Core Viewpoint - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) shows strong revenue growth and positive outlook for future performance, driven by recovery in semiconductor demand and stable capacity release from its second 12-inch production line [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Hua Hong Semiconductor reported Q2 revenue of $566 million, representing an 18% year-over-year increase and a 5% quarter-over-quarter increase, aligning with market expectations [1] - The company has maintained approximately 18% year-over-year revenue growth over the past three quarters, with expectations for gross margin improvement in Q1, Q2, and Q3 of this year [1] Group 2: Future Guidance - Goldman Sachs projects a 10% to 13% quarter-over-quarter revenue growth for Q3, with expected gross margins between 10% and 12%, which is higher than previous quarter's gross margin of 10.9% [1] - The guidance reflects the company's optimistic outlook on continued recovery in demand and the positive impact of its 12-inch capacity expansion on long-term growth [1]

Core Viewpoint - Hua Hong Semiconductor's stock has seen a rise of over 3%, with a current price of HKD 43.7 and a trading volume of HKD 1.19 billion, reflecting positive market sentiment towards the company's performance and outlook [1]. Financial Performance - In Q2, Hua Hong Semiconductor reported revenue of USD 566 million, representing an 18% year-over-year increase and a 5% quarter-over-quarter increase, aligning with market expectations [1]. - The company has maintained an approximate 18% year-over-year revenue growth over the past three quarters, indicating consistent performance [1]. Profitability and Margins - The gross margin is expected to improve steadily in Q1, Q2, and Q3 of this year, despite rising depreciation pressures [1]. - Goldman Sachs projects Q3 revenue guidance to grow by 10% to 13% quarter-over-quarter, with expected gross margins between 10% and 12%, which is higher than previous expectations [1]. Capacity Expansion and Market Outlook - The recovery in downstream semiconductor demand and the stable release of capacity from Hua Hong's second 12-inch production line in Wuxi are driving revenue growth [1]. - Goldman Sachs holds a positive view on Hua Hong's 12-inch capacity expansion, believing it will support long-term growth and optimize 40nm and 55nm products [1].

Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor stocks are experiencing a rebound, with companies like SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor reporting better-than-expected earnings for Q2 2025, driven by high capacity utilization and domestic demand [1] Group 1: Company Performance - SMIC's stock rose by 3.18% to HKD 50.25, while Hua Hong Semiconductor increased by 3.02% to HKD 43.66, indicating positive market sentiment [1] - Both companies exceeded market expectations in revenue and gross margin due to high capacity utilization rates [1] - SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor forecast a quarterly revenue growth of 6% and 11% respectively for Q3 2025, suggesting a gradual recovery in semiconductor demand [1] Group 2: Market Trends - The pricing environment is improving, and capacity utilization remains high, which is beneficial for both companies [1] - Despite the positive revenue outlook, the recovery of gross margins may still be a distant prospect [1] - Analysts from various firms express optimism about SMIC's leading position in domestic wafer foundry and Hua Hong Semiconductor's potential recovery due to localization trends and improvements in the industrial and automotive markets [1]

Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor stocks are experiencing a rebound, with companies like SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor reporting better-than-expected earnings for Q2 2025, driven by high capacity utilization and domestic demand [1] Group 1: Company Performance - SMIC's stock rose by 3.18% to HKD 50.25, while Hua Hong Semiconductor increased by 3.02% to HKD 43.66, indicating positive market sentiment towards these companies [1] - Both SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor exceeded market expectations in revenue and gross margin due to high capacity utilization rates [1] - For Q3 2025, SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor forecast revenue growth of 6% and 11% quarter-on-quarter, respectively, suggesting a gradual recovery in semiconductor demand [1] Group 2: Market Trends - The pricing environment is improving, and capacity utilization remains high, although gross margin recovery may still be distant [1] - The trend towards domestic substitution of key semiconductor products is expected to benefit SMIC, reinforcing its leading position in the domestic wafer foundry market [1] - Hua Hong Semiconductor is anticipated to experience a recovery due to improvements in the domestic market and the industrial and automotive sectors [1]

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry maintains high prosperity, with a positive outlook on opportunities in analog and storage sectors [2][3] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.11%, while the electronics sector increased by 1.65%. Among sub-industries, consumer electronics surged by 4.27%, and components fell by 1.59%. Concurrently, the Hang Seng Tech Index, Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, and Taiwan Information Technology Index rose by 1.17%, 2.72%, and 2.90%, respectively [2][3] Semiconductor Industry Insights - The supply chain has recently revised upward the shipment expectations for NVIDIA's GB series products for 2026, reinforcing the high growth trend in the computing chain's performance. TSMC anticipates sustained strong AI demand and a moderate recovery in non-AI demand, raising its annual revenue growth forecast from approximately 25% to 30% [2] - SMIC and Huahong's 2Q25 utilization rates are nearing saturation, with optimistic order demand outlooks supporting the continuation of high prosperity in the semiconductor sector. The utilization rates for SMIC and Huahong in 2Q25 were 92.5% (YoY +7.3 percentage points, QoQ +2.9 percentage points) and 108.3% (YoY +10.4 percentage points, QoQ +5.6 percentage points), respectively [2][3] AI and Hardware Market Dynamics - The release of GPT-5 has significantly enhanced AI programming capabilities, leading to a market shift back towards hardware investments. Companies such as Industrial Fulian, Shengyi Technology, and others are recommended as core targets in the North American computing industry chain [2][4] Storage Market Trends - The storage market is showing signs of recovery, with Kioxia reporting a 39.1% quarter-on-quarter increase in non-GAAP net profit for FY25Q1. The NAND market is expected to see a bit growth rate of around 10% in 2025, driven by normalizing inventory levels in smartphones and PCs, new smartphone releases, and strong demand from data centers [3] - Major manufacturers have announced price increases for server customers in the third quarter, with the spot market for server DDR5 prices showing an upward trend [3] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies in the consumer electronics sector include Industrial Fulian, Lens Technology, Xiaomi Group, and others. In the semiconductor sector, recommended companies include SMIC, Aojie Technology, and Huahong Semiconductor, among others [5][6]

