制冷剂配额约束下供给刚性，看好制冷剂景气周期 2026年三代制冷剂生产配额总量为797844吨，内用配额394082吨，相较于2025年，2026年三代制冷剂生 产配额总量增加5962吨，内用配额增加4502吨。2026年生产配额增量主要是R32增加1171吨，R134a增 加3242吨，R245fa增加2918吨；配额减少的有R143a减少1255吨、R227ea减少517吨以及R152a减少63 吨。 三代制冷剂价格延续涨势 根据百川盈孚，截止2025年12月12日，主流三代制冷剂及混配品种R134a/R125/R32/R410价格为 57500/45500/62500/54000元/吨，周涨幅+1.77%/+1.11%/0.00%/+0.93%，月涨幅 +6.48%/+1.11%/+0.00%/+0.93%，季涨幅+11.65%/+1.11%/+2.46%/+6.93%，年涨幅 +43.75%/+19.74%/+56.25%/+42.11%。 制冷需求延续增长，根据国家统计局，2025年1-10月国内空调产量累计值23034万台，同比+3.00%，出 口延续高基数，出口数量5243万台，同比-1.10% ...

消息面上，长江证券、东吴证券近期公告，宣布上调两融业务规模上限。据不完全统计，2025年以来至 少9家券商公开调整两融业务，包括上调业务规模上限、调整授信管理方式等。东吴证券指出，此次调 整主要为缓解今年以来两融业务规模增长带来的授信额度短缺压力，为未来新开户业务的顺利开展提供 保障。 开源证券发布研报称，证监会近期表态积极具有明确信号意义，行业经历严监管重塑后有望进入"政策 宽松期"，后续杠杆上限提高等政策松绑有望直接助力行业 ROE 实现新突破；投行、公募基金等业务有 望接棒传统业务，支持证券行业盈利景气度；美联储降息直接利好券商国际业务盈利改善，当下券商板 块估值仍在低位，继续看好战略性布局机会。 中资券商股逆市上涨，截至发稿，招商证券（600999）(06099)涨4.81%，报14.16港元；东方证券 （600958）(03958)涨2.62%，报7.06港元；申万宏源（000166）(06806)涨2.29%，报3.13港元；中信建投 （601066）证券(06066)涨1.51%，报12.76港元。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，东方证券发布研报称，内销方面，国补拉动效应虽边际放缓，但"两新"政策优化、 延续，有望激活家电更大消费潜能，白电龙头公司的一级能效产品占比更高，以旧换新内控管理流程更 成熟，受益更明显；出海仍为长期主线，多元化产能布局公司占优，看好家电龙头的稳健经营能力。 主线三：主业业绩稳健，有望开拓第二成长曲线，相关标的：安孚科技。 东方证券主要观点如下： 两新"政策优化、延续，有望激活家电更大消费潜能 2025年12月11日，中央经济工作会议闭幕，会议明确定调：强调"内需主导、建设强大国内市场"，优 化"新一轮大规模设备更新和以旧换新"政策实施，提出深化拓展"人工智能+"；对外开放方面，推进免 税与外贸、数字/绿色贸易、完善海外服务体系与自贸试验区布局，利好出口链与跨境渠道持续改善。 根据商务部统计，2025年1-11月，家电以旧换新超12844万台，带动相关商品销售额超2.5万亿元，惠及 3.6亿多人次。该行认为，"两新"政策延续已明确，后续在商品消费（如国补/以旧换新延续）与服务消 费（消费券）层面有望形成需求端的持续刺激，同时"AI+消费硬件"（如清洁电器、家庭服务机器人、 AI眼镜、运动相机 ...

每经AI快讯，中资券商股逆市上涨。截至发稿，招商证券(06099.HK)涨4.81%，报14.16港元；东方证券 (03958.HK)涨2.62%，报7.06港元；申万宏源(06806.HK)涨2.29%，报3.13港元；中信建投证券 (06066.HK)涨1.51%，报12.76港元。 ...

