来源：东方证券股份有限公司 研究结论 2026 年资产配置有一长一短两个挑战。中长期来看，我国进入低利率时期，过去很长时间在我国资产 配置中发挥重要作用的股债对冲效果将不及过往。短期来看，过去几年我国进入新旧动能切换，投资者 风险偏好向两端走。及至当前，海内外对我国国家治理能力的信心与日俱增，经济和通胀数据仍有待修 复但我国科技产业发展的态势欣欣向荣，悲观者修正预期，乐观者更加理性，投资者风险偏好正在从两 端向中间回归。 低利率背景下资产配置关注增收和降波。增收主要通过拓宽两类资产，降波主要用好三项工具。许多成 熟市场都曾经历过低利率阶段，以长期业绩亮眼的耶鲁捐赠基金和桥水基金为例，可见拓展海外资产和 另类资产是低利率时期实现增收的重要途径。但资产类型的拓展不可避免会带来不确定性上行，从而需 要通过风险对冲、风险转嫁、风险规避等手段进行更精细化的风险管理。 风偏回归背景下关注低波策略加弹性、高波策略控风险。前者包括固收类资产关注境内交易机会和境外 票息机会，权益资产从红利逐渐转向中盘蓝筹，其他资产关注黄金等商品机会；后者主要包括海外资产 从美股向其他国家适当分散，A 股将部分科技转向中盘蓝筹，组合层面关注商品 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The non-bank financial index increased by 0.81%, outperforming the CSI 300 index which decreased by 0.08%. The brokerage and insurance sectors continue to show good trends, with valuations at low levels and relatively stagnant performance throughout the year. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are beneficial for the equity market, directly favoring the profitability of securities firms' overseas businesses due to lower liability costs and asset expansion [4][5] - The average daily trading volume of stock funds reached 2.39 trillion, a 15.1% increase month-on-month, indicating a recovery in trading activity. The cumulative average daily trading volume for the year is 2.05 trillion, a 69.5% year-on-year increase [5] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission's recent positive stance signals a potential "policy easing period" for the industry, which may lead to an increase in leverage limits and support for the profitability of the securities industry. The report recommends focusing on strategic opportunities in undervalued leading companies in the brokerage and insurance sectors [5][6] Summary by Sections Brokerage Sector - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are favorable for the overseas business of brokerages, and new regulations are set to standardize fund sales practices. The report highlights three main lines of recommended stocks: Huatai Securities, Guotai Junan, and CICC for their advantages in overseas and institutional business; GF Securities and Dongfang Securities for their wealth management strengths; and Guosen Securities for its retail advantages [5][6][7] Insurance Sector - The liability side is expected to achieve a "good start," with the transformation of dividend insurance continuing to progress. The demand for "savings" from residents is likely to persist, and the insurance distribution channel is expected to maintain high growth. On the asset side, stable long-term interest rates and a favorable equity market are expected to boost investment returns in the medium to long term [6][7]

