Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the petrochemical industry, indicating favorable conditions for investment opportunities [1]. Core Insights - Qatar's LNG projects are expected to lead to a loosening of global LNG supply, with international gas prices likely to decline. Qatar's LNG production capacity is projected to reach 142 million tons by the end of 2030, nearly doubling from 77 million tons in 2020 [3][4]. - The report highlights that while global gas demand growth is expected to slow to around 1.5% in 2025, LNG demand in Asia will be significantly suppressed due to high prices, dropping from a growth rate of 17% in 2024 to below 3% [6][14]. - The upstream sector is experiencing rising oil prices, with Brent crude futures closing at $66.47 per barrel, a 4.02% increase week-on-week. The report anticipates a downward trend in oil prices due to a widening supply-demand balance [23][39]. - In the refining sector, the report notes a decline in overseas refined oil crack spreads, while olefin price spreads show mixed trends. The Singapore refining margin has decreased to $12.55 per barrel [53][55]. - The polyester sector is facing a decline in PTA profitability, while polyester filament profitability is on the rise. The report suggests that the overall performance of the polyester industry is average, with potential for improvement as new capacity slows down [53][60]. Summary by Sections LNG Supply and Demand - Qatar's LNG projects, including the Golden Pass LNG and North Field East expansion, are set to boost global LNG supply significantly by 2030 [4][5]. - The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts a 50% increase in global export capacity by 2030, with an additional 270 billion cubic meters expected [5][6]. Upstream Sector - Brent crude prices have risen, with a notable increase in drilling day rates for self-elevating platforms. The report indicates a potential for oil prices to decline in the medium term, despite current upward trends [23][39]. - The report also notes a decrease in the number of active drilling rigs in the U.S., which may impact future production levels [33]. Refining Sector - The report highlights a decrease in refining margins and crack spreads, indicating challenges in profitability for refiners. However, it suggests that domestic refining margins may improve as overseas refineries exit the market [53][55]. Polyester Sector - The report indicates a mixed performance in the polyester sector, with PTA profitability declining while polyester filament profitability is improving. It emphasizes the need to monitor demand changes closely [53][60]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality refining companies such as Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and Sinopec, as well as companies in the upstream exploration and development sector like CNOOC and CNOOC Engineering [17].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the content. 2. Core View of the Report The report focuses on the weekly data of the large refining and chemical industry, including price, profit, inventory, and operating rate of different sectors such as polyester, refining, and chemicals, as well as the performance and profit forecasts of related listed companies [2][8]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Big Refining Weekly Data Briefing - **Price and Spread**: The domestic key large refining project spread this week was 2,675 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 48 yuan/ton (-2%); the foreign key large refining project spread was 1,063 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 23 yuan/ton (-2%). The average price of PX this week was 832.1 dollars/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 8.0 dollars/ton, and the spread to crude oil was 356.4 dollars/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 13.1 dollars/ton [2]. - **Polyester Plate**: The average prices of POY/FDY/DTY this week were 6,979/7,279/8,200 yuan/ton respectively, with week - on - week changes of -57/-21/+0 yuan/ton. Their weekly average profits were 96/30/44 yuan/ton, with week - on - week increases of +8/+31/+46 yuan/ton. The inventory was 16.5/21.6/28.4 days, with week - on - week increases of +2.7/+0.9/+1.1 days. The filament operating rate was 89.1%, a week - on - week decrease of 0.6 pct. The downstream loom operating rate was 61.3%, a week - on - week decrease of 1.1 pct [2]. - **Refining Plate**: Domestic refined oil prices: gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel prices rose this week. US refined oil prices: gasoline prices fell, while diesel and jet fuel prices rose [2]. - **Chemical Plate**: The PX operating rate was 84.6%, a week - on - week increase of 3.9 pct [2]. - **Related Listed Companies**: Private large refining and chemical & polyester filament companies include Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, Orient Shenghong, Hengyi Petrochemical, Tongkun Co., Ltd., and Xin凤鸣 [2]. - **Stock Price and Profit Forecast**: The report provides the stock price changes of 6 private refining and chemical companies in different time periods and their profit forecasts from 2024A to 2027E [8]. 3.2 Big Refining Weekly Report 3.2.1 Big Refining Index and Project Spread Trend The report shows the changes in the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300, petroleum and petrochemical, and oil prices, as well as the weekly spreads of domestic and foreign large refining projects [14][16]. 3.2.2 Polyester Plate It presents various data such as the prices, spreads, operating rates, inventories, and production - sales ratios of PX, PTA, MEG, polyester filaments (POY, FDY, DTY), polyester staple fibers, and polyester bottle chips [10]. 