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近50家芯片大厂最新业绩:谁在赚钱,谁还在复苏?
芯世相· 2026-02-14 04:07
Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry is expected to recover in 2025, with significant revenue growth driven by rising storage prices and increasing demand from data centers, leading to improved performance for major chip manufacturers [3][4]. Group 1: Semiconductor Sales and Growth - Global semiconductor sales are projected to reach $791.7 billion in 2025, a 25.6% increase from $630.5 billion in 2024, with further growth expected towards $1 trillion in 2026 [3]. - The recovery is attributed to strong demand from emerging technologies such as AI, IoT, 6G, and autonomous driving [3]. Group 2: Chip Design and IDM - Texas Instruments (TI) is expected to achieve approximately $17.68 billion in revenue for 2025, reflecting a 13% year-over-year growth, with significant contributions from industrial and automotive sectors [6]. - STMicroelectronics (ST) anticipates a revenue decline of 11% to around $11.8 billion, with Q4 showing slight improvement driven by personal electronics [8]. - NXP's revenue is projected at $12.27 billion, down 3%, with automotive and industrial sectors remaining stable [10]. - Renesas reported a revenue drop of 2% to 1.3212 trillion yen, marking its first loss in six years due to significant impairment losses [12]. - Microchip Technology expects growth in both year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter sales, with a projected revenue of $1.186 billion for Q3 2026 [12]. - Qorvo's revenue exceeded expectations at $993 million, with an 8.4% year-over-year increase [12]. - Infineon's revenue is projected at €14.662 billion, down 2%, but with strong demand in AI driving growth [14]. Group 3: Memory Chips - Samsung's revenue is expected to reach 333.6059 trillion won (approximately $233.8 billion), a 10.9% increase, with the semiconductor division achieving 130.1 trillion won in revenue [29]. - SK Hynix anticipates a record revenue of 97.15 trillion won (approximately $681.6 billion), a 47% increase year-over-year [31]. - Micron's revenue is projected to rise from $25.11 billion to $37.38 billion, with HBM chip capacity sold out for 2026 [33]. - GigaDevice expects a revenue increase of approximately 25% to 9.203 billion yuan [35]. Group 4: Wafer Foundry - TSMC's revenue is projected to reach approximately 3.8 trillion new Taiwan dollars (around $122.42 billion), a 31.6% increase, with advanced processes contributing significantly [47]. - UMC expects a slight revenue increase of 2.3% to 237.55 billion new Taiwan dollars, with a focus on mature process technologies [49]. - SMIC anticipates a record revenue of $9.3268 billion, a 16.2% increase, with improved profitability driven by increased wafer sales [51]. Group 5: Testing and Packaging - ASE Group's revenue is expected to reach 645.388 billion new Taiwan dollars, an 8.4% increase, with advanced packaging services contributing significantly [57]. - Amkor's revenue is projected at $6.71 billion, a 6% increase, with strong performance in advanced packaging and computing business [59]. Group 6: Equipment - ASML's total net sales are expected to reach €32.667 billion, a 15.6% increase, with a record order backlog reflecting strong demand for AI-related technologies [61]. - Lam Research anticipates a record year with significant growth driven by advanced process technologies [63]. Group 7: Distribution - WPG Holdings expects a revenue of 999.12 billion new Taiwan dollars, a 13.4% increase, driven by AI and high-performance computing demand [66]. - WPG's revenue is projected to exceed 1 trillion new Taiwan dollars, marking a significant milestone [68].
计算机行业事件点评:Seedance2.0算力需求知多少
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the industry, indicating an expected relative performance exceeding 15% compared to the benchmark index over the next 12 months [8]. Core Insights - The launch of Seedance 2.0 by ByteDance marks a significant advancement in AI video generation, enabling users to create videos with simple text prompts, which is expected to enhance user engagement and frequency of use over the long term [3][5]. - The model's capabilities include multi-modal input acceptance, narrative coherence, and audio-visual synchronization, addressing key industry challenges such as character consistency and audio-visual mismatch [4][5]. - The demand for computational power is projected to increase exponentially due to the anticipated high concurrency from both consumer (C-end) content creation and business (B-end) API calls [6]. Summary by Sections Seedance 2.0 Launch and Features - Seedance 2.0 is integrated into various platforms, allowing users to generate short videos easily, which is expected to drive higher usage rates [3]. - The model supports multiple input types and can generate videos with synchronized audio, enhancing the creative process for users [4]. Computational Demand Projections - The report estimates that by October 2025, the monthly usage of AI-generated content on the platform will reach 63,900 times, with a total usage time of 1,668.2 hours [6]. - The complexity of video generation is significantly higher than that of text and images, leading to a substantial increase in computational requirements [6]. - Projections indicate that the number of required H100 GPUs for video generation could range from 2.4 million to 4.284 million under different scenarios, with a market space for H100 GPUs estimated between $4.8 billion and $8.568 billion [14][12]. Long-term Market Opportunities - The report highlights the potential for domestic computational power providers to benefit from the growth of AI video generation, with specific companies recommended for investment, including chip designers and AI server manufacturers [13]. - The user base for short videos in China is expected to exceed 1 billion by the end of 2024, with increasing daily usage times projected [7][11].
