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中国石化(600028):炼油和营销拖累业绩,股东增持彰显信心
Minsheng Securities· 2025-04-29 12:57
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Sinopec (600028.SH) [6] Core Views - The exploration and development segment showed a slight increase in production, but overall profits declined due to lower prices and costs [1][2] - The refining business faced significant profit declines due to weak diesel demand and reduced refining margins [2] - The marketing and distribution segment experienced a drop in refined oil sales, although vehicle LNG sales saw substantial growth [2] - The chemical segment demonstrated effective cost reduction strategies, leading to a reduction in losses [3] - Shareholder confidence is highlighted by the recent share buyback plan initiated by the controlling shareholder [3] Summary by Sections Exploration and Development - In Q1 2025, Sinopec achieved an oil and gas equivalent production of 130.97 million barrels, a year-on-year increase of 1.7% - Crude oil production was 69.53 million barrels, down 1.2% year-on-year, while natural gas production rose by 5.1% to 3,684 billion cubic feet - The average realized price for crude oil was $71.5 per barrel, down 5.2% year-on-year, and for natural gas, it was $7.6 per thousand cubic feet, down 3.5% - Cash operating costs for oil and gas were $14.4 per barrel equivalent, a decrease of 5.3% year-on-year, resulting in an EBIT of 13.63 billion yuan, down 8% year-on-year [1] Refining - The refining segment produced 16.18 million tons of gasoline, 12.70 million tons of diesel, and 8.31 million tons of kerosene, with diesel production down 13.9% year-on-year - The refining margin was $6.2 per barrel, a decline of 13.3% year-on-year, leading to an EBIT of 2.39 billion yuan, down 65.3% year-on-year [2] Marketing and Distribution - Total refined oil sales were 55.59 million tons, a decrease of 7.1% year-on-year, with domestic and international sales down 5.3% and 12.7% respectively - Vehicle LNG retail sales reached 2.05 billion cubic meters, a significant increase of 116% year-on-year - The cash cost per ton of oil sold was 186.2 yuan, a slight increase of 2.6% year-on-year, resulting in an EBIT of 4.87 billion yuan, down 43.9% year-on-year [2] Chemical - The chemical segment's total operating volume was 19.97 million tons, up 2.4% year-on-year, with ethylene, synthetic resin, and fiber monomer and polymer production increasing by 17.7%, 17.4%, and 27.0% respectively - The unit cost for chemicals was 1,193 yuan per ton, down 12.9% year-on-year, leading to an EBIT loss of 1.32 billion yuan, a reduction in losses compared to previous periods [3] Shareholder Confidence - On April 8, 2025, the controlling shareholder announced plans to increase its stake in Sinopec A-shares and H-shares within 12 months, with 24.73 million shares already acquired by April 25, 2025, reflecting confidence in the company's future [3] Financial Forecast - Expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 46.38 billion yuan, 50.08 billion yuan, and 52.39 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.38 yuan, 0.41 yuan, and 0.43 yuan per share [4][5]
中国石化(600028):短期盈利仍承压,炼化板块静待修复
Xinda Securities· 2025-04-29 11:57
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Sinopec (600028.SH) is "Buy" [1][4] Core Views - The report indicates that short-term profitability remains under pressure, with the refining segment awaiting recovery [3] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a year-on-year decline in revenue and net profit, but a significant quarter-on-quarter improvement [1][3] - The company is focusing on high-quality exploration and development, with steady increases in oil and gas equivalent production [3] - The refining segment is enhancing cost reduction and efficiency, with a notable increase in chemical plant load [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, Sinopec reported revenue of CNY 735.36 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 6.91% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.86% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 13.26 billion, down 27.58% year-on-year but up 118.66% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company achieved an oil and gas equivalent production of 130.97 million barrels, a year-on-year increase of 1.7% [3] - The average Brent oil price in Q1 2025 was USD 75 per barrel, down 8% year-on-year but up 1% quarter-on-quarter [3] Segment Performance Summary - Exploration and production segment generated CNY 11.7 billion in operating income, down 10% year-on-year but up 8% quarter-on-quarter [3] - The refining segment reported an operating income of CNY 2 billion, down 44% year-on-year but up 14% quarter-on-quarter [3] - The marketing segment achieved CNY 4 billion in operating income, down 40% year-on-year but up 29% quarter-on-quarter [3] - The chemical segment incurred an operating loss of CNY 1.4 billion, but showed a significant reduction in losses quarter-on-quarter [3] Profit Forecast - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is CNY 51.99 billion, CNY 53.86 billion, and CNY 57.01 billion respectively, with growth rates of 3.3%, 3.6%, and 5.9% [4] - The expected EPS for the same period is CNY 0.43, CNY 0.44, and CNY 0.47, corresponding to P/E ratios of 13.13, 12.68, and 11.98 [4]
5.51亿元资金今日流出石油石化股
沪指4月29日下跌0.05%,申万所属行业中,今日上涨的有19个,涨幅居前的行业为美容护理、机械设 备,涨幅分别为2.60%、1.44%。跌幅居前的行业为公用事业、综合,跌幅分别为1.78%、0.97%。石油 石化行业位居今日跌幅榜第三。 资金面上看,两市主力资金全天净流出12.59亿元,今日有11个行业主力资金净流入,机械设备行业主 力资金净流入规模居首,该行业今日上涨1.44%,全天净流入资金25.02亿元,其次是基础化工行业,日 涨幅为0.87%,净流入资金为6.15亿元。 主力资金净流出的行业有20个,公用事业行业主力资金净流出规模居首,全天净流出资金21.27亿元, 其次是石油石化行业,净流出资金为5.51亿元,净流出资金较多的还有银行、非银金融、钢铁等行业。 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅(%) | 今日换手率(%) | 主力资金流量(万元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600938 | 中国海油 | -2.41 | 1.11 | -23636.45 | | 600777 | ST新潮 | -0.63 | 8.15 | -17929.36 | | 6 ...
