Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Index Company has announced the results of its quarterly review, which includes the addition of China Telecom, JD Logistics, and Pop Mart to the index, increasing the total number of constituent stocks to 88 [1] Group 1 - The inclusion of China Telecom, JD Logistics, and Pop Mart reflects a strategic adjustment in the index composition to enhance its representation of the market [1] - The total number of constituent stocks in the Hang Seng Index has increased from 85 to 88, indicating a broader market coverage [1]

【恒指公司公布季检结果 恒指纳入中国电信、京东物流、泡泡玛特】智通财经8月22日电，恒生指数公 司发布季检结果：恒指纳入中国电信、京东物流、泡泡玛特，成分股增至88只；恒生科技指数成份股没 有变动，成份股数目维持30只；恒生中国企业指数纳入泡泡玛特，剔除极兔速递。 转自：智通财经 ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index will announce its semi-annual review results on August 22, 2025, affecting major indices such as the Hang Seng Index, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and the Hang Seng Tech Index, with changes effective from September 8, 2025 [1] - Several brokerages, including UBS, Huatai Securities, and CICC, have released reports predicting adjustments to the Hang Seng Index and potential candidates for inclusion in the Hong Kong Stock Connect [1][2] - CICC highlights the significant size of passive funds tracking flagship indices, with ETF sizes for the Hang Seng Index, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and the Hang Seng Tech Index being approximately $30.35 billion, $6.63 billion, and $26.12 billion respectively, indicating substantial potential fund flows due to component changes [1] Group 2 - CICC estimates that potential candidates for inclusion in the Hang Seng Index include Bank of Communications (03328), Pop Mart (09992), Yum China (09987), XPeng Motors (09868), Huazhu Group (01179), JD Logistics (02618), and Innovent Biologics (01801) [1][2] - UBS predicts that stocks likely to be included in the Hang Seng Index are WuXi AppTec (02268), Pop Mart, JD Logistics, Kingsoft (03888), and Bank of Communications, while Pop Mart is also expected to be included in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index [2] Group 3 - Companies such as Cao Cao Travel (02643), InnoCare Pharma (09606), and Zhou Liu Fu (06168) are expected to be included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, which connects Hong Kong-listed companies with mainland investors [3] - CICC estimates that 19 stocks meet the criteria for inclusion in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, including Cao Cao Travel, InnoCare Pharma, Zhou Liu Fu, and others [3][4] - UBS forecasts potential candidates for the Hong Kong Stock Connect based on the Hang Seng Composite Index predictions, including East Asia Bank, InnoCare Pharma-B, Blue Moon Group, and others [3] Group 4 - Huatai Securities also anticipates that 19 stocks may be included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, with a list that includes Yunzhisheng, InnoCare Pharma-B, and others [4] - Historical data indicates that newly included stocks in the Hong Kong Stock Connect tend to outperform the market, while stocks removed from the index face significant capital outflows [4]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index Company will announce the semi-annual review results of the Hang Seng series indices on August 22, 2025, with changes effective from September 8, 2025 [1] - Major brokerages, including UBS, Huatai Securities, and CICC, have released reports predicting adjustments to the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng Composite Index [1][2] - CICC highlights the significant scale of passive funds tracking flagship indices, with ETF sizes for the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng Technology Index being approximately $30.35 billion, $6.63 billion, and $26.12 billion respectively [1] Group 2 - Potential candidates for inclusion in the Hang Seng Index include Bank of Communications, Pop Mart, Yum China, XPeng Motors, Huazhu Group, JD Logistics, and Innovent Biologics [1][2] - UBS predicts that stocks likely to be included as blue-chip stocks are WuXi AppTec, Pop Mart, JD Logistics, Kingsoft, and Bank of Communications [2] - Historical data indicates that actual results of the Hang Seng Index's quarterly reviews may differ significantly from predictions based on market capitalization rankings [2] Group 3 - Companies such as Cao Cao Travel, InnoCare Pharma, and Chow Tai Fook are expected to be included in the Stock Connect list, which connects Hong Kong-listed companies with mainland investors [3] - CICC estimates that 19 stocks meet the criteria for inclusion in the Stock Connect, including Cao Cao Travel, InnoCare Pharma, and Nanshan Aluminum [3][4] - UBS forecasts potential additions to the Stock Connect list, including East Asia Bank, InnoCare Pharma-B, and Blue Moon Group [3] Group 4 - Huatai Securities also anticipates that 19 stocks may be added to the Stock Connect, including Yunzhisheng, Huiju Technology, and InnoCare Pharma-B [4] - Historical performance shows that newly included stocks in the Stock Connect tend to outperform the Hang Seng Index during the adjustment period, while stocks removed from the index face significant outflows [4]

