JD LOGISTICS(02618)
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恒指半年检结果揭晓在即!泡泡玛特(09992)等有望“染蓝” 机构看好这些个股入港股通
智通财经网· 2025-08-20 13:36
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index Company will announce the semi-annual review results of the Hang Seng series indices on August 22, 2025, with changes effective from September 8, 2025 [1] - Major brokerages, including UBS, Huatai Securities, and CICC, have released reports predicting adjustments to the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng Composite Index [1][2] - CICC highlights the significant scale of passive funds tracking flagship indices, with ETF sizes for the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng Technology Index being approximately $30.35 billion, $6.63 billion, and $26.12 billion respectively [1] Group 2 - Potential candidates for inclusion in the Hang Seng Index include Bank of Communications, Pop Mart, Yum China, XPeng Motors, Huazhu Group, JD Logistics, and Innovent Biologics [1][2] - UBS predicts that stocks likely to be included as blue-chip stocks are WuXi AppTec, Pop Mart, JD Logistics, Kingsoft, and Bank of Communications [2] - Historical data indicates that actual results of the Hang Seng Index's quarterly reviews may differ significantly from predictions based on market capitalization rankings [2] Group 3 - Companies such as Cao Cao Travel, InnoCare Pharma, and Chow Tai Fook are expected to be included in the Stock Connect list, which connects Hong Kong-listed companies with mainland investors [3] - CICC estimates that 19 stocks meet the criteria for inclusion in the Stock Connect, including Cao Cao Travel, InnoCare Pharma, and Nanshan Aluminum [3][4] - UBS forecasts potential additions to the Stock Connect list, including East Asia Bank, InnoCare Pharma-B, and Blue Moon Group [3] Group 4 - Huatai Securities also anticipates that 19 stocks may be added to the Stock Connect, including Yunzhisheng, Huiju Technology, and InnoCare Pharma-B [4] - Historical performance shows that newly included stocks in the Stock Connect tend to outperform the Hang Seng Index during the adjustment period, while stocks removed from the index face significant outflows [4]
京东物流(2618.HK):国补等共同催化营收增速大幅提升 资源投入扩大致利润释放承压
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-20 03:07
Core Viewpoint - JD Logistics reported a total revenue of 51.56 billion RMB in Q2, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.6%, with significant acceleration compared to the previous quarter [1] - The company has begun recruiting and managing full-time delivery personnel to support JD Group's food delivery services and launched its self-operated express brand "JoyExpress" in Saudi Arabia [1] - Gross profit reached 5.48 billion RMB, up 4.3%, while net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.13 billion RMB, an increase of 5.1% [1] Financial Dynamics - In Q2 2025, JD Logistics achieved a total revenue of 51.56 billion RMB, with an adjusted net profit of 2.59 billion RMB, reflecting a 5.4% year-on-year growth and a net profit margin of 5.0% [1] - Adjusted EBITDA was 5.72 billion RMB, up 1.5% [1] - Capital expenditure for H1 was 2.39 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 0.8%, accounting for 2.5% of revenue, down 0.2 percentage points [1] Business Dynamics - In H1 2025, JD Logistics expanded its overseas warehouses in multiple countries, including the US, UK, France, Poland, South Korea, Vietnam, and Saudi Arabia, now covering 23 countries and regions globally [1] - The launch of "JoyExpress" in Saudi Arabia offers local consumers delivery services with options for cash on delivery and expedited delivery [1] Profit Forecast - The company expects Q3 revenue growth to reach 20%, with food delivery services contributing positively [2] - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 218.1 billion RMB, 258.5 billion RMB, and 278.4 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.3%, 18.5%, and 7.7% respectively [2] - The growth logic is driven by cost reduction and efficiency improvements, expansion into Alibaba channels, and international supply chain layout [2] Valuation - Based on a closing valuation of approximately 81.3 billion RMB, the projected price-to-sales (PS) ratios for 2025-2027 are 0.37, 0.31, and 0.29, while the price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are 9.8, 8.6, and 7.8 times [3] - Compared to competitors like SF Express and ZTO Express, JD Logistics is currently undervalued [3]
京东物流升级海鲜保障
