Core Insights - The article presents the market capitalization rankings of the top 50 Chinese technology and internet companies as of July 7, 2025, highlighting their respective valuations in billions of dollars [1]. Group 1: Market Capitalization Rankings - The top three companies by market capitalization are: 1. Alibaba: $1,000.00 billion 2. Tencent: $800.00 billion 3. Baidu: $500.00 billion [3] - Other notable companies in the top 10 include: - JD.com: $462.29 billion - SMIC: $449.86 billion - Kuaishou: $344.87 billion [3][4] Group 2: Additional Rankings - Companies ranked from 11 to 20 include: - Tencent Music: $301.42 billion - Li Auto: $277.73 billion - Beike: $212.17 billion [4][5] - The rankings continue with companies such as: - Xpeng Motors: $179.69 billion - iFlytek: $149.88 billion - ZTO Express: $144.36 billion [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of focusing on niche vertical models in visual AI rather than merely pursuing general large models, highlighting the need for tailored solutions that address specific user pain points and enhance product experience [1][2]. Group 1: Vertical Model Strategy - The choice to deploy vertical models allows the company to create differentiated product capabilities and reduce large-scale investments in foundational model training, leading to better user experience and responsiveness to changing demands [2][5]. - The success of products like Wink, which achieved a second market share position through video beauty and quality restoration, illustrates the effectiveness of focusing on specific user needs in the context of growing short video popularity [3][5]. Group 2: User Experience and Product Development - Prioritizing user experience is crucial, as it requires a comprehensive ability to meet user needs while ensuring simplicity and ease of use [5][6]. - The development of the Meitu Design Studio, which targets small e-commerce sellers lacking professional design resources, showcases the company's strategy to address specific market demands with tailored AI solutions [5][6]. Group 3: AI Workflow and Implementation - Building AI workflows is essential for understanding user work processes and habits, which facilitates the practical application of technology [6][7]. - The company emphasizes the importance of aligning research goals with business objectives, ensuring that both development and implementation teams work towards common targets [6][7]. Group 4: Future Directions in Visual AI - The emergence of generative AI presents opportunities to reshape traditional image intelligence scenarios, enhancing understanding and cross-modal capabilities [7]. - The company aims to democratize AI technology, making it accessible for everyday users, which aligns with its ongoing commitment to developing AI tools [7].

Group 1 - The article presents the market capitalization rankings of the top 50 Chinese technology and internet companies as of July 4, 2025 [1] - Alibaba leads the list with a market capitalization of approximately $259.36 billion [3] - Xiaomi and Pinduoduo follow, with market capitalizations of about $188.79 billion and $147.06 billion respectively [3] Group 2 - Meituan and NetEase rank sixth and seventh, with market capitalizations of $93.88 billion and $84.12 billion respectively [4] - Other notable companies include JD.com at $46.23 billion and Baidu at $29.68 billion [4] - The list includes a variety of companies from different sectors, such as Ideal Auto and Kuaishou, with market capitalizations of $27.77 billion and $32.88 billion respectively [4][5] Group 3 - The total market capitalization of the top 50 companies reflects the ongoing growth and competition within the Chinese technology sector [1] - The rankings are calculated based on the latest exchange rates, indicating the dynamic nature of the market [6] - Companies like NIO and Perfect World also feature in the rankings, showcasing the diversity of the industry [5][6]

证券研究报告 | 浙商早知道 报告日期：2025 年 07 月 04 日 浙商早知道 2025 年 07 月 04 日 ： 张延兵 执业证书编号：S1230511010020 ： 021-80106048 ： zhangyanbing@stocke.com.cn 市场总览 ❑ 资金：周四沪深两市总成交额为 13098 亿元，南下资金净流出 30.5 亿港元。 重要推荐 ❑ 【浙商计算机 刘雯蜀/刘静一】美图公司（01357）公司深度：成长视角：受益 AI 时代新红利，再迎阶梯式跃迁 ——20250702 重要观点 http://www.stocke.com.cn 1/4 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 ❑ 大势：周四上证指数上涨 0.2%，沪深 300 上涨 0.6%，科创 50 上涨 0.2%，中证 1000 上涨 0.5%，创业板指上涨 1.9%，恒生指数下跌 0.6%。 ❑ 行业：周四表现最好的行业分别是电子（+1.7%)、电力设备（+1.4%)、医药生物（+1.4%)、通信（+1.3%)、建筑 材料（+0.9%)，表现最差的行业分别是煤炭（-1.2%)、交通运输（-0.3%)、钢铁（-0.1%)、石 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4][11]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from the new opportunities presented by the AI era, aiming for a significant leap in growth through various strategic initiatives [2][3]. - The first phase of growth was driven by the mobile internet boom, where the company established a strong traffic barrier through popular mobile applications, leading to substantial revenue from online advertising [1][23]. - The second phase of growth is characterized by the integration of AI capabilities, enhancing user experience and enabling the company to close the commercial loop in B2B scenarios, resulting in a significant increase in software subscription revenue [2][66]. - The company's global strategy is crucial for tapping into new revenue streams, particularly from overseas markets where user payment capabilities are higher, potentially leading to a revenue breakthrough exceeding 10 billion [3]. Summary by Sections Growth Perspective - The mobile internet boom was the core driver of the company's initial structural growth, with software business revenue nearing 1 billion in 2018 [1][23]. - The AI era is expected to drive the second wave of structural growth, with software subscription revenue surpassing 2 billion in 2022 [2][66]. - The company's global strategy is pivotal, focusing on overseas market expansion to achieve a revenue target exceeding 10 billion [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 41.13 billion, 51.25 billion, and 64.04 billion respectively, with net profits of 8.43 billion, 11.68 billion, and 15.79 billion [4][10]. - The company is valued at a target market capitalization of 55.1 billion HKD, with a target price of 11.1 HKD based on a 60x PE ratio for 2025 [4][10]. Key Business Transformation - The company has shifted its focus to a subscription model, enhancing profitability through AI-driven productivity tools, leading to a significant increase in both revenue and profit margins [57][62]. - The integration of AI capabilities has allowed the company to enhance its product offerings, particularly in the B2B sector, which is expected to drive future growth [66].