北水成交净买入202.19亿 北水抢筹港股ETF及科技股 全天加仓盈富基金超36亿港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 21:54
Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market saw a net inflow of 202.19 billion HKD from northbound trading, with 114.77 billion HKD from the Shanghai Stock Connect and 87.43 billion HKD from the Shenzhen Stock Connect [2] - The most net bought stocks included the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800), Alibaba-W (09988), and Tencent (00700), while the most net sold stocks were Longi Green Energy (601869) and CNOOC (00883) [2][8] - Northbound trading showed significant interest in semiconductor stocks, with Huahong Semiconductor (01347) and SMIC (00981) receiving net purchases of 8.46 billion HKD and 5.73 billion HKD respectively [6] Group 2 - Tencent Holdings (00700) had a net inflow of 22.00 billion HKD, with total trading volume reaching 35.63 billion HKD [3] - Alibaba-W (09988) received a net inflow of 20.13 billion HKD, with a total trading volume of 28.70 billion HKD [3] - Meituan-W (03690) saw a net inflow of 10.35 billion HKD, with a total trading volume of 14.60 billion HKD [3] Group 3 - Huahong Semiconductor reported a fourth-quarter revenue of 659.9 million USD, a significant quarter-on-quarter increase of 22.4%, with a gross margin of 13.0% and a net profit of 34.1 million USD, reversing a previous loss [6] - SMIC also reported strong performance, contributing to the positive sentiment in the semiconductor sector [6] - CNOOC (00883) faced a net outflow of 1.43 billion HKD amid geopolitical tensions and market shifts towards supply-demand dynamics [7]
中芯認股證結構透視:遠價外集中度近七成 技術位博弈暗藏流動性陷阱
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-13 17:40
技術座標揭示合理邊界 成交分布印證博弈心態 全日成交額243,367千港元中,遠價外區間獨佔112,840千元(46.37%),中價外區間貢獻56,909千元 (23.38%),合計69.75%成交集中於技術阻力位上方,顯示資金過度集中於突破博弈。 條款競爭力顯現結構效率落差 中價外區間展現相對較佳風險回報特性,平均引伸波幅53.90%,配合4.76倍槓桿,提供較合理平衡。價 內主力區間雖具備52.68%引伸波幅與3.39倍槓桿的效率優勢,但產品數量僅8隻限制實際操作彈性。遠 價外區間雖有5.35倍槓桿的表面優勢,但引伸波幅高達59.11%,推升持倉成本,加上流動性不足,顯示 成本與預期回報空間出現嚴重錯配。 市場結構隱含系統性風險 以中芯國際現價69.6元為基準,技術分析劃定明確活動範圍:主要支持位68.3元與下試區域62.7元構成 下行防線,主要阻力位75.2元與上望目標80.4元定義上行空間。在此框架下,行使價62.7-75.2元區間屬 於技術合理範圍,而當前市場結構顯示顯著偏離理性邊界。 行使價分布凸顯結構失衡 市場現存145隻認購證呈現明顯結構分化:深價內區間(41.50-62.93元)30隻產品提 ...
