Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights the formal implementation of the EU carbon tariff in 2026, which is expected to boost demand for China's circular economy and green energy industries. The carbon price in the EU is currently 80-90 euros per ton, significantly higher than China's current carbon price, which will increase export costs for Chinese companies. Companies can reduce carbon emissions through green energy and recycled resources [7][11] - There is a notable acceleration in local government debt reduction efforts, with several companies in the environmental sector announcing debt recovery measures. This includes one-time payments for historical receivables and debt restructuring, which are expected to improve cash flow for many companies [7][30] - High dividend assets in the environmental sector remain attractive, with companies like Guangda Environment and Huanlan Environment showing significant stock price increases in 2025. The expectation of continued dividend growth is supported by reduced capital expenditure needs due to fewer new project orders [7][30] Summary by Sections 1. Receivables Recovery Announcements - Numerous announcements regarding receivables recovery from listed companies indicate a trend towards debt reduction in the industry. For instance, Chuangye Environmental has signed agreements to improve cash flow by adjusting payment cycles for wastewater treatment fees [15][16] - Mengcao Ecology has announced the termination and debt restructuring of four PPP projects, expecting to recover approximately 1 billion yuan in receivables, which will enhance cash flow and fund utilization efficiency [23][24] 2. Carbon Tariff Implementation - The EU carbon tariff will officially be implemented in 2026, impacting various industries including cement, steel, and electricity. This is expected to expand to additional sectors by 2027, influencing downstream products and commodities [7][11] 3. Policy Review and Trends - The report reviews policies aimed at resolving local government debts and emphasizes the importance of addressing overdue payments to enterprises. Recent policies have allocated special bond quotas to address these issues [27][28][29] 4. Company Performance and Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with significant receivables from government projects, as they are likely to see improved market valuations and profit recovery. Key companies to watch include Chengfa Environment, Wuhan Holdings, and others in the solid waste and water treatment sectors [30]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution of the environmental protection industry in China and its collaboration with local finance, using the case of Hanlan Environment as a key example of how mergers and acquisitions (M&A) serve as accelerators for industrial upgrades and resource integration in a financial powerhouse context [1][16]. Group 1: Historical Context and Development - In 2000, Hanlan Environment's predecessor had total assets of less than 1 billion yuan and a net profit of less than 50 million yuan, focusing on water supply in Guangdong [1][16]. - By 2025, Hanlan Environment had developed into a company with nearly 63 billion yuan in total assets, covering four major business segments: solid waste treatment, energy, water supply, and drainage [1][16]. - The evolution of Hanlan Environment exemplifies the microcosmic development of China's financial history and industrial transformation [1][16]. Group 2: M&A Strategy and Implementation - From 2004 to 2014, Hanlan Environment transitioned from a single water supply service to a comprehensive environmental service provider through strategic acquisitions [6][20]. - The acquisition of Chuangguan China in 2014 was a pivotal event for Hanlan, significantly expanding its national footprint and market share [7][22]. - The acquisition strategy involved a combination of cash and equity payments, which helped mitigate liquidity risks and attract strategic shareholders [7][21]. Group 3: Financialization and Internationalization - During the "13th Five-Year Plan" period (2016-2020), Hanlan's M&A logic shifted from scale expansion to ecological construction, entering new sectors such as agricultural waste treatment and hazardous waste management [9][23]. - The acquisition of Yuefeng Environmental in 2025 marked a significant cross-border strategic move, with a transaction size of approximately 11.1 billion HKD (about 10.2 billion yuan), fully funded in cash [10][23]. - Hanlan Environment is also focusing on international expansion, particularly in Southeast Asia, through partnerships and acquisitions to enhance its operational capabilities [12][25]. Group 4: Conclusion and Implications - The development trajectory of Hanlan Environment from 1999 to 2025 illustrates the synergy between the environmental industry and local finance, highlighting the importance of financial tools in driving industrial upgrades [13][26]. - The case of Hanlan Environment serves as a reference for the integration of finance and industry in China's public utility sector, demonstrating the effectiveness of capital market tools in addressing social needs and promoting sustainable growth [14][27].

