| 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02888 | 說明 | | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | | 事件 | | | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 | | 每股發行/出售價 (註4) | | 已發行股份總數 | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數 目 | | 行股份（不包括庫存股 份）數目百分比 (註3) | 庫存股份數目 | | | | | 於下列日期開始時的結存(註1) | 2025年7月4日 | | 2,332,695,051 | | 0 | | | 2,332,695,051 | | 1). 其他 (請註明) | | | | % | | GBP | 0 | | | 見B部 | | | | | | | | | | 變動日期 2025年 ...

Core Insights - Stablecoins serve as a "dual currency" between decentralized digital currencies and fiat currencies, offering advantages in payment convenience, privacy protection, and value stability, thus becoming a low-cost, high-efficiency payment tool [1] - The recent regulatory policies in the US and Hong Kong have initiated a new "currency war," positioning the stablecoin market as a critical battleground for maintaining US dollar hegemony and promoting the internationalization of the Chinese yuan [1] Group 1: Definition and Mechanism of Stablecoins - Stablecoins are special digital currencies issued by stablecoin developers, large e-commerce companies, and licensed financial institutions, combining the advantages of digital currencies and fiat currencies [2] - The core technology of stablecoins is based on decentralized distributed ledger technology within blockchain systems, enabling direct payment transactions without traditional banking intermediaries [2] Group 2: Types and Issuance Mechanisms of Stablecoins - The main issuance mechanisms for stablecoins include fiat currency collateralized issuance, cryptocurrency collateralized issuance, high liquidity commodity collateralized issuance, and algorithmic uncollateralized issuance, with fiat and cryptocurrency collateralized issuance accounting for over 99.8% of the market [3][4] - Fiat currency collateralized stablecoins are pegged to a single currency or a basket of fiat currencies, while cryptocurrency collateralized stablecoins use cryptocurrencies as collateral, often employing over-collateralization to mitigate market risks [3][4] Group 3: Market Value and Growth of Stablecoins - Since 2020, the stablecoin market has grown from 5 billion to 250 billion USD, with an annual growth rate exceeding 100%, and transaction volumes approaching 37 trillion USD [7] Group 4: Regulatory Landscape and Market Analysis - The regulatory frameworks in China, Hong Kong, and the US differ significantly, with China prioritizing financial sovereignty, Hong Kong focusing on market development, and the US emphasizing the control of underlying technologies to maintain dollar dominance [11][8] - The US stablecoin market is dominated by USDT and USDC, which together account for over 80% of the market share [10] Group 5: Recent Regulatory Developments - The US Senate passed the "GENIUS Act" on May 19, 2025, establishing a federal regulatory framework for stablecoins, requiring issuers to obtain licenses and maintain a 1:1 collateralization ratio with high liquidity assets [14][15] - Hong Kong's "Stablecoin Ordinance," effective August 1, 2025, introduces a licensing regime for stablecoin issuers, ensuring 100% reserve requirements and enhancing market transparency [16][17] Group 6: Applications in Cross-Border Payments and E-commerce - Stablecoins are positioned as a solution to the inefficiencies of traditional cross-border payment systems, significantly reducing costs and transaction times [32] - Major e-commerce giants like JD.com and Ant Group are exploring the issuance of their own stablecoins to enhance financial capabilities and streamline cross-border transactions [35]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is centered around "Dollar Shift: Strategic Decision-Making," emphasizing the favorable conditions for risk assets due to global policy easing, a likely soft landing for the US economy, and a weakening dollar [1][4][21] - The report recommends an overweight position in global equities, particularly increasing the allocation to Asian (excluding Japan) stocks, while maintaining a positive outlook on US stocks due to strong earnings [1][4][21] - In the bond market, the report anticipates a weaker dollar and favors 5-7 year US dollar bonds, as well as an overweight position in emerging market local currency bonds, which are expected to benefit from a soft dollar and potential interest rate cuts by emerging market central banks [1][4][29] Group 2 - The macroeconomic outlook suggests an increased probability of a soft landing for the US economy, with expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the second half of 2025, supported by loose monetary and fiscal policies [2][4][30] - Gold is highlighted as an important diversification tool, with central bank demand expected to support its price, especially when bonds may not perform well [2][30] - The report discusses various asset allocation models, multi-asset income strategies, and insights on client concerns, providing a multi-dimensional analysis of the global market [2][4][46] Group 3 - The report indicates that the dollar is expected to weaken over the next 6-12 months, benefiting the euro, yen, and pound, while the Swiss franc may remain range-bound [1][24][29] - Historical data suggests that a weak dollar typically supports stock performance, particularly for non-US equities, leading to a positive outlook for global stock markets [1][25][28] - The report emphasizes the importance of diversification in investment strategies, particularly in light of potential volatility and geopolitical risks [1][4][30]

FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： 渣打集團有限公司 呈交日期： 2025年7月7日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02888 | 說明 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數 目 | | 佔有關事件前 ...

