Core Viewpoint - The five major state-owned shipbuilding enterprises in China are expected to report a combined net profit of 50.2 billion to 60.5 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, showcasing the robust strength of China's shipbuilding industry and boosting confidence in the global shipbuilding market [2][3]. Group 1: Company Performance - China Shipbuilding and China Heavy Industry are projected to achieve a combined net profit of 43 billion to 49 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 121% to 152% [3]. - China Heavy Industry anticipates a net profit of 15 billion to 18 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 181.73% to 238.08% due to a significant rise in the number of civil ship deliveries [3]. - China Shipbuilding expects a net profit of 28 billion to 31 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 98.25% to 119.49%, attributed to higher prices for civil ship products and effective cost control [3]. - China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation and China Power are also expected to report substantial profit increases, with China Power projecting a net profit of 8 billion to 11.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 68.28% to 141.9% [6]. Group 2: Market Trends - The global shipbuilding market is experiencing a downturn, with new ship orders in the first half of 2025 declining by 54% year-on-year, totaling 647 ships and approximately 19.38 million compensated gross tonnage (CGT) [8][9]. - Despite the drop in new orders, Chinese shipyards maintain a strong delivery performance, accounting for 48% of global deliveries, while South Korea and Japan hold 31% and 13%, respectively [9]. - The shipbuilding industry in China is expected to continue benefiting from cost advantages, resilient supply chains, and technological innovations, solidifying its position as the world's largest shipbuilding nation [9]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The Chinese shipbuilding industry aims to enhance its core competitiveness through increased technological innovation, talent development, and collaborative industrial chain growth, while actively participating in international market competition [10].

General Principles - The board of directors' nomination committee is established to regulate the selection of company leadership, optimize the board composition, and improve corporate governance structure [1] - The committee is responsible for researching and formulating internal organizational structure adjustments and proposing candidates for directors and senior management [1] Composition of the Committee - The nomination committee consists of three directors, including two independent directors [2] - The committee is nominated by the chairman, more than half of the independent directors, or one-third of all directors, and elected by the board [2] - The committee has a chairperson who is an independent director, responsible for leading the committee's work [2] Responsibilities and Authority - The committee is tasked with drafting selection criteria and procedures for directors and senior management, reviewing candidates' qualifications, and making recommendations to the board [3] - If the board does not fully adopt the committee's recommendations, it must document the committee's opinions and the reasons for non-adoption in the board's resolution [3] Decision-Making Procedures - The committee must research and formulate proposals for the internal organizational structure and the selection criteria for directors and senior management, which are then submitted to the board for approval [4] - The selection process for directors and senior management involves multiple steps, including internal and external candidate searches, qualification reviews, and obtaining consent from nominees [4] Meeting Rules - The committee meetings require the presence of at least two-thirds of the members to be valid, and decisions must be approved by a majority [5] - Meetings can be held with prior notice or through urgent communication methods, and the chairperson leads the meetings [5] Additional Provisions - The committee may invite company directors and senior management to attend meetings if necessary [5] - The committee has the authority to hire external advisors for professional opinions, with costs covered by the company [5] - The rules and procedures outlined in the document will take effect upon approval by the board [6]

Core Viewpoint - The merger between China Shipbuilding (600150.SH) and China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (601989.SH) is expected to significantly enhance their financial performance, with both companies projecting substantial profit increases for the first half of 2025 [1][7]. Group 1: Financial Performance - China Shipbuilding expects a net profit of between 28 billion to 31 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 98.25% to 119.49% [1][7]. - China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation anticipates a net profit of between 15 billion to 18 billion yuan for the same period, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 181.73% to 238.08% [1][3]. - Combined, the projected net profits for both companies in the first half of 2025 are estimated to be between 43 billion to 49 billion yuan, indicating a year-on-year growth of approximately 121% to 152% [1][8]. Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - The merger is expected to eliminate competition between the two companies and consolidate their resources, enhancing their core functions and competitiveness in the shipbuilding industry [6][7]. - The integration of assets from China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, including shipyards in Dalian, Wuchang, and Beihai, is anticipated to reshape the industry landscape and improve market share [7]. - Both companies are focusing on improving production efficiency and managing costs effectively, which has led to an increase in gross profit margins [1][7]. Group 3: Stock Market Performance - As of July 14, 2023, the market capitalization of China Shipbuilding and China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation reached approximately 2,564 billion yuan, with respective values of 1,508.55 billion yuan and 1,055.73 billion yuan [1][8].