股票简称：瀚蓝环境 股票代码：600323 编号：临 2025-055 债券简称：25 瀚蓝 01 债券代码：244045 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重 大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 为保证瀚蓝环境股份有限公司 2024 年度第一期中期票据（债券简称：24 瀚蓝 MTN001， 债券代码：102480116）兑付工作的顺利进行，方便投资者及时领取兑付资金，现将有 关事宜公告如下： 一、本期债券基本情况 二、兑付办法 托管在银行间市场清算所股份有限公司的债券，其兑付资金由发行人在规定时间之 前划付至银行间市场清算所股份有限公司指定的收款账户后，由银行间市场清算所股份 有限公司在兑付日划付至债券持有人指定的银行账户。债券兑付日如遇法定节假日，则 划付资金的时间相应顺延。债券持有人资金汇划路径变更，应在兑付前将新的资金汇划 路径及时通知银行间市场清算所股份有限公司。因债券持有人资金汇划路径变更未及时 通知银行间市场清算所股份有限公司而不能及时收到资金的，发行人及银行间市场清算 所股份有限公司不承担由此产生的任何损失。 1 瀚蓝环境股份有限公司 ...

瀚蓝环境公告称，将于2026年1月12日兑付2024年度第一期中期票据（简称：24瀚蓝MTN001，代码： 102480116）。该票据发行总额5亿元，本计息期债券利率2.7%。托管在银行间市场清算所股份有限公 司的债券，发行人会在规定时间前划付兑付资金至指定收款账户，再由清算所于兑付日划付至持有人指 定银行账户。若遇法定节假日，划付时间顺延。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Hanlan Environment's stock price has shown a year-to-date increase of 27.47%, despite a slight decline in the last five and twenty trading days, indicating volatility in the short term while maintaining a positive long-term trend [2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of December 31, Hanlan Environment's stock price rose by 2.02% to 28.77 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 23.458 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has experienced a 1.24% decline over the last five trading days and a 1.44% decline over the last twenty trading days, while showing a 7.43% increase over the last sixty days [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Hanlan Environment reported a revenue of 9.737 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.52%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.605 billion CNY, which is a 15.85% increase year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 3.203 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.427 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3]. Group 3: Business Overview - Hanlan Environment, established on December 17, 1992, and listed on December 25, 2000, operates in various sectors including water supply, wastewater treatment, solid waste management, and gas supply [2]. - The revenue composition of Hanlan Environment includes solid waste business (37.71%), energy supply (32.36%), sanitation (9.14%), water supply (8.48%), drainage (5.11%), and income from PPP projects [2]. Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Hanlan Environment was 19,900, a decrease of 5.52% from the previous period, with an average of 40,980 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 5.84% [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the sixth largest with 12.8864 million shares, while ICBC Dividend Preferred Mixed A (005833) is the eighth largest with 8.8278 million shares, having increased its holdings by 1.8244 million shares [3].

Company Overview - Huanlan Environment Co., Ltd. is located in Nanhai District, Foshan City, Guangdong Province, and was established on December 17, 1992. The company was listed on December 25, 2000. Its main business includes water supply, sewage treatment, solid waste treatment, and gas supply [1]. Business Revenue Composition - The revenue composition of Huanlan Environment is as follows: solid waste business accounts for 37.71%, energy supply business 32.36%, sanitation business 9.14%, water supply business 8.48%, drainage business 5.11%, interest income from PPP projects 3.46%, construction income from PPP projects 2.22%, and other businesses 1.52% [1]. Fund Holdings - According to data, Zhonggeng Fund has one fund heavily invested in Huanlan Environment. The Zhonggeng Value Navigation Mixed Fund (006551) increased its holdings by 405,300 shares in the third quarter, bringing the total to 4,362,100 shares, which represents 3.96% of the fund's net value, making it the fifth-largest holding [2]. Fund Performance - The Zhonggeng Value Navigation Mixed Fund (006551) was established on December 19, 2018, with a current size of 2.977 billion. Year-to-date returns are 53.72%, ranking 1027 out of 8085 in its category; the one-year return is 52.45%, ranking 933 out of 8085; and since inception, the return is 239.82% [2]. Fund Manager Information - The fund manager of Zhonggeng Value Navigation Mixed Fund (006551) is Liu Sheng, who has been in the position for 1 year and 235 days. The total asset size of the fund is 2.977 billion, with the best and worst fund returns during his tenure both recorded at 46.12% [3].