Core Viewpoint - The news highlights the active performance of stocks related to stablecoins in Hong Kong and A-shares, driven by the recent legislative developments regarding stablecoins in Hong Kong and the growing global interest in the stablecoin market [1][4][5]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Stocks related to stablecoins have shown significant gains, with notable performers including Zhongyi Technology, which reached a 20% increase, and Huafeng Super Fiber, which rose over 13% [1][2]. - Other companies such as Jingbeifang, Qingdao King, and Xinyada also hit their daily limit up, indicating strong market sentiment [1][2]. Group 2: Legislative Developments - Hong Kong's Legislative Council passed the Stablecoin Ordinance, which will take effect in August, igniting market enthusiasm for stablecoins [4]. - The Financial Secretary of Hong Kong announced that the Monetary Authority is consulting the market on the implementation guidelines, which will include anti-money laundering requirements [4]. Group 3: Market Predictions - Standard Chartered predicts that the market size for stablecoins could reach $2 trillion by 2028, while Bernstein forecasts a supply increase to approximately $4 trillion over the next decade [6][7]. - However, JPMorgan expresses skepticism about the mainstream adoption of stablecoins, projecting a market value growth to only $500 billion by 2028 [8][9]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Investment focus should be on issuers, cross-border payment providers, and financial IT service companies, with a particular emphasis on those that can obtain licenses for stablecoin issuance [10][11]. - The stablecoin industry is still in its early stages, and companies with expertise in traditional banking IT and those involved in the digital RMB system are well-positioned to leverage this transition [12]. Group 5: Related Companies - Key players in the stablecoin ecosystem include issuers like Circle and Tether, as well as technology service providers such as Lakala and Xinguang [13].

Core Viewpoint - Standard Chartered Bank anticipates that the Hong Kong Monetary Authority may intervene intermittently in the second half of the year due to the persistent weakness of the Hong Kong dollar [1] Summary by Relevant Categories Currency Exchange - The Hong Kong dollar is expected to maintain an exchange rate around 7.85 against the US dollar over the next 3 to 6 months, which is the weak side of the trading band [1] Monetary Policy - The report indicates that the Hong Kong Monetary Authority may take actions to withdraw liquidity and reduce the surplus in the banking system, a process that typically lasts for 3 to 6 months [1]

FF305 第 1 頁 共 7 頁 v 1.3.0 | 1). | 於2025年6月30日購回但尚未註銷 | | 716,000 | 0.0307 % | GBP | 12.065952 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 變動日期 | 2025年6月30日 | | | | | | 2). | 於2025年7月1日購回但尚未註銷 | | 722,874 | 0.031 % | GBP | 11.839205 | | | 變動日期 | 2025年7月1日 | | | | | | 3). | 於2025年7月2日購回但尚未註銷 | | 738,690 | 0.0317 % | GBP | 12.016686 | | | 變動日期 | 2025年7月2日 | | | | | | 4). | 於2025年7月3日購回但尚未註銷 | | 733,428 | 0.0314 % | GBP | 12.11691 | | | 變動日期 | 2025年7月3日 | | | | | FF305 第 2 頁 共 7 頁 v 1.3.0 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── ...

FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： 渣打集團有限公司 呈交日期： 2025年7月3日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 | | 是 | | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02888 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | | 庫存股份變動 ...

Core Insights - Southbound capital has significantly increased its presence in the Hong Kong stock market, with net inflows exceeding 730 billion HKD this year, marking a historical high for multiple indicators [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong market has shown strong performance in the first half of the year, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 20% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 18.68%, ranking among the top global indices [2]. - In the first half of the year, southbound capital recorded a net inflow of 731.19 billion HKD, the highest for the same period historically, second only to the full-year figure of 807.87 billion HKD in 2024 [2]. - Southbound capital has shown a "buy the dip" strategy, with 30 trading days seeing net inflows exceeding 10 billion HKD, even on days when the Hang Seng Index declined [3]. Group 2: Trading Activity - The trading volume of southbound capital has increased significantly, with its share of the total trading volume in the Hong Kong market rising from 2.98% in 2015 to over 43.12% in the first five months of this year [4]. - In April, southbound capital recorded a net inflow of 166.67 billion HKD, the second-highest monthly inflow in history [2]. Group 3: Policy Support - The increase in southbound capital allocation to Hong Kong stocks is supported by policy measures, including the expansion of eligible stocks for the Stock Connect programs and the extension of tax incentives until 2027 [4]. Group 4: Sector Performance - The banking sector has seen significant increases in holdings by southbound capital, with major banks like China Construction Bank and HSBC among the top beneficiaries [6]. - The Hang Seng Index for mainland Chinese banks rose by 25.94% in the first half of the year, outperforming other key indices [6]. Group 5: Valuation Opportunities - "A+H" bank stocks are attracting southbound capital due to their lower valuations and higher dividend yields in the Hong Kong market compared to their A-share counterparts [7]. - Among 15 "A+H" bank stocks, 13 have A-share premium rates exceeding 10%, indicating a strong preference for H-shares due to their relative value [7].

渣打银行分析师Geoff Kendrick在一份报告中表示，随着比特币ETF和企业财务购买量的增加，比特币 可能在今年下半年达到历史新高。他说，第二季度这些资金流入总额为24.5万美元，第三和第四季度可 能会超过这一水平。如果特朗普提前宣布美联储主席鲍威尔的继任者，比特币也会上涨，因为这可能促 使市场更快地定价更多的降息。美国可能通过的稳定币法案也将支持比特币。渣打预计，比特币价格将 在第三季度升至13.5万美元，到年底升至20万美元。 ...