Core Insights - The overall judgment indicates that both domestic and overseas AI-driven demand will continue to grow, leading to stock price performance in the AIDC industry. The overseas market, particularly in the U.S., is experiencing tight supply and demand for power equipment, which presents opportunities for domestic supply chains to expand internationally. Additionally, domestic capital expenditure on power grids is steadily increasing [3]. AIDC Power Supply: Continuous Beta and Clear Industry Trends - The capital expenditure of major overseas cloud service providers (CSPs) is expected to continue increasing, driving high demand for AIDC. The total capital expenditure of the four major overseas CSPs (Amazon, Google, Microsoft, Meta) is projected to grow at rates of 34% in 2021, 20% in 2022, -7% in 2023, and 55% in 2024, with a significant increase of 71% in the first three quarters of 2025 [11]. - Domestic CSPs have also seen a resurgence in capital expenditure, with a staggering 184% year-on-year growth in 2024 and 87% in the first three quarters of 2025 [13]. - The power consumption of AI servers is expected to rise significantly, with cabinet power levels projected to exceed 200kW in the near future, indicating a need for technological upgrades in both internal and external power supplies [20][25]. - The transition from three-level to two-level voltage reduction in internal power supplies is anticipated, which will streamline power supply processes [28]. - External power supplies are shifting from UPS to HVDC and SST solutions, reflecting a clear trend towards direct current and medium voltage systems [32]. Power Equipment Export: Continuous High Demand - The U.S. has seen a rapid increase in new power installations since 2020, with growth rates of 1.20%, 2.42%, 0.98%, 2.14%, and 3.47% from 2020 to 2024, indicating a robust demand for power equipment [59]. - China's transformer exports reached 46.5 billion yuan in the first nine months of 2025, marking a 40.20% year-on-year increase, with other power equipment exports also showing significant growth [77]. Domestic Power Grid: Continued Investment and Recovery - The approval of ultra-high voltage direct current projects is progressing steadily, with a rich pipeline of projects expected to drive growth during the 14th Five-Year Plan [81]. - The total bidding amount for power grid projects has reached 78.7 billion yuan, reflecting a nearly 20% year-on-year increase, significantly surpassing the 7.61% growth rate of 2024 [84]. - The domestic smart meter replacement cycle is expected to smooth out, with a projected increase in bidding quantities in 2026-2027 as new standards are introduced [90].

Core Insights - North America is experiencing a power shortage, which is beneficial for the power equipment industry within the overseas supply chain [1] - The development of power generation, energy storage, and transmission & distribution sectors is expected to grow [1] - In 2024, 20 new DC transmission lines are projected to deliver 705.3 billion kilowatt-hours, with renewable energy accounting for 56.8%, an increase of 4.3 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The importance of grid equipment in the absorption of clean energy is highlighted [1] - The high demand for data centers is driving the transition to Solid State Transformer (SST) technology, leading to sustained growth in power equipment demand [1] - The industry is benefiting from the expansion of overseas energy infrastructure and structural opportunities in domestic ultra-high voltage and energy storage sectors [1] - The Grid ETF (561380) tracks the Hang Seng A-share Power Grid Equipment Index, which includes listed companies involved in key areas such as transmission and transformation equipment and grid automation [1]

Core Viewpoint - The North American electricity shortage is positively impacting the power equipment industry within the overseas supply chain, particularly in the generation, storage, and transmission sectors [1] Group 1: Power Generation and Storage - Demand in the energy storage sector continues to grow steadily [1] - The advancement of Solid State Transformer (SST) technology is gaining attention, with companies like Sifang Co., Ltd. being highlighted [1] Group 2: AI Data Centers and Cooling Technology - The power demand from AI Data Centers (AIDC) is increasing, benefiting power equipment companies [1] - The application of liquid cooling technology is also driving the development of companies such as Invec [1] Group 3: Mechanical ETF and Industry Index - The Mechanical ETF (516960) tracks a segmented mechanical index (000812), which selects listed companies involved in industrial automation and engineering machinery [1] - The index primarily covers companies with high technical capabilities and market competitiveness, reflecting the overall performance of quality companies in the mechanical equipment industry [1] - The index style leans towards a balanced allocation of growth and value [1]