Group 1 - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the environmental sector, highlighting the potential for growth and the strengthening of dividend attributes in municipal environmental assets [1][2] - Municipal environmental assets exhibit regional monopolistic characteristics, anti-cyclical nature, and stable profitability, with typical companies showing dividend yields between 4% and 7% [4][5] - Insurance capital has steadily increased its holdings in environmental governance, reaching 0.2% by Q3 2025, and is expected to continue favoring dividend-yielding stocks [5][11] Group 2 - The report emphasizes the importance of free cash flow turning positive and the expectation of increased dividends as key drivers for stock price appreciation in the municipal environmental sector [23][39] - The performance of municipal environmental companies has shown significant growth in profitability, with garbage incineration enterprises experiencing high profit increases and improved cash flow due to capacity growth and reduced costs [12][18] - The report suggests focusing on companies with positive cash flow nearing stabilization, such as Xingrong Environment, and those with already positive cash flow and increasing dividends, like Guangda Environment and Hanlan Environment [5][23] Group 3 - The biofuel sector is expected to benefit from ongoing international carbon reduction policies, with prices for SAF and UCO anticipated to rise due to increased demand [5][18] - The report recommends focusing on scarce biofuel industry chain targets, particularly those transitioning to SAF or expanding overseas, such as Zhuoyue New Energy [5][18] - The demand for green methanol is projected to grow significantly starting in 2025, with companies like Jiazhe New Energy being highlighted for investment [5][18] Group 4 - The report outlines that the capital expenditure in the garbage incineration sector is entering a contraction phase, which is expected to enhance free cash flow and improve dividend capabilities [39][43] - The industry is transitioning to a phase of refined operations, focusing on internal growth and cautious external expansion, with significant potential for profit and cash flow improvement [48][49] - The report highlights the importance of regional characteristics and business models in determining the profitability and operational efficiency of garbage incineration companies [54][60]

Core Viewpoint - The acceleration of national subsidies recovery will enhance the cash flow value of the environmental protection sector, particularly in the waste incineration segment, which is expected to see improved cash flow and dividend potential due to reduced capital expenditures and increased operational cash flow [1][2]. Group 1: National Subsidy Recovery - The average account period for national subsidies in waste incineration enterprises remains stable at around two years, with a slowdown in the growth of outstanding payments [2]. - The national subsidy recovery rate has significantly accelerated in Q3 2025, improving cash flow and reversing credit impairment losses [2]. - The estimated national subsidy recovery rate for enterprises in Q1-Q3 2025 is approximately 40% to 199%, with an average of about 89%, a notable increase from the 39% average in 2024 [2]. Group 2: Renewable Energy Subsidy Fund - The renewable energy development fund's income is expected to achieve a balance around 2025, with historical outstanding payments projected to reach a maximum of 4,355 billion yuan [3]. - The fund's income has been increasing annually, while expenditures have reached their limit due to the decline in benchmark electricity prices and the acceleration of new energy installations [3]. Group 3: Dividend Potential Calculation - The potential for dividends in the waste incineration sector is projected to increase from 114% to 141% as capital expenditures decrease to maintenance levels and the national subsidy recovery rate improves from 40% to 100% [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the utility sector [3]. Core Viewpoints - The acceleration of solar thermal power construction, supported by scale enhancement and policy backing, is expected to secure returns [19]. - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have issued guidelines to promote the large-scale development of solar thermal power, aiming for a total installed capacity of approximately 15 million kilowatts by 2030, with investment expected to reach around 170 billion yuan [19][20]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Overview - From December 22 to December 26, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.88%, the ChiNext Index increased by 3.9%, the utility index gained 0.83%, and the environmental index rose by 1.92% [27]. - In the utility sector, the thermal power segment increased by 2.45%, while the hydropower segment decreased by 0.77% [29]. 