Core Viewpoint - Hanlan Environment achieved operating revenue of 3.97 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 638 million yuan, up 28.1% year-on-year and 16.7% quarter-on-quarter, indicating that Q3 performance met expectations with growth potential from heating and AIDC contributions [1] Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company's waste-to-energy generation reached 380.06 kWh/ton, an increase of 1.18% year-on-year, while the on-grid electricity generation per ton of waste was 330.24 kWh/ton, up 1.84% year-on-year, reflecting improved power generation efficiency [1] - Capital expenditures continued to decline, and accounts receivable collection accelerated, leading to sustained improvement in cash flow [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company is advancing its AIDC strategic cooperation, aiming to create a model of "waste incineration power generation + intelligent computing center" [1] Valuation and Outlook - Current valuation levels are considered low, and the improvement in free cash flow lays a foundation for further dividend increases, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The Q3 performance of the company met expectations, with growth potential driven by heating services and AIDC contributions [5][7] - The company reported a Q3 revenue of 3.97 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 638 million yuan, up 28.1% year-on-year [7] - The company continues to enhance its operational efficiency, with improvements in waste-to-energy generation and cash flow management [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 12,541 million yuan in 2023, 11,886 million yuan in 2024, 13,721 million yuan in 2025, 15,526 million yuan in 2026, and 15,632 million yuan in 2027, with a projected growth rate of 15.44% in 2025 [6][8] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 1,430 million yuan in 2023, 1,664 million yuan in 2024, 1,976 million yuan in 2025, 2,262 million yuan in 2026, and 2,357 million yuan in 2027, with a growth rate of 18.76% in 2025 [6][8] - The company’s current P/E ratios are projected to be 16.93 for 2023, 14.54 for 2024, 12.25 for 2025, 10.70 for 2026, and 10.27 for 2027, indicating a low valuation level [6][8] Operational Highlights - The company’s waste incineration power generation business achieved a net profit of 657 million yuan in Q3, with significant contributions from the Guangdong Feng Environmental Protection project [7] - The company’s heating supply reached 520,000 tons in Q3, a year-on-year increase of 14.4%, contributing to an increase in heating revenue [7] - The company is advancing its AIDC strategic cooperation, aiming to create a new model for carbon reduction and energy utilization through partnerships [7]

瀚蓝环境涨3.64%，报29.62元/股，股价再创新高，总市值突破241.50亿元，成交额达1.73亿元。（AI生 成） ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Hanlan Environment has shown a positive trend with a year-to-date increase of 29.20%, reflecting strong performance in the environmental services sector [1][2]. Company Overview - Hanlan Environment, established on December 17, 1992, and listed on December 25, 2000, is based in Nanhai District, Foshan, Guangdong Province. The company specializes in water supply, wastewater treatment, solid waste management, and gas supply [1]. - The revenue composition of Hanlan Environment includes: solid waste business 37.71%, energy supply 32.36%, sanitation 9.14%, water supply 8.48%, drainage 5.11%, interest income from PPP projects 3.46%, construction income from PPP projects 2.22%, and other businesses 1.52% [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Hanlan Environment achieved a revenue of 9.737 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.52%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.605 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 15.85% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 3.203 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.427 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Hanlan Environment was 19,900, a decrease of 5.52% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person increased by 5.84% to 40,980 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the sixth largest with 12.8864 million shares, marking a new entry. ICBC Red Fortune Mixed A (005833) is the eighth largest, holding 8.8278 million shares, an increase of 1.8244 million shares from the previous period [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the environmental industry [10]. Core Insights - The environmental sector's heavy positions in public funds have decreased, with the top ten holdings totaling approximately 5.438 billion yuan, accounting for 0.13% of all disclosed fund stock holdings, a decrease of 0.10 percentage points from the previous quarter [2][4][18]. - The A-share environmental sector is currently underweight, with a standard allocation ratio of 0.94% as of the end of Q3 2025 [4][18]. - The report highlights three investment styles in the environmental sector for Q3: market hot themes, absolute returns, and marginal changes [7][33]. Summary by Sections Fund Holdings - As of Q3 2025, the top heavy positions in public funds include Shanghai Xiba (0.91 billion yuan), Huanlan Environment (0.82 billion yuan), and Weiming Environmental (0.63 billion yuan) [5][29]. - The number of funds holding significant positions in leading companies reflects market attention, with Huanlan Environment leading with 59 funds [5][23]. Market Trends - The report notes a shift towards solid battery-related stocks and waste incineration leaders, indicating a growing market risk appetite [7][33]. - The environmental sector is experiencing a transition from government to business (ToB) and consumer (ToC) models, which is expected to improve cash flow and valuation recovery [19][35]. Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on companies with long-term value in waste incineration and water assets, such as Huanlan Environment, Guangda Environment, and Weiming Environmental [8][36]. - It emphasizes the importance of detecting service companies and environmental sanitation firms, highlighting potential growth in these areas [43]. Performance Metrics - The report indicates that the environmental sector's performance metrics are currently at historical lows, with a notable decline in heavy positions due to market concerns over subsidy adjustments and economic pressures [19][33]. - The report also discusses the potential for valuation recovery as companies explore new growth avenues and improve operational cash flows [19][35].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the environmental protection industry [12] Core Insights - The environmental protection sector showed a significant increase in performance, with a 17.3% year-on-year growth in non-recurring net profit for Q3 2025, driven by stable operations and profit recovery in cyclical assets [6][40] - The overall revenue for the environmental sector reached 221.7 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a 3.12% increase year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 4.88% to 21.9 billion yuan [21][40] - The cash flow situation improved, with a cash collection ratio of 95.1% in Q3 2025, reflecting a 4.5 percentage point increase year-on-year, indicating a stable investment environment despite a downward trend in financing [8][40] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In Q3 2025, the environmental sector achieved a revenue of 79.6 billion yuan, a 9.64% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 8.2 billion yuan, up 11.8% [6][40] - The non-recurring net profit for Q3 2025 was 7.75 billion yuan, reflecting a 17.3% year-on-year increase, primarily driven by strong performances in waste incineration, biodiesel, and air quality sectors [6][40] Financial Statements - The overall asset-liability ratio for the environmental sector was 57.3% in Q3 2025, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.35 percentage points, indicating a slowdown in the growth rate of liabilities [7] - The cash flow from operating activities showed a net inflow of 27.1 billion yuan, a 30.6% increase year-on-year, with improvements noted in waste management and water operations [8] Investment Strategy - The report suggests continued investment in waste incineration and water sectors, with a potential for valuation recovery as the industry transitions towards a more market-oriented model [9] - Recommended companies include Hanlan Environment, China Everbright International, and Weiming Environmental, among others, highlighting their potential for growth and dividend returns [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of the "15th Five-Year Plan" focusing on green dual carbon goals, marketization, and debt management [4][8] - The solid waste sector shows strong performance in Q3 2025, with improved cash flow and profitability [4][12] Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection sector, highlighting strong fundamentals and growth potential [1] Key Investment Themes - The "15th Five-Year Plan" prioritizes green transformation, dual carbon goals, marketization, and debt management as key themes for the environmental sector [4][8] - The report suggests that the solid waste sector is experiencing robust growth, with Q3 2025 showing a 12% increase in net profit and a 2.7 percentage point rise in gross margin [4][12] Solid Waste Sector Insights - The solid waste sector's free cash flow improved significantly, with a net operating cash flow of 13.3 billion yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, representing a 28% increase [4][12] - The report highlights that the sector is entering a mature phase, with capital expenditures declining and dividend payouts increasing [12][14] Water Management Sector Insights - The water management sector is expected to experience a cash flow turning point, similar to the solid waste sector, with anticipated increases in free cash flow starting in 2026 [17][18] - The report notes that water pricing reforms are crucial for ensuring reasonable returns on investments, with cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen implementing price adjustments [17][18] Renewable Energy and Recycling Insights - The report indicates a 63.18% year-on-year increase in sales of new energy sanitation vehicles in the first nine months of 2025, with a penetration rate of 17.40% [20][28] - The report also highlights improvements in profitability for lithium battery recycling due to rising metal prices, with lithium carbonate prices reaching 80,600 yuan per ton [20][28]

