JAC Motors 2025 Semi-Annual Performance Pre-Loss Announcement [Core Summary of Performance Forecast](index=1&type=section&id=%E9%87%8D%E8%A6%81%E5%86%85%E5%AE%B9%E6%8F%90%E7%A4%BA) The company forecasts a net loss for the first half of 2025, with net profit attributable to shareholders estimated at approximately -680 million RMB and non-recurring adjusted net profit at approximately -820 million RMB Estimated Financial Indicators | Indicator | Estimated Amount (RMB) | | :--- | :--- | | Net Profit Attributable to Parent Company Shareholders | Approximately -680.00 million | | Net Profit Attributable to Parent Company Shareholders After Non-Recurring Items | Approximately -820.00 million | [Details of Current Period Performance Forecast](index=1&type=section&id=%E4%B8%80%E3%80%81%E6%9C%AC%E6%9C%9F%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E9%A2%84%E5%91%8A%E6%83%85%E5%86%B5) The company's finance department estimates a net loss of approximately -680 million RMB for the period of January 1 to June 30, 2025, a shift from profit to loss compared to the prior year, with non-recurring adjusted net profit around -820 million RMB, and this forecast is unaudited - The performance forecast period is from January 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025[3](index=3&type=chunk) - Compared to the same period last year (legally disclosed data), the company expects to incur a loss[3](index=3&type=chunk) - The estimated performance for this period has not been audited by a certified public accountant[3](index=3&type=chunk) [Review of Prior Year's Performance](index=1&type=section&id=%E4%BA%8C%E3%80%81%E4%B8%8A%E5%B9%B4%E5%90%8C%E6%9C%9F%E7%BB%8F%E8%90%A5%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E5%92%8C%E8%B4%A2%E5%8A%A1%E6%83%85%E5%86%B5) In the same period of 2024, the company achieved profitability, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 300.83 million RMB, non-recurring adjusted net profit at 91.87 million RMB, and basic earnings per share at 0.14 RMB Prior Year's Half-Year Financial Performance (2024) | Indicator (2024 Half-Year) | Amount (RMB) | | :--- | :--- | | Total Profit | 242.22 million | | Net Profit Attributable to Parent Company Shareholders | 300.83 million | | Net Profit Attributable to Parent Company Shareholders After Non-Recurring Items | 91.87 million | | Earnings Per Share | 0.14 | [Analysis of Current Period Pre-Loss Reasons](index=1&type=section&id=%E4%B8%89%E3%80%81%E6%9C%AC%E6%9C%9F%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E9%A2%84%E4%BA%8F%E7%9A%84%E4%B8%BB%E8%A6%81%E5%8E%9F%E5%9B%A0) The current period's pre-loss is primarily due to intensified international competition impacting export business and the early-stage capacity ramp-up of the company's high-end intelligent new energy passenger vehicle project, which has not yet achieved economies of scale - External factors: The company's export business has declined due to increasingly complex international situations and intensifying competition in overseas automotive markets[6](index=6&type=chunk) - Internal factors: The company's high-end intelligent new energy passenger vehicle project is still in its capacity ramp-up phase and has not yet achieved economies of scale[6](index=6&type=chunk) [Risk Warning and Other Disclosures](index=2&type=section&id=%E5%9B%9B%E3%80%81%E9%A3%8E%E9%99%A9%E6%8F%90%E7%A4%BA) The company confirms no material uncertainties affecting the accuracy of this performance forecast, reminding investors that these are preliminary figures and final data will be based on the official 2025 semi-annual report - The company confirms there are no significant uncertainties that could affect the accuracy of this performance forecast[7](index=7&type=chunk) - The final accurate financial data will be based on the company's officially disclosed 2025 semi-annual report, and investors are advised to be aware of investment risks[8](index=8&type=chunk)