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-08-19 04:07
Core Insights - JD Logistics has officially launched its 2025 seafood assurance plan, focusing on rapid delivery and enhanced cold chain logistics services [2] Group 1: Delivery and Logistics Strategy - JD Logistics will deploy delivery personnel in major production areas to facilitate nearby collection and increase air transport capacity, enabling seafood to reach core city tables within 24 hours [2] - The company operates approximately 100 temperature-controlled cold chain warehouses dedicated to fresh, frozen, and refrigerated foods, covering over 300 cities nationwide [2] Group 2: Cold Chain Services - JD Logistics offers end-to-end, omnichannel, and all-scenario cold chain logistics services to seafood merchants, helping them reduce costs and improve efficiency [2] - The logistics network allows seafood merchants to meet diverse delivery needs, including multi-frequency and small-batch deliveries from factories to supermarkets, convenience stores, and restaurants [2]
瑞银:升京东物流目标价至18港元 维持“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 07:48
Core Viewpoint - UBS report indicates that JD Logistics' Q2 performance roughly meets expectations, with a surprising revenue growth of 17% year-on-year, while the net profit margin under non-IFRS slightly falls short of expectations [1] Financial Performance - Revenue growth for JD Logistics in Q2 was 17% year-on-year, which exceeded market expectations [1] - Non-IFRS net profit margin was 5%, slightly below expectations [1] - UBS has raised its financial forecasts, projecting a 16% revenue growth and a 6.5% increase in non-IFRS net profit for the year [1] Management Outlook - Management expresses greater confidence in achieving annual growth targets, aiming for double-digit revenue growth and single-digit growth in non-IFRS net profit [1] - The potential contribution from the newly launched food delivery service is considered, with expectations that overall revenue growth may surpass market forecasts [1] Target Price Adjustment - UBS has increased the target price for JD Logistics from HKD 17.4 to HKD 18, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]
瑞银:升京东物流(02618)目标价至18港元 维持“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 07:45
Core Viewpoint - UBS reported that JD Logistics' Q2 performance roughly met expectations, with a surprising revenue growth of 17% year-on-year, while the non-IFRS net profit margin of 5% slightly fell short of expectations [1] Financial Performance - Revenue increased by 17% year-on-year, which was a positive surprise for the market [1] - Non-IFRS net profit margin was 5%, which was slightly below expectations [1] Financial Forecasts - UBS raised its financial forecasts for JD Logistics, expecting a revenue growth of 16% for the year and a 6.5% increase in non-IFRS net profit [1] - The target price for JD Logistics was increased from HKD 17.4 to HKD 18, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Management Outlook - Management expressed greater confidence in achieving the annual growth targets, aiming for double-digit growth in total revenue and single-digit growth in non-IFRS net profit [1] - The potential contribution from the newly launched food delivery service is considered, with expectations that annual revenue growth may exceed market forecasts [1]
京东物流(02618.HK):新食品配送增收入动力
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 05:46
Core Insights - JD Logistics reported strong Q2 2025 performance with revenue reaching RMB 51.56 billion, a 17% year-on-year increase, exceeding market expectations [3] - The company's first-party (1P) and third-party (3P) integrated supply chain businesses grew by 31% and 18% respectively, driven by robust performance on the JD platform and support from trade renewal policies [3] - Gross margin improved to 10.6%, significantly up from 7.2% in Q1, although it slightly declined compared to the same period last year [3] Financial Performance - Adjusted net profit was approximately RMB 2.6 billion, aligning with market consensus [3] - The company anticipates continued revenue acceleration in the second half of the year, particularly with the new food delivery business contributing to revenue starting in Q3 [3] - Despite a projected 23% year-on-year decline in net profit for Q3 due to high base effects and increased logistics resource investments, a strong rebound in profitability is expected in Q4 with a projected 35% year-on-year growth [3] Strategic Initiatives - JD Logistics is actively expanding its overseas market presence, having established a self-operated express network, JoyExpress, in Saudi Arabia as of June 2025, with plans to expand into Europe within the year [3] - The company aims to strengthen its core supply chain competitiveness by increasing investments in warehousing and last-mile delivery [3] - Despite facing short-term profit fluctuations, JD Logistics maintains a long-term competitive advantage through its extensive warehousing network and technological capabilities [3]