3.2.3 Refining Plate The report details the prices, spreads, and changes of domestic, US, European, and Singapore refined oil products (gasoline, diesel, jet fuel) compared to crude oil [10]. 3.2.4 Chemical Plate It provides the prices, spreads, and changes of various chemical products such as pure benzene, styrene, acrylonitrile, polycarbonate, MMA, etc., compared to crude oil [10].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The chemical industry is expected to enter a replenishment cycle, driven by the recovery of demand and limited supply in certain sectors [30] - The chromium salt and phosphate rock sectors are highlighted as key areas of focus due to their potential for growth and value reassessment [4][6] - The report emphasizes the importance of companies with cost advantages and stable market positions, particularly in the context of rising prices for key products [10][30] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The basic chemical sector has shown a performance increase of 2.4% over the last month, 1.0% over the last three months, and 8.9% over the last year, outperforming the CSI 300 index [3] Key Opportunities - Focus on chromium salt and phosphate rock industries, with expectations of continued demand growth in fine phosphorus chemicals and lithium iron phosphate batteries [7] - Companies like Zhuhai Holdings and Baitian Co. are noted for their capacity expansions and potential for increased profitability [7][9] Price Trends - Recent price adjustments include a decrease in metal chromium prices from 76,000 yuan/ton to 73,000 yuan/ton, reflecting market fluctuations and demand shifts [5][17] - Phosphate rock prices are stable at 1,038 yuan/ton, with expectations of a reassessment of value due to supply constraints [19] Company Focus - Companies such as Zhuhai Holdings and Baitian Co. are highlighted for their strategic advantages in technology innovation, cost reduction, and capacity expansion [5][7] - The report suggests that leading companies in the chemical sector are entering a long-term upward performance cycle, supported by their competitive advantages [8][30] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends a focus on companies with low-cost expansion capabilities, such as Wanhu Chemical and Yantai Chemical, as well as those in the chromium salt and phosphate rock sectors [9][10] - High dividend yield companies, particularly state-owned enterprises, are also recommended for their stable returns and resource advantages [10][11]

Core Viewpoint - The chemical new materials industry is expected to enter a rapid growth phase driven by policy support, industrial transformation, and increasing domestic demand for high-performance materials in sectors such as semiconductors, electronics, and renewable energy [2][11][12]. Group 1: Industry Growth and Market Potential - The global chemical new materials market was valued at approximately $370 billion in 2019 and is projected to reach $480 billion by 2025, with a CAGR of about 4.4% [3][16]. - The domestic market for chemical new materials is estimated to grow from approximately 900 billion yuan in 2019 to 1.5 trillion yuan by 2025, reflecting a CAGR of 8.6% [3][25]. - The demand for chemical new materials is expected to continue growing due to the transformation and upgrading of industries such as semiconductors, electronics, and renewable energy [3][25]. Group 2: Policy Support and Technological Advancements - The Chinese government has increased support for high-end manufacturing and new materials since the US-China trade tensions began in 2018, with policies aimed at promoting self-sufficiency in the supply chain [2][12]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released a directory in December 2021 that includes over 300 types of new materials, highlighting the government's commitment to advancing this sector [4][12]. - Domestic companies have significantly increased their R&D investments, with a reported 17 billion euros in 2019, reflecting a CAGR of 36% from 2014 to 2019 [4][27]. Group 3: Domestic Industry Landscape - The domestic chemical new materials industry has a strong foundation, with a market value of approximately 600 billion yuan in 2019, but still relies heavily on imports for high-end products [17]. - Key domestic players such as Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, and Jinhai Technology are making strides in the new materials sector through innovation and technology adoption [33]. - The industry is characterized by a significant opportunity for domestic substitution, particularly in high-end polyolefins, engineering plastics, and functional films, where self-sufficiency remains low [17][19]. Group 4: Emerging Opportunities and Trends - The demand for high-performance fibers, films, and electronic chemicals is expected to grow rapidly, driven by advancements in sectors like renewable energy and electronics [5][25]. - Emerging materials such as aerogels and biobased materials are gaining traction, with domestic companies positioned to capture early market share in these innovative fields [5][19]. - The lifecycle of many new materials in China is still in the early stages, indicating substantial room for growth and development compared to more mature markets in developed countries [19][20].