江淮汽车（600418）公告，预计2025年半年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润-6.8亿元左右，预计 2025年半年度实现归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益后的净利润-8.2亿元左右。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the automotive industry and highlights the potential of humanoid robots, recommending specific companies within this sector [5][8][41]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot sector is experiencing significant opportunities, with a notable order of 1.24 billion yuan awarded to Zhiyuan and Yushu by China Mobile, marking the highest order amount in the domestic humanoid robot industry [4][5]. - The automotive market is expected to see accelerated growth in robot application scenarios, with a focus on platform-based companies that hold competitive advantages [5][8]. - The report emphasizes the importance of intelligent vehicles and the ongoing collaboration between automotive manufacturers and technology firms like Huawei [6][7]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The automotive sector's performance has been mixed, with the automotive index declining by 0.6%, underperforming the broader market [15][16]. - In the past year, the automotive sector has outperformed the market, with significant gains in new energy vehicles and intelligent vehicles [16][30]. Industry Data Tracking - In July, the average daily retail of passenger cars was 40,000 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 1% [36]. - The wholesale of passenger cars in the first week of July reached 233,000 units, a 39% increase compared to the same period last year [37]. Company Announcements and Industry News - Zhiyuan and Yushu's successful bid for a humanoid robot project with China Mobile is a significant development in the industry [4]. - The report highlights the launch of new models by various manufacturers, including NIO and Chery, indicating ongoing innovation in the automotive sector [60]. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Shuanglin Co., Redik, and Jianghuai Automobile, all of which are expected to perform well in the coming years [10][43][42].

Group 1 - BYD reported a value of 1360.61 with a decrease of 21.7% [2] - Ferrari's value is 887.78, showing a decrease of 13.15% [2] - Mercedes-Benz has a value of 597.78, with no percentage change reported [2] - BMW's value increased by 1.19% to 566.63 [2] Group 2 - Volkswagen's value is 537.15, reflecting a decrease of 0.48% [3] - General Motors reported a value of 513.31, with an increase of 2.3% [3] - Ford's value decreased by 5.16% to 468.44 [3] - Maruti Suzuki's value is 461.17, showing a decrease of 2.36% [3] - Porsche's value decreased by 6.5% to 444.88 [3] - Mahindra Automotive's value is 441.38, with a decrease of 13.28% [3] - Honda's value is 421.94, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.55% [3] - Hyundai's value increased by 21.73% to 373.36 [3] - Stellantis reported a value of 305.14, with a decrease of 9.08% [3] - Seres' value is 296.65, showing a decrease of 4.03% [3] - Tata Motors reported a value of 294.36, with a decrease of 7.21% [3] - Kia's value increased by 3.72% to 291.71 [3] - SAIC Motor's value is 284.62, reflecting an increase of 9.68% [3] - Li Auto's value is 280.63, with an increase of 4.66% [3] - Geely's value is 227.12, reflecting an increase of 1.29% [3] - Great Wall Motors reported a value of 226.47, with a slight increase of 0.11% [3] - Suzuki Japan's value is 220.92, showing an increase of 2.36% [3] - Xpeng's value is 165.68, reflecting a decrease of 0.28% [3] Group 3 - Changan Automobile's value is 156.36, with a slight increase of 0.12% [4] - Rivian's value is 156.09, showing a decrease of 3.48% [4] - Renault's value is 138.89, reflecting a decrease of 2.23% [4] - Subaru's value is 129.85, with an increase of 1.62% [4] - JAC's value is 119.19, with an increase of 0.49% [4] - Hozon Auto's value is 105.63, showing a decrease of 1.14% [4] - Isuzu's value is 93.51, with an increase of 0.58% [4] - GAC Group's value is 88.01, reflecting a decrease of 0.83% [4] - Leapmotor's value is 85.88, with no percentage change reported [4] - Weimi Auto's value is 83.69, showing an increase of 4.51% [4] - Ford Otosan's value is 83.18, reflecting a decrease of 0.92% [4] - VinFast Auto's value is 83.03, with an increase of 0.47% [4] - Nissan's value is 75.25, reflecting an increase of 2.18% [4] - Lucid Motors' value is 69.85, showing a decrease of 1.22% [4] - Zeekr's value is 69.83, with an increase of 0.84% [4]

Group 1 - The project "Research and Industrialization of Next-Generation Autonomous and Controllable New Energy Vehicle Platform" was launched in Anhui Province, aiming to enhance the overall R&D level and core competitiveness of the automotive industry in the region [1][3] - The project is led by the Anhui Province Future Intelligent Connected New Energy Vehicle Innovation Center, with participation from several universities and Jianghuai Automobile [1][3] - The initiative focuses on addressing common challenges in the automotive industry through the "Eight New Concepts" which include new functions, architectures, energy sources, materials, structures, processes, equipment, and models [1] Group 2 - Key figures in attendance included Zhong Zhihua, Chairman of the Anhui Province Automotive Strategic Consulting Committee, and Xiang Xingchu, Chairman of Jianghuai Automobile Group, who discussed future automotive industry trends and project management mechanisms [3][7] - The project aims to create innovative industrial development models by exploring technology breakthroughs and application scenarios, contributing to the innovation of the intelligent connected new energy vehicle industry in Anhui Province [7] - Jianghuai Automobile emphasizes a dual strategy of independent innovation and open cooperation, focusing on technological innovation as a core driver for future development [7]