Macro Strategy - The "Great Beautiful Act" has been quickly implemented, but its distribution effects and the tightening fiscal impact from excluding extended and expanded tax cuts limit its growth stimulus for the US economy [1][24] - The act's characteristic of "increasing deficits first, reducing deficits later" implies a risk of a "fiscal cliff" around 2028 [1][24] - In the short term, concerns about the impact of US Treasury issuance on market liquidity and yield premiums are not excessive; however, the long-term path dependency of unsustainable US government debt makes it difficult for Treasury yield premiums to decrease [1][24] Fixed Income - The "stock-bond seesaw" effect is evident as the stock market stabilizes, influencing bond yields; the 10-year government bond yield rose from 1.641% to 1.666% during the week [3][5] - The bond market's reaction to Trump's threats of additional tariffs on BRICS countries was muted, indicating a limited impact on bond yields [3][5] - The bond yield's upward trend is expected to continue, influenced by stock market performance, but the extent of the increase is likely to be limited [5] Industry Insights - Wanda Film's diversified layout in esports and concert live streaming is expected to create new growth points, with net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 1.0 billion, 1.24 billion, and 1.44 billion yuan, respectively [8] - Lianlian Digital is projected to achieve a reasonable P/S valuation of 8.0x and 7.0x for 2025 and 2026, respectively, as it continues to expand its business [10] - Youyou Foods has revised its profit forecast upwards, expecting net profits of 232 million, 285 million, and 329 million yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting a growth rate of 47.2%, 23.2%, and 15.3% [11] - Siyi Electric's net profit for the first half of 2025 is expected to be 1.293 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 46%, driven by strong overseas orders [14][15] - The energy sector, represented by Furan Energy, anticipates stable growth in natural gas supply and a steady increase in new energy business, with net profit forecasts of 872 million, 922 million, and 976 million yuan for 2025-2027 [12] - The lithium battery sector, represented by Weilan Lithium Core, has revised its profit expectations upwards, forecasting net profits of 750 million, 1 billion, and 1.31 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting significant growth [13] - The pharmaceutical sector, represented by Lianbang Pharmaceutical, is expected to see revenue growth driven by innovative drug development, with net profits projected at 3.11 billion, 3.10 billion, and 3.38 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [21]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The report highlights the need for the express delivery industry to shift towards high-quality development, as the State Post Bureau opposes "involution" competition and aims to improve service quality [4] - The express delivery sector is currently experiencing a decline in per-package revenue, with major companies like Zhongtong, Yuantong, Yunda, and Shentong showing year-on-year decreases in revenue per package [4] - Jitu's Southeast Asian market has seen significant growth, with a total package volume of 7.392 billion pieces in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 23.5% [5] - The airline industry is expected to benefit from macroeconomic recovery, with long-term supply-demand trends indicating potential for growth [12] - The shipping sector is anticipated to improve due to OPEC+ production increases and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with specific recommendations for companies like China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping [12] Summary by Sections Express Delivery - The express delivery market is facing intense competition, with major players experiencing a decline in revenue per package [4] - The report suggests that regulatory changes could help improve the situation by reducing low-cost competition and enhancing the performance of leading companies [4][12] Airline Industry - The airline sector is characterized by long-term low supply growth, but demand is expected to benefit from macroeconomic recovery [12] - Key companies to watch include China National Aviation Holding, Southern Airlines, and HNA Group [12] Shipping and Ports - The report indicates a positive outlook for oil transportation due to OPEC+ production increases and potential interest rate cuts [12] - Recommendations include focusing on companies like China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping for their growth potential in the shipping market [12] Road and Rail - The report notes that the Daqin Railway experienced a year-on-year decrease in freight volume in June 2025, while overall logistics operations remain stable [11][12] - Companies like Zhongyuan Expressway and Sichuan Chengyu are highlighted for their growth potential due to infrastructure developments [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the defense and military industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a significant recovery in the performance of upstream electronic components, with a positive outlook for sustained equipment orders [11][12] - The shipbuilding sector is experiencing notable recovery, with deep-sea technology expected to further drive future demand [12][14] - The current market conditions continue to favor the military industry, with military trade anticipated to become a second growth driver [15] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - The report suggests focusing on the following segments: - **Military Electronics**: Recommended stocks include Zhenhua Technology (000733, Overweight), Aerospace Electronics (002025, Buy), and Torch Electronics (603678, Not Rated) [16] - **Key Materials and Parts**: Recommended stocks include Western Superconducting (688122, Buy) and Chujian New Materials (002171, Buy) [16] - **Aero Engine Chain**: Recommended stocks include Aero Engine Power (600893, Not Rated) and Western Superconducting (688122, Buy) [16] - **Military Trade**: Suggested stocks include AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (600760, Not Rated) and Guorui Technology (600562, Not Rated) [16] Performance Insights - Torch Electronics expects a net profit of 247 million to 280 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 50.36% to 70.45% [11][31] - Major shipbuilding companies, including China Shipbuilding and China Heavy Industry, reported over 60% growth in net profit for the first half of 2025, with China Heavy Industry potentially doubling its profit [12][13] Market Trends - The defense and military industry index increased by 0.88%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 1.09% [17][18] - The report notes that the military industry is ranked 25th out of 31 in terms of performance among the primary industry indices [20] Weekly News Highlights - The report includes significant domestic and international news related to the military industry, emphasizing ongoing developments and strategic activities [25][26]

