Group 1 - The report emphasizes the defensive attributes of the public utility sector, particularly in light of recent policy changes aimed at enhancing price governance mechanisms [1][14][30] - In March, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.07%, while the public utility index rose by 1.87%, indicating a relative outperformance of the sector [1][32] - The report highlights the significant drop in coal prices, which enhances the profitability of thermal power generation, with a projected increase in earnings per kilowatt-hour as coal prices decrease [2][16][18] Group 2 - The report recommends major thermal power companies such as Huadian International and Shanghai Electric, citing their resilience in the face of declining coal prices and electricity prices [3][30] - It notes that the water and waste incineration sectors are entering a mature phase, with improved free cash flow and a favorable investment environment due to declining risk-free rates [31] - The report identifies high-dividend water power stocks, particularly Changjiang Electric Power, as having strong defensive characteristics and long-term investment value [24][25][29] Group 3 - The report discusses the expected stability in nuclear power company earnings, recommending companies like China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power [3][30] - It highlights the growth potential in the renewable energy sector, recommending leading companies such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy, which are expected to benefit from ongoing government support for new energy development [3][30] - The report also points out the significant market opportunity in the domestic waste oil recycling industry, recommending companies like Shanggou Environmental Energy as beneficiaries of upcoming EU policies [31]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [9] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the central government's commitment to advancing electricity price reforms and the expectation of a more refined market mechanism [11][12] - The market-oriented reform of electricity pricing is expected to benefit various power sources, particularly thermal power, which is anticipated to gain significantly from these changes [11][12] - The report highlights the importance of green electricity price reforms and the acceleration of environmental value realization [11][12] Summary by Sections Event Description - The Central Committee and the State Council issued an opinion on improving price governance mechanisms, advocating for a gradual and systematic market-oriented reform of electricity pricing across various power sources [6][11] Event Commentary - The report notes that the elevation of electricity reform to the central government level indicates a strong commitment to market-oriented reforms, with a focus on establishing a supportive system for smooth reform progression [11] - It discusses the potential for capacity and ancillary service price reforms to create systemic benefits for stable output and flexible adjustment capabilities, particularly for thermal and nuclear power [11] - The report also mentions the need to eliminate unreasonable price competition and government interference in price formation, which could lead to a more orderly market environment [11] - The emphasis on green electricity pricing reform suggests that the environmental value of green power is expected to be realized more rapidly [11] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the "carbon neutrality" era and electricity market reforms will redefine the intrinsic value of power operators throughout the 14th Five-Year Plan period [11] - It recommends focusing on quality thermal power operators such as Huadian International, China Resources Power, and Huaneng Power, as well as large hydropower companies like Yangtze Power and Guotou Power [11] - For the renewable energy sector, it highlights companies like Longyuan Power, China Nuclear Power, and China Three Gorges Energy as potential investment opportunities [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The company announced that its subsidiary, Jinjiang Gas Power, reported a replacement electricity volume of 2.28402 billion kWh for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.86%. The transfer price is set at 0.3911 yuan per kWh, a slight increase of 0.13% year-on-year. This stable volume and price level will further ensure the project's profitability, reflecting long-term policy support [2][5]. - The controlling shareholder, Fujian Energy Group, has initiated a share buyback plan, demonstrating strong confidence in the company's long-term development and highlighting the importance of the company's market performance [2][11]. - The company has a robust project reserve, with approved capacity reaching 6.07 million kW, which is expected to significantly enhance its operational performance as these projects come online [11]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The current stock price is 9.24 yuan, with a total share capital of 278.014 million shares. The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is currently at 9.2 times, which is at the 10-year 10.22% percentile [8][11]. Financial Projections - The company expects earnings per share (EPS) of 1.04 yuan, 1.05 yuan, and 1.16 yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 8.93 times, 8.80 times, and 7.94 times [11][14]. Market Performance - The company has faced valuation pressure due to a weak thermal power sector and slow progress in offshore wind projects. However, the recent buyback by the controlling shareholder is expected to stabilize the stock price [11]. Project Development - The company has received approvals for several projects, including offshore wind and thermal power projects, which are anticipated to contribute significantly to future revenue growth [11]. Investment Recommendation - The report maintains a "Buy" rating based on the company's solid operational performance and growth potential from its project reserves [11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Insights - The company announced that its subsidiary, Jinjiang Gas Power, reported a replacement electricity volume of 2.28402 billion kWh for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.86%. The transfer price is set at 0.3911 yuan per kWh, a slight increase of 