该行表示，26年AI内容裂变爆发，从B端扩圈到C端特征加强带动可灵用增和流水再上台阶。(1)截至25 年12月，可灵在全球拥有6000万创作者、合作超3万家企业用户，累计生成超6亿个视频。如何理解这个 数量级?快手2017年视频存量超21亿个，是6年积攒下的数据;可灵发布1年半时间，生成视频的数量已占 当时的近30%。(2)可灵25年12月底起动作控制在海外出圈，ST数据显示移动端26年以来日均收入，较 12月1日-12月17日均值增长171%，DAU则增长152%，下载量增长1385%。可灵在"精确控制和稳定 性"上的碾压式优势，迁移到C端功能模板上同样重要，看好后续类似C端功能模板可灵的领先性。 东方证券发布研报称，维持快手-W(01024)"买入"评级，预测公司25-27年经调整归母净利润为 204/225/259亿元。维持此前给予公司26年18xPE估值，对应合理价值为4,048亿CNY，折合4,502亿 HKD(港币兑人民币汇率0.899)，目标价103.27港元/股。该行预计26年公司主业继续稳健增长，收入端 同比增长9%至1549亿元，其中广告业务同增10%、其他业务同增21%;利润端经调整利润 ...

Core Viewpoint - Dongfang Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Kuaishou-W (01024), predicting adjusted net profit for 2025-2027 to be 20.4 billion, 22.5 billion, and 25.9 billion CNY respectively, with a target price of 103.27 HKD per share [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 9% year-on-year to 154.9 billion CNY in 2026, with advertising business growing by 10% and other businesses by 21% [1] - Adjusted profit for 2026 is projected to be 22.5 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10% [1] Group 2: Kuaishou's Product Performance - Kuaishou's product "Keling" is expected to reach an Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of 240 million USD by December 2025, with a significant growth of 140% from 100 million USD in March 2025 [1][2] - As of December 2025, Keling has 60 million creators and over 30,000 enterprise users, generating over 600 million videos, which is nearly 30% of the total videos generated by Kuaishou in its first six years [2] Group 3: Market Expansion and User Engagement - Keling's daily average revenue increased by 171% from December 1-17, 2026, with Daily Active Users (DAU) growing by 152% and download volume increasing by 1385% [2] - The company is focusing on expanding its reach from B-end to C-end, enhancing user engagement and revenue generation [2]

Group 1: Medical Service Price Trends - Recent data shows that medical service prices have increased, with a year-on-year rise of 2.9% in December, significantly higher than the overall CPI increase of 0.8%[10] - The rise in medical service prices is driven by regional adjustments in government-guided pricing, indicating a nationwide trend towards higher medical service costs[10] - The adjustment of medical service prices is not uniform; it reflects a structural change where labor costs for medical staff are increasing while some consumables are decreasing in price[14] Group 2: Economic Implications and Consumer Behavior - The healthcare expenditure as a percentage of total spending is higher in rural areas (10.7%) compared to urban areas (8.3%), indicating a greater financial burden on rural residents[20] - The ongoing reforms in medical service pricing are expected to improve hospital revenues, with estimates suggesting an increase of approximately 2.86 billion yuan in total hospital income across various regions[20] - The introduction of self-paid medical services may create a new revenue stream, allowing hospitals to enhance service quality and meet higher consumer demands[21] Group 3: Policy and Regulatory Changes - The recent revision of the Pricing Law allows for more flexible government pricing mechanisms, which may lead to future price increases in public services, including education and healthcare[33] - The dynamic adjustment mechanism for medical service prices is designed to ensure that changes occur only when the healthcare fund is stable, minimizing the impact on basic living standards[22] - The government is encouraging the provision of specialized medical services that are fully self-funded, which could support price increases while balancing the financial responsibilities of residents and hospitals[21]