Core Viewpoint - Meitu has decided not to hold the Meitu Image Festival this year, focusing instead on product research and development, with plans to launch an AI Agent tailored for imaging soon [1] Financial Performance and Outlook - In 2024, Meitu's total revenue is projected to reach 3.341 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 23.9%, driven by AI technology enhancing subscription products and advertising [1] - Gross profit is expected to increase by 38.5% to 2.294 billion yuan, with a gross margin rising to 68.7% from 61.4% in the previous year [1] - Net profit is anticipated to surge by 120.0% to 806 million yuan, with adjusted net profit growing by 59.2% to 586 million yuan, attributed to a higher proportion of high-margin imaging and design products [1] Business Segments - Imaging and Design Products: Revenue is expected to grow by 57.1% to 2.086 billion yuan in 2024, with paid subscription users increasing by 38.4% to 12.61 million and a subscription penetration rate of 4.7% [2] - Advertising Business: Revenue is projected to grow by 12.5% to 853 million yuan in 2024, with programmatic advertising revenue increasing by 35% due to upgrades in bidding systems and improved ad quality [3] - Beauty Industry Solutions: Revenue is expected to decline by 32.4% to 385 million yuan in 2024, with cautious growth expectations for this non-core segment [3] International Expansion and AI Capabilities - By the end of 2024, the monthly active users (MAU) outside mainland China are expected to grow by 22% to 94.51 million, accounting for 36% of total MAU, with international revenue growth outpacing domestic [3] - New AI features have gained significant traction in various international markets, leading to top rankings in app stores across multiple countries [3] Strategic Partnerships - In May 2025, Meitu signed a $250 million convertible bond agreement with Alibaba, focusing on strategic cooperation in e-commerce, AI technology, and cloud computing [4] - The partnership aims to enhance Meitu's AI e-commerce tools and improve merchant marketing and operational efficiency, with Alibaba providing computational and technical support [4] Investment Recommendations - Meitu is viewed as a unique company with global reach and sustainable profitability in AI applications, with projected revenues of 4.5 billion, 5.5 billion, and 6.7 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 34%, 23%, and 21% respectively [5] - The adjusted net profit forecasts for the same period are 880 million, 1.25 billion, and 1.56 billion yuan, with growth rates of 50%, 43%, and 24% respectively [5]

