3月份，重卡市场整体销量同比下降4%，牵引车市场同比下降11%，年内首次跑输重卡市场"大 盘"；4月份，重卡市场整体销量同比增长7%，牵引车市场跑赢还是跑输？行业格局有无新变化？ 请看第一商用车网的分析报道。 4月销售4.3万辆，环比下降25%，同比下降6% 第一商用车网最新获悉，根据中汽协数据（企业开票数口径，非终端实销口径，下同）， 2025年4月份，我国重卡市场共计销售8.77万辆，环比下降21%，同比增长7%。这其中，作 为重卡市场中最受关注的细分领域，牵引车市场在4月份未能同步实现同比增长，交出的成绩 单为：销售4.25万辆，环比下降25%，同比下降6%，同比降幅较上月（-11%）有所缩窄。 连续两个月跑输重卡市场"大盘"。 纵观近五年4月份牵引车市场销量及增幅走势图，最近五年的4月份，牵引车市场走出一个降- 降-增-增-降的走势（与重卡市场整体走势不尽相同），五年中有四年4月份销量超过4万辆， 其中2021年4月份销量达到9.59万辆，2022年4月份出现近8成大降，跌至不足2万辆水平； 随后两年的4月份逐年增长，2025年4月份牵引车市场再次出现下滑，4.25万辆的销量在近五 年里排倒数第二位， ...

Group 1 - A new company named Zhong'an Zhiliang Automotive Technology (Anhui) Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 30 million yuan [1] - The company is involved in various sectors including computer system services, software development, intelligent control system integration, and integrated circuit design and manufacturing [1] - The ownership structure includes Jianghuai Automobile, Tianyi Transportation Technology Co., Ltd., and Zhaobian (Shanghai) Technology Co., Ltd. as shareholders [1] Group 2 - The company's business scope also covers IoT device manufacturing and sales, AI software development, big data services, and automotive parts research and sales [1] - The company is positioned to engage in a wide range of technology services including information system integration and maintenance, as well as communication equipment manufacturing and sales [1] - The establishment of this company reflects the growing trend in the automotive technology sector, particularly in areas related to smart vehicles and IoT applications [1]

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 and Q1 2025 is under pressure, with a revenue decline of 6.3% year-on-year to 42.12 billion yuan in 2024 and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 1.78 billion yuan, compared to a net profit of 150 million yuan in 2023 [1][2] - The company is facing operational difficulties, with total vehicle sales in 2024 down 7.4% year-on-year to 403,000 units, driven by a significant decline in passenger vehicle sales [2] - The launch of the new model, Zun Jie S800, in collaboration with Huawei is a focal point, with pre-orders showing promising initial demand [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 42.12 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.3% year-on-year, and a net loss of 1.78 billion yuan, a significant drop from the previous year's profit [1] - Q1 2025 saw a revenue of 9.8 billion yuan, down 13.0% year-on-year, with a net loss of 220 million yuan [1] - The gross margin for 2024 was 10.5%, down 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, and for Q1 2025, it was 10.0%, down 1.4 percentage points year-on-year [2] Sales and Market Position - Total vehicle sales in 2024 were 403,000 units, a decline of 7.4% year-on-year, with passenger vehicle sales down 16.6% to 167,000 units [2] - The new model Zun Jie S800 has received 2,108 pre-orders within 48 hours of its announcement, indicating strong market interest [3] Future Outlook - The company plans to focus on the Zun Jie S800's market performance post-launch and the allocation of resources from Huawei's distribution channels [3] - Profitability is expected to improve in 2026 with the gradual production of new platform models from Volkswagen and subsequent models from Zun Jie [3]

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 2024年及1Q25业绩承压： 2024年实现营业收入同比-6.3%至421.2亿元，归母亏损为17.8亿元（vs. 2023年归母净利润1.5亿元），扣 非归母净亏损同比扩大59.6%至27.4亿元；其中，4Q24营业收入同比-10.1%/环比-9.2%至99.1亿元，归母净 亏损为24.1亿元（4Q23归母净亏损0.3亿元/3Q24归母净利润3.2亿元），扣非归母净亏损为25.1亿元（4Q23 扣非归母净亏损11.9亿元/3Q24扣非归母净亏损3.2亿元）。1Q25营业收入同比-13.0%/环比-1.1%至98.0亿 元，归母净亏损为2.2亿元（vs. 1Q24归母净利润1.1亿元/4Q24归母净亏损24.1亿元），扣非归 ...