中国石油化工股份有限公司2025年第一季度报告
● 本季度报告已经中国石化第九届董事会第六次会议审议通过。本公司全体董事出席董事会审议季度报 告。 ● 中国石化董事长马永生先生,副董事长、总裁赵东先生,财务总监兼会计机构负责人寿东华女士保证 本季度报告中财务信息的真实、准确、完整。 ● 本季度报告中的财务报表未经审计。 一、主要财务数据 (一)主要会计数据和财务指标 重要内容提示 ● 中国石油化工股份有限公司("中国石化""公司"或"本公司")董事会、监事会及董事、监事、高级管 理人员保证本季度报告内容的真实、准确、完整,不存在虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏,并承担个 别和连带的法律责任。 1.按中国企业会计准则编制的主要会计数据及财务指标 ■ 2.非经常性损益项目和金额 单位:人民币百万元 ■ 3.按国际财务报告会计准则编制的主要会计数据及财务指标 ■ (二)公司主要会计数据、财务指标(按中国企业会计准则)发生大幅度变动的情况 ■ 二、股东信息 截至报告期末股东总数及前十名股东持股情况 ■ 注1:中国石油化工集团有限公司("中国石化集团公司")通过境外全资附属公司盛骏国际投资有限公 司持有1,042,664,000股H股,占中国石化股本总额的0.86%, ...
中国石化(600028):业绩略超预期,高股息仍具价值
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-04-29 08:14
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Sinopec (600028) is maintained as "Buy" with a target price indicating a potential return of over 20% within the next six months [6][16]. Core Views - The report indicates that Sinopec's Q1 2025 performance slightly exceeded expectations, with revenue reaching 735.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.91%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 13.3 billion yuan, down 27.58% year-on-year [1]. - The decline in oil and gas prices has significantly pressured the sector's profits, with oil equivalent production at 131 million barrels, a year-on-year increase of 1.7%, while crude oil production decreased by 0.8% [2]. - Concerns over peak demand for refined oil have led to continued pressure on refining profits, with refining throughput at 6.2 million tons, down 1.8% year-on-year, and total refined oil sales at 5.6 million tons, down 7.1% year-on-year [3]. Financial Performance and Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is set at 55.5 billion, 56.2 billion, and 61.7 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12, 12, and 11 times [4]. - The expected dividend yield for A shares in 2025 is projected at 5.6%, while H shares are expected to yield 9.0% [4]. - Financial data shows a projected revenue of 3,136.05 million yuan for 2025, with a growth rate of 2.00% [5]. Market Position and Valuation - Sinopec's current market capitalization is approximately 555.2 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of about 541.5 billion yuan [6]. - The company's price-to-earnings ratio is forecasted to be 12.47 for 2025, with a price-to-book ratio of 0.80 [5][11].
