客户端 美股上周五继续向上，科技股表现向好，带动大市高开后持续向上，三大指数均录得升幅收市。美元走 势向好，美国十年期债息回升至4.14厘水平，金价表现向上，油价亦跟随造好。 今日港股三大指数集体高开，恒指开盘涨0.41%，报25795.94点，恒科指涨0.61%，国企指数涨0.49%。 盘面上，科网股涨多跌少，美团、哔哩哔哩涨超1%，网易跌近1%；黄金股普涨，灵宝黄金涨超2%；芯 片股活跃，中芯国际涨超1%；今日四只新股上市，印象大红袍、华芢生物、明基医院、南华期货挂 牌。 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 ▽ | | --- | --- | --- | | 恒生科技指数 | 5512.54 | +0.61% | | 800700 | | | | 国企指数 | 8944.74 | +0.49% | | 800100 | | | | 恒生指数 | 25795.94 | +0.41% | | 800000 | | | 责任编辑：郝欣煜 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 美股上周五继续向上，科技股表现向好，带动大市高开后持续 ...

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry in China is experiencing a wave of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) driven by policy incentives and the need for industrial upgrades, with leading companies focusing on "supply chain enhancement and value synergy" [1] Group 1: M&A Trends and Strategies - Leading semiconductor companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board are engaging in M&A to consolidate resources and enhance competitiveness, reflecting a shift from "quantity accumulation" to "quality leap" in the industry [1][2] - The semiconductor sector has seen 125 companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, accounting for over 60% of A-share counterparts, indicating a strong presence across various segments including design, manufacturing, and testing [2] - Major players like SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor are pursuing strategic acquisitions to enhance their market share and technological capabilities, such as SMIC's move to gain full control of its subsidiary [2][3] Group 2: Sector-Specific M&A Activities - In the equipment segment, companies are using M&A to overcome technical barriers and transition towards platform development, as seen with the acquisition of Zhongsil Technology by Zhongwei [3] - The design, IP, and EDA sectors are witnessing urgent M&A needs, with domestic firms focusing on acquiring scarce resources to compete against established foreign leaders [3] - Notable transactions include Jingfeng Mingyuan's acquisition of a leading wireless charging firm to strengthen its market position and capabilities [3] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Transaction Rationality - The recent termination of some semiconductor M&A deals is viewed as a natural outcome of a rational market rather than a cooling of industry consolidation [4] - Since the implementation of the "Eight Articles" policy, over 150 M&A transactions have been disclosed, with more than 70% successfully completed, indicating a robust M&A environment [4] - The semiconductor industry is characterized by complex shareholder structures and high valuations, leading to increased negotiation challenges and a higher likelihood of deal terminations [4][5] Group 4: Institutional Innovation and Future Outlook - The rational prosperity of the semiconductor M&A market is supported by institutional innovations that enhance transaction flexibility and inclusivity [6] - The adoption of innovative payment mechanisms, such as convertible bonds and differentiated pricing, has facilitated strategic investments while safeguarding long-term interests [6] - Future M&A activities are expected to focus on optimizing resource allocation and fostering technological integration, marking a shift from mere scale expansion to creating substantial value [6]

Group 1 - The current policy is driving insurance capital to increase allocation in the stock market, with a significant acceleration observed in 2023, particularly in Q3 [1][2] - Insurance capital is favoring high ROE, high dividend yield, and undervalued stocks in the construction sector, with major holdings in China Power Construction, China State Construction, and Sichuan Road and Bridge [1][2] - Sichuan Road and Bridge has recently received a stake increase from Zhongyin Life, indicating a trend of insurance capital focusing on high-quality construction stocks [2] Group 2 - It is estimated that insurance capital will allocate 286 billion yuan to the construction sector by 2026, representing 3.5% of the free float market value [3] - The projected allocation for the construction sector from insurance capital is expected to be 508 billion yuan in 2025 and 794 billion yuan in 2026, with incremental increases of 271 billion yuan and 286 billion yuan respectively [3] - The construction sector is expected to attract long-term capital due to the presence of stable performance, high dividends, and low valuations among key A-share companies [4] Group 3 - The global demand for computing power is expected to grow significantly, driven by AI development, leading to a new growth cycle for cleanroom engineering [5] - Major semiconductor companies are increasing their capital expenditures, with TSMC projecting a doubling of its AI business by 2025 and a compound annual growth rate of approximately 40% over the next five years [5] - The cleanroom investment in the semiconductor industry is projected to reach approximately 168 billion yuan globally and 50.4 billion yuan in China by 2025, representing about 15% of the total industry capital expenditure [5]