| | | 169.9 | | 14.82 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 雷诺 | 157.82 | + -0.97 | 54.63 | | | 长安汽车 | 149.53 | + -1.08 | 1.71 | | | 斯巴鲁 | 129.55 | + -4.77 | 17.72 | | S | 和泰汽车 | 117.13 | + -2.21 | 21.03 | | 合 广汽集团 | | 113.48 | -0.85 | 1.11 | | JAC | 江淮汽车 | 105.97 | + -2.54 | 4.85 | | ID | Leapmotor | 98.37 | | 8.43 | | ISUZU | 五十铃 | 92.21 | +0.19 | 12.95 | | | 尉米汽车 | 90.15 | +0.22 | 4.13 | | F | 福特奥托生 87.44 | | + -1.09 | 2.49 | | | VinFast Auto | 87 | + -2.4 | 3.62 | | | 路西德汽车 | 84.19 | + +3.35 | 2.76 | | ...

Group 1 - BYD reported a value of 1583.74 with a decrease of 10.36, indicating a decline in performance [2] - Ferrari's value stands at 867.42, showing a slight decrease of 2.7 [2] - Volkswagen experienced an increase of 7.49, reaching a value of 570.91 [2] - Mercedes-Benz reported a value of 565.48, with a significant increase of 19.12 [2] Group 2 - BMW's value is 560.88, reflecting an increase of 12.66 [3] - Porsche's value is 483.99, with an increase of 7.2 [3] - General Motors reported a value of 476.97, showing a notable increase of 20.28 [3] - Mahindra Automotive's value is 438.87, with an increase of 17.33 [3] - Honda's value stands at 435.85, reflecting an increase of 6.48 [3] - Ford's value is 419.53, with an increase of 10.75 [3] - Hyundai's value is 337.81 [3] - Tata Motors reported a value of 312.69, with an increase of 5.35 [3] - Stellantis' value is 301.59, reflecting an increase of 18.43 [3] - Li Auto's value is 284.75, with an increase of 17.55 [3] - SAIC Motor's value stands at 267.71, reflecting an increase of 2.73 [3] - Kia's value is 263.74, with an increase of 3.1 [3] - Suzuki's value is 245.79, showing an increase of 10.9 [3] - Geely's value is 240.91, reflecting a decrease of 4.67 [3] - Great Wall Motors reported a value of 239.73, with a slight decrease of 0.1 [3] - Xpeng Motors' value is 202.01, reflecting an increase of 14.25 [3] Group 3 - Renault's value is 153.69, with a slight increase of 0.73 [4] - Changan Automobile reported a value of 150.77, reflecting a minor decrease of 0.24 [4] - Subaru's value stands at 140.06, with an increase of 4.92 [4] - GAC Group's value is 115.22, reflecting an increase of 0.99 [4] - NIO's value is 94.59, with an increase of 5.18 [4] - VinFast Auto reported a value of 87.71, reflecting an increase of 0.7 [4] - Nissan's value stands at 84.45, with an increase of 2.62 [4] - Zeekr's value is 73.18, reflecting an increase of 1.78 [4]

根据各家重卡企业提供的销售数据，今年4月，我国重卡市场销售各类车型约9万辆（批发统计口径，包含出口和新能源车辆），同比增长8％，比上年同 期净增约8000辆。今年1～4月，国内重卡市场累计销量35.5万辆，与上年同期基本持平。 01 5家企业销量破万辆 在重卡市场月度销量"排位赛"中，有5家企业月销破万辆。其中，中国重汽以约2.3万辆的销量位居首位；另外，同比增速跑赢市场大盘的企业有东风公 司、福田汽车和徐工汽车。 具体来看，4月，中国重汽销售各类重卡约2.3万辆，同比下降2%，位居行业第一；1～4月，中国重汽累计销量约9.72万辆，同比下降2.79％，市场占有率 为27.4％。一汽解放4月销售重卡约1.7万辆，同比下降6％，排名第二；1～4月，一汽解放累计销量7.1万辆，同比下降8.11％，市场占有率为19.9％。4 月，东风公司（包括东风商用车、东风柳汽乘龙、东风华神等）销售重卡约1.5万辆，同比增长39％，排名行业第三；今年1~4月，东风公司累计销售重卡 约5.45万辆，同比下降11.75％，市场占有率为15.3％。陕汽集团4月销售重卡约1.45万辆，与上年同期基本持平，位居行业第四；1～4月，陕汽集团 ...

