Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that Macau's gaming revenue has exceeded expectations for two consecutive months, with a year-on-year growth of 19%, prompting an upward revision of the annual growth forecast for gaming revenue from 5% to 10% and EBITDA growth from 2% to 6% [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - The significant positive operating leverage, reduced competition, and improved profit estimates are highlighted as key factors contributing to the industry's strong performance [1] - Despite the recent strong performance, the industry is still considered undervalued if growth can be sustained [1] Group 2: Future Projections - Macau's gaming revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at MOP 248.963 billion, MOP 263.9 billion, and MOP 279.7 billion, representing year-on-year increases of 9.8%, 6%, and 6% respectively [1] Group 3: Company Target Price Adjustments - Morgan Stanley has raised the target prices for all six companies under coverage, maintaining a positive outlook on Melco Resorts, MGM China, and Sands China, all rated as "Overweight" [1] - Specific target price adjustments include MGM China from HKD 14.5 to HKD 18, Sands China from HKD 17.5 to HKD 21, and Silver Heritage from HKD 35 to HKD 40, maintaining a "Market Perform" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - MGM China outperformed its peers in Q2, with gross gaming revenue increasing by 12% year-on-year to $1.26 billion, recovering to 154% of the same period in 2019, compared to the industry average recovery level of 83% [1] Company Performance - Adjusted EBITDA margin was 29%, a decline from 30.7% in the same period last year and 29.6% in the previous quarter, attributed to increased marketing expenses and rising customer acquisition costs due to intensified market competition [1] Industry Outlook - Future prospects are expected to benefit from policies such as the "one license for multiple banks" in Zhuhai and cross-border payment initiatives in Hong Kong, as well as major events like the National Games and the Grand Prix, indicating a continued recovery in Macau's gaming industry [1] - The company is optimistic about the upward trend of gaming stocks in the second half of the year, driven by favorable policies, wealth effects, and non-gaming synergies [1] Investment Rating - The firm reiterated a "Buy" rating for MGM China, raising the target price from HKD 18 to HKD 19.3 [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Macau's gaming revenue has shown significant recovery, with July's gross gaming revenue reaching 22.125 billion MOP, a year-on-year increase of 19% [1] - For the first seven months of the year, Macau's total gaming revenue reached 140.896 billion MOP, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.5% [1] - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that July's gaming revenue growth exceeded market expectations by 6 percentage points, with recovery rates of approximately 90% compared to pre-pandemic levels [1] Group 2 - The strong data from July counters the argument that growth in June was solely driven by a specific event, suggesting a broader improvement in demand since the second quarter [2] - High-end customer segments in VIP and premium mass gaming have been recovering since April, indicating that Macau's recovery may serve as a leading indicator for high-end consumption in China [2] - Two out of three gaming companies that reported second-quarter earnings significantly exceeded expectations, alleviating concerns about increased competition due to promotional activities by Sands China [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant increase in Macau's gaming revenue, with July's gross gaming revenue (GGR) reaching 22.125 billion MOP, representing a year-on-year growth of 19% [1] - The average daily GGR for July was approximately 714 million MOP, recovering to 90% of the levels seen in the same period of 2019, exceeding both Citigroup's and market expectations of 21 billion MOP by 5% [1] - This marks the fourth consecutive month that Macau's gaming revenue has surpassed expectations, with the industry showing strong resilience as revenue has achieved nearly 20% year-on-year growth for two consecutive months [1] Group 2 - Looking ahead to August, Citigroup has raised its forecast for Macau's gaming revenue from 20 billion MOP to 21.5 billion MOP, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9% and an average daily revenue of 694 million MOP [1] - This adjustment takes into account the potential lower per capita spending by tourists during the traditional peak travel season, as well as the high base from the same period last year [1] - The article also notes the positive impact of concerts, such as Eason Chan's performance at the Galaxy Arena, which is expected to contribute to the gaming revenue similar to the effect of Jacky Cheung's concert in June and July [1]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年7月31日 狀態: 新提交 FF301 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 美高梅中國控股有限公司 (於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司) 呈交日期: 2025年8月4日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02282 | 說明 | 普通股 | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 10,000,000,000 | HKD | | 1 HKD | | 10,000,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 10,000,000,000 | HKD | | 1 HKD | | 10,000,000,00 ...