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "stronger than the market" [2] Core Viewpoints - The energy consumption and power demand of data centers are high and concentrated, leading to increased electricity costs, with global data center electricity demand expected to reach 415 TWh in 2024, accounting for approximately 1.5% of global electricity consumption [2][10] - The Solid State Transformer (SST) market is expected to grow significantly due to the increasing energy demands of data centers, with an estimated global SST demand value of approximately 11.5 billion yuan by 2027 [2][36] - The report emphasizes the importance of new power devices like SiC and GaN in enhancing the efficiency and power density of SST systems, which are crucial for meeting the high power requirements of modern data centers [2][30] Summary by Sections Industry Background - The AI market is rapidly growing, with projections indicating a market size of approximately $3.68 trillion by 2034, making data centers a core infrastructure for AI applications [6] - Data centers face challenges such as high energy consumption, high power requirements, and high electricity costs, with the AIDC's IT energy consumption expected to grow significantly from 55.1 TWh in 2024 to 146.2 TWh by 2027 [10][11] Power Supply Trends - The trend towards high-voltage direct current (HVDC) and green electricity connections is becoming mainstream to address the high power demands and reduce energy losses in data centers [22][26] SST Characteristics - SST systems utilize new power devices and high-frequency transformers to achieve high efficiency and integration, significantly reducing the footprint compared to traditional UPS systems [30][43] - The materials cost of SST is primarily concentrated in power devices and high-frequency transformers, with IGBT and high-frequency transformers being the main components [52] Market Structure - The SST market is dominated by overseas manufacturers, but domestic brands are gradually increasing their market share, particularly in the context of China's growing data center infrastructure [53][56] - Key international players in the SST manufacturing sector include companies like Eaton, Delta, and ABB, which hold over 60% of the market share [56] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies involved in the production of SiC and GaN power devices, as well as those developing high-frequency transformers, as they are expected to benefit from the growing demand for SST systems [2][36]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [6] Core Insights - The demand for humanoid robots is expected to surge due to advancements in AI technology and domestic companies' efforts in cost reduction, leading to significant market opportunities for early movers [2][14] - The domestic new energy vehicle (NEV) market is experiencing robust growth, with sales expected to continue rising due to new model launches and seasonal demand, achieving over 50% market penetration [3][18] - The global energy storage market is entering a high prosperity phase, driven by increasing demand for energy storage solutions and supportive government policies [4][31] - The overseas power equipment market is anticipated to maintain high demand due to urgent upgrades in power grids and the rising need for AI electrical equipment [8] Summary by Sections Humanoid Robots - The completion of the IPO guidance for Yushu Technology indicates a strong market potential for humanoid robots, with significant domestic demand for core components [2][14] - Major companies are entering the humanoid robot space, enhancing the industry's growth prospects, particularly in the T-chain and domestic supply chains [15][16] New Energy Vehicles - October saw a year-on-year increase in NEV sales, with production and sales reaching 1.772 million and 1.715 million units respectively, marking a 21.1% and 20.0% increase [19] - The introduction of new technologies, such as solid-state batteries and high-performance materials, is expected to drive further growth in the NEV sector [20][21] Energy Storage - The global energy storage battery shipments reached 428 GWh in the first nine months of 2025, a 90.7% increase year-on-year, indicating strong market demand [31] - The implementation of compensation policies for energy storage projects is expected to enhance project profitability and stimulate market growth [30][31] Power Equipment - The urgent need for power grid upgrades in Europe and North America is creating significant opportunities for domestic power equipment manufacturers [8][9] - The price of energy meters has rebounded significantly due to new regulations, suggesting potential recovery in profitability for meter manufacturers [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company reported strong revenue growth in the AIDC segment, with a focus on the progress of its SST technology [2][3] - The company achieved a revenue of 5.194 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing an 8.25% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 486 million yuan, up 20.27% year-on-year [1][3] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 26.08%, an increase of 1.87 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 9.29%, up 0.94 percentage points year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.04 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.38% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.61% [1] - The net profit for Q3 2025 was 221 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 21.71% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 39.92% [1] - The company’s overseas market revenue accounted for over 30% of total revenue in the first three quarters of 2025, with exports reaching 1.59 billion yuan [2] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 711 million yuan, 1.043 billion yuan, and 1.376 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 59.6, 40.7, and 30.8 [3][4] - The company’s revenue is projected to grow to 8.78 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 27.2% [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 35.70 [7]. Core Insights - The company aims to achieve new order targets exceeding RMB 10 billion for the year, with significant growth expected in the renewable energy sector and international business [1][2]. - The SST (Solid State Transformer) business is highlighted as a key area of growth, with the company providing a full range of critical equipment and solutions for data center power distribution systems [3][5]. Summary by Sections New Orders - In 2024, the new order amount is projected to be RMB 8.5 billion, with a target of exceeding RMB 10 billion in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth rate of approximately 20%. The growth rates for different sectors are: over 15% for the grid sector, around 30% for the renewable energy sector, and over 10% for traditional power generation and industrial sectors [2]. Renewable Energy Business - The renewable energy business is expected to maintain rapid growth due to several factors, including the impact of policy changes and the expansion of product offerings. The company is one of the candidates for a framework agreement for distributed phase-shifting transformers with Huaneng Group [2][4]. International Business - The strategic adjustments in international business are showing results, with overseas orders expected to reach RMB 500-600 million for the year, up from RMB 370 million in 2024. The company has already secured RMB 410 million in new orders in the first three quarters of 2025, a significant increase from RMB 150 million in the same period last year [2]. SST Business - The company offers a range of SST products with high efficiency (up to 99%) and reliability (99.99%). It has several benchmark projects demonstrating its capabilities in providing critical equipment and solutions for data center power distribution systems [3][5]. New Products - The company has launched the first energy-based SVG in Xinjiang, which is designed to support high proportions of renewable energy integration and enhance grid stability [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit is projected to be RMB 845.59 million, RMB 988.59 million, and RMB 1.15 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a compound annual growth rate of 17.14%. The target price is based on a 30x PE ratio for 2026 [5][11].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [5] Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is expected to accelerate production due to breakthroughs in AI technology and strong domestic demand for core components [1][13][14] - The new energy vehicle sector is experiencing rapid growth driven by national policies, with domestic companies gaining a significant position in the global electric vehicle market [2][17][18] - The solar energy sector is poised for an upward cycle as the establishment of a silicon material consortium is expected to improve supply-demand dynamics and enhance profitability [3][27][28] - The power equipment and AIDC sectors are benefiting from substantial investments and the growing demand for electricity driven by AI advancements [4][8][7] Humanoid Robots - The signing of a procurement contract between Yujian Robotics and Riedel Precision Technology marks a significant step in the commercialization of humanoid robots, with a total contract value exceeding 80.5 million yuan [1][13] - The domestic supply chain for humanoid robots is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for core components and the push for cost reduction [1][14][15] New Energy Vehicles - The release of the 15th Five-Year Plan emphasizes the development of emerging industries, including new energy vehicles, which are expected to see rapid penetration and continuous improvement in the supply chain [2][17] - Technological advancements, particularly in lithium batteries and solid-state batteries, are crucial for the growth of the new energy vehicle sector [2][18][19] New Energy - The formation of a silicon material consortium is anticipated to clear outdated production capacity and optimize the supply-demand structure in the solar energy sector [3][27] - Recent price increases in solar components indicate improving profitability across the solar supply chain, with leading integrated companies expected to benefit first [3][27][28] Power Equipment & AIDC - A $550 billion investment agreement between the US and Japan is expected to drive demand for power equipment, particularly in the context of AI-driven electricity needs [4][8] - Companies like Modern Electric have reported significant increases in orders, indicating a robust demand environment in North America [4][8][7]