大行评级|瑞银:上调京东物流目标价至18港元 维持“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-18 05:20
Core Viewpoint - UBS report indicates that JD Logistics' revenue growth of 17% year-on-year in the second quarter surprised the market, with profits meeting expectations [1] Financial Performance - Management expresses greater confidence in achieving annual growth targets, aiming for double-digit growth in total revenue and single-digit growth in non-IFRS net profit [1] - Due to optimistic sentiment, UBS has revised financial forecasts, projecting a 16% revenue growth and a 6.5% increase in non-IFRS net profit for the year [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company is considering the potential contribution of its newly launched food delivery service, which may lead to revenue growth exceeding market expectations [1] Target Price Adjustment - UBS raises the target price for the company from HKD 17.4 to HKD 18, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]
国海证券晨会纪要-20250818
Guohai Securities· 2025-08-18 00:32
Group 1 - The report highlights the resilience at the bottom of the cycle, with the successful advancement of the Alashan Phase II project for Boyuan Chemical [4][7] - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.92 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16%, and a net profit of 740 million yuan, down 39% year-on-year [4][5] - The core product prices and gross margins for soda ash declined, but the increase in production and sales volume helped mitigate the impact of price drops [5][6] Group 2 - The company has successfully acquired multiple electronic gas projects, enhancing its position in the electronic gas market [9][10] - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.114 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.56%, while net profit decreased by 13.44% [9][10] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 26.37%, down 3.69 percentage points year-on-year, but operating cash flow increased significantly by 84.34% [10] Group 3 - 361 Degrees reported H1 2025 revenue of 5.7 billion yuan, an increase of 11% year-on-year, with a net profit of 860 million yuan, also up 8.6% [12][13] - The e-commerce segment saw significant growth, with revenue reaching 1.82 billion yuan, a 45% increase year-on-year [13][14] - The company opened 49 new stores, enhancing its retail presence and brand image [15] Group 4 - Tencent Holdings reported Q2 2025 revenue of 184.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15%, with a net profit of 55.6 billion yuan, up 17% [17][18] - The gaming segment experienced a robust 22% year-on-year growth, with significant contributions from both domestic and international markets [18][19] - The marketing services business grew by 20% year-on-year, driven by strong demand for advertising within the WeChat ecosystem [19] Group 5 - The report indicates that the chromium salt industry is experiencing significant growth, with Zhihua Co. achieving H1 2025 revenue of 2.19 billion yuan, a 10.2% increase year-on-year [29][30] - The company’s gross margin improved to 28.81%, up 3.16 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting effective cost management [29][30] - The effective release of production capacity contributed to a notable increase in sales volume, particularly in chromium oxide and alloy additives [32][33] Group 6 - Yonghe Co. reported H1 2025 revenue of 2.445 billion yuan, a 12.39% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 271 million yuan, up 140.82% [35][36] - The refrigerant segment benefited from favorable supply-demand dynamics, leading to a 26.02% increase in revenue [37] - The company is actively pursuing the development of fourth-generation refrigerants and high-end fluorinated fine chemicals [39] Group 7 - The coal industry showed signs of improvement, with July 2025 coal production at 380 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 3.8% [40][41] - The report notes that the overall coal production growth rate has slowed due to adverse weather conditions and regulatory checks [42] - The performance of major coal companies varied, with some showing production increases while others faced declines [42]
