Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor stocks continue to weaken, with notable declines in companies such as SMIC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, ASMPT, and Shanghai Fudan, indicating a challenging market environment for the sector [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - SMIC (00981) fell by 3.79% to HKD 62.25 [1] - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) decreased by 2.97% to HKD 65.3 [1] - ASMPT (00522) dropped by 2.39% to HKD 73.4 [1] - Shanghai Fudan (01385) declined by 2.24% to HKD 40.16 [1] Group 2: Market Developments - Trump announced that NVIDIA will be allowed to export its H200 AI chips to "approved customers" including China, with the condition that the U.S. government receives a 25% share from these sales [1] - Donghai Securities indicated that this move could accelerate the AI model training process in China, while also putting pressure on domestic AI chip manufacturers in the short term [1] Group 3: Industry Insights - Broadcom is expanding its market share in the AI chip sector due to increased demand for custom chips driven by large-scale data center construction [1] - However, Broadcom's CEO expressed concerns that the gross margin for the first quarter of 2026 will be lower than the previous three quarters due to the increased proportion of AI business [1] - Investor worries are growing regarding the return on investment for large tech companies in AI [1]

Group 1 - Semiconductor stocks continue to weaken, with notable declines in major companies [1] - SMIC (00981.HK) decreased by 3.79%, trading at HKD 62.25 [1] - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) fell by 2.97%, currently priced at HKD 65.3 [1] - ASMPT (00522.HK) dropped by 2.39%, now at HKD 73.4 [1] - Shanghai Fudan (01385.HK) declined by 2.24%, with a price of HKD 40.16 [1]

Group 1 - Semiconductor stocks continue to weaken, with notable declines in companies such as SMIC down 3.79% to HKD 62.25, Hua Hong Semiconductor down 2.97% to HKD 65.3, ASMPT down 2.39% to HKD 73.4, and Shanghai Fudan down 2.24% to HKD 40.16 [1] - Former President Trump announced that NVIDIA will be allowed to export its H200 AI chips to "approved customers" including China, with the condition that the U.S. government receives a 25% share from these sales, which may accelerate AI model training in China but could pressure domestic AI chip manufacturers in the short term [1] - Broadcom is expanding its market share in the AI chip sector due to increased demand for custom chips driven by large-scale data center construction; however, the CEO indicated that the gross margin for Q1 2026 will be lower than the previous three quarters due to a higher proportion of AI business, raising investor concerns about the return on investment in AI by large tech companies [1]

