新东方公布2QFY26 业绩（以下简称Q2）：总收入11.91 亿美元，yoy+14.7%，增速超指引上限 机构：华泰证券 研究员：夏路路/詹博/郑裕佳 （12%）；调整后经营利润0.89 亿美元，对应OPM 为7.5%，同比提升4.7pct，大幅超过彭博一致预期 （yoy+2pct）。 公司指引3QFY26/FY26 全年美元口径总收入同比增长11~14%/8~12%（彭博一致预期12%/10%），反映 教学质量提升、需求回归和汇率顺风的影响。 我们认为公司核心K12 业务增长稳健，降本增效及多元化发展下集团利润率有望逐步改善，长期有望为 股东创造持续稳定的回报，维持"买入"。 K12 业务兑现秋季提速，经营利润率提升超预期分业务看，随着秋季K12 行业回归正价竞争，头部品牌 机构增长环比改善，教育属性新业务收入在Q2 同比增速加速至21.6%；大学生及成人教育收入同比增 长12.8%（Q1:14.4%），增速稳健；留学考培收入同比增长4.1%，留学咨询收入同比下降约3%，逆境 中展现较强韧性。得益于运营杠杆的优化、成本控制措施的逐步落地，以及东方甄选的盈利贡献，Q2 公司调整后经营利润率同比提升4.7pc ...

Market Overview - Global markets experienced turbulence on January 30, with major indices such as Nikkei 225, Hong Kong stocks, and US futures all showing declines. Gold and silver prices plummeted, and Bitcoin saw a significant drop, leading to over 270,000 liquidations in the cryptocurrency market, totaling nearly $1.7 billion [1][2]. A-Shares Performance - A-shares showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index regaining the 4100-point mark, while the ChiNext Index rebounded after hitting a low. However, over 3,800 stocks in the market declined [1]. Sector Performance - CPO and optical communication stocks surged, with companies like Lian Te Technology and Tianfu Communication rising over 11%, and Changfei Optical Fiber hitting the daily limit. Conversely, industrial and precious metals sectors faced significant declines, with over 20 stocks, including Nanshan Aluminum and Tongling Nonferrous Metals, hitting the daily limit down [1]. Precious Metals Market - International precious metals saw a sharp decline, with gold prices dropping by 4% to below $5200 per ounce, marking a daily decrease of over $200. Silver prices fell over 5%, dropping below the $110 mark [1]. Cryptocurrency Market - Major cryptocurrencies continued to decline, with Bitcoin falling over 6% to below $82,300, and Ethereum and SOL dropping over 7%. In the last 24 hours, more than 270,000 traders were liquidated, with a total liquidation amount close to $1.7 billion [2]. Dollar Index - The US dollar index rebounded, rising by 0.44% to 96.58 as of 11:30 AM Beijing time [3]. Geopolitical Factors - Ongoing tensions in the Middle East are impacting global markets. US President Trump announced plans to engage in dialogue with Iran, and the market is closely watching the announcement of the next Federal Reserve Chair, which is expected to be revealed on January 30 [5].

Core Viewpoint - New Oriental's Q2 FY2026 performance exceeded market expectations, driven by improved profitability in its education business and contributions from Dongfang Zhenxuan [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company raised its FY2026 revenue growth guidance from 5%-10% to 8%-12% due to stronger-than-expected revenue growth in K12 and overseas study segments [1] - Earnings visibility has improved due to efficiency enhancements and contributions from Dongfang Zhenxuan [1] Group 2: Earnings Forecast - Based on the upward revision of Dongfang Zhenxuan's profit forecast, the company increased its earnings per share estimates for FY2027-2028 by 0.4% to 1.4% [1] - The target price for New Oriental was raised from HKD 53 to HKD 57, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

