Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of HKD 12.00, indicating a potential upside of 19.0% from the current price of HKD 10.08 [1][6]. Core Insights - The company's profit performance is in line with expectations, with a year-on-year decline in net profit of 8.7% for the first half of the year, but a recovery is anticipated in the second half due to a low comparative base [1]. - Insurance service revenue increased by 5% year-on-year, primarily driven by a 5% growth in auto insurance, while agricultural insurance saw a decline of 7% [1]. - The combined cost ratio (COR) improved for auto and agricultural insurance, with the overall COR at 96.2%, up 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - Total investment income decreased by 7.8% year-on-year, but a more stable performance is expected in the second half due to adjustments in asset allocation [1]. - The company announced an interim dividend of HKD 0.208 per share, with a payout ratio of 25% [1]. Financial Overview - For the first half of 2023, the company reported a net profit of RMB 24,585 million, down 8.7% year-on-year, with total investment income of RMB 20,807 million [5][8]. - The projected net profit for 2024 is expected to grow by 7% year-on-year, with earnings per share (EPS) forecasted at RMB 1.19 [4][8]. - The company’s total assets are projected to grow at a rate of 5.2% annually, with insurance service revenue expected to increase by 7.0% in 2024 [9].

公 司 研 究 / 公 司 点 评 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 一年内股价与基准指数对比走势： -20% 0% 20% 40% HSCEI 中国财险 资料来源：Bloomberg 证券分析师 孙冀齐 A0230523110001 sunjq@swsresearch.com 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 联系人 孙冀齐 (8621)23297818× sunjq@swsresearch.com 2024 年 08 月 29 日 中国财险 (02328) —— COR 优于预期，净利润降幅环比显著收窄 买入（维持）1H24 净利润降幅环比显著收窄。公司 1H24 实现净利润 184.91 亿元，yoy-8.7%，同比降幅 较 1Q24 收窄 29.6%；其中，2Q24 净利润 yoy+17.4%至 126.20 亿元。净资产收益率（未年 化）yoy-1.3pct 至 7.7%。公司拟派发中期分红 0.208 人民币/股，股利支付率为 25.02%。 降本增效成效显著，COR 表现超预期。1H24 公司保险服务收入 yoy+5.1%至 2358.41 亿元， C ...

公司研究 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | 证 券 研 究 报 告 | 非银行金融 2024 年 08 月 | 29 日 | | | 中国财险（ 02328.HK ） 2024 年中报点评 COR 略有上行，单 Q2 净利润实现增长 | 推荐 ...

Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [2] Core Views - The company's 2024H1 net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 18.49 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.7% [4] - The underwriting profit and investment income decreased by 5.0% and 7.8% respectively year-on-year [4] - Q2 net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 12.62 billion, a year-on-year increase of 17% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 115% [4] - The comprehensive cost ratio (COR) for 2024H1 increased by 0.4 percentage points year-on-year to 96.2%, but decreased compared to 97.9% in 2024Q1 [4] - The company announced its first interim dividend of RMB 0.21 per share, with a dividend payout ratio of 25%, amounting to RMB 4.6 billion [4] - The current dividend yield (TTM) is 5.32%, and the PE ratios for 2024-2026 are 6.7x, 6.0x, and 5.6x respectively [4] Financial Performance - Total premium income for 2024H1 was RMB 235.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.1% [5] - Underwriting profit for 2024H1 was RMB 9 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5%, but Q2 underwriting profit was RMB 6.65 billion, a year-on-year increase of 37% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 183% [5] - The COR for auto insurance decreased by 0.3 percentage points year-on-year to 96.4%, with a claims ratio increase of 1.5 percentage points and an expense ratio decrease of 1.8 percentage points [5] - The COR for non-auto insurance was 95.8%, an increase of 1.44 percentage points year-on-year, with agricultural insurance showing improved business structure and quality [5] - Total investment income for 2024H1 was RMB 13.97 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 7.8%, but Q2 investment income increased by 20% year-on-year [5] - The annualized total investment yield was 4.4%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, and the annualized net investment yield was 3.5%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [5] Industry and Market Analysis - The new internet property insurance regulations, effective from August 13, 2024, set higher entry barriers for internet property insurance, which is expected to optimize the industry landscape and highlight the leading position of the company [5] - Passenger car demand remains stable, supporting medium to long-term premium growth in auto insurance, with passenger car and new energy vehicle sales in July 2024 showing year-on-year changes of -5.1% and +27.0% respectively [5] Forecasts - The forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024-2026 is RMB 306 billion, RMB 340 billion, and RMB 362 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 24.6%, 11.0%, and 6.5% [4] - The forecasted EPS for 2024-2026 is RMB 1.4, RMB 1.5, and RMB 1.6 respectively [4] - The forecasted total premium income for 2024-2026 is RMB 4,244 billion, RMB 4,572 billion, and RMB 4,787 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.7%, 4.7%, and 7.6% [6] - The forecasted comprehensive cost ratio (COR) for 2024-2026 is 97.3%, 97.0%, and 96.9% respectively [6]