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index opened high and the CSI 500 Shanghai Index rose by 0.99%, closing at 6166.61 points with a trading volume of 85.925 billion yuan [1] - The CSI 500 Shanghai Index has increased by 3.72% over the past month, decreased by 1.70% over the past three months, and has fallen by 0.26% year-to-date [1] - The CSI 500 Shanghai Index is composed of all Shanghai-listed securities from the CSI 500 Index, reflecting the overall performance of these securities [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 500 Shanghai Index include Jianghuai Automobile (1.69%), Chifeng Gold (1.19%), Sichuan Changhong (1.1%), and others [1] - The index is fully composed of stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with a 100% allocation [1] - The industry composition of the CSI 500 Shanghai Index includes 24.06% in industrials, 14.13% in information technology, and 13.63% in materials, among others [2] Group 3 - The index samples are adjusted semi-annually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2] - Temporary adjustments are made when the CSI 500 Index samples are modified, and companies that are delisted or undergo mergers, acquisitions, or splits are handled according to maintenance guidelines [2]

Core Points - The Shanghai G60 Strategic Emerging Industries Index (G60 Index) rose by 1.23% to 935.77 points, with a trading volume of 15.724 billion yuan [1] - Over the past month, the G60 Index has increased by 7.95%, while it has decreased by 4.89% over the last three months and has seen a year-to-date increase of 0.49% [1] - The G60 Index includes up to 50 of the largest strategic emerging industry companies listed in the Shanghai Stock Exchange from the Yangtze River Delta G60 nine cities, reflecting the overall performance of these companies [1] Index Composition - The top ten weighted companies in the G60 Index are: Jianghuai Automobile (9.64%), Huayou Cobalt (7.32%), Hengsheng Electronics (6.32%), Hengtong Optic-Electric (4.84%), Zhongkong Technology (4.77%), Silan Microelectronics (4.53%), China Jushi (4.47%), Jingfang Technology (2.95%), Naxin Micro (2.73%), and Zejing Pharmaceutical (2.61%) [1] - The G60 Index is fully composed of companies listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with a 100% market share [1] Industry Breakdown - The industry composition of the G60 Index includes: Industrial sector (36.53%), Information Technology (30.24%), Materials (14.25%), Communication Services (9.67%), and Healthcare (9.31%) [2] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2] Fund Tracking - Public funds tracking the G60 Index include the Shenwan Hongyuan G60 Strategic Emerging Industries ETF [3]

Core Insights - The automotive industry experienced stable revenue growth in Q1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 6.8%, while total profit decreased by 8.9% to 946.5 billion yuan [11][12] - The report highlights that leading companies in the automotive sector, particularly those with efficient management, have shown better-than-average performance in terms of net profit and operating cash flow [3][8] - The anticipated release of new models and the impact of local consumption promotion policies are expected to support a gradual recovery in automotive company performance in Q2 2025 [3][12] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In 2024, the automotive industry generated a total revenue of 10.65 trillion yuan, reflecting a 5.4% year-on-year growth, while total profit fell by 9.1% to 462.26 billion yuan [11][12] - The Q1 2025 revenue for the automotive industry was 2.40 trillion yuan, with a profit total of 946.5 billion yuan, indicating a continued decline in profitability [11][12] Profitability Comparison - The profitability of passenger vehicle companies showed significant differentiation in Q1 2025, with some companies like BYD and Seres maintaining strong growth, while others like GAC Group and JAC Motors faced challenges [17][18] - In 2024, the overall profit margin for the automotive industry was 12.4%, down 0.9 percentage points year-on-year, and further decreased to 12.1% in Q1 2025 [12][27] Inventory Management - Inventory levels in the automotive sector showed improvement for bus and parts companies, while passenger vehicle companies faced slight increases in turnover pressure [8][12] - By the end of Q1 2025, the inventory of the automotive industry accounted for 20.9% of current assets, a 1.2 percentage point increase year-on-year [8][12] Cash Flow Analysis - The overall cash flow in the automotive industry faced pressure, with the net cash flow from operating activities for the vehicle sector turning negative at -22.19 billion yuan in Q1 2025 [8][12] - The cash flow for parts companies showed a decline, with a total of 123.05 billion yuan in Q1 2025, down 1.4% year-on-year [8][12] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading automotive companies and those involved in the Huawei and Xiaomi supply chains, as well as companies in the humanoid robot and intelligent driving sectors [3][8] - Recommended companies include SAIC Motor, JAC Motors, BYD, Changan Automobile, and several parts manufacturers such as New Spring Co., Silver Wheel Co., and Top Group [3][8]