Core Insights - Small nucleic acid drugs are emerging as potential leaders in the weight loss sector, shifting from merely "suppressing appetite" to "precisely regulating fat metabolism" [1][2] - The global weight loss market still has unmet needs despite the rapid uptake of GLP-1 drugs, which face issues such as rebound weight gain and gastrointestinal intolerance [2] - Domestic companies are quickly establishing small nucleic acid weight loss pipelines, focusing on targets, delivery platforms, and indications to unlock potential value in health weight loss and fatty liver disease [1][2] Group 1: INHBE Insights - INHBE, which encodes activin E, interacts with the ALK7 receptor in adipose tissue to inhibit fat breakdown, presenting a differentiated clinical value with strong drug development certainty [3] - Early clinical data for INHBE siRNA shows safety and efficacy in long-term fat loss while preserving muscle mass, with combined therapy yielding doubled weight loss and tripled visceral fat reduction compared to GLP-1 [3] - The GalNAc delivery system used for INHBE siRNA has proven clinical development certainty due to existing successful drugs like inclisiran [3] Group 2: ALK7 Insights - ALK7 siRNA requires a targeted delivery system to adipose tissue, with early clinical data indicating significant mRNA knockdown efficiency and sustained effects [4] - ARO-ALK7 demonstrated superior reduction in visceral fat compared to INHBE, with a 14.1% reduction observed at the 8-week mark after a single 200 mg dose [4] - The breakthrough in fat-targeted delivery systems is crucial for the competitive landscape of small nucleic acid drugs [4] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Relevant investment targets include companies such as Heng Rui Medicine, Innovent Biologics, and others involved in small nucleic acid drugs [5] - The potential for small nucleic acid drugs in the weight loss market is significant, with various companies positioned to capitalize on this emerging trend [5]

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 China Enterprise ESG "Golden Responsibility Award" aims to recognize companies and institutions that have made significant contributions to ESG initiatives in China, reflecting a shift from voluntary practices to compliance requirements in ESG performance [1][18]. Group 1: Award Categories and Winners - The award includes ten categories: Best Environmental Responsibility Award, Best Social Responsibility Award, Best Corporate Governance Responsibility Award, Best Responsibility Initiative Award, Annual Sustainable Development Award, Best Responsible Investment Bank Award, Best Responsible Investment Securities Company Award, Best Responsible Investment Insurance Company Award, Best Responsible Investment Fund Company Award, and Best Responsible Investment Asset Management Institution Award [1][18]. - The Best Environmental Responsibility Award winners include: Sungrow Power Supply, Industrial Fulian, Kweichow Moutai, Geely Automobile, Haier Smart Home, Hisense Visual Technology, Linyang Electronics, Tongwei Co., Weichai Power, and Luxshare Precision [10][28]. - The Best Social Responsibility Award winners include: China Shenhua, China General Nuclear Power, China Resources Sanjiu, Sinopec, Shougang, Wuliangye, Yangtze Power, China Telecom, China Oilfield Services, and LONGi Green Energy [10][28]. - The Best Corporate Governance Responsibility Award winners include: Zijin Mining, SF Holding, ZTE Corporation, Industrial Fulian, JA Solar, Sany Heavy Industry, Nanjing Steel, Bright Dairy, TCL Zhonghuan, and Fuyao Glass [10][28]. - The Best Responsibility Initiative Award winners include: FiberHome Technologies, Wens Foodstuff Group, Haitian Flavoring and Food, Aier Eye Hospital, Yunnan Baiyao, Anker Innovations, Kingfa Sci. & Tech., Huatai Securities, Silex, and Hainengda [11][28]. - The Annual Sustainable Development Award winners include: China General Nuclear Power, Sungrow Power Supply, Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Zijin Mining, Hikvision, Yili, Baosteel, Chint Electric, and China Mobile [11][28]. Group 2: Responsible Investment Awards - The Best Responsible Investment Bank Award winners include: Agricultural Bank of China, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, China Construction Bank, China Merchants Bank, Industrial Bank, and Bank of China [11][28]. - The Best Responsible Investment Securities Company Award winners include: Guotai Junan, Everbright Securities, CITIC Securities, Huatai Securities, and CICC [12][28]. - The Best Responsible Investment Insurance Company Award winners include: China Life Insurance, China Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, China Re, Sunshine Insurance, and China Life [13][28]. - The Best Responsible Investment Fund Company Award winners include: Bosera Funds, Southern Fund, China Asset Management, Penghua Fund, Huitianfu Fund, and E Fund [14][28]. - The Best Responsible Investment Asset Management Institution Award winners include: China Life Asset Management, Huaxia Wealth Management, Xingyin Wealth Management, Taikang Asset, Taikang Asset, and Galaxy Investment [15][28]. Group 3: ESG Development Context - By 2025, China's ESG development has transitioned from "setting standards" to "strengthening regulations," with a comprehensive disclosure standard system being established [1][18]. - The ESG performance of enterprises is now a compliance requirement, linking commercial value with social value [1][18]. - The ESG rating center aims to promote sustainable development and responsible investment, enhancing the ESG performance of listed companies [17][34].