Company Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Inspur Digital Enterprise (596) with a target price of HKD 14.3, indicating a potential upside of 36.5% from the current price of HKD 10.48 [2][8]. Core Insights - Inspur Digital Enterprise is positioned as a leading ERP software provider in China, benefiting from its state-owned background and extensive client base, which includes 79 central enterprises and over 120,000 corporate clients [5][6]. - The acceleration of domestic digital transformation and the push for localization in technology provide significant market opportunities for the company, particularly in the ERP sector [6][8]. - The company's cloud service revenue has shown remarkable growth, increasing from RMB 510 million in 2020 to RMB 2.76 billion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 53.3% [7][8]. Financial Summary - The report forecasts the company's net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be RMB 5.3 billion, RMB 6.5 billion, and RMB 8.0 billion respectively, with earnings per share (EPS) projected at RMB 0.46, RMB 0.57, and RMB 0.70 [9][8]. - The total revenue for the fiscal years 2023 to 2027 is expected to grow from RMB 8.29 billion in 2023 to RMB 10.87 billion in 2027, reflecting a steady growth trajectory [9][8]. Market Position - Inspur Digital Enterprise is uniquely positioned as the only major SaaS provider with state-owned backing, which aligns well with the security needs of central and state-owned enterprises [6][8]. - The company has established a strong foundation for market expansion through long-term collaborations with various central enterprises, enhancing its industry experience and customer resource base [6][8].

Group 1: Investment Rating - The investment rating for MGM China is maintained as "Buy" with a target price raised from HKD 15.5 to HKD 19 [1][6]. Group 2: Core Insights - MGM China reported a net revenue of HKD 8.7 billion for Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 9% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 8%, achieving the highest quarterly record in history, with a 72% increase compared to 2019 [1][6]. - The company's adjusted EBITDA reached HKD 2.5 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6, driven by an unexpected increase in market share, which reached 16.6% in Q2 [1][6]. - The strong performance in gaming revenue is attributed to high-end gaming and concert events, attracting more customers seeking new experiences and quality services [1][6]. - MGM China is focusing on high-end gaming strategies, with a positive outlook for the summer season, and the Alpha Villas in Macau began trial operations in July [1][6]. Group 3: Summary by Sections Section 1: MGM China Q2 2025 Performance - MGM China's Q2 2025 net revenue was HKD 8.7 billion, a 9% increase year-on-year and an 8% increase quarter-on-quarter, with adjusted EBITDA at HKD 2.5 billion, marking a 3% year-on-year increase [1][6]. - The company achieved a market share of 16.6% in Q2, the highest increase among gaming companies, with a strong performance driven by high-end gaming and concert events [1][6]. Section 2: Market Outlook - The outlook for MGM China remains positive, with the summer season expected to maintain strong performance, and new villa suites set to open before the Golden Week in October [1][6]. Section 3: Education Sector Insights - China Oriental Education reported a significant increase in net profit for H1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 45-50%, corresponding to a profit total of HKD 400-420 million, exceeding expectations [2][9]. - The vocational training sector is expected to see continued growth due to an increase in the number of high school graduates and a rise in the number of students seeking vocational training [2][9]. - The company is focusing on developing new programs tailored to high school graduates, with an expected enrollment increase of approximately 81% in the new 15-month training programs [3][10]. Section 4: Operational Efficiency - The company plans to enhance operational efficiency by optimizing marketing expenditures and improving school capacity utilization, with an expected increase in capacity utilization from 72.7% to 75.3% [4][11]. - The marketing expense ratio is projected to decrease from 23.7% to 22.1%, contributing to an anticipated profit margin expansion of approximately 3.7% to 16.4% in FY 2025 [4][11].