2. Utility Sector Dynamics 2.1. Electricity Tracking - In November 2025, the average transaction price in Jiangsu's centralized bidding was 355.95 yuan/MWh, up 4.45% month-on-month but down 13.60% year-on-year [39]. - The total electricity generation in November 2025 was approximately 779.2 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 3.96% but a month-on-month decrease of 2.62% [42]. 2.2. Water Conditions - As of December 26, the water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was 170.95 meters, which is normal compared to 167.82 meters in the same period last year [55]. 2.3. Coal Price and Inventory Tracking - The CCI index for thermal coal was reported at 693 yuan/ton as of December 24, 2025, a decrease of 39 yuan/ton from December 17 [59]. - The inventory of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port was 7.02 million tons as of December 25, 2025, down by 110,000 tons from December 18 [65]. 2.4. Natural Gas Price Tracking - The LNG ex-factory price index in China was reported at 3937 yuan/ton as of December 25, 2025, a decrease of 3.39% from December 17 [70]. 3. Configuration Suggestions - Short-term recommendations include focusing on environmentally friendly public utility sectors that cater to residential demand, such as heating services and waste-to-energy projects [14]. - Long-term suggestions emphasize the importance of stable performance and attractive dividend yields in the current low-interest-rate environment, particularly for quality hydropower companies [14].

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment outlook for various sectors within the energy industry, particularly recommending companies involved in coal power, hydropower, nuclear power, green energy, and gas [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that in November 2025, the total electricity consumption reached 835.6 billion kWh, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.2%. The growth contributions from the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries, as well as residential consumption, were 2%, 49%, 29%, and 19% respectively [4][6]. - The secondary industry remains the largest contributor to electricity consumption, accounting for over 60% of the total, with significant growth in high-tech and equipment manufacturing sectors [5][6]. - Natural gas prices have shown fluctuations, with the U.S. Henry Hub spot price at $3.31/mmBtu, reflecting a weekly decline of 7.30%. The report notes that the domestic LNG ex-factory price is 3915 yuan/ton, down 2.85% week-on-week [1][16]. Summary by Sections Electricity Sector - In November 2025, the electricity consumption by the first, second, and third industries grew by 7.9%, 4.4%, and 10.3% respectively, while residential consumption increased by 9.8% [4][6]. - The high-tech and equipment manufacturing sectors saw a 6.7% increase in electricity consumption, with automotive manufacturing leading at a 10% growth rate [5][6]. Natural Gas Sector - The report indicates that global gas prices are experiencing slight fluctuations, with the U.S. market showing a significant drop in spot prices. The report anticipates that the demand for natural gas will increase as winter approaches, potentially stabilizing prices [1][16]. - Recommendations include focusing on integrated gas companies and those benefiting from cost reductions and improved profitability due to lower oil prices [39][40]. Investment Recommendations - For coal power, companies like Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian are recommended due to their diversified revenue sources [1]. - Hydropower companies such as Yangtze Power and State Power Investment Corporation are favored due to expected improvements in profit margins from reduced capital expenditures [1]. - Nuclear power firms like China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are highlighted for their stable cost structures and growth potential [1]. - In the green energy sector, companies like Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power are recommended for their stable returns and increasing operational value [1]. - The report also suggests investment in gas companies like Shenzhen Energy and Kunlun Energy, which are expected to benefit from cost reductions and improved market conditions [1][39].