截至月份: 2025年7月31日 狀態: 新提交 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: HTSC（於中華人民共和國註冊成立，中文公司名稱為华泰证券股份有限公司及在香港以HTSC名義開展業務）(「本公司」) 呈交日期: 2025年8月5日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 601688 | 說明 | | 於上海證券交易所 （「上交所」）上市之A股 | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 7,308,256,601 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 7,308,256,601 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 7,308 ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年7月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: HTSC（於中華人民共和國註冊成立，中文公司名稱為华泰证券股份有限公司及在香港以HTSC名義開展業務）(「本公司」) 呈交日期: 2025年8月5日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 第 1 頁 共 11 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 601688 | 說明 | | 於上海證券交易所 （「上交所」）上市之A股 | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 7,308,256,601 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 7,308,256,601 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB ...

展望未来，该行预期受惠于珠澳一签多行、香港跨境支付通等政策，以及全运会及格兰披治大赛等盛 事，澳门博彩业的复苏有望延续，看好濠赌股下半年上行趋势受惠于政策利好、财富效应和非博彩协 同。该行重申对美高梅中国的"买入"评级，目标价由18港元上调至19.3港元。 华泰证券发表研究报告指，美高梅中国次季业绩跑赢同业，博彩毛收入按年增长12%至12.6亿美元，恢 复至2019年同期的154%，对比行业平均复苏水平为83%。经调整EBITDA利润率为29%，较去年同期及 上季的30.7%及29.6%有所下滑，反映市场竞争加剧下市场推广开支增加，获客成本上升所致。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities published a research report indicating that Li Auto's i8 has officially launched with three configurations priced at 321,800, 349,800, and 369,800 yuan, respectively. The report expresses optimism regarding the sales performance of the i8 and the upcoming i6, supported by the VLA model and advanced driving assistance capabilities [1] Group 1 - The i8's Pro and Max versions are priced the same as the L8 versions, while the Ultra version is 10,000 yuan cheaper than the L8 Ultra version [1] - Huatai Securities maintains its previous profit forecasts for Li Auto, expecting GAAP net profits of 10.3 billion, 15.8 billion, and 17.8 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, respectively [1] - Non-GAAP net profits are projected to be 13 billion, 18.6 billion, and 20.8 billion yuan for the same period [1] Group 2 - The target price for Li Auto has been slightly adjusted to 139.49 HKD, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - The report highlights the i8's features, including the VLA model, standard 5C supercharging, and a spacious and comfortable cabin experience [1] - The company's driving assistance capabilities are expected to remain at the top tier domestically following the introduction of the VLA model [1]

Core Viewpoint - Xinyi Glass reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of the year, attributed to falling float glass prices, reduced investment income from Xinyi Solar, and increased asset impairment losses [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of the year was 9.82 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 11.6% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.01 billion, down 59.3% year-on-year, aligning with the earnings forecast of a 55% to 65% decline [1] Market Position and Outlook - As a leading player in the float glass industry, Xinyi Glass possesses scale and cost advantages, with diversification into automotive glass expected to support long-term growth [1] - The target price for Xinyi Glass has been slightly reduced from 9.6 HKD to 9.54 HKD, maintaining a "buy" rating [1] Earnings Forecast Adjustments - Due to the ongoing decline in float glass prices, the average selling price assumptions for float glass have been revised downwards [1] - Earnings per share forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been adjusted from 0.72, 0.83, and 0.93 to 0.51, 0.62, and 0.74 respectively [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Far East Horizon's net profit for the first half of 2025 is expected to grow by 3.8% year-on-year to 2.16 billion HKD, aligning with market expectations [1] - The financial business of Far East Horizon is showing steady improvement, with the scale of interest-earning assets halting last year's decline and net interest margin slightly expanding to 4.06% [1] - Asset quality remains stable, with a slight decrease in the non-performing loan ratio to 1.05% [1] Group 2 - Far East Horizon declared an interim dividend of 0.25 HKD per share, with a payout ratio of approximately 50%, and management anticipates potential for dividend increases [1] - Huatai Securities forecasts a dividend yield of about 7.2% for 2025, maintaining a "buy" rating and raising the target price from 6.4 HKD to 9 HKD [1] - The expected net profit for this year is projected to reach 4.7 billion HKD, with net profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 adjusted upward by 1.5% and 0.8% to 5.4 billion HKD and 5.5 billion HKD respectively [1]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened lower on August 4, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.31%, the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.66%, and the China Enterprises Index down 0.35% [1] - Technology stocks showed mixed performance, with NetEase slightly up by 0.1% and Alibaba down over 1% [2] Market Strategy and Analysis - Huatai Securities reported that the recent pullback in the Hong Kong stock market is mainly due to adjustments in internal and external expectations, but the medium-term liquidity easing logic remains unchanged. They recommend focusing on sectors with improving sentiment and low valuations, particularly in technology [3] - Guosen Securities noted that the funding environment for Hong Kong stocks this year has been characterized by a resonance of both domestic and foreign capital easing. They believe that Hong Kong stocks remain within a reasonable valuation range compared to A-shares, with significant recovery potential in technology and pharmaceutical sectors [3] - Dongwu Securities expressed concerns about rising overseas risks, including the potential for reduced global capital interest in Chinese assets due to rising dollar assets and the nearing deadline for tariff negotiations [3] - CITIC Securities indicated that there is an increasing confidence trend in certain sub-sectors, with earnings expectations being revised upward ahead of earnings reports. They highlighted that while technology stocks have seen slight downward adjustments in earnings expectations, sectors like new energy vehicles and semiconductors show significant potential for earnings elasticity [4] - Ping An Securities (Hong Kong) remains optimistic about the long-term outlook for the Hong Kong stock market, emphasizing low valuations and active trading under the "profit-making effect." They suggest focusing on technology sectors such as artificial intelligence, robotics, and innovative pharmaceuticals [4] Company News - PCCW reported a revenue of HKD 18.922 billion for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 7%, with a net loss of HKD 0.445 billion, narrowing by 4% [6] - Xinyi Solar reported a revenue of HKD 10.932 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 6.5%, with a net profit of HKD 0.746 billion, down 58.8% [6] - Xinyi Glass reported a revenue of HKD 9.821 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 9.7%, with a net profit of HKD 1.013 billion, down 59.6% [6] - Xinyi Energy reported a revenue of HKD 1.21 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%, with a net profit of HKD 0.45 billion, up 23.4% [6] - Derun Shipping announced a profit warning, expecting a mid-term net profit of approximately USD 180-200 million, a year-on-year increase of about 220% to 255% [6] - BYD reported sales of approximately 2.4903 million new energy vehicles in the first seven months, a year-on-year increase of 27.35% [6] - Great Wall Motors reported total vehicle sales of approximately 674,200 units in the first seven months, a year-on-year increase of 3.57% [6] - Li Auto delivered 30,731 new vehicles in July [6]

Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities released a report indicating that the A-share market is entering a period of increased volatility due to key domestic and international events, with a focus on sectors that show potential for rebound and sustained performance [1] Market Analysis - The market experienced a contraction in trading volume due to fluctuations in the US dollar index and policy expectations, but the selling pressure is considered manageable [1] - The current profit-making effect has reverted to levels seen in mid-July, suggesting a potential stabilization in the market [1] Sector Focus - Key sectors identified for rebound potential include AI, capacity clearance, and self-controllable technologies, which are expected to show continuous improvement in performance [1] - Investment strategies should focus on sectors with high dividend yield and potential for recovery, such as white goods, storage chips, optical fiber cables, chlor-alkali, aviation equipment, intelligent driving, and robotics [1] Strategic Recommendations - The report suggests an overweight allocation in large financials, innovative pharmaceuticals, and military industries to capitalize on growth opportunities [1]

华泰证券研报称，8月1日，财政部和税务总局发布《关于国债等债券利息收入增值税政策的公告》 （《公告》），自2025年8月8日起，对在该日期之后（含当日）新发行的国债、地方政府债券、金融债 券的利息收入，恢复征收增值税，结束了此前阶段性的政策优惠。险资投资政府债，此前利息收入免征 增值税和所得税，此次对于新发政府债等债券恢复征收增值税，政府债所得税仍然免征。华泰证券估计 对新增政府债和金融债收益率的影响约为12bps，每年对整体净投资收益率影响约为2bps，影响有限。 ...

来源：华泰睿思 重结构轻指数，把握交易型机会 近期港股回调主因内外预期修正，但中期流动性宽松逻辑不改。配置上建议寻找景气改善+低估值板块，尤其强调对科技板块的配置；短期交易围绕中报业 绩展开，建议关注：1）估值有性价比且景气改善的游戏和互联网电商龙头；2）前向12个月估值分位数略高但盈利兑现度高，如港股创新药及非银金融。 核心观点 近期内外部预期修正导致市场回调 股市近期呈现出三个特点：A股和港股均有所回调；港股回调压力相对更大（本轮高点至今恒指回调4.5%，沪深300回调2.3%）；此前市场对国内政策推进 高度乐观的方向（如受益于反内卷的有色、煤炭等）和海外流动性敏感的方向（恒科单周下跌5%）下跌更多。从这三个特点可以看出，近期市场回调主要 因为内外部预期的重新修正，外部预期调整可能是主要原因。 一方面，美债利率和美元指数急升压制港股相对表现。美国关税政策尚未出现进一步积极进展，且7月FOMC会议鲍威尔表态鹰派（《7月FOMC：鲍威尔鹰 派发言打压降息预期》，2025.7.31）。受此影响，上周四凌晨CME期货隐含9月降息预期回落至不足40%，美债升至4.4%，美元指数一度突破100关键关 口。全球金融流动 ...