Core Viewpoint - Oriental Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Alibaba-W (09988), forecasting FY2026-2028 revenues of 1,030.7 billion, 1,143.2 billion, and 1,251.8 billion yuan, with adjusted net profits of 91.6 billion, 135.8 billion, and 176.1 billion yuan respectively. The estimated market value of the company is 35,656 billion yuan, corresponding to a per-share value of 207.7 HKD, driven by AI in Alibaba Cloud and a steady reduction in losses in e-commerce despite industry challenges [1]. E-commerce Sector - The e-commerce industry is experiencing a slowdown, with a projected FY26Q3 CMR of 1,054.8 billion yuan (yoy +3.4%). The overall growth rate is declining due to high base effects and tax policy impacts, with online retail growth rates of 4.9% and 1.5% in October and November 2025 respectively, showing significant deceleration [1]. - The company has increased its commission rate by 0.6%, which has neutralized the positive impact on CMR, indicating continued pressure in the first half of FY26 due to high base effects [1]. Instant Retail - The estimated loss for the company's instant retail business in FY26Q3 is around 21.5 billion yuan, with an average loss per unit of 3.7 yuan, improved from the expected 4.0 yuan. The quarter shows a clear trend of reduced losses, with healthy market share and order structure [2]. - Taobao Flash, as a key high-frequency consumption scenario, plays a significant role in user retention and traffic within the ecosystem, with expectations for continued investment in maintaining market share and reducing losses in the medium to long term [2]. Cloud Intelligence Group - The Cloud Intelligence Group is expected to achieve revenues of 434.9 billion yuan in FY26Q3 (yoy +37.0%), with external revenue accelerating significantly compared to Q2. The demand for AI cloud services continues to grow rapidly, supported by increased investments in AI applications [3]. - Alibaba Cloud, as the only full-stack AI cloud provider in China, is anticipated to benefit from a flywheel effect that drives both revenue and profit growth through enhanced demand for computing power and application scenarios [3]. Other Segments - The AIDC segment is projected to incur a loss of 1.89 billion yuan in FY26Q3, primarily due to increased seasonal losses from promotional activities. The segment is expected to continue its trend of reduced losses [4]. - Other segments are expected to incur a total loss of 7.12 billion yuan in FY26Q3, driven by increased spending on AI model training and applications. The company is enhancing its AI product offerings and increasing investments in consumer-facing AI applications [4]. AI Application Development - Alibaba's model development capabilities are strong, with ongoing enhancements in multi-modal and agent capabilities. Upcoming releases of major model updates are expected to further expand AI application scenarios [5]. - The company is optimistic about the potential breakthroughs in native AI applications and the empowerment of other business segments through AI advancements [5].