Core Viewpoint - JD Logistics reported a total revenue of 51.56 billion RMB in Q2, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.6%, with significant acceleration compared to the previous quarter [1] - The company has begun recruiting and managing full-time delivery personnel to support JD Group's food delivery services and launched its self-operated express brand "JoyExpress" in Saudi Arabia [1] - Gross profit reached 5.48 billion RMB, up 4.3%, while net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.13 billion RMB, an increase of 5.1% [1] Financial Dynamics - In Q2 2025, JD Logistics achieved a total revenue of 51.56 billion RMB, with an adjusted net profit of 2.59 billion RMB, reflecting a 5.4% year-on-year growth and a net profit margin of 5.0% [1] - Adjusted EBITDA was 5.72 billion RMB, up 1.5% [1] - Capital expenditure for H1 was 2.39 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%, accounting for 2.5% of revenue, down 0.2 percentage points [1] Business Dynamics - In H1 2025, JD Logistics expanded its overseas warehouses in multiple countries, including the US, UK, France, Poland, South Korea, Vietnam, and Saudi Arabia, now covering 23 countries and regions globally [1] - The launch of "JoyExpress" in Saudi Arabia offers local consumers delivery services with options for cash on delivery and expedited delivery [1] Profit Forecast - The company expects Q3 revenue growth to reach 20%, with food delivery services contributing positively [2] - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 218.1 billion RMB, 258.5 billion RMB, and 278.4 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.3%, 18.5%, and 7.7% respectively [2] - The growth logic is driven by cost reduction and efficiency improvements, expansion into Alibaba channels, and international supply chain layout [2] Valuation - Based on a closing valuation of approximately 81.3 billion RMB, the projected price-to-sales (PS) ratios for 2025-2027 are 0.37, 0.31, and 0.29, while the price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are 9.8, 8.6, and 7.8 times [3] - Compared to competitors like SF Express and ZTO Express, JD Logistics is currently undervalued [3]

Core Insights - JD Logistics has officially launched its 2025 seafood assurance plan, focusing on rapid delivery and enhanced cold chain logistics services [2] Group 1: Delivery and Logistics Strategy - JD Logistics will deploy delivery personnel in major production areas to facilitate nearby collection and increase air transport capacity, enabling seafood to reach core city tables within 24 hours [2] - The company operates approximately 100 temperature-controlled cold chain warehouses dedicated to fresh, frozen, and refrigerated foods, covering over 300 cities nationwide [2] Group 2: Cold Chain Services - JD Logistics offers end-to-end, omnichannel, and all-scenario cold chain logistics services to seafood merchants, helping them reduce costs and improve efficiency [2] - The logistics network allows seafood merchants to meet diverse delivery needs, including multi-frequency and small-batch deliveries from factories to supermarkets, convenience stores, and restaurants [2]

Core Viewpoint - UBS report indicates that JD Logistics' Q2 performance roughly meets expectations, with a surprising revenue growth of 17% year-on-year, while the net profit margin under non-IFRS slightly falls short of expectations [1] Financial Performance - Revenue growth for JD Logistics in Q2 was 17% year-on-year, which exceeded market expectations [1] - Non-IFRS net profit margin was 5%, slightly below expectations [1] - UBS has raised its financial forecasts, projecting a 16% revenue growth and a 6.5% increase in non-IFRS net profit for the year [1] Management Outlook - Management expresses greater confidence in achieving annual growth targets, aiming for double-digit revenue growth and single-digit growth in non-IFRS net profit [1] - The potential contribution from the newly launched food delivery service is considered, with expectations that overall revenue growth may surpass market forecasts [1] Target Price Adjustment - UBS has increased the target price for JD Logistics from HKD 17.4 to HKD 18, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reported that JD Logistics' Q2 performance roughly met expectations, with a surprising revenue growth of 17% year-on-year, while the non-IFRS net profit margin of 5% slightly fell short of expectations [1] Financial Performance - Revenue increased by 17% year-on-year, which was a positive surprise for the market [1] - Non-IFRS net profit margin was 5%, which was slightly below expectations [1] Financial Forecasts - UBS raised its financial forecasts for JD Logistics, expecting a revenue growth of 16% for the year and a 6.5% increase in non-IFRS net profit [1] - The target price for JD Logistics was increased from HKD 17.4 to HKD 18, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Management Outlook - Management expressed greater confidence in achieving the annual growth targets, aiming for double-digit growth in total revenue and single-digit growth in non-IFRS net profit [1] - The potential contribution from the newly launched food delivery service is considered, with expectations that annual revenue growth may exceed market forecasts [1]

Core Insights - JD Logistics reported strong Q2 2025 performance with revenue reaching RMB 51.56 billion, a 17% year-on-year increase, exceeding market expectations [3] - The company's first-party (1P) and third-party (3P) integrated supply chain businesses grew by 31% and 18% respectively, driven by robust performance on the JD platform and support from trade renewal policies [3] - Gross margin improved to 10.6%, significantly up from 7.2% in Q1, although it slightly declined compared to the same period last year [3] Financial Performance - Adjusted net profit was approximately RMB 2.6 billion, aligning with market consensus [3] - The company anticipates continued revenue acceleration in the second half of the year, particularly with the new food delivery business contributing to revenue starting in Q3 [3] - Despite a projected 23% year-on-year decline in net profit for Q3 due to high base effects and increased logistics resource investments, a strong rebound in profitability is expected in Q4 with a projected 35% year-on-year growth [3] Strategic Initiatives - JD Logistics is actively expanding its overseas market presence, having established a self-operated express network, JoyExpress, in Saudi Arabia as of June 2025, with plans to expand into Europe within the year [3] - The company aims to strengthen its core supply chain competitiveness by increasing investments in warehousing and last-mile delivery [3] - Despite facing short-term profit fluctuations, JD Logistics maintains a long-term competitive advantage through its extensive warehousing network and technological capabilities [3]

Core Viewpoint - UBS report indicates that JD Logistics' revenue growth of 17% year-on-year in the second quarter surprised the market, with profits meeting expectations [1] Financial Performance - Management expresses greater confidence in achieving annual growth targets, aiming for double-digit growth in total revenue and single-digit growth in non-IFRS net profit [1] - Due to optimistic sentiment, UBS has revised financial forecasts, projecting a 16% revenue growth and a 6.5% increase in non-IFRS net profit for the year [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company is considering the potential contribution of its newly launched food delivery service, which may lead to revenue growth exceeding market expectations [1] Target Price Adjustment - UBS raises the target price for the company from HKD 17.4 to HKD 18, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]