Core Viewpoint - The domestic new energy heavy truck market has shown remarkable growth, with sales reaching a record high of 18,000 units in June 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 158% and a month-on-month increase of 19% [3][5][7]. Sales Performance - In June 2025, the total sales of new energy heavy trucks reached 18,000 units, the highest for any June in history, and part of a trend where sales have exceeded 15,000 units five times since March 2025 [3][5]. - The overall heavy truck market sold 69,200 units in June, with new energy heavy trucks growing at a rate significantly higher than the overall market, which saw a year-on-year increase of 47% [5][7]. Market Penetration - The penetration rate of new energy heavy trucks in the heavy truck market reached 26.03% in June 2025, up from 23.92% in May and significantly higher than the 14.82% in the same month last year [7][19]. - In the first half of 2025, the penetration rate averaged 22.34%, compared to 9.21% in the first half of 2024, indicating a strong upward trend [7][19]. Company Performance - In June 2025, 14 companies sold over 100 units, with 10 companies exceeding 500 units and 4 companies surpassing 1,000 units in sales [11][19]. - SANY led the sales with 2,887 units, followed closely by FAW Liberation and XCMG, which sold 2,576 and 2,537 units respectively [13][19]. Cumulative Sales - From January to June 2025, cumulative sales of new energy heavy trucks reached 79,200 units, a year-on-year increase of 186% [21][27]. - SANY and XCMG both achieved cumulative sales of 12,900 units, ranking first, while FAW Liberation ranked third with 10,700 units [25][27]. Market Competition - The competition in the new energy heavy truck market is intensifying, with five companies holding over 10% market share as of June 2025 [16][19]. - Companies like FAW Liberation, China National Heavy Duty Truck Group, and Shaanxi Automobile Group have shown significant year-on-year growth, with FAW Liberation's sales increasing by 448% [21][25].

Group 1 - Chery Automobile clarified that the reduction in new energy subsidies is a normal process and denied any allegations of violations or fraud [1] - The company reported that the vehicles in question were not eligible for subsidies due to missing sales receipts, which were accurately disclosed [1] - Chery's compliance and transparency may enhance market confidence in its brand and contribute to a healthier development of the new energy sector [1] Group 2 - Tesla officially entered the Indian market by opening its first showroom in Mumbai, marking a significant step in its global expansion strategy [2] - The company has imported $1 million worth of vehicles and related products, despite facing high tariffs in India [2] - This move is expected to increase demand for electric vehicles and stimulate growth in the new energy vehicle sector [2] Group 3 - Jiangqi Group successfully collaborated with CATL to launch the first commercial vehicle with "chocolate" battery swapping technology, achieving a battery swap time of just 150 seconds [3] - The "chocolate" battery swap system can complete swaps in 3 minutes, significantly improving operational efficiency and user experience [3] - The project aims to establish 1,000 battery swap stations by 2025, with a long-term goal of 30,000 stations, enhancing the promotion of electric vehicles [3] Group 4 - Beiqi Foton increased its investment in Kavin New Energy by 758 million yuan, maintaining its controlling stake in the company [4] - Kavin New Energy raised over 1.2 billion yuan in a Pre-A round of financing, attracting multiple institutional investors [4] - This funding will support technological innovation and market expansion in the pure electric and hydrogen fuel cell sectors, enhancing Beiqi Foton's strategic position in the new energy commercial vehicle market [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the automotive industry [1] Core Views - The automotive sector is expected to benefit from the continuation of the vehicle replacement policy, which is anticipated to support consumer demand and sales growth in 2025 [16] - The report highlights a new phase of domestic brands entering a strategic offensive towards high-end development, with companies offering quality products priced above 300,000 yuan likely to benefit significantly [16] - The report emphasizes the potential for high-level intelligent driving technologies to become more affordable, which could increase their penetration rates [16] Summary by Sections Recent Trends - The automotive sector underperformed compared to the Shanghai Composite Index, with a weekly decline of 0.4% from July 7 to July 11, 2025, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.1% [17] - In June 2025, the wholesale volume of automobiles reached 2.904 million units, a year-on-year increase of 13.8% [30] Key Company Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - Li Auto, JAC Motors, Geely, SAIC Group, BYD, Great Wall Motors for high-end supply [16] - XPeng Motors, Huayang Group, Desay SV, and Coboda for intelligent driving technologies [16] - Top Group, Sanhua Intelligent Control, and Beite Technology for robotics production [16] - Fuyao Glass, Xingyu Co., and Yinlun Co. for quality auto parts [16] - Foton Motor and China National Heavy Duty Truck for commercial vehicles [16] Earnings Forecasts - Key companies and their projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, 2025E, and 2026E include: - Yinlun Co.: 0.92, 1.28, 1.59 [49] - Baolong Technology: 1.44, 2.56, 3.22 [49] - BYD: 13.84, 18.15, 22.13 [49] - Li Auto: 4.16, 5.43, 8.33 [49]

