Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 19.80 [1][10]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant improvement in underwriting performance, with a 32.3% year-on-year increase in net profit for 1H25, reaching RMB 24.454 billion [6]. - The combined ratio (COR) decreased by 1.4 percentage points to 94.8%, primarily due to a reduction in expense ratio [6]. - The company expects continued growth in both the auto and non-auto insurance segments, with projected increases in premium income and improvements in underwriting profitability [7][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved a net profit of RMB 24.454 billion, reflecting a 32.3% increase year-on-year [6]. - The total investment income for 2025 is projected to be RMB 28.056 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 0.63% [5]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is RMB 1.86, with a projected growth of 28.89% compared to 2024 [10]. Auto Insurance Segment - The auto insurance premium income rose by 3.4% to RMB 144.065 billion in 1H25, with a COR of 94.2%, down 2.2 percentage points year-on-year [7]. - The company reported a significant increase in premium income from new energy vehicle insurance, which grew by 38.4% year-on-year [7]. Non-Auto Insurance Segment - Non-auto insurance service income increased by 8.9% year-on-year, with a COR of 95.7% [8]. - The company anticipates a 9.2% growth in non-auto insurance service income for 2025, with a projected COR of 98.6% [8]. Investment Performance - The total investment income increased by 26.6% year-on-year, with a non-annualized total investment return of 2.6% [9]. - The return on equity (ROE) for 1H25 improved to 9.0%, with expectations to reach 15% in 2025 [9]. Valuation and Forecast - The target price has been adjusted to HKD 19.80 based on improved earnings forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 [10]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to decrease from 11.49 in 2024 to 8.91 in 2025 [5].

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that China Pacific Insurance (02328) outperformed market expectations in the first half of this year, driven by a 45% year-on-year surge in underwriting profit and a 27% increase in total investment income [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The net profit after tax (NPAT) forecast for China Pacific Insurance for 2025 has been raised by 4%, reflecting better-than-expected combined cost ratios and improved market sentiment [1] - Total premium income, auto insurance, and non-auto insurance premium growth are projected at 4.5%, 3.5%, and 5.8% respectively for 2025 [1] Group 2: Valuation and Target Price - UBS has increased the target price for China Pacific Insurance from HKD 18.7 to HKD 20.7, maintaining a "Buy" rating due to favorable macro conditions and policy support [1] - The estimated combined cost ratios for auto and non-auto insurance are expected to be below 96% and approximately 99% respectively [1] Group 3: Investment Income Outlook - UBS anticipates a slowdown in growth momentum for investment income in the third quarter, aligning with industry trends due to high stock market return benchmarks and rising interest rates potentially lowering bond fair values [1] - Despite the anticipated slowdown, China Pacific Insurance is expected to face less profit pressure compared to peers due to its smaller fair value exposure to stocks and lower investment leverage [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that China Pacific Insurance (02328) outperformed market expectations in the first half of the year, driven by a 45% year-on-year surge in underwriting profit and a 27% increase in total investment income [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The net profit after tax (NPAT) forecast for China Pacific Insurance has been raised by UBS by 4% for 2025, reflecting better-than-expected combined cost ratios and improved market sentiment [1] - Total