Group 1 - The semiconductor stocks in the Hong Kong market experienced a widespread decline, with notable drops in several companies [1] - Tianyu Semiconductor fell by over 5%, while China Electric Huada Technology and ZTE Corporation both dropped by over 3% [1] - Other companies such as Huahong Semiconductor, Jingmen Semiconductor, ASMPT, and Hongguang Semiconductor also saw declines exceeding 2% [1] Group 2 - Tianyu Semiconductor's stock decreased by 5.18%, with a latest price of 43.920 and a total market value of 17.272 billion, reflecting a year-to-date decline of 24.28% [2] - China Electric Huada Technology's stock fell by 3.79%, with a latest price of 1.270 and a total market value of 2.578 billion, showing a year-to-date increase of 9.48% [2] - ZTE Corporation's stock decreased by 3.45%, with a latest price of 26.860 and a total market value of 128.486 billion, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 13.42% [2] - Huahong Semiconductor's stock fell by 2.60%, with a latest price of 65.550 and a total market value of 113.795 billion, showing a year-to-date increase of 202.77% [2] - Jingmen Semiconductor's stock decreased by 2.27%, with a latest price of 0.430 and a total market value of 1.074 billion, reflecting a year-to-date decline of 13.13% [2] - ASMPT's stock fell by 2.06%, with a latest price of 73.650 and a total market value of 30.77 billion, showing a year-to-date decline of 0.90% [2] - Hongguang Semiconductor's stock decreased by 2.02%, with a latest price of 0.485 and a total market value of 0.455 billion, reflecting a year-to-date decline of 27.61% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report by Haitao Securities emphasizes the importance of identifying stocks with potential short-term or long-term performance discrepancies or surprises in AI advancements as a core task for 2026 [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The main investment strategy is to focus on value investing in the Hang Seng Technology Index, leveraging volatility from the Hong Kong stock market and short-selling mechanisms [1] - The key to successful operations lies in selecting fundamentally strong companies with sustainable development capabilities [1] Group 2: Recommended Stocks for 2026 - Stocks currently at the bottom or adjusting, with a high likelihood of fundamental reversal in 2026: Meituan, Xiaomi Group (planning next vehicle), BYD Electronics [2] - Stocks expected to benefit from EPS gains and potential valuation uplift: Tencent Holdings, Trip.com Group, JD Health, Lenovo Group [2] - Stocks with controllable elasticity: Alibaba, Baidu Group, SMIC, Hua Hong Semiconductor [2] - AI elastic stocks: Kuaishou, Bilibili, Kingdee International, Horizon Robotics, Xpeng Motors, Yueda Group, NetEase, Sunny Optical Technology, UBTECH [2] - Potential small-cap companies: Inspur Digital Enterprise, Xindong Company, Huiliang Technology [2] Group 3: Individual Stock Insights - Kuaishou, Bilibili, Horizon Robotics, Xpeng Motors, Sunny Optical Technology, UBTECH are highlighted as key stocks with positive outlooks [2] - Inspur Digital Enterprise and Huiliang Technology are noted as quality small-cap stocks with promising prospects [2] - Tencent Holdings is identified as a top pick due to its strong research framework [2] - Alibaba is considered a leading asset in AI technology [2] - Lenovo Group is expected to achieve profitability in its server business next year due to accelerated AIPC penetration [2] - Trip.com Group is positioned well for growth driven by domestic stability and overseas acceleration [2] - JD Health is recognized as a leading player in internet healthcare with a clear growth path [2] - Meituan is noted for its resilience and potential turning point in competitive landscape [2] - Kingdee International's growth is constrained by macroeconomic factors, but AI and overseas expansion provide additional elasticity [2] - Xiaomi Group is expected to see improvements as negative factors gradually clear [2] - SMIC is experiencing an increase in advanced manufacturing proportion and continuous technological breakthroughs [2] - Hua Hong Semiconductor is benefiting from growth driven by computing and consumer electronics [2] - Yueda Group focuses on IP as a core asset, with expectations for further expansion and monetization [2] - NetEase is anticipated to enter a new product cycle with upcoming releases [2] - BYD Electronics is expected to see growth from Apple's foldable phone production and has significant potential in the new energy vehicle and data center sectors [2] - Xindong Company is driven by gaming and Taptap, with expectations for the launch of an overseas version [2]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index fell by 1.34% on December 15, with southbound trading totaling HKD 951.29 billion, including buy transactions of HKD 493.92 billion and sell transactions of HKD 457.37 billion, resulting in a net buy of HKD 36.54 billion [1] - The southbound trading through Stock Connect (Shenzhen) had a total transaction amount of HKD 440.12 billion, with buy transactions of HKD 235.89 billion and sell transactions of HKD 204.23 billion, leading to a net buy of HKD 31.66 billion [1] - The southbound trading through Stock Connect (Shanghai) had a total transaction amount of HKD 511.17 billion, with buy transactions of HKD 258.03 billion and sell transactions of HKD 253.14 billion, resulting in a net buy of HKD 4.89 billion [1] Group 2 - Among the actively traded stocks, Alibaba-W had the highest transaction amount at HKD 91.22 billion, followed by SMIC and Tencent Holdings with transaction amounts of HKD 40.01 billion and HKD 35.23 billion, respectively [1] - The net buy amounts for individual stocks included Xiaomi Group-W with HKD 13.82 billion, China Ping An with HKD 11.90 billion, and Meituan-W with HKD 5.48 billion [1] - Tencent Holdings had the highest net sell amount at HKD 7.74 billion, with other notable net sells from Hua Hong Semiconductor and China Mobile at HKD 5.55 billion and HKD 5.50 billion, respectively [1] Group 3 - Xiaomi Group-W, China Ping An, and Alibaba-W were among the seven stocks that appeared on both the Shenzhen and Shanghai Stock Connect active trading lists, with Xiaomi Group-W having a total transaction amount of HKD 34.84 billion and a net buy of HKD 13.82 billion [2] - The stocks with the longest consecutive net buys included Xiaomi Group-W and Meituan-W, with 12 days and 4 days of net buying, respectively, and total net buy amounts of HKD 121.52 billion and HKD 46.29 billion [2] - The stocks with the highest consecutive net sells included Tencent Holdings, SMIC, and Hua Hong Semiconductor, with net sell amounts of HKD 24.91 billion, HKD 19.86 billion, and HKD 15.48 billion, respectively [2]

Macro Dynamics - The Ministry of Commerce and five other departments issued the "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Service Outsourcing," aiming to cultivate a group of internationally competitive leading service outsourcing enterprises by 2030 [2] - The plan emphasizes the digitalization, intelligence, greening, and integration of service outsourcing, with a significant increase in employment [2] Steel Industry - As of early December, the steel inventory of key steel enterprises reached 14.75 million tons, a year-to-date increase of 19.2% [3] Fixed Asset Investment - From January to November, national fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 4.44035 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.6% [4] Financial Institutions - CITIC Bank clarified that it has never cooperated with "KOO Wallet" and warned against fraudulent activities using its name [5] - ICBC announced adjustments to its management of personal precious metal trading business, urging clients to withdraw funds from accounts with no positions or debts [6] Market Data - On December 15, A-shares saw a collective decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.55% and the ChiNext Index down 1.77%, with a total market turnover of approximately 1.773439 trillion yuan [8] - Hong Kong stocks also fell, with the Hang Seng Index down 1.34% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 2.48% [9] Company Dynamics - Muxi Co., Ltd. announced that its stock will be listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board on December 17, 2025, and will be classified as a growth tier company due to its current unprofitability [10] - Cambrian Technology plans to use 2.778 billion yuan from its capital reserve to offset accumulated losses [11] - Unisoc's board approved the establishment of a Central Research Institute focusing on AI chip architecture and other advanced technologies [12] - Tongrentang announced legal action against a company for unauthorized use of its name on a product with allegedly false labeling [13] - Baina Qiancheng is planning a major asset restructuring and will suspend its stock trading starting December 16, 2025 [14]