中资券商股早盘逆市上涨，截至发稿，招商证券（06099）上涨4.37%，报14.10港元；东方证券 （03958）上涨2.18%，报7.03港元；申万宏源（06806）上涨1.96%，报3.12港元；中信建投证券 （06066）上涨1.27%，报12.73港元。 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 责任编辑：卢昱君 客户端 中资券商股早盘逆市上涨，截至发稿，招商证券（06099）上涨4.37%，报14.10港元；东方证券 （03958）上涨2.18%，报7.03港元；申万宏源（06806）上涨1.96%，报3.12港元；中信建投证券 （06066）上涨1.27%，报12.73港元。 责任编辑：卢昱君 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 ...

智通财经APP获悉，中资券商股逆市上涨，截至发稿，招商证券(06099)涨4.81%，报14.16港元；东方证 券(03958)涨2.62%，报7.06港元；申万宏源(06806)涨2.29%，报3.13港元；中信建投证券(06066)涨 1.51%，报12.76港元。 消息面上，长江证券、东吴证券近期公告，宣布上调两融业务规模上限。据不完全统计，2025年以来至 少9家券商公开调整两融业务，包括上调业务规模上限、调整授信管理方式等。东吴证券指出，此次调 整主要为缓解今年以来两融业务规模增长带来的授信额度短缺压力，为未来新开户业务的顺利开展提供 保障。 开源证券发布研报称，证监会近期表态积极具有明确信号意义，行业经历严监管重塑后有望进入"政策 宽松期"，后续杠杆上限提高等政策松绑有望直接助力行业 ROE 实现新突破；投行、公募基金等业务有 望接棒传统业务，支持证券行业盈利景气度；美联储降息直接利好券商国际业务盈利改善，当下券商板 块估值仍在低位，继续看好战略性布局机会。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The food and beverage sector is currently at a historical low valuation, with the core issue being performance. A demand turning point is expected in 2026, where traditional consumption (such as liquor and restaurant supply chains) may see a bottom reversal and elasticity release after sufficient performance adjustments. New consumption is anticipated to maintain high prosperity due to structural dividends, leading to a coexistence of overall recovery and structural prosperity in the sector [1][2]. Group 1: Performance and Valuation - The food and beverage sector from 2021 to 2024 will primarily focus on performance release to eliminate valuation bubbles. By the end of 2025, sector valuations are expected to return to historical low ranges, but sluggish consumer power will keep the sector in a performance adjustment phase, with the core issue reverting to the performance side [2]. - The sector is expected to experience a significant performance recovery in 2026, with traditional consumption showing potential for performance elasticity release after a bottoming out phase [4]. Group 2: Structural Changes and Consumption Trends - The economic structural transformation and the recovery of household balance sheets are expected to make 2026 a demand-side turning point. The coexistence of "L-shaped" demand and structural characteristics in consumption is anticipated, with new consumption maintaining performance prosperity while old consumption undergoes performance clearance [3]. - The structural characteristics of consumption in China will continue for a considerable time, driven by high tolerance for innovation, with new categories, channels, and markets expected to continuously drive performance release in consumer goods [5]. Group 3: Traditional vs. New Consumption - Traditional consumption, particularly liquor, is expected to be a key indicator in 2026, with anticipated performance adjustments leading to a phase of improvement. This will mark the bottoming of food and beverage performance, with certain segments like frozen foods, seasonings, and dairy products showing good inventory and low performance baselines [4]. - New consumption is characterized by ongoing structural dividends, with the sector benefiting from the economic transformation and demographic cycles, ensuring sustained high performance levels [5].

