香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴 該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 國泰海通證券股份有限公司 Guotai Haitong Securities Co., Ltd. （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） （股份代號：02611） 海外監管公告 本公告乃由國泰海通證券股份有限公司（「本公司」）根據香港聯合交易所有限公司 證券上市規則第13.10B條作出。 茲載列本公司於上海證券交易所網站發佈之《國泰海通證券股份有限公司關於 2024年度第十一期短期融資券兌付完成的公告》，僅供參閱。 截至本公告日期，本公司的執行董事為朱健先生、李俊傑先生以及聶小剛先生； 本公司的非執行董事為周杰先生、管蔚女士、鐘茂軍先生、陳航標先生、呂春芳 女士、哈爾曼女士、孫明輝先生、陳一江先生；本公司的職工董事為吳紅偉先 生；及本公司的獨立非執行董事為李仁傑先生、王國剛先生、浦永灝先生、毛付 根先生、陳方若先生以及江憲先生。 证券代码：601211 证券简称：国泰海通 公告编号： 2025-079 ...

Core Insights - The main focus of the article is on the trading performance and positioning of the coking coal futures market as of July 16, 2025, highlighting changes in open interest and trading volumes [1][3][4]. Trading Performance - As of July 16, 2025, the main contract for coking coal (2509) experienced a price change of -1.45%, with a trading volume of 21,900 contracts, indicating a decrease of 970 contracts from the previous day [1]. - The total trading volume for all coking coal contracts was 25,000 contracts, which is a reduction of 970 contracts compared to the previous day [1]. Open Interest Analysis - The top 20 positions in the coking coal futures market showed a net short position, with a difference of 3,839 contracts [1]. - The long positions among the top 20 were 28,100 contracts, an increase of 216 contracts from the previous day, while the short positions were 31,900 contracts, an increase of 483 contracts [1][4]. Major Players - The top three long positions were held by: - Galaxy Futures with a total holding of 5,538 contracts, a decrease of 37 contracts - CITIC Futures with a total holding of 3,935 contracts, a decrease of 83 contracts - Guotai Junan with a total holding of 3,419 contracts, an increase of 42 contracts [1][3]. - The top three short positions were held by: - CITIC Futures with a total holding of 3,805 contracts, an increase of 176 contracts - Wuchan Zhongda with a total holding of 3,124 contracts, an increase of 70 contracts - Huatai Futures with a total holding of 2,554 contracts, a decrease of 121 contracts [1][3]. Position Changes - Among the top 20 positions, the largest increases in long positions were seen in: - Dongwu Futures with an increase of 97 contracts to a total of 820 - Zhonghui Futures with an increase of 62 contracts to a total of 724 - Yong'an Futures with an increase of 59 contracts to a total of 2,543 [1][4]. - The largest increases in short positions were noted for: - Guotai Junan with an increase of 281 contracts to a total of 2,177 - Yong'an Futures with an increase of 230 contracts to a total of 1,561 - CITIC Futures with an increase of 176 contracts to a total of 3,805 [1][4].

证券代码：601211 证券简称：国泰海通 公告编号： 2025-079 2025 年 7 月 16 日，本公司完成了本期短期融资券的本息兑付工作。 特此公告。 国泰海通证券股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 7 月 17 日 国泰海通证券股份有限公司 关于 2024 年度第十一期短期融资券兑付完成的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 国泰海通证券股份有限公司（曾用名：国泰君安证券股份有限公司，以下简 称本公司）于 2024 年 12 月 18 日成功发行了国泰君安证券股份有限公司 2024 年度第十一期短期融资券（以下简称本期短期融资券），本期短期融资券发行额 为人民币 40 亿元，票面利率为 1.70%，短期融资券期限为 210 天，兑付日期为 2025 年 7 月 16 日（详见公司于 2024 年 12 月 19 日登载于上海证券交易所网站 （http://www.sse.com.cn）的《国泰君安证券股份有限公司 2024 年度第十一期 短期融资券发行结果公告》）。 ...