中证油气产业指数下跌0.68%,前十大权重包含卫星化学等
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 07:58
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the China Securities Oil and Gas Industry Index has experienced a decline in recent months, indicating a challenging environment for companies in the oil and gas sector [2][4] - The China Securities Oil and Gas Industry Index has decreased by 4.40% in the past month, 4.46% in the past three months, and 7.29% year-to-date [2] - The index includes companies involved in oil and gas exploration, equipment manufacturing, transportation, sales, refining, and primary petrochemical production, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in the oil and gas industry [2][3] Group 2 - The top ten weighted companies in the index are: China National Petroleum (10.39%), China National Offshore Oil (10.28%), Sinopec (9.63%), Guanghui Energy (5.03%), China Merchants Energy (3.8%), Jereh Group (3.67%), Hengli Petrochemical (3.2%), Satellite Chemical (3.18%), COSCO Shipping Energy (2.8%), and Dongfang Shenghong (2.74%) [2] - The index's holdings are primarily listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (71.55%) and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (28.45%) [2] - The industry composition of the index shows that energy accounts for 61.85%, materials for 20.41%, industrials for 14.82%, finance for 1.75%, and utilities for 1.17% [2]
国企共赢ETF(159719短期震荡,大湾区ETF(512970)涨0.43%,机构:央国企企业是不确定性中的“确定性”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 05:58
截至2025年4月29日 13:10,国企共赢ETF(159719)下跌0.47%,最新报价1.48元。拉长时间看,截至2025年4月28日,国企共赢ETF近1周累计上涨0.54%。 截至2025年4月29日 13:10,中证粤港澳大湾区发展主题指数(931000)上涨0.06%,成分股科达制造(600499)上涨6.95%,稳健医疗(300888)上涨4.54%,新宙邦 (300037)上涨4.42%,金域医学(603882)上涨4.25%,汇川技术(300124)上涨3.93%。 大湾区ETF(512970)上涨0.43%,最新价报1.16元。拉长时间看,截至2025年4月28日,大湾区ETF近1年累计上涨13.72%。 国企共赢ETF(159719)紧密跟踪富时中国国企开放共赢指数,指数由100只成分股构成,包括80个A股公司和20个在香港上市的中国公司。该指数前十大成分 股均为"中字头"股票,包括中国石油、中国石化、中国建筑、中国移动(A、H股)、中国铁建、中国海油、中国中铁、中国海洋石油、中国神华。 流动性方面,国企共赢ETF盘中换手1.2%,成交235.76万元。拉长时间看,截至4月28日,国企共 ...
中国石化(600028):业绩环比大幅改善,化工板块同比减亏
Soochow Securities· 2025-04-29 04:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A and H shares of Sinopec [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance shows significant improvement on a quarter-on-quarter basis, with a reduction in losses in the chemical segment year-on-year [7] - The upstream segment's profit has narrowed, while the downstream refining sector has not yet recovered, but the chemical segment has shown a reduction in losses [7] - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, with a projected dividend yield of 5.8% for A shares and 7.2% for H shares after tax [7] - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 546 billion, 603 billion, and 655 billion RMB respectively, indicating a positive outlook for the company's profitability [7] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 735.4 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 7% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 13.3 billion RMB, down 28% year-on-year but up 119% quarter-on-quarter [7] - The report projects total revenue for 2023 to be 3,212.2 billion RMB, with a year-on-year decline of 3.19% [1] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.45 RMB, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.68 for A shares [1]
中国石化:传统业务盈利承压,非油业务现亮点-20250429
HTSC· 2025-04-29 04:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [9][10]. Core Views - The company's Q1 revenue was 735.4 billion RMB, showing a decrease of 7% quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 4% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 13.3 billion RMB, which was above expectations due to reduced losses in the chemical segment and better-than-expected performance in non-oil marketing [1]. - The report highlights that traditional business profitability is under pressure, while non-oil business shows promising growth [1]. - The refining segment's profitability is under pressure due to high crude oil inventory, leading to a significant decline in refining margins [3]. - The marketing segment's profit declined due to weak domestic demand for refined oil products, although non-oil business profits increased [4]. - The chemical segment has reduced losses and is expected to benefit from a market recovery [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 revenue was 735.4 billion RMB, with a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7% and a year-on-year increase of 4%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 13.3 billion RMB, with a significant year-on-year increase of 119% [1]. - Q1 crude oil production was 69.5 million barrels, down 1.2% year-on-year, while natural gas production increased by 5.1% to 368.4 billion cubic feet [2]. - The refining segment processed 62.1 million tons of crude oil, down 1.8% year-on-year, with refining margins narrowing to 6.2 USD per barrel, a decrease of 13.9% [3]. Segment Analysis - The marketing segment saw total domestic refined oil sales of 43.2 million tons, down 5.3% year-on-year, with retail sales declining by 6.4% [4]. - The chemical segment produced 386, 568, and 260 million tons of ethylene, synthetic resin, and synthetic fiber respectively, with year-on-year increases of 18%, 17%, and 27% [5]. Profitability Forecast - The report forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 53.9 billion, 58.8 billion, and 61.6 billion RMB respectively, with EPS projected at 0.44, 0.48, and 0.51 RMB [6]. - The target prices are set at 6.82 RMB and 4.73 HKD for A and H shares respectively, based on a PE ratio of 15.5 and 10.0 for 2025 [6].
投资收益亏损38亿?中石化最新回应
第一财经· 2025-04-29 02:51
在2025年第一季度业绩说明会上,中国石化财务总监寿东华回应公司一季度投资收益同比下降69.9%至16.47亿 元、亏损38.25亿元时表示,中国石化开展商品类金融衍生品业务符合金融衍生品业务的监管要求,配合实货 经营需求,运行规范,实现了平抑价格波动、防范市场风险的目标。一季度公司衍生品业务经营健康稳健,投 资收益中的套期保值业务盈亏变动是衍生品业务结算在会计上的体现。另外,中国石化联合营公司主要以下游 业务为主,一季度业绩同比有所下降。 ...