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the oil and petrochemical industry [5] Core Viewpoints - International oil prices have shown a downward trend recently, with Brent crude settling at approximately $63.90 per barrel, down about 1.30% week-on-week, and down approximately 15.80% since the beginning of the year [19][21] - The North American active rig count has decreased week-on-week, with a notable year-on-year decline of 37 rigs, indicating a potential future increase in global drilling platform activity [31] - The refining sector shows promising recovery potential, with significant increases in price differentials for various products, suggesting improved profitability for refining companies [35] Market Performance - The CITIC oil and petrochemical sector rose approximately 0.37% during the week of May 26 to May 30, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by about 0.39 percentage points [16] - Key stocks that led the gains include Hengtong Co., Hongtian Co., and Compton, while stocks like Guangju Energy and Dongfang Shenghong saw declines [17][18] Investment Recommendations - The report identifies four main investment themes: 1. Focus on major energy state-owned enterprises like China National Petroleum and China National Offshore Oil Corporation, which are pushing for oil and gas exploration and green transformation [53] 2. Increased global upstream capital expenditure benefiting oil service companies such as CNOOC Services and Offshore Engineering [53] 3. Accelerated development of coal chemical projects and natural gas resources in Xinjiang, with a focus on companies like Baofeng Energy and New Natural Gas [53] 4. Refining companies planning new capacities and accelerating new material projects, recommending companies like Satellite Chemical and Hengli Petrochemical [53]

Industry Overview - The price of xylene with a purity of ≥96% in China is projected to be 6965.37 yuan/ton by the end of 2024, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 0.57% and a year-on-year decrease of 7.13% [1][9] - Despite the release of new domestic xylene production capacity, downstream demand growth remains stable, leading to a relaxed supply-demand relationship and price suppression [1][9] Industry Development History - The xylene industry in China has undergone five key phases, starting from the introduction of technology in the 1950s to the current focus on green transformation and high-end development [4][5] - The industry saw significant capacity expansion and technological advancements, particularly in the 2011-2020 period, with private enterprises entering the market and achieving breakthroughs in production technology [5][6] Current Industry Status - The xylene industry is characterized by an oligopolistic competition structure, with major players like Sinopec and PetroChina leading the market, while private companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Rongsheng Petrochemical are also gaining ground [13][15] - The self-sufficiency rate of xylene in China is increasing, with a decline in import dependency; in Q1 2025, xylene imports fell to 2.25 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 4.66% [11] Key Enterprises Performance - Sinopec has a strong technical foundation and production capacity in the xylene sector, with multiple large-scale production bases ensuring high-quality and stable supply [15] - Rongsheng Petrochemical has established the world's largest single-unit refinery project, achieving significant production capabilities and focusing on sustainable development through investments in carbon capture technology [16] Industry Development Trends - The xylene industry is experiencing simultaneous capacity expansion and structural optimization, with leading companies integrating vertically to enhance their competitive edge [18] - Downstream demand is diversifying and becoming more high-end, with traditional markets facing restrictions while new applications, such as electronic-grade xylene, are growing rapidly [19][20] - The international trade landscape is evolving, with increased costs for exports due to mechanisms like the EU's carbon border adjustment, prompting domestic companies to enhance their low-carbon transition efforts [21]

Investment Rating - The report provides a standard investment rating for the basic chemical industry, indicating a cautious outlook due to recent market fluctuations and supply chain disruptions [1]. Core Insights - Japan's Mitsui Chemicals is exiting the NF3 business, which may enhance China's competitiveness in electronic specialty gases, with potential market share expansion [4][10]. - The chlorantraniliprole incident has caused supply disruptions, potentially boosting the market for pesticides and intermediates, with a shift towards high-efficiency, low-toxicity products [4][12]. - The report suggests focusing on key sub-sectors such as integrated refining and petrochemical chains, refrigerant industry leaders, and domestic alternative materials [4][14]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry News and Event Commentary - Mitsui Chemicals' exit from the NF3 business is attributed to rising competition and costs, indicating that Chinese manufacturers may fill the gap and increase exports [10][11]. - The chlorantraniliprole incident is expected to accelerate market consolidation, benefiting companies with technological advantages and regulatory compliance [12][13]. 2. Chemical Sector Weekly Performance - For the week of May 26 to May 30, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.08%, while the Shenwan Petroleum and Petrochemical Index rose by 0.40%, outperforming the market by 1.48 percentage points [15][18]. - The basic chemical index decreased by 0.66%, ranking 23rd among all Shenwan primary industries [15][18]. 3. Key Product Price and Spread Performance - Notable price increases included potassium chloride (up 5.66%) and paraxylene (up 4.94%), while hydrochloric acid saw a significant drop of 28.00% [27][28]. - The price spread for carbon black increased by 31.13%, indicating a tightening supply situation [29][30].