Group 1 - The report highlights the recent performance of various industries, with notable gains in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, electronics, and power equipment, while retail and real estate sectors faced declines [1][1][1] - The central economic work conference emphasized the importance of technological breakthroughs and supply-demand optimization, indicating a shift towards quality improvement in economic growth [11][12][19] - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing significant growth, with the establishment of a dedicated regulatory body and a notable increase in the commercial aerospace index, which has risen by 46.52% since April 7 [47][48] Group 2 - The report indicates a seasonal recovery in social financing, with November seeing an increase of 24,885 billion yuan, driven primarily by government bond issuance [4][7] - The credit environment is showing signs of marginal improvement, particularly in corporate loans, which increased by 6,100 billion yuan in November, reflecting a recovery in demand [5][6] - The report notes that the retail sector is undergoing a transformation, with a focus on quality, as highlighted by the Ministry of Commerce's emphasis on retail quality upgrades [1][1][1] Group 3 - The report discusses the rising interest in inquiry transfers, which have seen a significant increase in both project numbers and transfer scale, indicating a growing trend in the market [51][52] - The technology sector is expected to remain a key focus, with upcoming events such as the Volcano Engine FORCE conference anticipated to showcase advancements in AI and cloud services [56]

来源：国际协作站 12月9日，东方证券（600958.SH）一纸公告炸了上海金融圈原董事长龚德雄卸任。 转天，上海国际集团官网就挂出消息，龚德雄任党委副书记、总裁。 当时不少老员工嘀咕，"又是这些词儿，能落地吗？" 战略定了，得有人去啃硬骨头。 2024年10月，民生证券投行老将梁军被挖来当董事总经理，据说龚德雄亲自谈了三次，就盯着人家手里 的几个科创板项目。 同个月，首席信息官卢大印直接升副总裁，专管数字化，办公室就在龚德雄隔壁。 有人来就得有人走。 这事儿在圈内议论不少，有人说这是"回家"，也有人好奇，从头部券商一把手到地方金融控股平台总 裁，这步棋到底藏着什么门道。 东方证券的"百日维新"，战略、人、业绩的三重答卷 龚德雄接掌东方证券是2024年11月，满打满算刚过一年。 上任没几天，他就在内部会议上扔出"三步走"战略，数字化要做"智能投顾+数据中台"，集团化要打通 资管、投行、研究的墙，国际化重点啃下东南亚市场。 分管财富管理的副总裁徐海宁年底辞职，据说跟战略重心转向机构业务有关。 但留下的人也没闲着，首席研究总监陈刚、首席投资官吴泽智年底双双升副总裁，等于把研究和资管的 核心骨干绑在了战车上。 转过 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the insurance sector, recommending specific companies such as China Pacific Insurance, China Ping An, China Life (H), and China Taiping, while also recommending New China Life Insurance [4][17]. Core Insights - The financial industry experienced a mixed performance, with the non-bank financial index rising by 0.81%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.89 percentage points. The insurance sector showed a notable increase of 2.36%, while the banking sector declined by 1.77% [2][11]. - The central economic work conference emphasized a proactive fiscal policy, which is expected to benefit the insurance sector by increasing infrastructure asset supply and improving credit risk perceptions [14][15]. - The report highlights the potential for valuation recovery in the brokerage sector, driven by regulatory changes that align public fund interests with long-term investor returns [18][19]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Performance and Sector Insights - The non-bank financial index rose by 0.81%, with the insurance sector outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.44 percentage points [2][11]. - The banking sector underperformed, with a decline of 1.77%, attributed to macroeconomic policy expectations [3][21]. 2. Insurance Sector Data Tracking - The insurance sector's premium income showed steady growth, with life insurance and property insurance premiums increasing by 9.6% and 4.0% year-on-year, respectively [17][26]. - The report notes that the 10-year government bond yield decreased to 1.84%, which is favorable for the insurance sector's investment strategies [31]. 3. Brokerage Sector Data Tracking - The brokerage sector's PB valuation stands at 1.37x, indicating potential for valuation recovery as earnings improve [19][42]. - Regulatory changes in public fund sales are expected to enhance the industry's focus on long-term investor interests [18][19]. 4. Banking Sector Data Tracking - The banking sector's PB valuation is at 0.54x, suggesting it remains undervalued [21][25]. - The central economic work conference's focus on domestic demand and flexible monetary policy is expected to support the banking sector's growth [22][23].