premium income is projected to grow by 4.5%, with motor insurance and non-motor insurance premiums expected to increase by 3.5% and 5.8% respectively [1] Group 2: Valuation and Target Price - UBS has raised the target price for China Pacific Insurance from HKD 18.7 to HKD 20.7, maintaining a "Buy" rating due to favorable macro conditions and policy tailwinds [1] - The estimated combined cost ratios for motor and non-motor insurance are targeted to be below 96% and approximately 99% respectively [1] Group 3: Investment Income Outlook - UBS anticipates a slowdown in growth momentum for investment income in the third quarter, aligning with industry trends due to high equity return benchmarks and rising interest rates potentially lowering bond fair values [1] - Despite the anticipated slowdown, UBS believes that China Pacific Insurance will face less profit pressure compared to peers due to its smaller fair value exposure to equities and lower investment leverage [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in its comprehensive cost ratio, with both underwriting profit and investment income trending positively [1][8] - The report projects an increase in net profit for the years 2025 to 2027, with expected figures of 449 billion, 467 billion, and 503 billion respectively [1][8] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 478.826 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 7.02% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is estimated at 24.585 billion, reflecting a decrease of 15.70% compared to the previous year [1] - The latest diluted book value per share is 10.40, with a price-to-book ratio of 1.60 [1] Underwriting and Investment Performance - The company reported a net profit of 245 billion for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 32.3% [8] - The underwriting profit for the same period was 130 billion, up 44.6% year-on-year [8] - The total investment asset scale reached 711.5 billion, with a 5.2% increase from the beginning of the year [8][16] Premium Growth and Market Share - The company's original premium income grew by 3.6% in the first half of 2025, with a market share of 33.5%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points from the beginning of the year [8] - The premium income from auto insurance increased by 3.4%, with the proportion of personal auto insurance rising to 73.4% [8] Cost and Profitability Metrics - The comprehensive cost ratio improved to 94.8%, a decrease of 1.4 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The expense ratio decreased to 23.0%, benefiting from strict cost control measures [8][15] Investment Strategy - The company has adjusted its investment strategy, increasing allocations to bonds and stocks while reducing the proportion of OCI stocks [8][16] - The total investment income for the first half of 2025 was 173 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 26.6% [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Chinese insurance industry is emerging from a low point, with several positive factors driving it towards a new phase of higher quality and sustainable development [1] - China People's Insurance Group reported a mid-year revenue of 324.12 billion yuan, up from 292.34 billion yuan in the same period last year, and a net profit of 26.7 billion yuan, compared to 23.4 billion yuan year-on-year [1] - China Pacific Insurance and New China Life Insurance both saw stock price increases of 2%, while China Life and Ping An rose by 0.5% [2] Group 2 - China Property & Casualty Insurance reported a net profit of 24.455 billion yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 32.3% [1] - Prudential announced a mid-year profit attributable to shareholders of 1.284 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 9.7 times [1] - Ping An's operating profit attributable to shareholders grew by 3.7% in the first half of the year, with a strong growth of 39.8% in new business value for life insurance [1]