来源：乔叔观潮 2023年，龚德雄来到东方证券，没多久公司风格就变了。过去的稳妥做法被他打破，新官上任没等风 凉，他直接动手，把核心高管团队换了一遍，旗下的明星资管和基金公司也接连换了领导。 这一波操作让东方证券整个气场都不一样了。数据不会骗人，2025年前三季度，公司营业收入、净利润 都涨了不少，经纪、投行和自营业务也一路高歌 最抢眼的是基金投顾，服务了二十多万投资者，这数目在行业里很能打。 但是，改革总是有两面，资产管理规模缩水了近四成，一度让人忧心。可第三季度资产管理收入开始回 温，证明他的改革方案开始见效。 正当大家关注东方证券的业绩能不能持久时，龚德雄却突然离开了，"强基固本"的评价也成了送别他的 最好注脚。 上海国际集团：更大的舞台和新角色 龚德雄的新头衔，是上海国际集团党委副书记兼总裁。 相比东方证券，这家公司属于更高一层的上海金融"指挥台"，控制着几家大银行、保险巨头，还刚完成 国泰君安和海通证券的合并，能掌舵这样的平台，压力和机会都不是一个量级。 这几年，上海力推金融国资整合，不只拼资产，更拼协同。 上海国际集团承担的不只是资产投入，更重要的是让旗下的证券、银行、保险和金融市场平台实现资源 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes that new regulations in fund sales are reshaping the fund ecosystem, creating opportunities for investment as the spring market approaches [1][2] - The insurance sector is expected to see high growth in performance, supported by the introduction of a new commercial health insurance drug directory, which encourages product innovation [2][16] - The report suggests focusing on specific stocks within the insurance sector, including Xinhua Insurance, China Life, Ping An, and others, as they are likely to benefit from these developments [2][16] Weekly Performance - As of December 13, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index reported a decrease of 0.34%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.84% [11] - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.95 trillion yuan, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 15.14% [6] Industry Dynamics and Weekly Commentary Insurance Sector - The performance of listed insurance companies is expected to continue high growth, with long-term interest rate spreads showing marginal improvement [13][16] - The 10-year government bond yield was 1.84%, down 1 basis point from the previous week, providing a supportive environment for insurance stock valuations [13][16] Securities Sector - The issuance of the "Publicly Raised Securities Investment Fund Sales Behavior Norms (Draft for Comments)" aims to systematically regulate sales behavior and protect investor rights [17][18] - The new regulations mark a shift from a scale-driven approach to one focused on investor interests, promoting a fundamental transformation in the industry [18][23] Key Company Valuation and Financial Analysis - The report provides detailed valuation metrics for key companies in the insurance and securities sectors, indicating a "Buy" rating for several firms based on their projected earnings and price-to-earnings ratios [7][8] - For instance, Ping An is rated with a target price of 76.65 yuan per share, while Xinhua Insurance has a target price of 94.21 yuan per share, reflecting strong expected performance [7] Regulatory and Policy Environment - The national financial system work conference emphasized the need for risk prevention, strong regulation, and promotion of high-quality development in the financial sector [25][26] - The focus will be on stabilizing the market, enhancing financial governance, and addressing local government debt risks, which will shape the future landscape of the financial industry [25][29]

参与此次调研的睿远基金是一家以价值投资、研究驱动和长期投资风格为主的长期价值投资机构，聚焦 于权益投资和固定收益投资领域。截至目前，管理基金数量5只，其中睿远成长价值混合A最新单位净 值为1.9589，近一年增长61.37%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 调研情况显示，伟创电气正全面推进"一核两新"战略布局，在机器人领域取得显著进展，近期发布了 12mm-21mm微型无框电机、6-16mm空心杯电机、轴向磁通电机等新品，并推出6DOF腱绳仿生驱动灵 巧手、超短款谐波关节模组等具身智能核心部件，产品精准适配AGV/AMR、服务机器人等应用场景， 公司凭借技术积累获得移动机器人产业联盟颁发的"十年荣耀 移动机器人供应链质量标杆奖"。 在船舶与海工领域，公司AC800系列及AC310-Pro系列变频器已获得中国船级社型式认可证书，推出涵 盖电力推进、轴带发电、电池/氢燃料电池混合动力直流组网以及纯电新能源船舶等应用场景的产品与 系统解决方案；绿色能源方面，公司围绕光伏、储能、氢能等方向，成功推出光伏扬水系统、VPS系列 微电网混合逆变器、制氢系统及电动 ...

东方证券股份有限公司（以下简称"东方证券"）于12月8日晚间发布公告称，董事长龚德雄因工作调动，向董事会递交辞呈，申请辞去董事长、执行董事及 董事会战略与可持续发展委员会主任委员、薪酬与提名委员会委员等职务。辞职后，龚德雄将不再担任东方证券及控股子公司任何职务。 根据公告，龚德雄的辞职报告自送达董事会之日起生效。其原定任期至2027年11月21日，此次离任属于提前卸任。东方证券表示，龚德雄的离任不会导致董 事会成员低于法定人数，其本人已确认与董事会之间并无意见分歧。此次人事变动此前已有征兆，上海发布在11月14日的信息已披露，龚德雄拟提名任市管 企业经理班子正职。 根据东方证券《公司章程》规定，在新任董事长选举产生前，由副董事长鲁伟铭代为履行董事长、法定代表人及香港联交所授权代表职责，以确保公司治理 和经营管理的平稳过渡。 ...

东方证券研报指出，温氏股份25年11月销售肉猪435.35万头，同比+49.71%，环比+11.83%，单月出栏量 再创历史新高。当前鸡价景气延续。2025Q3行业出栏增速放缓，供应缓解端压力，春节前鸡价仍存较 强支撑。继续看好政策与市场共振下的产能去化。从头部猪企出栏量、价情况来看，11月猪价磨底、行 业深亏状态仍在延续。考虑到12月行业理论出栏量依然处于高位，肥猪与仔猪价格难有起色，基于利润 驱动的市场化去产能将持续兑现。当前猪价现实与预期双弱，叠加政策驱动，生猪养殖行业去产能加 速，助力猪价长期上涨。根据可比公司估值法，给予公司26年14x估值，对应目标价22.68元，维持"买 入"评级。 ...