机构：申万宏源研究 研究员：贾梦迪 MGM China reported 2Q25 net revenue of HK$8.7bn (+9% YoY, +8% QoQ) and adjusted Ebitda of HK$2.5bn (+3% YoY, +6% QoQ), setting a new single-quarter record, which was 72% higher than that in 2019. The results exceeded expectations, mainly due to the better-than-expected increase in market share. We raise 2025E EPS forecast from HK$1.19 to HK$1.25, 2026E forecast from HK$1.28 to HK$1.38, and introduce 2027E forecast of HK$1.43. We raise target price from HK$15.5 to HK$19, with 22% upside pot ...

Core Viewpoint - MGM China reported better-than-expected performance for Q2 2025, with net revenue of HKD 8.667 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8%, recovering to 157% of Q2 2019 levels [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was HKD 2.511 billion, up 3% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 172% of Q2 2019 levels, exceeding Bloomberg consensus estimate of HKD 2.387 billion [1] - Total gaming revenue market share increased to 16.5% in Q2 2025, up from 15.6% in Q1 2025 [1] Business Development Trends - Management observed strong performance across all business segments in July 2025, with expectations for continued strong performance during the summer [1] - The strong market share in July 2025 was attributed to the soft opening of the Alpha Villas targeting ultra-high-end customers, with a full opening expected before the Golden Week in October 2025 [1] - The company aims to maintain its current market share while focusing on product updates and strong performance in high-end mass market operations [1] Market Share and Visitor Trends - Total gaming revenue market share reached 16.6% in Q2 2025, with monthly growth in market share throughout the quarter, peaking at approximately 17% in June 2025, driven by visitor volume and high-end customer engagement [1] - All 28 villa rooms at MGM Macau opened in Q2 2025, and the company plans to maintain a dividend policy with a payout ratio of 50% [1] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Adjusted EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 3% to HKD 9.888 billion and HKD 10.271 billion, respectively, due to the opening of villa products [2] - The current stock price corresponds to 7 times the 2025 EV/EBITDA, with an 18% target price increase to HKD 19.80, reflecting a 27% upside potential based on a 9 times 2025 EV/EBITDA valuation [2]

Group 1 - CITIC Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Kuaishou (01024.HK), highlighting the company's growth in platform ecology and commercialization, with future profit margins expected to optimize [1] - Huachuang Securities maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Li Auto (02015.HK), noting the company's strong competitiveness in the vehicle market and rapid AI transformation, with revised sales and revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 [1] - CMB International maintains a "Buy" rating for Budweiser APAC (01876.HK), indicating a recovery in sales and pricing in the Chinese market, while adjusting revenue and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [1] Group 2 - JPMorgan maintains an "Overweight" rating for UBTECH (09880.HK), projecting a compound annual growth rate of 260% for its humanoid robot business from 2025 to 2027, with significant contributions to revenue [2] - Tianfeng Securities initiates a "Buy" rating for Hong Kong and China Gas (01083.HK), emphasizing its leading position in smart energy and strong profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [2] Group 3 - Guohai Securities maintains an "Outperform" rating for Laopu Gold (06181.HK), forecasting significant growth in sales and net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by brand influence and product optimization [3] Group 4 - CICC maintains an "Outperform" rating for MGM China (02282.HK), reporting strong performance in Q2 2025, with expectations for continued market share growth and product updates [4] - CICC maintains a "Hold" rating for Prada (01913.HK), anticipating above-industry revenue growth despite uncertainties related to the Versace integration [4] Group 5 - CITIC Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for New Oriental (09901.HK), reporting record revenue and profit in Q4 FY25, with a projected growth rate of 5%-10% for FY2026 [5] - CICC maintains an "Outperform" rating for Standard Chartered (02888.HK), noting better-than-expected Q2 2025 performance driven by non-interest income growth [5]