整体而言，该行认为华虹半导体第二季表现良好，该股票在当前水平上是合理估值，将其评级下调 至"持有"，目标价由37.5港元上调至48港元。 招银国际发表研究报告指，华虹半导体第二季收入按年升18.3%，按季增4.6%，表现符合公司指引及市 场预期；毛利率为10.9%，胜于指引及市场预测。管理层相信产品均价将会稳定下来，同时预计第三季 收入将介乎6.2亿至6.4亿美元。由于折旧的利淡因素，第三季和第四季的毛利率展望将保持平稳，范围 介乎10%至12%之间，与第二季水平相若。 ...

交银国际发表报告指，华虹半导体第二季收入5.66亿美元略超指引中位数及该行预期，毛利率10.8%超 预期和指引上限。管理层指出已在第二季做价格调整，总体涨价在个位数左右，且会在第三、四季集中 体现。指引第三季收入介于6.2亿至6.4亿美元，毛利率10至12%，均高于该行预期。 该行上调华虹半导体2025年底九厂产能预期至每月5万片12寸产能，并保持之后每六个月增加2.5万片/ 月的产能爬坡速率，在2026年第三季完成所有 8.3万片规划产能爬坡并贡献收入。该行上调华虹半导体 2025年及2026年收入预测24.1亿及28.7亿美元，前值预测22.9亿及27.7亿美元；上调2025年毛利率预测到 10.8%，前值9.2%；上调目标价至49港元，评级"买入"。 ...

Group 1 - Xiaomi Group-W (01810), SMIC (00981), and Alibaba-W (09988) ranked the top three in net inflow of southbound funds, with net inflows of 1.716 billion, 0.497 billion, and 0.492 billion respectively [1] - The top three stocks with the highest net outflow of southbound funds were the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800), Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828), and China Mobile (00941), with net outflows of -4.725 billion, -1.560 billion, and -0.794 billion respectively [1] - In terms of net inflow ratio, Reshape Energy (02570), Haitian International (01882), and Guofu Hydrogen Energy (02582) led the market with ratios of 69.81%, 56.10%, and 54.91% respectively [1] Group 2 - The top ten stocks by net inflow included Xiaomi Group-W (01810) with 1.716 billion and a closing price of 51.850, down 3.98% [2] - The top ten stocks by net outflow included the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (02800) with -4.725 billion and a closing price of 25.560, up 0.55% [2] - The highest net inflow ratio was recorded by Reshape Energy (02570) at 69.81% with a closing price of 167.000, up 1.33% [3]

[Table_Reportdate] 2025年08月11日 标配 行 业 周 报 [Table_Authors] 证券分析师 方霁 S0630523060001 fangji@longone.com.cn 联系人 董经纬 djwei@longone.com.cn [table_stockTrend] [table_product] 相关研究 1.博通2025Q2 AI营收大幅增 长，存储市场持续回暖——电 1. 北美云厂商资本开支持续扩张， AI算力需求强劲——电子行业周报 （2025/7/28-2025/8/3） 子行业周报2025/6/2-2025/6/8 2. 谷歌2025Q2云收入高增，WAIC 2025推动AI规范治理与产业加速— —电子行业周报（2025/7/21- 2025/7/27） ——电子行业周报2025/8/4-2025/8/10 [table_main] 投资要点： 业 研 究 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 行 电 子 1 ➢ 电子板块观点：中芯国际、华虹发布二季度财报，整体业绩表现优于指引，产能利用率 高企， ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 54.00, representing a potential upside of 22.73% from the current stock price of HKD 44.00 [3][4]. Core Insights - The demand remains strong, with operational trends improving. The company is expected to maintain high utilization rates and stable growth in revenue and profits due to ongoing demand recovery and capacity expansion [4][6]. - The company has seen a significant improvement in its earnings, with a projected revenue increase of 22.7% in 2025 and 19.4% in 2026. The gross margin is expected to improve to 12.1% in 2025 and 16.1% in 2026 [5][6]. - The company is accelerating its capacity expansion, with the first batch of production capacity expected to reach 80-90% utilization by the end of this year and full capacity by mid-2026 [6][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2023, the company reported total revenue of USD 2.29 billion, a decrease of 7.7% from the previous year. However, projections indicate a recovery with revenues expected to reach USD 2.46 billion in 2025 and USD 2.94 billion in 2026 [5][17]. - The gross margin for 2023 was 21.3%, which is expected to decline to 10.2% in 2024 but recover to 12.1% in 2025 and 16.1% in 2026 [5][17]. - Shareholder net profit for 2023 was USD 280 million, with projections of USD 97 million in 2025 and USD 227 million in 2026, indicating a significant recovery trajectory [5][17]. Market Demand and Pricing - The company has experienced a positive trend in its core technology platforms, with embedded non-volatile memory revenue growing by 2.9% year-on-year and power device revenue increasing by 9.4% [6][6]. - The company has implemented price increases across its product lines, with expectations of single-digit price increases reflecting in the second half of the year [6][6]. Capacity Expansion - The company is on track to achieve 80-90% load for its new production capacity by the end of this year, with plans to reach full capacity by mid-2026 and initiate a second phase of capacity expansion by 2027 [6][6]. - The overall utilization rate for Q2 2025 was reported at 108.3%, marking a new high since 2023, indicating strong demand recovery across major technology platforms [6][6].