在此逻辑下，即时零售可以强化入口之争，也可以补充商品和服务。而如何把即时零售与既有业务串联起来，除了需要流量协同、组织协同，以及漫长的 涉及到商品供给、履约的业务打通，同样需要人群运营上的协同——很大程度上，一个统一的大会员系统，扮演的就是人群协同这个层面的作用。 比如，三家都会在大促时发放大额券，都有越来越多的生活服务权益，但是88VIP逐渐将大额券日常化，以及随着淘宝拓展到即时零售，新增了许多动态 的小额补贴，未来将更强调权益分层；京东PLUS则更聚焦优质商品和刚需服务权益的扩充。 与前两者都差异较大的，是一直聚焦本地生活的美团会员。美团会员最突出的特征是可以非常灵活地对用户进行动态补贴，7月5日临时给消费者发放多张 0元奶茶、咖啡券，就是具体体现。以及，它对包括酒旅在内的其他本地权益的拆分是最细致的。 在即时零售成为互联网平台最显性的竞争焦点的时候，我们还是要注意到，即时零售只是各平台业务的其中一部分，应该用更全局的视角理解阿里、京 东、美团三家在做和想要做什么，与即时零售同期发生的是什么，即时零售与他们在产生什么关联。 如我们在《争夺大消费入口：阿里、京东、美团越来越像》里提到的，三家会逐渐进化为一个 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a 5% year-on-year increase in revenue for FY25 H1, driven by online sales growth and an increase in offline stores [1][2]. Financial Performance - FY25 H1 revenue reached 3.16 billion RMB, with mature brands contributing 1.76 billion RMB (+4% YoY), growth brands at 1.2 billion RMB (-2% YoY), and emerging brands at 200 million RMB (+149% YoY) [1]. - Net profit for FY25 H1 was 600 million RMB, reflecting a 5.5% increase YoY [1]. - Gross margin stood at 65.1%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points, while net margin was 19.1%, also down by 0.1 percentage points [1]. Dividend Announcement - The company declared an interim dividend of 0.45 HKD per share (approximately 0.43 RMB per share) [1]. Membership Insights - In 2024, over 80% of retail revenue was contributed by members, with active member accounts totaling 540,000, a slight decrease from 2023 [1][2]. - Membership accounts with total purchases exceeding 5,000 RMB numbered over 330,000, generating retail revenue of 4.68 billion RMB, contributing over 60% of offline retail revenue [1]. Strategic Initiatives - The company aims to strengthen its position as a leading designer brand group in China through various strategies, including optimizing brand and product mix via self-incubation or acquisitions, enhancing retail networks, and leveraging data-driven operations [2]. - The focus will be on creating value-added services for fans and improving the overall retail experience [2]. Earnings Forecast - The company maintains its earnings forecast, projecting revenues of 5.5 billion RMB, 6 billion RMB, and 6.6 billion RMB for FY25-27, with net profits of 880 million RMB, 900 million RMB, and 990 million RMB respectively [2]. - Expected EPS for FY25-27 is 1.69, 1.74, and 1.91 RMB per share, corresponding to PE ratios of 8, 8, and 7 times [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company experienced a 3.9% year-on-year increase in revenue for 2024, reaching 5.74 billion yuan, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 33.5% to 500 million yuan [5][11] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant decline in performance, with revenue dropping by 14% year-on-year to 950 million yuan and net profit down 84% to 28.34 million yuan [6][11] - The company is undergoing business transformation and optimization, focusing on brand operation and member management to strengthen its market position [11] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 5.74 billion yuan, with a net profit of 500 million yuan, and a basic EPS of 1.20 yuan [5][11] - The gross margin for 2024 was 73.7%, slightly down from the previous year, but has shown signs of recovery since Q4 2024 [8][11] - The company’s operating cash flow for 2024 was 690 million yuan, reflecting a 13.8% increase year-on-year [10] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, online channels contributed 68% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 10.1%, while offline channels accounted for 22% with a decline of 10.7% [7][11] - The skincare segment remains the largest contributor to revenue at 84%, although it saw a slight decline of 1.4% year-on-year [7][11] Cost and Expense Analysis - The company’s expense ratio increased by 4.3 percentage points to 64% in 2024, driven by higher sales and management expenses [8][11] - The sales expense ratio rose to 50%, primarily due to increased marketing and promotional activities [9][11] Future Earnings Forecast - The report projects net profits of 690 million yuan, 830 million yuan, and 1 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS estimates of 1.62 yuan, 1.97 yuan, and 2.36 yuan [11][12]

以下文章来源于明亮公司 ，作者主编24小时在线 明亮公司 . 追踪新商业、好公司，提供一手情报与领先认知。 作者： MD 出品：明亮公司 ！ 近日， 锅圈（ 02157.HK ） 公布了公司 2024年全年财报 ， IPO早知道消息显示 ， 24全年锅圈 实现收入64.70亿元，同比增长6.2%；毛利14.17亿元，同比增长4.9%， 毛利率为 21.9%； 核心经 其中值得一提的是锅圈在会员运营上的实践。锅圈截至 2023年 底，大约有 2700万会员， 在 2024年 底，这一数字大约为4133万。锅圈从去年开始改造自己的会员运营体系，而杨明超预计，今年第一 季度的会员增速会更快。 "（锅圈）将 通过会员 体系 来提到店、 提复购、提 客单价 。 "杨明超说，" 我 们的会员客单价远 超我们平均客单价，而在消费频次方面，高充值会员是低充值会员的两倍。 " 在拓店方面，锅圈 全年净增新乡镇门店 287家 ，而考虑到中国乡镇规模庞大 （ "48000个乡镇，下 面还有65万个行政村"），锅圈仍将进一步下沉加密，覆盖县乡市场 。 营利润为 3.11亿元，同比增长3.1%。 在渠道方面，截至 2024年末 ，锅圈 ...