中船系公司 Q2 业绩预告超预期，6 月新船订单环比增长 船舶行业系列十一 中游制造/机械 1）25H1 业绩预告归母净利润 15–18 亿元，同比增长 182%–238% 事件： 近期，中船系公司发布 2025H1 业绩预告： 中国船舶： 1）25H1 业绩预告归母净利润 28–31 亿元，同比增长 98%–119%。 2）单 Q2，公司预计实现归母净利润 16.73-19.73 亿元，同比增长 66%到 95%。 中国重工： 2）单 Q2，公司预计实现归母净利润 9.8-12.8 亿元，同比增长 147%到 222%。 中国动力： 1）25H1 业绩预告归母净利润 8-11.5 亿元，同比增长 68%–142% 2）单 Q2，公司预计实现归母净利润 4-7.5 亿元，同比增长 3%到 94%。 评论： 1、中国船舶等公司业绩显著超预期 高价订单的密集交付+原材料成本剪刀差的逻辑，均为中船系的造船股贡献了显 著的利润弹性。考虑到当前中国船舶的在手订单依然饱和，高价订单正处于交 付前段，后续利润弹性有望逐步放大。 此外，替代燃料的逻辑已得到彻底夯实：2025 年 1-6 月全球替代燃料船舶订 单为 151 艘 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the recent market performance, indicating that the Shanghai Composite Index has stabilized around 3500 points, driven by policy expectations and potential government stimulus measures [1][2] - Analysts from Citigroup predict that the upcoming Politburo meeting will not revise the budget or increase government bond quotas, but will focus on implementing existing policies to support consumption and the real estate sector [1][2] - The article highlights that the real estate market has shown signs of recovery, with a potential for further gains in the coming weeks, based on historical trends of policy-driven market movements [3][5] Group 2 - The banking sector is expected to see an increase in dividend yields due to upcoming dividend distributions, which could enhance the attractiveness of bank stocks [7] - The article notes that the insurance sector is adjusting its investment strategies to favor high-dividend assets, which may impact the overall market dynamics [7] - The article mentions that the real estate index has risen by 9.69% since June 23, indicating a positive trend relative to the Shanghai Composite Index [3][5] Group 3 - The article outlines the upcoming key events in the financial calendar, including the Politburo meeting and FOMC meetings, which are expected to influence market sentiment and policy direction [2] - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring economic indicators and policy announcements as they could significantly impact market performance in the second half of the year [2][10] - The article suggests that sectors such as renewable energy, construction materials, and industrial metals are likely to benefit from current market trends and policy support [15][18]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, with a forecasted growth of 98% to 119% year-on-year, driven by the fulfillment of existing orders [3] - The merger with China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation is progressing, which is anticipated to enhance operational efficiency and profitability [4] - The long-term outlook for the shipbuilding industry remains positive, supported by ongoing demand for new vessels and environmental upgrades [4] Summary by Sections Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Total revenue is projected to grow from 748.39 billion RMB in 2023 to 1,141.67 billion RMB by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12.57% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 295.7 billion RMB in 2023 to 124.14 billion RMB in 2027, reflecting a substantial increase in profitability [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 0.66 RMB in 2023 to 2.78 RMB in 2027, indicating strong growth potential [1] Performance Highlights - As of May 2025, the company holds 322 vessels in its order book, equating to 24.61 million deadweight tons, with production capacity scheduled until 2029 [3] - The company’s performance is expected to exceed market expectations due to the release of previously suppressed demand and the synergistic effects of the merger [3][4] Market Position and Industry Outlook - The company is projected to capture approximately 15% of the global order book and over 14% of global shipbuilding completion volume post-merger [4] - The shipbuilding industry is expected to continue its upward cycle, supported by stringent environmental regulations and the aging of existing vessels [4]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on undervalued leaders in the shipbuilding sector, particularly China Shipbuilding, and highlights potential investment opportunities in industrial gases and engineering machinery [3][9]. Core Insights - The global new ship price index showed a slight increase of 0.22% in June 2025, indicating a marginal improvement in industry sentiment [3][22]. - China Shipbuilding's H1 2025 net profit is projected to be between 2.8 billion to 3.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 98.25% to 119.49%, showcasing strong performance and capacity for profit release [3][22]. - Industrial gas prices have returned to positive year-on-year growth, driven by structural demand improvements and low inventory levels, with a significant increase in pipeline gas revenue expected for Hangzhou Oxygen [3][22]. - The engineering machinery sector is experiencing a robust upward trend, with excavator sales in June 2025 reaching 18,804 units, a year-on-year increase of 13.3% [3][36]. Summary by Sections General Machinery - The general machinery sector continues to face pressure, with the manufacturing PMI at 49.7%, indicating contraction [24]. Engineering Machinery - The engineering machinery sector shows resilience, with domestic excavator sales increasing by 6.2% and exports by 19.3% in June 2025 [3][36]. Shipbuilding - The shipbuilding sector is witnessing a slowdown in decline, with the new ship price index indicating a recovery trend [3][44]. Oilfield Equipment - The oilfield equipment sector is stabilizing at the bottom, with global rig counts rising to over 1,600 units, reflecting a recovery in demand [3][47]. Industrial Gases - The industrial gases sector is expected to perform well in Q3 2025, benefiting from previous maintenance and low base effects [3][55]. Gas Turbines - The gas turbine industry is on a steady upward trajectory, with significant order growth reported for leading companies [3][57].