Industry Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Outperform" [1] Core Viewpoints - The demand for AI computing power is increasing, leading to a transition from traditional UPS power supply to HVDC due to efficiency, cost, and reliability challenges [2][3] - The global power supply solutions are rapidly evolving towards ±400V and 800V HVDC systems led by tech giants like Microsoft, Google, and Nvidia, aiming to support 1MW power per rack [2] - The market is expected to see gradual volume growth starting in 2026, driven by increasing AI computing power demand and infrastructure investments from major cloud service providers [3] Summary by Sections 1. Why HVDC is Promising? - The technology evolution path is clear, with major players accelerating their layouts in HVDC systems [2] - The industry trend has shifted from concept to large-scale implementation, with significant projects expected to launch in 2026 [2] 2. Market Situation - The demand for IT power in global data centers is expected to rise significantly, with a projected increase from approximately 49GW in 2023 to 96GW by 2026, reflecting a CAGR of around 25% [7] - Major cloud service providers are increasing capital expenditures, providing strong momentum for infrastructure development [3] 3. Investment Recommendations - The HVDC industry is characterized by high concentration and significant barriers to entry, with three main domestic players: Zhongheng Electric, Delta Electronics, and Vertiv [4] - Investment opportunities include: - Domestic leaders expanding overseas: Zhongheng Electric is positioned to leverage its HVDC technology and products in international markets [4] - Companies utilizing ODM strategies to enter overseas markets: Kehua Data and Kstar are focusing on HVDC product development and international expansion [5] - New players in the module sector seeking growth: Tonghe Technology and Youyou Green Energy are developing HVDC product lines and targeting key industry clients [5] 4. HVDC Advantages Over UPS - HVDC systems offer higher safety, stability, and energy efficiency compared to traditional UPS systems, addressing issues related to power consumption, space, and reliability [6][16] - The modular structure of HVDC allows for better utilization rates and reduced redundancy compared to UPS systems [16] 5. Domestic and International Layouts - Domestic HVDC solutions are primarily focused on 240V/336V systems, with significant market share held by Zhongheng Electric, Delta Electronics, and Vertiv [68] - Internationally, major tech companies are pushing for the adoption of ±400V and 800V HVDC systems, with Meta and Nvidia leading the charge [68][72] 6. Future Market Potential - The penetration rate of HVDC in the domestic market is currently low at around 15%, but is expected to rise rapidly due to increasing demand for computing power [72] - The market for 800V HVDC is anticipated to see significant growth starting in 2028, driven by infrastructure projects and technological advancements [72]

Group 1 - In the third quarter earnings season, nearly 448 A-share companies were investigated by institutions, with notable attention on their Q3 performance and future business outlooks [1] - Zhaoyi Innovation, a leading storage chip company, expects its niche DRAM business revenue to exceed the initial target of a 50% year-on-year growth by 2025, with significant growth in the second half of this year [1] - Zhaoyi Innovation's new DDR4 8Gb product has quickly gained market share, and the company plans to mass-produce its self-developed LPDDR4 series next year [1] Group 2 - Jinpan Technology has successfully developed a prototype of a solid-state transformer suitable for HVDC 800V power supply architecture, with plans for testing and certification [2] - The company reported a significant increase in sales revenue in the AIDC and IDC sectors, achieving 974 million yuan in the first nine months of 2025, a year-on-year growth of 337.47% [2] - Lansi Technology has successfully entered the North American and domestic top robot supply chains, with expected humanoid robot shipments in the thousands and quadruped robot shipments in the tens of thousands this year [2] Group 3 - Lansi Technology has completed the development of its foldable phone project and is set to supply key components for a major client's new foldable model next year [3] - The company anticipates strong demand for its products following the successful launch of a new model by a major client, leading to an optimistic outlook for Q4 performance [3]