenzhen Stock Connect saw total transactions of HKD 53.91 billion, with net buying of HKD 5.69 billion, while the Shanghai Stock Connect had total transactions of HKD 80.49 billion, with net buying of HKD 3.49 billion [2] Group 2: Active Stocks - Alibaba-W had the highest transaction amount among southbound stocks at HKD 15.06 billion, followed by SMIC and Tencent Holdings with HKD 6.48 billion and HKD 6.27 billion respectively [2][4] - Tencent Holdings recorded a net buy of HKD 1.96 billion, while Xiaomi Group-W had a net buy of HKD 1.63 billion, and the Yingfu Fund saw a net buy of HKD 1.47 billion [2][3] - China Mobile experienced the highest net sell at HKD 1.13 billion, with its stock price declining by 0.97% [2][4] Group 3: Continuous Net Buying - Four stocks received continuous net buying from southbound capital for more than three days, with Xiaomi Group-W leading at five days, followed by Alibaba-W at four days, and China Life at three days [3] - The total net buying amounts during this period were HKD 3.61 billion for Xiaomi Group-W, HKD 2.12 billion for Alibaba-W, and HKD 1.25 billion for China Life [3]

Core Insights - On January 7, 2026, Alibaba-W (09988), SMIC (00981), and Tencent Holdings (00700) were the top three stocks by trading volume in the Southbound Stock Connect, with trading amounts of 83.52 billion, 44.91 billion, and 34.34 billion respectively [1] - In the Southbound Stock Connect for the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Alibaba-W (09988), Tencent Holdings (00700), and SMIC (00981) also ranked as the top three, with trading amounts of 67.05 billion, 28.31 billion, and 19.91 billion respectively [1] Southbound Stock Connect (Shanghai-Hong Kong) - The top active stocks included: - Alibaba-W (09988): Trading amount of 83.52 billion, net buying of +9.74 billion - SMIC (00981): Trading amount of 44.91 billion, net selling of -10.38 billion - Tencent Holdings (00700): Trading amount of 34.34 billion, net buying of +8.86 billion - Xiaomi Group-W (01810): Trading amount of 23.83 billion, net buying of +8.13 billion - China Mobile (00941): Trading amount of 22.60 billion, net selling of -11.26 billion [2] Southbound Stock Connect (Shenzhen-Hong Kong) - The top active stocks included: - Alibaba-W (09988): Trading amount of 67.05 billion, net selling of -8.50 billion - Tencent Holdings (00700): Trading amount of 28.31 billion, net buying of +10.69 billion - SMIC (00981): Trading amount of 19.91 billion, net selling of -3.20 million - Xiaomi Group-W (01810): Trading amount of 16.55 billion, net buying of +8.19 billion - Meituan-W (03690): Trading amount of 13.07 billion, net buying of +4.48 billion [2]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market saw a net inflow of 9.178 billion HKD from northbound trading on January 7, with the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect contributing 3.49 billion HKD and the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect contributing 5.688 billion HKD [1] - The most bought stocks included Tencent (00700), Xiaomi Group-W (01810), and the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800), while the most sold stocks were China Mobile (00941), SMIC (00981), and CNOOC (00883) [1][2] - Alibaba-W (09988) recorded a net inflow of 9.74 billion HKD, while SMIC (00981) experienced a net outflow of 10.38 billion HKD [2] Group 2 - Tencent (00700) received a net inflow of 8.86 billion HKD, while Xiaomi Group-W (01810) saw a net inflow of 8.13 billion HKD [2] - The report from Citigroup highlighted three key themes for the mainland internet industry by 2026: growth in recurring revenue from cloud infrastructure, competition among major internet companies for AI chatbot user traffic, and deployment of proprietary AI agents by vertical companies [4] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) was notably bought with a net inflow of 16.32 billion HKD, as the CEO announced plans for the new generation of the Xiaomi SU7 to be launched in April [5] Group 3 - The Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800) and Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828) received net inflows of 14.65 billion HKD and 9.12 billion HKD, respectively [5] - Goldman Sachs maintained an "overweight" rating on Chinese A-shares and H-shares, citing attractive risk-reward ratios amid low investor positioning [5] - Goldwind Technology (02208) received a net inflow of 2.1 billion HKD, with potential positive catalysts linked to its stake in Blue Arrow Aerospace [6] Group 4 - China Life (02628) saw a net inflow of 4.16 billion HKD, while China Mobile (00941) and SMIC (00981) faced net outflows of 11.26 billion HKD and 10.7 billion HKD, respectively [7]

截至1月7日收盘，中芯国际概念上涨3.00%，位居概念板块涨幅第4，板块内，58股上涨，芯源微、南 大光电等20%涨停，彤程新材涨停，安集科技、兴福电子、先锋精科等涨幅居前，分别上涨18.86%、 15.65%、13.83%。跌幅居前的有凯德石英、多氟多、创元科技等，分别下跌5.04%、4.01%、3.82%。 资金流入比率方面，彤程新材、北方华创、兴福电子等流入比率居前，主力资金净流入率分别为 31.09%、15.28%、11.31%。 中芯国际概念资金流入榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅 | 今日换手率 | 主力资金流量（万 | 主力资金净流入比率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | （%） | （%） | 元） | （%） | | 002371 | 北方华 创 | 6.06 | 2.44 | 138450.13 | 15.28 | | 300346 | 南大光 电 | 20.00 | 29.92 | 87109.30 | 8.35 | | 002409 | 雅克科 技 | 8.05 | 13.73 | 25421.71 | 6.60 | | ...