新东方-S（09901）午前股价上涨3.22%，报47.52港元，成交额1.70亿港元。 新东方日前发布截至2025年11月30日止的2026财年第二季度财务业绩公告，净营收同比上升14.7%至 11.91亿美元；经营利润同比上升244.4%至6630万美元；股东应占净利润同比上升42.3%至4550万美元。 公司上调2026财年全年净营收指引至52.92-54.88 亿美元，同比增长8%-12%。 摩根大通发布研报称，重申新东方"增持"评级及首选股份地位，目标价由53港元升至55港元。新东方 2026财年第二财季业绩好于预期，并上调指引，这是两年来的首次。管理层的乐观态度促使该行将2026 财年至2027财年的经营利润预测上调7%。 责任编辑：卢昱君 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 摩根大通发布研报称，重申新东方"增持"评级及首选股份地位，目标价由53港元升至55港元。新东方 2026财年第二财季业绩好于预期，并上调指引，这是两年来的首次。管理层的乐观态度促使该行将2026 财年至2027财年的经营利润预测上调7%。 责任编辑：卢昱君 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 ...

摩根大通发布研报称，重申新东方"增持"评级及首选股份地位，目标价由53港元升至55港元。新东方 2026财年第二财季业绩好于预期，并上调指引，这是两年来的首次。管理层的乐观态度促使该行将2026 财年至2027财年的经营利润预测上调7%。 智通财经APP获悉，新东方-S(09901)再涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.13%，报47.48港元，成交额1.67亿港 元。 消息面上，新东方日前发布截至2025年11月30日止的2026财年第二季度财务业绩公告，净营收同比上升 14.7%至11.91亿美元；经营利润同比上升244.4%至6630万美元；股东应占净利润同比上升42.3%至4550 万美元。公司上调2026财年全年净营收指引至52.92-54.88 亿美元，同比增长8%-12%。 ...

摩根大通发布研报称，重申新东方"增持"评级及首选股份地位，目标价由53港元升至55港元。新东方 2026财年第二财季业绩好于预期，并上调指引，这是两年来的首次。管理层的乐观态度促使该行将2026 财年至2027财年的经营利润预测上调7%。 消息面上，新东方日前发布截至2025年11月30日止的2026财年第二季度财务业绩公告，净营收同比上升 14.7%至11.91亿美元；经营利润同比上升244.4%至6630万美元；股东应占净利润同比上升42.3%至4550 万美元。公司上调2026财年全年净营收指引至52.92-54.88亿美元，同比增长8%-12%。 新东方-S(09901)再涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.13%，报47.48港元，成交额1.67亿港元。 ...

3QFY26 K12业务营收有望加速增长，核心得益于留存率提升与寒假排课量增加 过去几个季度，公司坚持努力提升产品力与教学授课质量，高中及K9非学科业务的用户留存率实现显 著提升。考虑到今年春节时间较晚，今年寒假排课量多于去年。基于此，该行预测K12业务营收将同比 增长19%至8.15亿美元;其中高中业务同比增长18%，主要1V1及OMO助力，K9新业务，同比增23%，主 要受益于初中强劲复苏。 2QFY26业绩回顾 公司总营收同比增长15%至11.91亿美元，超出机构一致预期3%，且突破公司此前9%~12%的指引上 限。NonGaap营业利润同比大增223%至8900万美元，超出一致预期62%，对应Non-Gaap营业利润率为 7.5%，较一致预期的4.7%提升2.8个百分点。递延收入为21.615亿美元，同比增长10.2%，而1QFY26同 比增幅为10%。 海通国际发布研报称，维持新东方-S(09901)"优于大市"评级，对2026财年公司Non-Gaap NP仍采用18倍 PE进行估值，基于业绩预期上修，将目标价由49港币上调至52港币。该行观察到公司的降本增效措施 持续生效;同时通过渠道调研发现，公 ...