Investment Rating - The report provides a standard investment rating for the basic chemical industry, indicating a cautious outlook due to recent market fluctuations and supply chain disruptions [4]. Core Insights - The exit of Japan's Mitsui Chemicals from the nitrogen trifluoride (NF3) business is expected to enhance China's competitiveness in electronic specialty gases, with potential for increased market share [10][11]. - Supply disruptions from incidents like the chlorantraniliprole event are likely to boost the market outlook for pesticides and intermediates, leading to a potential price recovery in the short term [12][13]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring key sub-sectors and suggests investment opportunities in integrated supply chains and leading companies within the chemical industry [14]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry News and Event Commentary - Mitsui Chemicals announced its exit from the NF3 business, with production ceasing by March 2026, indicating a shift in market dynamics favoring Chinese producers [10]. - A chemical company experienced an explosion, impacting the chlorantraniliprole supply chain, which may lead to a consolidation of market players and a potential price increase for certain pesticide products [12][13]. 2. Chemical Sector Weekly Performance - For the week of May 26 to May 30, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.08%, while the Shenwan Petroleum and Petrochemical Index rose by 0.40%, outperforming the market [15]. - The basic chemical index decreased by 0.66%, ranking 23rd among all Shenwan primary industries [15]. 3. Key Product Price Movements - Notable price increases included potassium chloride (up 5.66%) and paraxylene (up 4.94%), while hydrochloric acid saw a significant drop of 28.00% [27][28]. - The report highlights the price fluctuations of key products, indicating a volatile market environment that could present both risks and opportunities for investors [27][28]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on integrated players in the refining-PX-PTA chain, leading fluorochemical companies, and firms in the domestic substitution of new materials [14]. - Specific companies highlighted for potential investment include Hengli Petrochemical, Rongsheng Petrochemical, and various leaders in the semiconductor materials sector [14].

Core Viewpoint - The special graphite industry is experiencing significant growth driven by increasing demand in various sectors such as photovoltaics, semiconductors, and new energy batteries, supported by government policies and technological advancements [1][13]. Industry Overview - Special graphite, characterized by a carbon content greater than 99.99%, is essential in strategic emerging industries due to its high strength, density, and purity [3]. - The demand for special graphite in China is projected to grow from 115,000 tons in 2019 to 250,000 tons by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16.80% [1][13]. Market Demand and Supply - The production of special graphite in China increased from 60,000 tons in 2019 to 134,100 tons in 2023, with a slight decline expected in 2024 to 121,300 tons, reflecting a 9.5% decrease from the previous year [11]. - The market for isotropic graphite is dominated by fine structure graphite, which accounted for 111,616 tons in 2024, despite a 9.33% decline from 2023 [11]. Technological Characteristics - Special graphite materials possess key physical and chemical properties, including high volume density, compressive strength, and low resistivity, which are critical for various applications [5][6]. Policy Support - The Chinese government has implemented several policies to promote the development of the special graphite industry, including the inclusion of high-performance graphite in encouraged categories for investment [7][9]. Competitive Landscape - The special graphite industry in China is characterized by a relatively low concentration of large-scale enterprises, with key players including Wuxing New Materials, Chengdu Carbon Materials, and Ningxin New Materials [17][19]. - The industry is witnessing a shift towards domestic production of high-end graphite products, reducing reliance on imports [15][23]. Future Trends - The demand for high-end special graphite products is expected to increase, particularly in sectors like photovoltaics and lithium batteries, with annual growth rates projected to exceed 20% [26]. - Environmental policies are pushing the industry towards greener and more sustainable practices, emphasizing energy efficiency and resource recycling [24].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The explosion at the Shandong Gaomi chemical plant is expected to accelerate the elimination of backward production capacity in the chemical industry [4][23][25] - The chemical industry index outperformed the CSI 300 index by 0.42% this week [18][21] - The supply of polyester filament continues to shrink, leading to a stable market trend [26][27] Summary by Sections Industry Trends and Events - The chemical industry index reported a value of 3383.91, down 0.66% from the previous week, while the CSI 300 index fell by 1.08% [18] - The CCPI (China Chemical Product Price Index) was reported at 4077 points, a decrease of 0.71% from the previous week [21] - The Shandong Gaomi chemical plant explosion resulted in 5 deaths and 6 missing persons, prompting a provincial investigation into similar chemical production processes [23][24] Key Product Tracking - Polyester filament prices remained stable, with POY at 7050 CNY/ton, FDY at 7300 CNY/ton, and DTY at 8200 CNY/ton [27] - The market for viscose staple fiber is stable, with prices holding at 13000 CNY/ton [30] - The price of soda ash is on a downward trend, with light soda ash averaging 1323 CNY/ton and heavy soda ash at 1465 CNY/ton [42] Beneficiary Stocks - Recommended stocks include leading chemical companies such as Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, and Hengli Petrochemical [6] - Beneficiary stocks from the dye intermediate sector include Shanshui Technology and Zhejiang Longsheng [25] - In the agricultural and phosphate chemical sectors, recommended stocks include Xingfa Group and Limin Co., Ltd. [6]