Core Insights - The Chinese automotive industry is accelerating its transformation and upgrading, leading the global growth in new energy vehicle production and sales [1][2] - Chinese automotive companies are expanding internationally, moving beyond simple product trade to reshape the global industry landscape [1][3] Industry Performance - China's automotive market has shown a positive development trend, with new energy vehicles (NEVs) driving industry transformation [2] - The production and sales scale of automobiles in China has exceeded 30 million units for two consecutive years, with NEV production and sales surpassing 10 million units [2] - NEVs now account for 10% of total vehicle ownership, with projected sales of 16 million units for the year, potentially exceeding 50% of new car sales [2] - In the first half of the year, China's automobile exports reached 3.083 million units, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, with NEV exports at 1.06 million units, up 75.2% [2] Global Expansion Strategy - Chinese automotive brands are rapidly entering international markets, becoming new choices for global consumers [2] - Changan Automobile aims to invest over $10 billion in overseas markets by 2030, targeting annual sales of 1.5 million units abroad [3] Challenges and Adaptation - The globalization of the Chinese automotive industry faces challenges such as complex international trade environments, product homogenization, and cultural adaptation [3][4] - Key areas for improvement include local integration, risk management, and building resilient ecosystems through collaboration across the supply chain [4] - Quality management is critical, with challenges in vehicle data transmission and the need for robust cybersecurity measures [4]

Core Insights - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the automotive sector, highlighting the expected boost in market sentiment due to a surge in new product launches and the upcoming earnings reports [1][5][12] - The automotive industry is transitioning towards a technology-driven era, with significant advancements in electrification, intelligence, and connectivity, which are expected to create new demand [12][13] - The report emphasizes the growth potential of domestic brands and the opportunities in incremental components driven by electric and intelligent trends [22][23] Sales Tracking - In June 2025, retail sales of passenger vehicles in China reached 2.084 million units, a year-on-year increase of 18.1% and a month-on-month increase of 7.6% [1] - Cumulative retail sales from January to June 2025 totaled 10.901 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.8% [1] - The new energy vehicle market saw retail sales of 1.111 million units in June, marking a year-on-year increase of 29.7% and a cumulative total of 5.468 million units for the first half of the year, up 33.3% [1] Market Performance - In June, the CS automotive sector experienced a slight decline of 0.13%, with the CS passenger vehicle index down 2.34% [2] - Year-to-date, the automotive sector has risen by 28.88%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 14.17 percentage points [2] - The report notes a decrease in the inventory warning index for automotive dealers, indicating improved market conditions [2] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on domestic brands and the opportunities in incremental components, particularly in the context of the electric and intelligent vehicle trends [22][23] - Recommended companies include Leap Motor, JAC Motors, and Geely for vehicle manufacturing, and companies like Kobot, Huayang Group, and Junsheng Electronics for intelligent components [3][22] - The report highlights the potential of new entrants like Huawei and Xiaomi in the automotive sector, emphasizing their strong channel and software ecosystem capabilities [22][23] Company Earnings Forecasts - Leap Motor is projected to have an EPS of -0.05 in 2025, with a PE ratio of -1200, while Geely is expected to achieve an EPS of 1.36 with a PE of 12 [4] - JAC Motors is forecasted to have an EPS of 0.11 in 2025, with a PE of 380, indicating significant growth potential [4] - The report provides a detailed earnings forecast for several key companies, reflecting their expected performance in the evolving automotive landscape [4][30]