Core Viewpoint - Oriental Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Alibaba-W (09988), predicting revenue for FY2026-2028 to be 1,030.7 billion, 1,143.2 billion, and 1,251.8 billion yuan, with adjusted net profits of 91.6 billion, 135.8 billion, and 176.1 billion yuan respectively. The estimated market value of the company is 35,656 billion yuan, corresponding to a per-share value of 207.7 HKD, driven by AI in Alibaba Cloud and a steady reduction in losses in e-commerce despite industry challenges [1]. E-commerce Sector - The e-commerce industry is experiencing a slowdown, with a projected CMR of 1,054.8 billion yuan for FY26Q3, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.4%. The overall growth rate has declined due to high base effects and policy impacts, with online retail growth rates of 4.9% and 1.5% in October and November 2025 respectively, showing significant month-on-month declines [2]. - The instant retail business is expected to incur losses of around 21.5 billion yuan in FY26Q3, with an average loss per order of 3.7 yuan. However, there is a notable improvement in user engagement and order structure, indicating a healthy trend. The Taobao flash sales are crucial for user retention and traffic within the ecosystem, and the company remains committed to maintaining market share [3]. Cloud Intelligence Group - The Cloud Intelligence Group is expected to achieve revenue of 434.9 billion yuan in FY26Q3, representing a year-on-year increase of 37.0%. The growth is driven by AI demand, with significant investments in AI applications since Q3 2025. Alibaba Cloud, as the only full-stack AI cloud provider in China, is anticipated to benefit from a flywheel effect that boosts both revenue and profit [4]. Other Segments - The AIDC segment is projected to incur a loss of 1.89 billion yuan in FY26Q3 due to increased promotional spending. However, the segment is expected to continue its trend of reducing losses. Overall losses for other segments are estimated at 7.12 billion yuan, primarily due to increased spending on AI model training and new AI applications [5]. AI Application Development - Alibaba's strong capabilities in model development are being enhanced, with new models expected to be released throughout 2026. The company is focusing on expanding AI application scenarios, which is anticipated to empower other business areas within its ecosystem [6].

Core Viewpoint - The appointment of Liu Xiaojun as the chairman of Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank is expected to enhance the execution of the bank's strategy focused on identifying and addressing gaps while tapping into potential growth areas [1] Group 1: Leadership and Strategy - Liu Xiaojun has been officially approved as the chairman of Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank as of January 8 [1] - The new chairman aims to leverage "four major advantages" and develop "three new driving forces" (digital drive, industrial chain drive, and scenario circle drive) to deepen the bank's strategic positioning in retail and technology [1] - The strategy includes addressing shortcomings and exploring potential, with a focus on consolidating advantages in urban and rural banking [1] Group 2: Financial Performance and Valuation - The bank aims to enhance its asset under management (AUM) and increase its middle-income revenue simultaneously [1] - After a period of preparation, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank is expected to enter a performance verification phase [1] - The current valuation shows potential for upward movement and a high dividend safety margin, with a target price set at 8.29 yuan per share, maintaining a "buy" rating [1] - Comparable companies are valued at a 2026 price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.57, with a 10% premium leading to a target PB of 0.63 for Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Dongfang Securities is expected to benefit from both internal drivers and external integration opportunities, with governance improvements enhancing the potential for mergers and acquisitions [1] - The asset management sector is showing signs of recovery, with stable fixed income investment returns and an increase in equity self-operated scale and directional exposure, while credit impairment is narrowing [1] - There are indications of accelerated strategic execution following management adjustments, with potential signals for capital operations or merger integrations [1] Group 2 - The market performance of Dongfang Securities is anticipated to improve if there are expectations for external expansion, especially given the recent trends in the brokerage sector where firms with merger and acquisition logic have led the market [1] - The estimated target price for Dongfang Securities is 15.06 yuan, representing a potential upside of 38% based on a valuation of 1.50x PB for 2026 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongfang Securities highlights that Lek Electric is building an ecological foundation with diversified businesses, countering the market perception of it being a traditional home appliance manufacturer with limited growth potential [1] Group 1: Business Diversification - The company is perceived as a traditional home appliance manufacturer, particularly in the vacuum cleaner sector, which is seen as having no growth space [1] - Dongfang Securities believes that the company's two core capabilities will enable it to become a more diversified entity [1] Group 2: Recent Acquisitions and Growth - The company completed the restructuring of its overseas production capacity in home appliances, leading to imminent profit improvements [1] - In 2021, the company acquired Shanghai Pache, entering the new energy vehicle die-casting business, with continuous improvement in orders and profitability [1] - In 2023, the company acquired Lihua Technology, focusing on PCBA business, primarily serving communications and consumer electronics, equipped with Siemens placement machines to meet AI product production requirements [1] Group 3: Future Prospects - The company's motor layout can extend into the robotics field, and it is investing in DPU, a potential IPO target, the digital chip unicorn Cloud Leopard Intelligence, indicating a multi-faceted approach to new fields [1] - Based on comparable company valuation methods, a target price of 42.63 yuan is set for 2026, with a 21 times earnings multiple, and a "buy" rating is initiated [1]