Core Insights - On December 15, 2025, Alibaba-W (09988), SMIC (00981), and Xiaomi Group-W (01810) were the top three companies by trading volume in the Southbound Stock Connect, with transaction amounts of 5.282 billion, 2.380 billion, and 1.766 billion respectively [1] - In the Southbound Stock Connect for the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect, Alibaba-W (09988), Tencent Holdings (00700), and Xiaomi Group-W (01810) also ranked as the top three, with transaction amounts of 3.840 billion, 2.070 billion, and 1.717 billion respectively [1] Southbound Stock Connect (Shanghai-Hong Kong) - The top active companies by trading volume included: - Alibaba-W (09988): 5.282 billion with a net buy of 0.935 billion - SMIC (00981): 2.380 billion with a net sell of 18.5346 million - Xiaomi Group-W (01810): 1.766 billion with a net buy of 0.495 billion - Tencent Holdings (00700): 1.453 billion with a net sell of 1.32 billion - Huahong Semiconductor (01347): 1.277 billion with a net sell of 56.6057 million - China Mobile (00941): 1.156 billion with a net sell of 1.54 billion - China Construction Bank (00939): 0.987 billion with a net buy of 0.105 billion - CNOOC (00883): 0.924 billion with a net sell of 4.16 billion - Ping An Insurance (02318): 0.869 billion with a net buy of 0.424 billion - Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (06869): 0.792 billion with a net buy of 0.178 billion [2] Southbound Stock Connect (Shenzhen-Hong Kong) - The top active companies by trading volume included: - Alibaba-W (09988): 3.840 billion with a net sell of 6.30 billion - Tencent Holdings (00700): 2.070 billion with a net sell of 6.42 billion - Xiaomi Group-W (01810): 1.717 billion with a net buy of 0.887 billion - SMIC (00981): 1.621 billion with a net sell of 4.16 billion - Huahong Semiconductor (01347): 1.197 billion with a net sell of 4.99 billion - Ping An Insurance (02318): 1.031 billion with a net buy of 0.766 billion - China Mobile (00941): 0.928 billion with a net sell of 3.96 billion - Meituan-W (03690): 0.915 billion with a net buy of 0.548 billion - Kuaishou-W (01024): 0.626 billion with a net buy of 7.903 million - China Life Insurance (02628): 0.593 billion with a net buy of 0.350 billion [2]

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a significant decline, with the Hang Seng Index dropping nearly 350 points to close at 25,628 points, reflecting a decrease of 1.34% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index saw the largest drop, closing down 2.48%, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell by 1.78% [1] Sector Performance - Major technology stocks, which are considered market indicators, collectively fell, with notable declines including Huahong Semiconductor down over 6%, SMIC down over 4%, Baidu down over 5%, Alibaba down over 3%, and Tencent down over 2% [1] - In contrast, gold prices approached historical highs, leading to a strong performance in gold stocks, with Zijin Mining rising over 7% and Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining up over 5% [1] - Insurance stocks also saw a collective rise, supported by ongoing favorable consumption policies, with sectors such as dining and dairy products performing well [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that the Hong Kong stock market saw significant net buying from northbound capital, totaling HKD 36.54 billion, with Xiaomi Group, Ping An of China, and Meituan being the most bought stocks, while Tencent, Hua Hong Semiconductor, and China Mobile were the most sold [1][4]. Group 2 - Xiaomi Group (01810) received a net inflow of HKD 13.81 billion, driven by the completion of its first major home appliance factory in Wuhan, marking a key milestone in its smart home strategy [4]. - Ping An of China (02318) attracted a net inflow of HKD 11.89 billion, supported by positive research reports from major financial institutions and a recent regulatory easing that allows insurance companies to invest more long-term funds [4]. - Alibaba Group (09988) saw a net inflow of HKD 3.04 billion, with news of Meta using Alibaba's technology to optimize its AI models and the launch of a new cloud computing service [4]. - Kuaishou Technology (01024) gained a net inflow of HKD 790.3 million, with analysts predicting strong revenue growth due to its focus on user growth over immediate profitability [5]. - Semiconductor companies, including SMIC (00981) and Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347), faced net outflows of HKD 4.34 billion and HKD 5.55 billion respectively, influenced by regulatory changes regarding chip sales to China [5].