Core Viewpoint - The growth in AI demand is driving global storage and advanced process capacity expansion, with expectations for accelerated domestic storage and advanced process expansion in 2026-2027. Domestic equipment manufacturers are seeing a positive order trend, and companies with strong positioning and market share in storage equipment are likely to benefit. The outlook for domestic computing power demand is also positive, with companies like Moer and Muxi expected to achieve high revenue growth in 2025. The storage sector is experiencing continuous price increases, and major companies anticipate a favorable performance trend in Q4. Structural opportunities still exist despite limited bit output next year [3][4][5]. Industry Sentiment Tracking 1. **Demand Side**: In 2026, storage price increases may constrain demand, but AI terminal innovation and computing power construction are expected to be highlights. Global smartphone sales are projected to decline by 0.9% year-on-year in 2026, with significant pressure on mid-range Android phones. The PC market saw a 9.4% year-on-year increase in global shipments in Q3 2025, but storage pressures are anticipated in 2026. The AI PC upgrade cycle is expected to start in 2026-2027. Wearable devices, particularly AI glasses, are expected to see high growth, with global sales projected to reach 7 million units in 2025 [4][5]. 2. **Inventory Side**: The inventory adjustment for power MCUs and analog DOIs is nearly complete. In Q3 2025, the average inventory of major mobile chain chip manufacturers increased, while the DOI for overseas manufacturers decreased. PC chain chip manufacturers saw an increase in inventory and DOI [5]. 3. **Supply Side**: Global wafer fab capital expenditures are expected to continue growing in 2026, with both advanced and mature process expansions anticipated in China. DRAM capital expenditures are projected to grow by 14% in 2026, while NAND capital expenditures are expected to increase by 5%. Domestic storage manufacturers are expected to continue expanding production, with market share likely to increase [5][6]. 4. **Price Side**: In Q4 2025, DRAM and NAND spot prices are expected to continue rising, with the DXI index reaching a historical high of over 380,000. The supply-demand gap for DDR4 products remains, leading to accelerated price increases for 8G and 16G products. NAND Flash products are benefiting from increased storage capacity demand from AI servers, with prices for 32G and 64G products reaching nearly four-year highs [6]. 5. **Sales Side**: Semiconductor sales are expected to continue growing, driven by AI demand. WSTS has revised the global semiconductor sales forecast for 2026 to $975.4 billion. The current semiconductor cycle has been recovering since February 2023, with global semiconductor sales in October 2025 reaching $72.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 27% [6][7]. Industry Chain Tracking 1. **Design/IDM**: AI is driving demand for related chips, with a focus on computing power chips and the recovery of the sector. Nvidia's H200 sales in China have been released, and companies like Moer and Muxi are expected to achieve significant revenue growth in 2025 [7][8]. 2. **SoC and MCU**: In H2 2025, demand from domestic downstream customers is expected to slow, with a focus on future AI applications. MCU manufacturers are seeing stable revenue, while SoC companies are experiencing slowed growth due to rising storage chip prices [8]. 3. **Storage**: Major companies expect a favorable performance trend in Q4, with Taiwanese module and niche manufacturers seeing high year-on-year revenue growth in November. However, the price increases in storage may pose challenges for global terminal products [8]. 4. **Analog**: AI demand is becoming a growth engine for major manufacturers, with domestic companies increasing their focus on growth areas such as servers and robotics [9]. 5. **Power Semiconductors**: AI power demand is leading the market, with domestic power companies optimistic about trends in Q4 2025. Infineon has raised its AI data center business revenue guidance for FY26 to €1.5 billion [11]. 6. **Foundry**: Demand for advanced processes remains strong, while mature processes are experiencing a mild recovery. Domestic companies like SMIC and Huahong are currently facing supply shortages [12]. 7. **Packaging and Testing**: The demand for advanced packaging is expected to remain optimistic in 2026, with a focus on domestic computing power and storage demand [12]. 8. **Equipment, Materials, and Components**: Domestic storage manufacturers are expected to continue expanding production, benefiting equipment companies with strong market positions. The semiconductor equipment market is expected to grow, with domestic technology levels improving [13].