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment outlook for the electricity and natural gas sectors, highlighting potential growth opportunities in renewable energy and natural gas consumption [4][8]. Core Insights - The green certificate market is experiencing a significant increase in both volume and price, with a 210% rise in average trading prices in Q3 compared to Q1. The total issuance of green power certificates reached 2.29 billion in September 2025, with 1.58 billion being tradable [7][8]. - Global natural gas prices are fluctuating, with the U.S. Henry Hub spot price reaching a six-month high of $3.57/mmBtu, while European prices are showing mixed trends [9][11]. - The report anticipates an increase in natural gas consumption in Q4 2025 due to low base effects and expected higher heating demand from a potential La Niña phenomenon [30][31]. Summary by Sections Electricity - The average trading price of green certificates increased by 210% in Q3 compared to Q1. The issuance of green certificates reached 2.29 billion in September 2025, with 1.58 billion being tradable, indicating a robust market growth [7][8]. - The report emphasizes the need for further development of the green certificate market and the introduction of regulations to enhance renewable energy consumption [4][7]. Natural Gas - As of October 31, 2025, the U.S. Henry Hub spot price was $3.57/mmBtu, marking an 11.16% increase week-on-week. In contrast, European gas prices showed a decline, with the TTF spot price at €30.35/MWh, down 5.42% [9][10]. - The report notes a decrease in China's apparent natural gas consumption in September 2025, but anticipates a rebound in Q4 2025 due to low base effects and increased heating demand [30][31]. - The LNG national ex-factory price in China rose to 4407 yuan/ton, reflecting a 3.11% increase week-on-week, driven by rising demand ahead of the heating season [28][30]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies based on their performance and market conditions: - Hydropower: Focus on Guotou Power, Chuan Investment Energy, and Yangtze Power due to favorable hydrological conditions [8]. - Green Power: Attention to New Energy, Funiu Co., Longyuan Power, and China Resources Power for their stable returns [8]. - Nuclear Power: Recommendations for China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power due to ongoing approvals for new units [8]. - Thermal Power: Companies like Guodian Power and Huadian International are highlighted for improved profitability due to falling coal prices [8]. - Gas Power: Recommendations for Guangzhou Development and Shenzhen Energy based on expected stability in profitability [8].

股票简称：瀚蓝环境 股票代码：600323 编号：临 2025-053 瀚蓝环境股份有限公司 2023 年度第一期中期票据兑付公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重 大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 1、发行人：瀚蓝环境股份有限公司 联系人：冯微 联系方式：0757-86335158 2、存续期管理机构：中信银行股份有限公司 为保证瀚蓝环境股份有限公司 2023 年度第一期中期票据（债券简称：23 瀚蓝 MTN001， 债券代码：102383026）兑付工作的顺利进行，方便投资者及时领取兑付资金，现将有 关事宜公告如下： 一、本期债券基本情况 二、兑付办法 托管在银行间市场清算所股份有限公司的债券，其兑付资金由发行人在规定时间之 前划付至银行间市场清算所股份有限公司指定的收款账户后，由银行间市场清算所股份 有限公司在兑付日划付至债券持有人指定的银行账户。债券兑付日如遇法定节假日，则 划付资金的时间相应顺延至其后的第一个工作日，顺延期间不另计息。债券持有人资金 汇划路径变更，应在兑付前将新的资金汇划路径及时通知银行间市场清算所股份有限公 司。因债券 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for various sectors including hydropower, green electricity, nuclear power, thermal power, and gas power [4][9][44]. Core Insights - The green certificate market is experiencing a significant increase in both volume and price, with a 210% rise in average trading price in Q3 compared to Q1 [8]. - Global natural gas prices are fluctuating, with the US Henry Hub spot price reaching a near six-month high of $3.57/mmBtu, while European prices are showing mixed trends [11][12]. - The report anticipates a potential increase in gas consumption growth in Q4 2025 due to low base effects and high demand expectations, despite a 1.6% year-on-year decline in September gas consumption [32][33]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity - In September 2025, 229 million green electricity certificates were issued, with 68.86% being tradable [4][8]. - The report highlights the improvement in market mechanisms and the growing demand for renewable energy consumption [8]. 2. Natural Gas - As of October 31, 2025, the US Henry Hub spot price increased by 11.16% week-on-week, while European prices showed a decline [11][12]. - The report notes a 1.6% year-on-year decrease in national gas consumption in September, with expectations for growth in Q4 2025 due to favorable weather conditions [32][33]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Recommendations include hydropower companies such as Guotou Power and Chuanwei Energy, green electricity firms like Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power, and gas companies including Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy [9][44]. - The report emphasizes the potential for improved profitability in the gas sector due to declining costs and rising demand [33][44].