东海证券发布研报称，叉车下游应用广泛，周期性特征较弱，与制造业景气程度关联度较高。未来制造 业复苏和仓储物流量的增长，对国内叉车需求呈现积极作用。同时，国内企业正加速全球化布局，建立 海外本土产能与售后服务体系，全球市场渗透率逐步提升。另外，国内叉车龙头正积极布局智能物流与 物流机器人领域，将重塑物流行业竞争格局。建议关注：品牌认可度高，海外已深度布局，研发实力强 劲的国产叉车龙头企业。 安徽合力 智能物流谱写高质量发展新篇章。2025年安徽合力（600761）智能物流发展大会紧扣行业发展趋势，围 绕多层堆叠，重载存搬配、智能仓储集成产品、智能AGV产品与全场景解决方案、冷链物流园整体解 决方案等多个前沿领域。安徽合力集中呈现了基于AI物流机器人产品矩阵构建的智能仓储、智能搬 运、智能工厂、智能园区四大核心业务及生态联合解决方案，涵盖70余款展品。2025年合力智能物流业 务实现营收同比增长超100%，覆盖8大类22个品种，超100种型号的产品矩阵，近4亿元战略签单额，在 智能物流领域的业务突破。 杭叉集团 参股公司河南嘉晨通过北交所上市审核。杭叉集团（603298）参股河南嘉晨智能控制股份有限公司 22.2 ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2026年02月25日 ——机械设备行业简评 [table_main] 投资要点： 行 业 简 评 机 械 设 备 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 行 业 研 究 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 商俭 S0630525060002 shangjian@longone.com.cn [table_invest] 超配 [Table_NewTitle 叉车 ] 1月内销外销大增，龙头公司智能化 持续突破 | | 评级 | 说明 | | --- | --- | --- | | 市场指数评级 | 看多 | 未来 6 个月内沪深 300 指数上升幅度达到或超过 20% | | | 看平 | 未来 6 个月内沪深 300 指数波动幅度在-20%—20%之间 | | | 看空 | 未来 6 个月内沪深 300 指数下跌幅度达到或超过 20% | | 行业指数评级 | 超配 | 未来 6 个月内行业指数相对强于沪深 300 指数达到或超过 10% | | | 标配 | 未来 6 个月内行业指数相对沪深 3 ...

数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 2025年1-12月，金属制品、机械和设备修理业企业数（以下数据涉及的企业，均为规模以上工业企业， 从2011年起，规模以上工业企业起点标准由原来的年主营业务收入500万元提高到年主营业务收入2000 万元）为928个，和上年同期相比，增加了69个，同比增长8.03%，占工业总企业的比重为0.18%。 2016-2025年金属制品、机械和设备修理业企业数统计图 上市公司：精达股份（600577），精工钢构（600496），东南网架（002135），中集集团（000039）， 中铁工业（600528），安徽合力（600761），柳工（000528），徐工机械（000425），宇通重工 （600817），诺力股份（603611） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国金属制品行业市场运行格局及前景战略分析报告》 ...

Core Insights - The Chinese forklift manufacturing industry has developed a comprehensive production capacity over 70 years, becoming the largest manufacturing market globally, with production expected to approach 1.3 million units in 2024 [1] Production Trends - The production of forklifts in China has shown fluctuations, with the total production from 2015 to 2024 experiencing variations. In 2024, the production is projected to be nearly 1.3 million units [1] - The industry is highly concentrated, with the top three companies—Anhui Heli, Zhongli, and Hangcha Group—holding over 80% of the market share. Their production figures for 2024 are expected to be 350,000 units, 294,000 units, and 280,000 units respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 19.15%, 16.33%, and 12.82% [2] Sales Performance - The sales volume of forklifts in China is on an upward trend, with a record high of 1.286 million units expected in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 9.5%. For the first ten months of 2025, sales reached 1.2207 million units, up 14.2% year-on-year [4] - The leading companies in forklift sales for 2024 are projected to be Anhui Heli with 340,200 units (up 16.52%), Zhongli with 297,000 units (up 15.53%), and Hangcha Group with 280,000 units (up 14.05%) [5] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The Chinese forklift manufacturing industry has achieved a basic balance between supply and demand, with significant advancements in technology and production processes. The period from 2015 to 2018 saw excess inventory, but since 2019, the market has shifted towards a more balanced supply-demand scenario, with sales exceeding production [9]