中芯国际(688981)2025年四季度业绩点评:4Q25营收超预期 扩产坚定推进下折旧压力待消化
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-13 12:58
机构:光大证券 研究员:付天姿/董馨悦 事件:4Q25营收超预期,1Q26指引偏谨慎。4Q25收入24.89亿美元,YoY+12.8%,QoQ+4.5%,超过此 前公司23.8~24.3亿美元指引区间的上限,超过市场预期的24.2亿美元。其中,晶圆出货量YoY+26.3%, QoQ+0.6%;晶圆ASP YoY-10.8%,QoQ+0.8%。4Q25毛利率19.2%,YoY-3.4pct,QoQ-2.8pct,符合公 司18%~20%的指引区间,略低于市场预期的20%,主要系折旧上升。4Q25净利润2.03亿美元,YoY- 24.9%,QoQ-35.5%,其中4Q归母净利润1.73亿美元,非控制性权益0.31亿美元,YoY-81.3%,QoQ- 75.3%。2025全年盈利水平修复。2025年实现营收93.27亿美元,创历史新高,YoY+16.2%;毛利率 21%,YoY+3.0pct。2025年归母净利润6.85亿美元,YoY+39.1%。1Q26指引相对谨慎。1Q26指引收入环 比持平,对应YoY+10.7%;指引毛利率18%~20%,低于市场预期的20.9%。2026全年指引方面,公司预 计营收同比增速 ...
中芯国际因行使根据2014以股支薪奖励计划所授予的受限制股份单位而发行1.66万股
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 11:23
智通财经APP讯,中芯国际(00981)发布公告,于2026年2月13日,非本公司董事因行使根据2014以股支 薪奖励计划(于2013年6月13日获采纳)所授予的受限制股份单位而发行的普通股股份1.66万股。 ...
中芯国际(00981)因行使根据2014以股支薪奖励计划所授予的受限制股份单位而发行1.66万股
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 11:04
近五日涨跌: 0.99% (原标题:中芯国际(00981)因行使根据2014以股支薪奖励计划所授予的受限制股份单位而发行1.66万股) 智通财经APP讯,中芯国际(00981)发布公告,于2026年2月13日,非本公司董事因行使根据2014以股支薪奖励计划(于2013年6月13日获采纳)所授 予的受限制股份单位而发行的普通股股份1.66万股。 相关ETF 港股通科技ETF基金 (产品代码: 159101) ★ 跟踪:经估值汇率调整后的国证港股通科技指数 市盈率: 29.54倍 资金流向: 最新份额为35.1亿份,增加 了300.0万份,净申赎274.6 厅元。 估值分位:21.24% 恒生科技指数ETF (产品代码: 513180) ★ 跟踪:恒生科技指数 近五日涨跌:0.99% 资金流向: 最新份额为740.8亿份, 增 加了8.1亿份,净申赎5.7亿 元。 港股通互联网ETF基 金 (产品代码: 520910) 资金流向: 最新份额为7.4亿份,增加 了0.0份, 净申赎0.0元。 估值分位:18.04% 恒牛互联网ETF (产品代码:513330) ★ 跟踪: 恒生互联网科技业指数 近五日涨跌: -0. ...
智通港股通活跃成交|2月13日
智通财经网· 2026-02-13 11:02
Group 1 - Tencent Holdings (00700), Alibaba-W (09988), and Meituan-W (03690) ranked as the top three companies in terms of trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Connect (southbound) on February 13, 2026, with transaction amounts of 4.301 billion, 3.680 billion, and 3.169 billion respectively [1] - Tencent Holdings (00700), Alibaba-W (09988), and Meituan-W (03690) also led the trading volume on the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect (southbound) with transaction amounts of 3.563 billion, 2.870 billion, and 1.460 billion respectively [1] Group 2 - The top ten active companies on the Hong Kong Stock Connect (southbound) included Tencent Holdings (00700) with a net buy of 1.426 billion, Alibaba-W (09988) with a net buy of 1.143 billion, and Meituan-W (03690) with a net sell of 0.368 billion [2] - On the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect (southbound), Tencent Holdings (00700) had a net buy of 0.837 billion, Alibaba-W (09988) had a net buy of 1.156 billion, and Meituan-W (03690) had a net buy of 0.611 billion [2]
中芯国际(688981) - 港股公告:翌日披露报表
2026-02-13 11:01
FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別: 股票 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 中芯國際集成電路製造有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年2月13日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | | 00981 | 說明 | 港股 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | 事件 | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | | 庫存股份變動 ...
中芯国际(00981) - 翌日披露报表
2026-02-13 10:43
如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | | 00981 | 說明 | 港股 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | 事件 | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | | 庫存股份變動 | 每股發行/出售價 (註4) | | 已發行股份總數 | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)數 目 | | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 行股份(不包括庫存股 份)數目百分比 (註3) | 庫存股份數目 | | ...