0.13% year-on-year. This stable volume and price level will further ensure the project's profitability, reflecting long-term policy support [2][12] - The controlling shareholder, Fujian Energy Group, has initiated a share buyback plan, demonstrating strong confidence in the company's long-term development and highlighting the importance of the company's market performance [2][12] - The company has a robust project reserve, with a total installed capacity of 6.07 million kW approved by the National Development and Reform Commission. This includes various thermal and wind power projects, which are expected to significantly enhance the company's performance [12] Summary by Sections Event Description - The company received confirmation from its subsidiary regarding the transfer of replacement electricity volume for 2025, which is 2.28402 billion kWh, with a transfer price of 0.3911 yuan per kWh. The transaction period is from April 1, 2025, to November 30, 2025 [6] Event Commentary - The stable replacement electricity volume and pricing are expected to support the company's profitability. The controlling shareholder's buyback plan indicates a commitment to maintaining the company's market value and reflects confidence in its future growth [12] - The company has a significant project pipeline, with approved projects expected to increase its installed capacity by 100.41%, enhancing growth potential. The recent approval of offshore wind projects is anticipated to catalyze further growth [12]

证券代码：600483 证券简称：福能股份 公告编号：2025-011 福建福能股份有限公司 关于控股子公司开展 2025 年基数合同转让交易的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者 重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 近日，福建福能股份有限公司（以下简称公司）接到控股子公司福建晋江天然气发 电有限公司（以下简称晋江气电）报告，其已申报确认 2025 年基数合同转让交易。转 让替代上网电量为 22.8402 亿千瓦时，转让价格为 0.3911 元/千瓦时，交易履约时间为 2025 年 4 月 1 日至 2025 年 11 月 30 日。以上交易由晋江气电与国家电网福建省电力有 限公司按价格主管部门批复的上网电价扣除转让电价后进行差额结算。 上述交易有利于改善公司天然气发电业务经营情况，公司将依据《企业会计准则》 按实际转让电量及结算电价进行相关会计处理。敬请广大投资者注意投资风险。 特此公告。 福建福能股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 3 月 22 日 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utility and environmental sectors [1][4]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the high-quality development of the environmental equipment manufacturing industry, aiming to create a trillion-level industry with international competitiveness by 2027 [2][16]. - It highlights the synergy between computing power and electricity, particularly in the context of data centers, which require substantial and reliable electricity supply [18][20]. - The report suggests that the profitability of coal-fired power generation is expected to remain reasonable due to the simultaneous decline in coal and electricity prices [28]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.59%, while the public utility index increased by 2.19% and the environmental index by 2.53% [1][29]. - Among the sub-sectors, coal-fired power saw a 3.39% increase, while renewable energy generation rose by 1.48% [31]. Important Policies and Events - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Ecology and Environment, and the State Administration for Market Regulation jointly issued opinions to promote the high-quality development of the environmental equipment manufacturing industry [2][16]. - By 2030, the report anticipates a complete upgrade of the environmental equipment manufacturing industry towards green, low-carbon, and circular development [2]. Investment Strategy - Recommendations include major coal-fired power companies like Huadian International and regional power companies like Shanghai Electric due to stable electricity prices [3][28]. - For renewable energy, leading companies such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy are recommended, alongside regional offshore wind power companies [3][28]. - The report also suggests focusing on water and waste incineration sectors, which are entering a mature phase with improved free cash flow [3][28]. Industry Dynamics - The report notes that the electricity and heat production and supply industry prices fell by 0.8% year-on-year in February 2025 [17]. - It highlights the increasing importance of green electricity and nuclear power in meeting the energy demands of data centers [24][21]. Company Performance - The report lists several companies with "Outperform" ratings, including Huadian International, Longyuan Power, and China Nuclear Power, among others, indicating their strong market positions and growth potential [6][28].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The controlling shareholder, Fujian Energy Group, plans to increase its stake in the company by investing between RMB 100 million and RMB 200 million within six months from the announcement date, demonstrating confidence in the company's long-term development [2][5]. - As of March 13, the company's PE (TTM) valuation has decreased to 9.08 times, which is at the 7.94% percentile of the past ten years, while the PB valuation has fallen to 1.03 times, at the 8.29% percentile, indicating that the stock price is close to breaking net asset value [2][10]. - The company has a robust project reserve, with a total installed capacity of 6.07 million kilowatts approved by the National Development and Reform Commission, which is expected to significantly enhance its growth potential [10]. Summary by Sections Shareholder Actions - Fujian Energy Group and its affiliates plan to increase their holdings in the company through centralized bidding, with no set price range for the purchase, reflecting a strong commitment to maintaining the company's market value [5][10]. Financial Performance - The company reported total revenue of RMB 14.695 billion for 2023, with projected revenues of RMB 14.455 billion, RMB 14.043 billion, and RMB 15.439 billion for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [13]. - The net profit for 2023 was RMB 3.197 billion, with forecasts of RMB 3.510 billion, RMB 3.531 billion, and RMB 3.918 billion for the following three years [13]. Growth Potential - The company is actively expanding its project portfolio, including offshore wind power and thermal power projects, which are expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth [10]. - The company’s EPS is projected to be RMB 1.04 for 2024 and 2025, and RMB 1.16 for 2026, with corresponding PE ratios of 8.71, 8.66, and 7.81 [10][13].

丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨福能股份（600483.SH） [Table_Title] 控股股东计划增持，彰显长期发展信心 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司控股股东福建省能源集团及其一致行动人计划于公告披露之日起 6 个月内以集中竞价方式 增持公司 A 股股份，增持总金额不低于人民币 1 亿元，不超过人民币 2 亿元。截至 3 月 13 日， 公司 PE（TTM）估值已经回落至 9.08 倍，处于过去十年 7.94%分位点；PB 估值也回落至 1.03 倍，处于过去十年 8.29%分位点，公司股价濒临破净。当前时点控股股东的大额增持彰显出对 公司远期发展和长期投资价值的坚定信心，也表明了能源集团对公司资本市场表现的高度重 视，同时本次增持计划不设定价格区间，凸显控股股东增持维护市值的强烈信心和决心。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490517080003 SAC：S0490520120001 SAC：S0490520110001 SAC：S0490523080003 SFC：BQT627 张韦华 司旗 宋尚骞 刘亚辉 福能股份（600483.SH） cjzq ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 | 公用事业 公用事业 报告日期：2025 年 03 月 16 日 绿电直供凸显环境属性，清洁能源迎来专项资金 ——环保与公用事业行业周报 投资要点 ❑ 行情回顾 本周，公用事业板块指数上涨 2.19%，涨跌幅在 31 个申万一级行业中排名第 11，跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.61%；本周，环保板块指数上涨 2.53%，涨跌幅在 32 个 申万一级行业中排名第 9，跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.94%。截至 2025 年 3 月 7 日，公 用事业（申万）PE（TTM）为 16.87 倍，PB（LF）为 1.48 倍；环保（申万）PE （TTM）为 21.60 倍，PB（LF）为 1.48 倍。 ❑ 行业重要动态 ❑ 核心观点与投资建议 ❑ 公用事业行业，本周重点关注个股组合：佛燃能源+东方电子+中国核电。 A.绿电运营板块。去年以来政策推动典型高耗能行业参与绿证绿电交易，绿电环 境价值有望进一步兑现；此外新能源全面入市有望带动电价下行，叠加电网发债 持续推进下绿电企业国补欠补问题有望改善。考虑到当前绿电估值已处价值洼地， 尤其是港股绿电普遍处于破净状态，后续可进一步关注新能源大基地 ...

全面加快建设电力现货市场，疆电外送促绿电消纳 2025 年 03 月 16 日 ➢ 本周（20250310-20250314）电力板块行情：本周电力板块走势优于大盘。 截至 2025 年 03 月 14 日，本周公用事业板块收于 2287.91 点，上涨 49.11 点， 涨幅 2.19%；电力子板块收于 3042.41 点，上涨 65.87 点，上涨 2.21%，沪深 300 本周上涨 1.59%，公用事业走势优于大盘。公用事业（电力）板块涨跌幅在 申万 31 个一级板块中排第 21 位。从电力子板块来看：本周光伏发电上涨 4.68%， 热力服务上涨 3.80%，电能综合服务上涨 3.57%，火力发电上涨 3.39%，风力 发电上涨 2.09%，水力发电上涨 0.88%。 ➢ 本周专题：各大电力央企，也是"沙戈荒"大基地的投资主力，其中华电集 团规划超 80GW，华能集团规划 28.5GW，国家能源集团规划超 31GW，三峡 集团规划超 35GW。2025 年《政府工作报告》中提到：推进"疆电外送"第三、 第四通道、"西气东输"四线等跨区域能源调配工程，提升能源供应保障能力。加 快建设"沙戈荒"新能源基地和 ...