2025 年 8 月 28 日 公司研究 投资与承保共同推动盈利增长 32% ——中国财险（2328.HK）2025 年半年报点评 买入（维持） 当前价：18.22 港元 作者 分析师：王一峰 执业证书编号：S0930519050002 010-57378038 wangyf@ebscn.com 分析师：黄怡婷 执业证书编号：S0930524070003 010-57378023 huangyiting@ebscn.com 市场数据 盈利增速承压，COR 优于同业——中国财险 （ 2328.HK ） 2024 年 一 季 报 点 评 （2024-04-30） 要点 事件： 2025 年上半年，中国财险原保险保费收入 3232.8 亿元，同比+3.6%；保险服务收 入 2490.4 亿元，同比+5.6%；归母净利润 244.5 亿元，同比+32.3%；承保综合成 本率 94.8%，同比-1.4pct；总投资收益率（非年化）2.6%，同比+0.4pct；拟派发 中期股息每股 0.24 元，同比+15.4%。 | 总股本(亿股) | 222.43 | | --- | --- | | 总市值(亿元港币)： | 405 ...

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that China's property insurance performance in the first half of the year exceeded market expectations, driven by a 45% year-on-year surge in underwriting profit and a 27% year-on-year increase in total investment income [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Financial Performance - The net profit after tax (NPAT) growth is attributed to significant increases in underwriting profit and total investment income [1] - Underwriting profit increased by 45% year-on-year [1] - Total investment income grew by 27% year-on-year [1] Future Projections - UBS forecasts total premium growth of 4.5%, automotive insurance premium growth of 3.5%, and non-automotive insurance premium growth of 5.8% by 2025 [1] - The net asset value and NPAT forecasts have been raised by 4% and 6% respectively, reflecting better-than-expected combined cost ratios and improved market sentiment [1] Valuation Adjustments - UBS has adjusted the valuation multiples to reflect a more favorable macroeconomic environment and supportive policy conditions [1] - The target price has been raised from HKD 18.7 to HKD 20.7, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant rally in Hong Kong's insurance stocks, with China People's Insurance Group and China Pacific Insurance reaching historical highs [1] - China People's Insurance Group reported a mid-year revenue of 324.12 billion yuan, up from 292.34 billion yuan in the same period last year, and a net profit of 26.7 billion yuan, compared to 23.4 billion yuan previously [1] - China Pacific Insurance's net profit for the first half of the year was 24.455 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 32.3% [1] Group 2 - Prudential reported a shareholder profit of 1.284 billion USD for the mid-year period, marking a year-on-year increase of 9.7 times [1] - China Ping An's operating profit attributable to shareholders grew by 3.7% in the first half of the year, with a strong increase of 39.8% in new business value for life insurance [1] - Analysts suggest that the Chinese insurance industry is emerging from a low point, driven by multiple favorable factors, indicating a shift towards a higher quality and more sustainable development phase [1]

Group 1: Automotive Industry Insights - The automotive industry is experiencing a significant shift towards intelligent driving technologies, with companies like HUAWEI and Horizon leading the way in advanced driver assistance systems [13][14]. - The penetration rate of L2 and above autonomous driving features in passenger vehicles reached 29.7% as of June 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13 percentage points [14]. - Investment recommendations include companies such as Xpeng Motors, Leap Motor, and Geely for complete vehicles, and suppliers like Suoteng Technology and Hesai Technology for components [15]. Group 2: Pharmaceutical Sector Developments - The pharmaceutical sector showed weaker performance compared to the overall market, with the biopharmaceutical segment rising only 1.05% [16]. - The World Lung Cancer Conference (WCLC) in September 2025 will showcase innovative research from Chinese pharmaceutical companies, highlighting the growing competitiveness of domestic products [16][17]. - Investment focus is recommended on companies presenting at major conferences like ESMO and WCLC, particularly those with promising clinical data [17]. Group 3: Mining and Metals Performance - Luoyang Molybdenum's net profit for H1 2025 increased by 60% to CNY 8.67 billion, driven by rising copper and cobalt prices alongside increased production [18][19]. - Zijin Mining reported a 54.41% year-on-year increase in net profit for H1 2025, attributed to a significant rise in gold production and prices [22][23]. - Cloud Aluminum's net profit for H1 2025 grew by 10%, with a strong performance in aluminum production and a proposed cash dividend of CNY 3.2 per share [20][21]. Group 4: Real Estate and Property Management - Poly Property's revenue for H1 2025 reached CNY 8.4 billion, with a net profit increase of 5%, indicating steady growth in property management services [31][32]. - Greentown China reported a significant decline in net profit by 89.7% for H1 2025, primarily due to uneven revenue recognition and asset impairment provisions [33][34]. - The company maintained a strong sales performance, with total sales area down only 10% compared to the industry average, reflecting resilience in a challenging market [34].

中国财险(02328)绩后涨超6%，截至发稿，涨6.37%，报19.38港元，成交额4804.82万港元。 消息面上，8月27日，中国财险发布截至2025年6月30日止6个月中期业绩，该集团取得原保险保费收入 人民币3232.82亿元(单位下同)，同比增加3.6%；保险服务收入2490.4亿元，同比增加5.6%；承保利润 130.15亿元，同比增加44.6%；净利润244.55亿元，同比增加32.3%。 2025年上半年实现承保利润130.15亿元，同比增长44.6%；综合成本率94.8%，同比下降1.4个百分点， 其中车险综合成本率94.2%，同比下降2.2个百分点，非车险综合成本率95.7%，同比下降0.1个百分点； 本公司及子公司坚持保险与投资双轮驱动，调整资产配置结构，提高资金长期运作能力，优化投资组合 风险收益特征，实现总投资收益172.60亿元，同比增长26.6%；净利润244.55亿元，同比增长32.3%；净 资产收益率(未年化)9.0%，同比上升1.3个百分点。 公告称，2025年上半年，本公司及子公司始终坚守保险保障本源，持续发挥核心主业作用，坚持把体制 机制创新作为重要驱动，有力塑造发展优 ...