2025 年 07 月 05 日 深海科技——贯穿下半年的强主题机会 策略研究团队 ——投资策略专题 | 韦冀星（分析师） | 耿驰政（联系人） | 曹晋（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | weijixing@kysec.cn | gengchizheng@kysec.cn | caojin1@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790524030002 | 证书编号：S0790125050007 | 证书编号：S0790124080011 | 深海科技是"底线思维"下政策确定性的交集 "集中精力办好自己的事"和"底线思维"是本轮政策应对"外部冲击"的核 心思路，而"深海科技"正是"底线思维"下政策确定性的交集。 什么是"底线思维"？假设对美出口全面归零，对应的，我们需要有类似级别的对 冲，这对冲可以由三个维度提供：（1）国内扩大内需以及财政刺激等政策；（2）科 技创新下的全要素生产力提振、（3）对其他国家的出口和出海。而这三个维度其实 就是"办好自己的事"，它们也刚好就对应了接下来确定性最高的方向。而在今年政 府工作报告当中被首次提及的"深海科技"，正是这三大确定性的交集。在当前 ...

据微信公众号"中国船舶报"消息，2025年7月4日，中国船舶工业股份有限公司（600150.SH，以下简称"中国船舶"）公告称，公司发行股份吸收合并中国 船舶重工股份有限公司（601989.SH，以下简称"中国重工"）的重大资产重组事项，获上海证券交易所并购重组审核委员会审议通过。这标志着中船集团 旗下两大船舶总装核心上市平台整合迎来重大进展。 关于换股比例与定价，中国船舶换股价格为37.84元/股，中国重工换股价格为5.05元/股，换股比例为1:0.1335。2024年度利润分配实施后，中国船舶换股 价格调整为37.59元/股，中国重工换股价格调整为5.032元/股，换股比例调整为1:0.1339。 1999年，原中国船舶工业总公司分拆，成立了中船集团和中船重工，在业内分别被称为"南船"和"北船"，此后二十年，"南船""北船"通过市场良性竞争提 升影响力，不断推进中国造船行业一步步走到世界第一的位置。 上交所公告截图 本次交易是我国船舶工业领域的国家队、主力军之间的整合升级，也被业内认为是积极响应国家发展战略性新兴产业"深海科技"号召，落实中央财经委 员会关于推动"海洋经济"高质量发展的战略部署，将军工、海 ...

"两船"合并，迎来重大进展！ 7月4日晚间，中国船舶公告称，当天，公司吸收合并中国重工事项获上交所审核通过。此次交易尚需中 国证监会予以注册以及其他可能涉及的必要批准、核准、备案或许可（如需）后方可正式实施。 此次重组完成后，存续公司中国船舶将成为全球最大造船上市公司，资产规模、营业收入规模、手持订 单数均领跑全球。 此次交易中，中国船舶为吸收合并方，中国重工为被吸收合并方。交易完成后，中国船舶实际控制人仍 为中国船舶集团有限公司、最终控制人仍为国务院国资委，未发生变更。 交易方案显示，中国船舶的换股价格按照定价基准日前120个交易日的股票交易均价确定为37.84元/ 股，中国重工的股票交易均价确定为5.05元/股，并由此确定中国重工与中国船舶的换股比例为 1:0.1335，即每1股中国重工股票可以换得0.1335股中国船舶股票。 审核通过 中国船舶（600150）7月4日晚公告，公司吸收合并中国重工事项获上交所审核通过。 中国船舶公告称，公司拟向中国重工全体换股股东发行A股股票的方式换股吸收合并中国重工。上交所 并购重组审核委员会于7月4日召开2025年第8次并购重组审核委员会审议会议，对公司本次交易的申请 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. Congress passed the "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill, which is controversial due to cuts in federal aid, increased long-term debt, and tax reductions for the wealthy and large corporations [2] - The new tariffs on goods entering the U.S. will range from 10% to 70%, effective August 1 [2] - India plans to impose retaliatory tariffs on the U.S. due to the impact of increased tariffs on automotive exports [2] Group 2 - The U.S. stock market was closed on July 4, with early closures for futures contracts on various commodities [3] - International oil prices saw a slight decline, with WTI crude oil futures at $66.49 per barrel, down 0.76%, and Brent crude at $68.51 per barrel, down 0.42% [3] - The cryptocurrency market weakened, with Bitcoin down over 1%, Ethereum nearly 3%, and Dogecoin over 5% [3] Group 3 - The Ministry of Commerce of China confirmed that the U.S. has taken actions to lift certain trade restrictions on China, including the export of EDA software and ethane [5] - The Ministry of Commerce announced a final ruling on anti-dumping investigations into brandy imports from the EU, with dumping margins identified between 27.7% and 34.9% [6] - China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation's merger with China State Shipbuilding Corporation has been approved, creating the largest publicly listed shipbuilding company globally [8] Group 4 - CATL and Geely have signed a comprehensive strategic cooperation agreement focusing on battery technology and supply chain collaboration [9] - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development emphasized the importance of stabilizing the real estate market and implementing targeted policies [21] - The Civil Aviation Administration of China established a leadership group for general aviation and low-altitude economy development [22]