Core Viewpoint - Haitong International maintains an "outperform" rating for New Oriental-S (09901) and raises the target price from HKD 49 to HKD 52 based on upgraded performance expectations [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q2 FY26, the company's total revenue increased by 15% year-on-year to USD 1.191 billion, exceeding consensus expectations by 3% and surpassing the previous guidance of 9%-12% [1] - Non-GAAP operating profit surged by 223% year-on-year to USD 89 million, exceeding consensus expectations by 62%, with a Non-GAAP operating profit margin of 7.5%, up 2.8 percentage points from the consensus estimate of 4.7% [1] - Deferred revenue reached USD 2.1615 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.2%, consistent with the 10% growth in Q1 FY26 [1] Group 2: K12 Business Outlook - K12 business revenue is expected to accelerate growth in Q3 FY26, driven by improved retention rates and increased course offerings during the winter break [2] - The K12 business revenue is projected to grow by 19% year-on-year to USD 815 million, with high school business expected to grow by 18% and K9 new business anticipated to increase by 23% [2] Group 3: Study Abroad Business Challenges - The study abroad sector remains under pressure, impacting the overall revenue of the core education segment [3] - Despite a 1% year-on-year growth in Q2 FY26, the company is expected to adopt a conservative outlook for Q4 FY26 due to the seasonal characteristics of the study abroad consulting business [3] - The company anticipates a decline in study abroad revenue next year due to the ongoing instability in the industry and the merger of exam preparation and study abroad consulting businesses [3] Group 4: Cost Reduction and Efficiency Improvement - The core education segment's operating profit margin improved by 3 percentage points in Q2 FY26, attributed to effective cost reduction and efficiency measures [4] - The company expects these measures to continue yielding results, with projected Non-GAAP operating profit margins increasing by 1.4 and 1.6 percentage points year-on-year to 13.4% and 12.9% for Q3 FY26 and FY26, respectively [4]

Group 1: Key Insights from the Reports - The report on the banking industry indicates that 2026 is expected to be a year where the fundamentals of banks improve, with revenue pressure less than in 2025 and a stronger elasticity of revenue improvement compared to profit [13] - The banking sector is anticipated to experience a shift from a focus on liquidity to a focus on fundamentals, with expectations of economic recovery and a more favorable environment for growth premiums [13] - The report highlights that credit demand is expected to remain stable, but the structure of demand needs optimization, with state-owned banks and quality regional city commercial banks likely to perform better [13] Group 2: Industry Performance and Trends - The metal and new materials industry report notes a significant increase in metal prices due to geopolitical tensions, with precious metals rising by 18.46% and aluminum by 4.16% in the recent week [5][16] - The report emphasizes that the copper market is expected to remain strong due to increased investment in power grids and AI data centers, with a projected price increase [15] - The report on Anta Sports highlights the acquisition of a 29% stake in PUMA, which is seen as a strategic move to enhance its global multi-brand strategy, with the transaction valued at approximately 15 billion euros [19] Group 3: Company-Specific Developments - China Shipbuilding's earnings forecast for 2025 indicates a significant increase in net profit, expected to be between 7 billion to 8.4 billion yuan, driven by rising demand in the shipbuilding sector [21] - New Oriental's revenue for the second quarter of FY26 reached 1.191 billion USD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.7%, with a notable improvement in operating profit margins [22] - Dongfang Zhenxuan reported a revenue increase of 5.7% in the first half of FY26, driven by self-operated product sales and improved profit margins [24]

出生率持续下跌，老年教育是教培又一出路吗？ 除了新东方，还有从上海交通大学勤工俭学中心发展而来的昂立教育、公考机构粉笔等多家教培公司选择布局银发经济。 和传统的K12教育相比，老年教育是一门怎样的生意？未来又会怎样发展？刺猬公社（ID：ciweigongshe）发现，醉翁之意不在酒，老年大学仅是教培机 构更大生意的流量入口。 近几年的教培行业内，转型和自救早已是各个企业共同的命题：有的直播卖货，有的尝试转型To B，有的做起了学习机、羽绒服、咖啡等新的生意......就 在最近，一个新的转型方式出现了——养老。 以行业的龙头企业新东方为例，2024年，新东方先是在南京试点老年大学，设立外语、旅游文化和艺术三个学院；近期，新东方又在北京推出"退休俱乐 部"，同样开设多个兴趣课程，相较其他新东方培训课程价格亲民。 图源公众号南京新东方银铃俱乐部 这个消息社交媒体上也是小火一把。"过去爸妈送小时候的我上新东方，现在我送老了的爸妈去新东方"，这又何尝不是一种穿越代际的奇特互文？ 新东方给出的课表显示，在北京，2月开始就有线下体验课、3月开始正式正价课。课程内容有八段锦、歌舞和拓染等，预计在北京四个城区开设线下校 区。 ...