Core Insights - As of July 16, 2025, the main contract for coking coal (2509) experienced a decline of 1.48%, with a trading volume of 975,300 contracts and a net short position of 45,396 contracts among the top 20 positions [1][3]. Trading Volume and Positions - The total trading volume for all coking coal contracts was 1,246,300 contracts, a decrease of 78,600 contracts from the previous day [1][4]. - Among the top 20 positions, long positions totaled 439,200 contracts, an increase of 10,600 contracts, while short positions totaled 516,700 contracts, an increase of 25,000 contracts [1][4]. Major Players - The top three long positions were held by: - CITIC Futures with a total position of 47,665 contracts - Guotai Junan with a total position of 42,426 contracts - Huatai Futures with a total position of 42,160 contracts [1][3]. - The top three short positions were held by: - Guotai Junan with a total position of 81,591 contracts - CITIC Futures with a total position of 66,697 contracts - Galaxy Futures with a total position of 45,111 contracts [1][3]. Changes in Positions - Among the top 20 positions, the largest increases in long positions were from: - Xingzheng Futures with an increase of 3,808 contracts - Founder Futures with an increase of 2,585 contracts - CITIC Jiantou with an increase of 2,137 contracts [1][3]. - The largest increases in short positions were from: - Guotai Junan with an increase of 7,377 contracts - Donghai Futures with an increase of 2,709 contracts - CITIC Futures with an increase of 2,682 contracts [1][3].

Group 1 - The report highlights the growing importance of electric two-wheelers in India and Southeast Asia, with companies like Yadea and Aima actively expanding their overseas presence [1] - The transition from fuel to electric vehicles is supported by policies aimed at reducing carbon emissions, with Southeast Asian countries implementing measures to phase out gasoline motorcycles [2] - Electric two-wheelers offer lower carbon emissions, reduced noise, and lower maintenance costs compared to fuel-powered vehicles, making them suitable for urban short-distance travel [3] Group 2 - China's electric two-wheeler market is poised to replicate the export trends seen in bicycles and motorcycles, with significant potential for growth in international markets [4] - The domestic electric two-wheeler market in China is mature, but export activities are just beginning, indicating substantial room for expansion [4]

Group 1 - The motorcycle is an important mode of transportation in India and Southeast Asia, while electric bicycles are particularly popular in Europe and Japan. The overseas electric two-wheeler market is in its early development stage, with major brands actively expanding their presence. Leading companies in China, Yadea and Aima, are making significant strides in establishing overseas factories and channels [1] - The trend of "oil to electric" is gaining momentum, supported by policies that favor the development of electric vehicles. The push for carbon neutrality benefits the electrification of motorcycles, as fuel-powered vehicles have higher pollution emissions and fuel prices are relatively high compared to electricity [1] - Southeast Asia is a major motorcycle market, with cities like Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City proposing bans on motorcycles. Thailand has implemented a tax on motorcycles based on carbon emissions since January 2020, and Singapore aims to eliminate fuel vehicles by 2040. Vietnam has committed to achieving carbon neutrality by 2050, with electric vehicle infrastructure being prioritized [1] Group 2 - Electric two-wheelers have lower carbon emissions, reduced noise, and a wide range of energy sources, along with lower purchase and maintenance costs. High-end electric two-wheelers offer excellent smart features, and the performance gap between electric and fuel motorcycles is narrowing [2] - The rapid development of the electric vehicle industry will benefit the electric two-wheeler sector as the core components overlap, leading to a more mature supply chain and continuous technological upgrades [2] Group 3 - The market environment in India and Southeast Asia is similar to China's experience from 2000 to 2010, with urban expansion and insufficient infrastructure. In this context, electric two-wheelers are suitable for short-distance travel. In 2020, the average prices for motorcycles and scooters in Southeast Asia were approximately $4,010 and $1,310, respectively, while the average price for electric cars was $54,000 [3] - The purchasing power of residents in India and Southeast Asia aligns well with electric two-wheelers, making them a more accessible option [3] Group 4 - China's electric two-wheeler industry is expected to replicate the export trends seen in bicycles and motorcycles, capturing global demand. China has become the world's largest exporter of bicycles and motorcycles, with export ratios of 89% for bicycles in 2018 and 54%, 33%, and 35% for motorcycles from 2019 to 2021 [4] - The domestic electric two-wheeler market in China is mature, but export activities are just beginning, with only 5.2% of total shipments being exported in 2020. Leading electric two-wheeler companies in China have developed a robust supply chain and competitive advantages over years of domestic operations [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that with the decline in global tin ore grades and limited supply increments, coupled with rising costs, the tin price is expected to increase due to tight supply and high demand driven by AI development and a recovery in consumer electronics [1][2] - The report recommends specific stocks: Xiyes Co., Ltd. (000960.SZ), Xingye Silver Tin (000426.SZ), and mentions related stocks such as Huaxi Nonferrous (600301.SH) [1] Group 2 - Supply disturbances are ongoing, with limited incremental production from mines; the complete cost of tin mining is projected to rise from approximately $25,581 per ton in 2022 to $33,800 per ton by 2027 [2] - The global tin production is expected to reach 300,000 tons in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2% [2] Group 3 - The downstream industry is experiencing high demand, particularly in soldering materials, which account for about 56% of tin consumption; the stabilization of the semiconductor cycle is expected to drive rapid demand for solder [3] - A projected supply gap of 8,300 tons in global refined tin by 2025 highlights the supply-demand imbalance [3] Group 4 - The global monetary environment is becoming more accommodative, with expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which could positively impact asset prices and upstream raw material prices [4] - The inflation rate in the U.S. is gradually approaching the target of 2%, indicating a shift in market expectations for demand [4]