公司研究 首次实施中期分红，COR 维持良好水平 ——中国财险（2328.HK）2024 年半年报点评 买入（维持） 当前价：10.08 港元 作者 分析师：王一峰 执业证书编号：S0930519050002 010-57378038 wangyf@ebscn.com 分析师：黄怡婷 执业证书编号：S0930524070003 010-57378023 huangyiting@ebscn.com 总股本(亿股) 222.43 总市值(亿元港币)： 2242.07 一年最低/最高(元港币)： 8.55/11.54 近 3 月换手率： 33.9% 股价相对走势 相关研报 盈利增速承压，COR 优于同业——中国财险 （ 2328.HK ） 2024 年 一 季 报 点 评 （2024-04-30） 非车业务盈利改善，分红水平稳中有升—— 中国财险（2328.HK）2023 年年报点评 （2024-03-31） COR 保持行业领先水平，彰显经营韧性—— 中国财险（2328.HK）2023 年三季报点评 （2023-10-31） 业务结构持续改善，综合成本率优于同业— —中国财险（2328.HK）2023 年半年报点 ...

中国财险（02328.HK） 优于大市 保费增速稳健，投资拖累利润表现 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------| | 盈利预测和财务指标 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | 营业收入(百万元) | 441,954 | 473,296 | 504,398 | 536,712 | 568,237 | | (+/-%) | 5.57% | 7.09% | 6.57% | 6.41% | 5.87% | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 26,708 | 24,585 | 28,418 | 31,982 | 34,243 | | (+/-%) | 19.45% | -7.95% | 15.59% | 12.54% | 7.07% | | 摊薄每股收益(元) | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.28 | 1.44 | 1.54 | | EBIT Marg ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·保险(HS) 中国财险（02328.HK） 2024 年中报点评：利润降幅大幅收窄实属不 易，车险承保盈利逆势改善 2024 年 08 月 28 日 买入（维持） | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------| | 盈利预测与估值 [Table_EPS] | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | 保险服务收入（百万元） | 424,355 | 457,203 | 494,002 | 529,798 | 569,764 | | 同比 | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | | 归母利润（百万元） | 29,163 | 24,585 | 29,641 | 32,330 | 34,478 | | 同比 | 30.4% | -15.7% | 20.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | | 净资产收益率 | 13.4% | 1 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其 準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內 容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 （在中華人民共和國註冊成立之股份有限公司） （股份代號：2328） 截至2024年6月30日止6個月之未經審計中期業績公告 | --- | |----------------------------------------------------------------------------| | 中國人民財產保險股份有限公司（「本公司」）董事會謹此宣佈本公司及子公司截至 | | 2024年6月30日止6個月之未經審計中期業績。本公告刊載本公司2024 | | 全文，並符合《香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則》有關中期業績初步公告附 | | 載的資料之要求。 | 承董事會命 中國人民財產保險股份有限公司 畢欣 董事會秘書 中國北京，2024年8月28日 於本公告日，本公司董事長為王廷科先生（非執行董事），副董事長為于澤先生（執行董 事），降彩石先生、張道明先生及胡偉先生為執行董事，李濤先生為非執行董事 ...

证券研究报告 港股公司|公司点评|中国财险（02328） 车险及非车险保费增速均环比提升 请务必阅读报告末页的重要声明 glzqdatemark1 2024年08月15日 证券研究报告 |报告要点 公司发布 2024 年 7 月保费收入公告，7 月当月公司实现保费收入 327.8 亿元，同比+7.6%，其 中车险同比+3.9%、非车险同比+17.4%，增速环比 6 月均有所提升。 |分析师及联系人 SAC：S0590522100001 刘雨辰 朱丽芳 请务必阅读报告末页的重要声明 1 / 6 港股公司|公司点评 glzqdatemark2 2024年08月15日 中国财险(02328) 车险及非车险保费增速均环比提升 | --- | --- | |------------|----------------| | 行 业： | 非银金融/保险Ⅱ | | 投资评级： | 买入（维持） | | 当前价格： | 10.16 港元 | 基本数据 总股本/流通股本(百万股) 22,242.77/6,899.29 流通市值(百万港元) 70,096.83 每股净资产(元) 11.10 资产负债率(%) 66.72 一年内最 ...

[Table_Page] 公司深度研究|保险Ⅱ [Table_Title] 【 广 发 非 银 & 海 外 】 中 国 财 险 （02328.HK） 海外财险公司的估值及中国财险 ROE 拆解 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： （除特别注明外，报告货币为人民币） 从全球龙头财险公司的经验看，（1）PB 估值水平和 ROE 之间具备显 著的正相关性，如前进保险的 ROE 从 2015 年的 17.8%提升至 2018 年的 26.5%，PB 从 2.1X 提升至 3X，好事达 ROE 从 2015 年的 10.6% 提升至 2019 年的 21.7%，PB 估值从 1.07X 提升至 1.35X，且短期的 ROE 下降不会影响估值中枢水平；（2）海外龙头财险公司近年来大部 分 ROE 在两位数以上，且对应 PB 在 1X 以上；（3）ROE 的变化受保 费收入增速、承保利润和投资的影响。（报告汇率 HKD/CNY=0.925） 展望中国财险 24-26 年 ROE 为 11.3%-12%。(1)保费预期：车险方面， 机动车保有量稳定增长，而人保有望凭借品牌和服务优势实现承保数 量的提升，另外短期看报行 ...