Key Points - As of June 30, 100 stocks reached their 52-week highs, with JunTai Holdings (00630), Chow Tai Fook (06168), and HOME CONTROL (01747) leading the high rate at 93.94%, 28.22%, and 27.65% respectively [1] - The closing prices for the top three stocks were 0.270, 48.450, and 2.130, with their highest prices being 0.320, 51.800, and 2.350 respectively [1] - Other notable stocks that reached new highs include China Star Group (00326) at 24.46%, New Fire Technology Holdings (01611) at 21.32%, and Fuyou Holdings (08269) at 20.53% [1] 52-Week High Rankings - JunTai Holdings (00630) achieved a high rate of 93.94% with a closing price of 0.270 and a peak price of 0.320 [1] - Chow Tai Fook (06168) reached a high rate of 28.22%, closing at 48.450 with a peak of 51.800 [1] - HOME CONTROL (01747) had a high rate of 27.65%, closing at 2.130 and peaking at 2.350 [1] Additional Stocks - China Star Group (00326) reached a high rate of 24.46% with a closing price of 2.290 [1] - New Fire Technology Holdings (01611) had a high rate of 21.32% with a closing price of 3.100 [1] - Fuyou Holdings (08269) achieved a high rate of 20.53% with a closing price of 0.180 [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [3][16]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve total revenue of 3.341 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 23.9%. The core growth drivers are attributed to the continuous empowerment of AI technology, which is expected to boost subscription products and advertising business [2][7]. - The gross profit is projected to increase by 38.5% to 2.294 billion yuan, with a gross margin improvement to 68.7% from 61.4% in the previous year. Net profit is anticipated to rise significantly by 120% to 806 million yuan, with adjusted net profit growing by 59.2% to 586 million yuan [2][7]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its AI capabilities and expanding its international market presence, with a notable increase in monthly active users (MAU) outside mainland China, which grew by 22% to 94.51 million, accounting for 36% of total MAU [6][7]. Business Segments Summary - **Image and Design Products**: Revenue is expected to grow by 57.1% to 2.086 billion yuan in 2024, with a 38.4% increase in paid subscription users to 12.61 million. The subscription penetration rate is projected to rise to 4.7% [2][7]. - **Advertising Business**: Revenue is forecasted to increase by 12.5% to 853 million yuan in 2024, with programmatic advertising showing a strong performance, growing by 35% due to upgrades in the advertising bidding system [2][7]. - **Beauty Industry Solutions**: Revenue is expected to decline by 32.4% to 385 million yuan in 2024, with the company adopting a cautious outlook for growth in this segment, which is considered non-core [2][7]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 4.492 billion yuan in 2025, 5.519 billion yuan in 2026, and 6.698 billion yuan in 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 34%, 23%, and 21% [7][8]. - Adjusted net profits are expected to reach 877 million yuan in 2025, 1.251 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.556 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 50%, 43%, and 24% respectively [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - Cash is becoming a new aesthetic for many fund managers seeking opportunities and safety in the Hong Kong stock market, with a focus on cash flow and reserves influencing stock selection and valuations [1][2][5]. Group 1: Cash Reserves and Stock Selection - Fund managers are increasingly prioritizing companies with strong cash reserves, as these can mitigate the negative impacts of low revenue and losses [3][4]. - The market's heightened risk aversion has led to a surge in the stock prices of companies with substantial cash reserves, such as Meitu, which saw a price increase of over 25% in June, reaching a market cap of 35 billion HKD [2]. - Companies like Jing Tai Holdings, despite low revenue, are valued highly due to their significant cash reserves, which exceed 3.3 billion HKD [3]. Group 2: Impact of Cash Flow on Valuation - The disparity between net profit and operating cash flow is critical in assessing a company's long-term growth potential, with companies generating substantial cash flow being viewed as undervalued [7]. - The case of Funbo Group illustrates that despite a high revenue growth of 24%, its lack of cash reserves led to a significant stock price decline, highlighting the importance of cash flow over profit [6][7]. - The valuation differences between companies in the same sector, such as the vending machine industry, demonstrate that cash reserves and operating cash flow are key factors influencing market perception and stock performance [9]. Group 3: Market Trends and ETF Influence - The recent surge in the issuance of free cash flow ETFs, with nearly 30 funds launched this year, is expected to further shape fund managers' stock selection criteria [11]. - The regulatory environment is also evolving, with insurance funds being encouraged to invest in high-dividend stocks, enhancing the attractiveness of cash flow and dividend-paying companies [12].

Core Viewpoint - Meitu's stock has surged nearly 200% this year, reaching a new 52-week high of HKD 8.5, marking a return to its IPO price from 2016, with a current market capitalization of HKD 38.8 billion [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Meitu's stock price fell to around HKD 0.5 due to failures in diversifying into mobile, short video, and social media sectors [1] - Since 2020, Meitu has refocused on its imaging and design product business, shifting its business model from advertising to paid subscriptions, leading to rapid growth in paid revenue and improved performance [1] - For 2024, Meitu's projected revenue is HKD 3.34 billion, with an adjusted net profit of HKD 590 million [1] Group 2: Market Position and Future Prospects - Meitu is considered a rare asset in the Hong Kong AI application market due to its high visibility in performance realization [1] - Major investment banks like Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs predict that the global productivity market will become a new growth driver for Meitu, with a potential paid penetration rate of 20% expected to accelerate monetization starting in 2026 [1] - In December 2024, Meitu plans to sell all its cryptocurrency holdings, which Morgan Stanley views as a turning point for the company's capital market status and investor perception [2] Group 3: Strategic Partnerships and Valuation - In May 2025, Meitu entered a strategic partnership with Alibaba, receiving a USD 250 million investment, which is seen as a way to alleviate market skepticism regarding the competitiveness of smaller AI firms [2] - Meitu's stock has been continuously bought by public funds and foreign capital this year, with a year-to-date increase of 200%, and a three-year increase of 1900% compared to its lowest price in 2022 [2] - Brokerage firms generally assign a price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 30-35 times for Meitu in 2025 [2]