Core Viewpoint - The engineering machinery industry experienced a strong recovery in 2025, with an index increase of 33.14%, significantly outperforming the CSI 300, and is expected to continue high-quality development in 2026 driven by smart logistics equipment, mining machinery upgrades, and overseas market expansion [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance in 2025 - The total operating revenue of the engineering machinery industry reached 303.61 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.84% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 29.44 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 19.72%, indicating improved profitability [2]. - The gross profit margin increased from 24.86% in Q1 to 25.48% in the first three quarters, reflecting enhanced sales efficiency [2]. Group 2: Cash Flow and Operational Efficiency - The net cash flow from operating activities reached 29.10 billion yuan in the first three quarters, marking a new high for the same period in recent years, with a year-on-year growth rate of 41.79% in Q3 [4]. - Inventory turnover days decreased year-on-year, and the operating cycle was compressed by 3.73%, indicating improved operational efficiency despite a 9.35% increase in inventory value [4]. Group 3: Key Focus Areas for 2026 - Smart logistics equipment is expected to be the most promising growth area in 2026, driven by policy support, surging demand, and technological upgrades [6]. - The continuous growth of e-commerce logistics is a core driver, with the national express package processing volume reaching 7.23 billion during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holidays, pushing the e-commerce logistics business volume index to 132.9 points [6]. - The demand for automation in logistics is urgent, as labor costs account for 29% of logistics companies' warehousing costs, necessitating the replacement of manual labor with smart equipment [6]. Group 4: Policy and Technological Developments - National and local governments are collaborating to promote logistics data openness and the construction of intelligent supply chains, with various supportive policies being implemented [11]. - Technological advancements, such as improved navigation precision and the localization of components, are strengthening the foundation for development in the industry [11]. Group 5: Mining Machinery and Tunnel Equipment - The mining machinery and tunnel engineering equipment sectors are entering a golden period of upgrades, driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan" and carbon neutrality goals [12]. - The demand for deep earth mining is increasing, with non-road dump trucks showing significant operational hours, indicating their essential role in material flow [12]. - The export of mining machinery is growing, with excavator exports reaching 93,800 units in the first ten months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14.43% [14]. Group 6: Investment Recommendations - Investment focus for 2026 should be on smart logistics equipment, particularly leading companies in the forklift sector, such as Anhui Heli and Hangcha Group, which are well-positioned to benefit from the trends of electrification and automation [15]. - In the mining machinery and tunnel construction equipment sector, companies like SANY Heavy Industry and Zoomlion are recommended due to their technological maturity and increasing export ratios [15].

Group 1 - Company Anhui Heli Co., Ltd. won a procurement project from Jiangnan Shipbuilding Group with a bid amount of 1.526 million yuan [1] - In 2024, the company's operating revenue is projected to be 17.325 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 0.99% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 is expected to be 1.32 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 0.18% [2] Group 2 - For the first half of 2025, the company's operating revenue reached 9.39 billion yuan, showing a growth rate of 6.18% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the first half of 2025 is 796 million yuan, with a decline of 4.60% [2] - The company operates in the industrial sector, primarily producing low-voltage electrical appliances, electric vehicles, heavy construction machinery, heavy trucks, and special vehicles [2]