Company Movements - Douyin has launched a new regulation prohibiting minors under 16 years old from live streaming, and those aged 16 to 18 must obtain written consent from parents or guardians to broadcast [5] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange's M&A Review Committee approved China Shipbuilding's share swap merger with China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, marking the completion of the largest absorption merger in A-shares in nearly a decade before the registration with the CSRC [5] - Ping An Life announced it continues to increase its stake in Postal Savings Bank's H-shares, surpassing 13% ownership [6] - Saily Medical reported significant uncertainty regarding the success of its therapeutic hypertension vaccine project trial [6] - Jilin Jin Kong and its concerted actions plan to acquire all issued shares of Jilin's first rural commercial bank, which intends to delist from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [6] Industry News - The second batch of new floating rate funds has been officially submitted, with multiple fund companies including E Fund, Huatai-PB, and others applying for both market-wide and industry-specific products [4] - The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges revised the ETF risk management guidelines, requiring fund managers to enhance the management of ETF subscription and redemption lists [4] - New regulations for algorithmic trading will take effect on July 7, with recent rumors about high-frequency trading frequency changes being denied by several quantitative private equity firms [4] - The Civil Aviation Administration of China has established a leadership group for general aviation and low-altitude economy, focusing on development planning, market regulation, and safety supervision [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a meeting on the photovoltaic industry to address low-price competition and guide capacity optimization, with industry leaders supporting policy directions [2]

Group 1 - The legal opinion letter was issued by Allbright Law Offices regarding China Shipbuilding Industry Company Limited, confirming the legality of the procedures for the second extraordinary general meeting of shareholders held on July 4, 2025 [1][2]. - The meeting was convened by the company's board of directors, with the decision made during the board meeting on June 18, 2025 [2][3]. - The company disclosed the meeting details, including the date, time, voting methods, and agenda, in various financial newspapers and on the Shanghai Stock Exchange website [3]. Group 2 - The meeting was held at the designated location and was presided over by the general manager, with shareholders exercising their voting rights on the agenda items [3][4]. - Voting was conducted through a combination of on-site and online methods, with specific time slots allocated for each voting platform [4]. - A total of 2,595,578,289 shares were represented at the meeting, accounting for 58.0351% of the total voting shares, with all attending shareholders meeting the qualifications set by relevant laws and the company's articles of association [4][5]. Group 3 - Six proposals were presented for voting, including amendments to the company's articles of association and the cancellation of the supervisory board [5][6]. - All proposals were passed without any objections raised during the meeting, and the voting results were recorded and signed by the meeting's presiding officer and other attendees [6]. - The legal opinion concluded that all procedures, qualifications of the conveners and attendees, voting processes, and results were in compliance with applicable laws and the company's articles of association [6].

证券代码：600150 证券简称：中国船舶 公告编号：2025-051 中国船舶工业股份有限公司 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ? 本次会议是否有否决议案：无 一、 会议召开和出席情况 (一) 股东会召开的时间：2025 年 7 月 4 日 (二) 股东会召开的地点：上海市浦东新区浦东大道 1 号中国船舶大厦公司会议室 (三) 出席会议的普通股股东和恢复表决权的优先股股东及其持有股份情况： 份总数的比例（%） (四) 表决方式是否符合《公司法》及《公司章程》的规定，会议主持情况等。 本次会议由公司董事会召集，经公司过半数董事共同推举，本次会议由董事、总 经理施卫东先生主持，采取现场投票和网络投票相结合方式召开并表决。会议的召集 和召开符合《公司法》 《上市公司股东会规则》等有关法律法规和《公司章程》的规定。 (五) 公司董事、监事和董事会秘书的出席情况 望董事、陈刚董事因公务等原因未能出席本次会议； 事因公务等原因未能出席本次会议； (一) 非累积投票议案 审议结果：通过 表决情况： | 股东 ...