Group 1 - M&G Investments and Guotai Junan Securities have signed a strategic cooperation memorandum to enhance access for Chinese investors to global markets [1][2] - The collaboration focuses on four areas: information sharing, asset management, client services, and investment market promotion, combining M&G's global investment expertise with Guotai Junan's local market experience [2][3] - M&G anticipates that by 2030, the scale of China's asset management industry will reach $40.4 trillion, highlighting the significant growth potential in the sector [2] Group 2 - M&G recognizes Guotai Junan's position in the Chinese market and aims to leverage this partnership to reach a large base of investors [3] - Both companies are jointly developing a brand-focused fixed income investment solution targeting the Asian market, with plans to launch in the coming months [3] - The partnership will also explore additional projects, including QDII-compliant products and investment consulting mechanisms, to enhance their global investment management and local market knowledge [3]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 2025年上半年券商业绩预告密集出炉，呈现"高增长"与"强分化"并存的鲜明格局。华西证券、国联民生 证券凭借低基数效应与整合红利，净利润同比增幅均超10倍，成为最大亮点。13家券商预计归母净利润 突破10亿元大关，国泰海通证券以近160亿元上限领跑，国信证券等6家头部机构稳居"20亿+"阵营。 从业绩增长幅度来看，14家券商预计今年上半年净利相比去年同期实现了100%以上增长，华西证券与 国联民生证券成为最大亮点，两家公司的净利润同比最大增幅均超过10倍。具体来看，华西证券预计当 期净利润同比增幅高达1025.19%至1353.9%。国联民生证券预计净利润同比增长1183%。对于上半年业 绩预增，国联民生称，报告期内，公司有序推进与民生证券的整合工作，并将其纳入财务报表合并范 围，证券投资、财富管理、投资银行等业务条线实现显著增长，同时由于上年同期比较基数较小，今年 上半年经营业绩同比大幅提升。 相比一季度，锦龙股份、华创云信等券商（含母公司）二季度业绩改善，扭转了一季度业绩下滑或亏损 状况。具体来看，华创云信一季度归母净利润亏损0.4 ...

国泰海通发布研报称，三大航预告2025Q2同比大幅减亏，符合该行业绩前瞻。该行预计暑运表现可 期，2025年将实现扭亏。关注"反内卷"政策深化对于航空业短中长三重受益。旺季博弈风险逐步释放， 建议布局航空长逻辑，维持航空增持评级。该行认为中国航空业具长逻辑，"十四五"票价已市场化，且 供给已进入低增时代，需求稳健增长将驱动供需继续向好，将迎盈利中枢上升与持续。旺季博弈风险逐 步释放，建议布局长逻辑。 1)2025年6月26日中国民航局召开专题会议部署综合整治"内卷式"竞争工作。据智通财经，局方强调"内 卷"本质是大量资源投入低效同质化的竞争，部分市场主体为追求短期效益，争夺市场份额，违背经济 运行规律，过度低价，扎堆式投放运力，形成低质量同质化过度竞争;下一步局方将尽快制定完善航空 运输价格行为规则，防止以低于成本价开展恶性竞争。 国泰海通主要观点如下： 2025Q2业绩快报：三大航同比大幅减亏，符合该行业绩前瞻 2)观察预售，7月下半月至8月国内预售票价保持同比上升，反映航司预售策略仍保持积极，未来收舱将 是关键。 3)暑运加班严格受限，而亲子游旺盛，供需预期乐观。同时考虑2024年暑运低基数，该行预计20 ...