京东物流(02618.HK):收入增长强劲 人力投入提升导致毛利率略降
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-16 19:05
Core Viewpoint - JD Logistics achieved revenue of 98.532 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14.1%, with a net profit of 2.959 billion yuan, up 15.27% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, JD Logistics reported a net profit of 2.959 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.27%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.580 billion yuan, up 13.96% [1] - Adjusted net profit for H1 2025 was 3.339 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.1% [1] - Revenue growth accelerated, with H1 2025 revenue growth of 14.1%, surpassing the 11.0% growth in H1 2024 and the 9.7% growth for the entire year of 2024 [1] Group 2: Revenue Sources - Revenue from JD Group reached 32.46 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.9%, while revenue from external customers was 66.07 billion yuan, up 10.2% [1] - The proportion of revenue from external customers decreased slightly to 67.1% from 69.4% in the same period last year [1] Group 3: Customer Growth and Cost Structure - The number of external integrated supply chain customers increased by 14.5% to 73,700, an improvement from the 5.9% growth in the same period last year [2] - Average revenue per customer remained stable at 239,000 yuan [2] - Operating costs rose to 77.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.2%, slightly outpacing revenue growth [2] Group 4: Profitability and Cost Management - Gross margin slightly declined from 9.8% to 9.0% due to higher employee compensation and outsourcing costs, which grew by 17.1% and 19.2% respectively [2] - The company anticipates that profit margins will improve as scale effects materialize [2] Group 5: Technological Innovation and International Expansion - JD Logistics' self-developed "Smart Wolf" solution has entered a new phase of nationwide replication, enhancing order processing efficiency [2] - The company has expanded its overseas warehouse coverage to 23 countries and regions, launching the self-operated express brand "JoyExpress" in Saudi Arabia [3] - The overseas business is expected to continue growing as the company leverages its logistics network and integrated supply chain capabilities [3] Group 6: Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 6.85 billion, 7.91 billion, and 8.95 billion yuan respectively, maintaining a "recommended" rating [3]
京东物流(2618.HK):收入增长亮眼 业务发展势头强劲
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-16 19:05
Core Viewpoint - JD Logistics reported a revenue increase of 14.1% year-on-year to 98.53 billion yuan in 1H25, with net profit rising by 13.9% to 2.58 billion yuan, slightly exceeding expectations [1] Revenue Performance - Revenue from JD Group and external customers grew by 22.9% and 10.2% respectively in 1H25, with JD Group revenue at 32.46 billion yuan, accounting for 32.9% of total revenue, an increase of 2.4 percentage points [1][2] - External customer revenue reached 66.07 billion yuan, representing 67.1% of total revenue, with integrated supply chain business revenue at 50.11 billion yuan, up 19.9% year-on-year [2] Profitability Analysis - The company's gross margin and Non-IFRS profit margin for 1H25 were 9.0% and 3.4%, down 0.8 and 0.2 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to increased resource investment for business expansion [2][3] - In 2Q25, gross margin and Non-IFRS profit margin were 10.6% and 5.0%, reflecting a decline of 1.3 and 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [2] Business Expansion - The company is increasing logistics infrastructure and personnel, with over 1,600 warehouses and more than 19,000 delivery stations as of June 30, employing over 660,000 operational staff [3] - JD Logistics launched its self-operated express delivery brand JoyExpress in Saudi Arabia, establishing a logistics network covering warehousing, sorting, and last-mile delivery [3] Future Outlook - The company has slightly raised revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 by 2.6% to 210.41 billion, 231.95 billion, and 254.25 billion yuan respectively, while maintaining net profit forecasts at 6.9 billion, 8.1 billion, and 9.38 billion yuan [4] - The target price remains at 16.7 HKD with a "Buy" rating, based on a PE ratio of 14.8x for 2025E [4]