Core Insights - Shanghai is recognized as a global leader in shipbuilding and marine engineering, with a significant focus on green and intelligent manufacturing [1][2][3] Group 1: Industry Overview - Shanghai has evolved from a historical shipbuilding hub to a modern industrial powerhouse, housing major companies like Hudong-Zhonghua and Jiangnan Shipyard [1][2] - The city is home to the largest and most advanced shipbuilding base in China, contributing to the nation's transition from a shipbuilding power to a strong maritime nation [1][2] - As of 2024, major Shanghai shipyards are ranked among the top ten globally, with significant advancements in high-end green ship types [2][3] Group 2: Economic Performance - The shipbuilding and marine engineering sector in Shanghai is projected to achieve an industrial output value exceeding 120 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 20% [3][4] - In 2024, the three major shipyards in Shanghai are expected to deliver a total of 69 vessels and secure 128 new orders, marking increases of 19% and 70% respectively [3][4] Group 3: Strategic Developments - The merger of China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation and China Shipbuilding Heavy Industry Company aims to create a new entity with total assets nearing 400 billion yuan and annual revenues exceeding 120 billion yuan [5][6] - This consolidation is expected to enhance operational efficiency and strengthen the competitive position of Chinese shipbuilders in the global market [6] Group 4: Technological Advancements - Shanghai's ship design capabilities are highlighted by institutions like the Shanghai Shipbuilding Research Institute, which leads in civil ship design [5] - The industry is witnessing a shift towards green technologies, with a significant increase in orders for LNG-powered vessels, which are projected to dominate the market [6][7] Group 5: Future Outlook - By 2030, Shanghai aims to establish a world-class shipbuilding and marine engineering industry system, targeting an industrial value-added of over 45 billion yuan and an 85% localization rate for large LNG vessels [4] - The global shipping industry is moving towards decarbonization, with the International Maritime Organization setting ambitious targets for emissions reduction by 2050 [6][7]

（原标题：上市公司动态 | 中国船舶吸收合并中国重工审核通过，三棵树预计上半年净利同比增 81%-119%） 重点要闻 中国船舶吸收合并中国重工审核通过 上交所官网显示，中国船舶工业股份有限公司发行股份购买资产事项经重组委会议审核通过。根据披 露，中国船舶拟向中国重工全体换股股东以发行A股股票的方式换股吸收合并中国重工。交易完成后， 中国重工将终止上市并注销法人资格，中国船舶成为存续公司，实际控制人不变。中国船舶将承继及承 接中国重工的全部资产负债、业务、人员、合同及其他一切权利与义务。 此次中国船舶换股吸收合并中国重工交易金额1151.5亿元、涉及总资产超4000亿元。将催生全球规模最 大、业务最完备的上市造船巨头——新"中国船舶"。今年一季度，中国船舶实现营业总收入158.58亿 元，同比增长3.85%；实现归母净利润11.27亿元，同比增长180.99%。一季度，中国重工实现营业总收 入122.16亿元，同比增长20.12%；归母净利润5.19亿元，同比增长281.99%。在国有经济优化布局、市 值管理加快落地的背景下，央企进一步加大了战略性重组、专业化整合和前瞻性布局的力度。 三棵树预计上半年净利润同 ...

"两船"合并，迎来重大进展！ 7月4日晚间，中国船舶公告称，当天，公司吸收合并中国重工事项获上交所审核通过。此次交易尚需中国证监 会予以注册以及其他可能涉及的必要批准、核准、备案或许可（如需）后方可正式实施。 此次重组完成后，存续公司中国船舶将成为全球最大造船上市公司，资产规模、营业收入规模、手持订单数均 领跑全球。 审核通过 中国船舶（600150）7月4日晚公告，公司吸收合并中国重工事项获上交所审核通过。 中国船舶公告称，公司拟向中国重工全体换股股东发行A股股票的方式换股吸收合并中国重工。上交所并购重 组审核委员会于7月4日召开2025年第8次并购重组审核委员会审议会议，对公司本次交易的申请进行了审议。 根据上交所并购重组审核委员会发布的会议结果公告，本次会议的审议结果为：本次交易符合重组条件和信息 披露要求。 "两船"合并的影响有多大？ 截至7月4日收盘，中国船舶市值达到1467亿元，中国重工市值为1056亿元。两家千亿级企业换股吸收合并，受 到市场高度关注。依据中国船舶及中国重工2024年度的财务数据测算，重组完成后，中国船舶作为存续公司， 总资产将超过4000亿元，营业收入将逾1300亿元。 据悉， ...