Core Insights - The top three companies by Hong Kong Stock Connect shareholding ratios are China Telecom (72.50%), Power Assets Holdings (69.68%), and GCL-Poly Energy Holdings (69.67%) [1][2] - Xiaomi Group-W, Tracker Fund of Hong Kong, and China Merchants Bank saw the largest increases in shareholding amounts over the last five trading days, with increases of +4.913 billion, +2.976 billion, and +1.548 billion respectively [1][2] - The companies with the largest decreases in shareholding amounts during the same period include WanGuo Gold Group (-3.816 billion), Tencent Holdings (-2.649 billion), and Alibaba Group-W (-1.421 billion) [1][2] Shareholding Ratios - The latest shareholding ratios for the top 20 companies in Hong Kong Stock Connect are led by: - China Telecom (100.63 billion shares, 72.50%) - Power Assets Holdings (3.72 billion shares, 69.68%) - GCL-Poly Energy Holdings (2.82 billion shares, 69.67%) [1] Recent Increases in Shareholding - The top 10 companies with the largest increases in shareholding amounts over the last five trading days are: - Xiaomi Group-W: +4.913 billion (11.647 million shares) - Tracker Fund of Hong Kong: +2.976 billion (11.551 million shares) - China Merchants Bank: +1.548 billion (3.028 million shares) [1][2] Recent Decreases in Shareholding - The top 10 companies with the largest decreases in shareholding amounts over the last five trading days are: - WanGuo Gold Group: -3.816 billion (-49.945 million shares) - Tencent Holdings: -2.649 billion (-4.403 million shares) - Alibaba Group-W: -1.421 billion (-9.435 million shares) [1][2]

展望2026年，机械中盘蓝筹公司孕育投资机会 受国内政策支持推动、以及海外份额提升影响，该行认为机械行业总需求平稳增长。与此同时，科技发 展是十五五的重要目标，因此该行认为科技赋能的重要性提升。综合来看，该行认为兼具稳定增长板块 和科技成长潜力的细分行业内的中盘蓝筹公司具有更好的投资机会。从主业增长和新成长潜力等视角 看，该行认为八大细分领域将涌现投资机会，包括锂电设备、工业母机、油气装备、叉车装备、欧美出 海机械、工程机械、煤炭机械、轻工装备等，看好该细分领域中盘蓝筹公司的投资机会。 2025年机械板块稳定增长，反映机械制造实力提升 风险提示 2025年来，在国家的支持下，我国机械装备行业实现持续发展，机械行业实现了稳定的增长，根据统计 局，金属制品、机械和设备修理业营业收入在25年持续增长;根据中国机械联，机械工业景气指数在 2025年处于较高水平。该行认为机械板块的稳定增长反映了我国机械装备制造实力的提升。 智通财经APP获悉，东方证券发布研报称，展望2026年，机械行业总需求平稳增长，且科技赋能的重要 性继续提升，则中盘蓝筹公司更为受益。该行看好机械板块的中盘蓝筹公司投资机会，该行认为锂电设 备、工业 ...

专题："业绩为王"时代来了，时隔三年公募绩效迎重大改革！近千名基金经理面临"降薪" 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 依此类推，近十年（从2015到2024），汇添富基金累计净利润163.70亿元，累计给股东分红82.96亿元。 近十年东方证券累计从汇添富基金获得分红29.40亿元。 | 年份 | 东方证券 | 东万业芬 | 湘类 示 | 汇添高 | 分红率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 获得分红 | 持股比例 | 分红总额 | 净利润 | | | 2015 | 0.18亿元 | 39. 96% | 0. 46亿元 | 9. 40亿元 | 4. 88% | | 2016 | 0. 87亿元 | 35. 41% | 2. 46亿元 | 10. 41 亿元 | 23. 59% | | 2017 | 3.02亿元 | 35. 41% | 8.53亿元 | 12. 26亿元 | 69. 57% | | 2018 | 2. 27亿元 | 35. 41% | 6. 41亿元 | 10. 29亿元 | 62. 31% | | ...