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index showed a recovery, rising by 0.65% at midday, with healthcare stocks leading the gains [1] - The healthcare sector surged by 2.67%, with WuXi Biologics increasing by 6.48% and 3SBio rising by 3.7% [3] - The technology sector also performed well, with a midday increase of 1.67%, driven by Meituan's 2.27% rise and other major players like SMIC, NetEase, Tencent, and Baidu all seeing gains above 1% [3] Group 2 - Banking stocks remained relatively weak, with a slight increase of 0.26% at midday, as major banks like Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of China, and China Merchants Bank saw minor gains, while Standard Chartered and Bank of China (Hong Kong) experienced slight declines [3]

中芯国际(00981)发布公告，于2025年12月19日，非公司董事因行使根据以股支薪奖励计划所授予的受 限制股份单位而发行合共2.94万股普通股股份。 ...

FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： 中芯國際集成電路製造有限公司 第 2 頁 共 6 頁 v 1.3.0 FF305 呈交日期： 2025年12月19日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00981 | 說明 港股 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | 事件 | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | 每股發 ...

智通财经APP讯，中芯国际(00981)发布公告，于2025年12月19日，非公司董事因行使根据以股支薪奖励 计划所授予的受限制股份单位而发行合共2.94万股普通股股份。 ...

FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) | 2). 就根據股份計劃授予參與人（發行人的董事除外）的股份獎勵或期權 | 21,412 | 0.00027 % | HKD | 0.031 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 而發行新股或轉讓庫存股份 - 涉及新股 | | | | | | | 非本公司董事因行使根據2024年股份獎勵計劃(於2023年6月28日獲 | | | | | | | 採納)所授予的限制性股票单位而發行的普通股股份 | | | | | | | 變動日期 2025年12月19日 | | | | | | | 於下列日期結束時的結存 (註5及6) 2025年12月19日 | 6,000,784,210 | | 0 | | 6,000,784,210 | | B. 贖回/購回股份 (擬註銷但截至期終結存日期尚未註銷) (註5及6) | | | | | | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- ...

Group 1 - The National Big Fund holding concept declined by 0.56%, ranking among the top declines in concept sectors, with stocks like Jiangbolong, Nanda Optoelectronics, and Saiwei Electronics experiencing significant drops [1][2] - Among the 23 stocks that rose, Beidouxingtong, Sitwei, and Robot saw increases of 2.06%, 1.94%, and 1.49% respectively [1][2] - The National Big Fund holding concept experienced a net outflow of 1.604 billion yuan, with 29 stocks seeing net outflows, and 5 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in outflows, led by Saiwei Electronics with a net outflow of 692.86 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - The top net inflow stocks included ShenNan Circuit, SMIC, and Northern Huachuang, with net inflows of 147 million yuan, 125 million yuan, and 108 million yuan respectively [2][4] - The stocks with the highest net outflows included Saiwei Electronics (-3.49%), Jiangbolong (-5.64%), and Nanda Optoelectronics (-3.53%) [3][4] - The trading activity showed that the turnover rates for these stocks varied, with Saiwei Electronics at 17.14% and Jiangbolong at 6.72% [3]