Investment Rating - The report rates the mechanical industry as "Overweight," indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [2][13]. Core Insights - The mechanical industry is expected to see stable performance with technological advancements leading to a value reversal. Key areas of growth include space photovoltaics, machine tools, robotics, and laser technology [4][7]. Summary by Sections Performance Forecast - The report predicts significant growth for 21 key tracked mechanical companies in Q4 2025, with notable forecasts such as Zoomlion (183%), DingTai High-Tech (179%), and Wolong Electric (82%) [4][5]. Space Photovoltaics - The commercial space sector is entering a new phase characterized by large-scale deployment and capability upgrades, leading to increased demand for space photovoltaics. The report highlights a projected super cycle in satellite manufacturing and launching over the next decade, driven by the need for satellite energy systems [4]. Machine Tools & Cutting Tools - The machine tool sector is expected to transition towards high-end, CNC, and intelligent manufacturing. The report anticipates a 9.7% increase in metal cutting machine production in 2025, with a strong focus on domestic production of core components [4][7]. - Cutting tool manufacturers are expected to benefit from rising raw material prices and increased domestic demand, with a focus on high-end product breakthroughs [4]. Robotics & Components - The humanoid robot industry is progressing towards commercialization, with significant developments expected in 2025. The report identifies three main trends: Tesla's humanoid robot iterations, global giants entering the robotics space, and various robot forms being deployed in practical applications [4]. Laser Technology - General laser technology is experiencing rapid growth due to advancements in high-power and specialized applications. The report recommends companies like Baichu Electronics and Dier Laser for investment [7]. Engineering Machinery - The report anticipates a resonance of domestic and foreign demand in 2026, driven by infrastructure projects and equipment upgrades. Key companies recommended include SANY Heavy Industry and XCMG [7]. Forklifts - The forklift market is projected to grow, with a 12.9% increase in total sales expected in 2025. The report emphasizes the trend towards automation and smart logistics in the industry [7]. Rail Transit Equipment - The report notes a strong demand for rail transit equipment, with a projected 6.0% increase in fixed asset investment in railways for 2025. Recommended companies include CRRC and Siwei Control [7].

Group 1 - The engineering machinery sector experienced a significant increase of 6.35% on February 3, with construction machinery leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4067.74, up 1.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14127.1, up 2.19% [1] - Key stocks in the engineering machinery sector showed notable price increases, with Construction Machinery rising by 9.95% to a closing price of 4.53 [1] Group 2 - The main capital inflow in the engineering machinery sector was 1.283 billion yuan, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 817 million yuan [2] - Major stocks such as Sany Heavy Industry and Zoomlion received significant net inflows from institutional investors, with Sany Heavy Industry attracting 675 million yuan [3] - The overall trading volume for the engineering machinery sector was substantial, with individual stocks like Zoomlion and Sany Heavy Industry contributing significantly to the total turnover [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market saw a significant rally in the engineering machinery sector on February 3, with multiple stocks experiencing substantial gains, indicating a positive trend in this industry [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Jiangshun Technology (江顺科技) reached the daily limit with a 10% increase, bringing its total market value to 66.33 billion [2]. - Construction Machinery (建设机械) and Sikan Technology (思看科技) both rose by over 8%, with Sikan Technology's market value at 137 billion [2]. - Huadian Technology (华电科工) increased by over 7%, with a market value of 134 billion [2]. - Anhui Heli (安徽合力) and Zoomlion Heavy Industry (中联重科) both saw gains exceeding 6%, with market values of 198 billion and 797 billion respectively [2]. - Sany Heavy Industry (三一重工) rose by 6.03%, with a market value of 2085 billion [2]. - Other notable performers included Shantui (山推股份) and Hengli Hydraulic (恒立液压), both increasing by over 5% [2]. Group 2: Year-to-Date Performance - Jiangshun Technology has a year-to-date increase of 42.17% [2]. - Sikan Technology shows a remarkable year-to-date increase of 65.88% [2]. - Huadian Technology has a year-to-date increase of 46.56% [2]. - Anhui Heli's year-to-date increase stands at 6.41% [2]. - Zoomlion Heavy Industry has a year-to-date increase of 9.40% [2]. - Sany Heavy Industry's year-to-date increase is 7.29% [2].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market saw a collective surge in engineering machinery stocks, with several companies experiencing significant price increases, indicating a positive trend in the sector [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Jiangshun Technology reached the daily limit with a 10% increase, marking a year-to-date rise of 42.17% [2]. - Construction Machinery and Sika Technology both rose by over 8%, with Sika Technology showing a year-to-date increase of 65.88% [2]. - Huadian Engineering increased by over 7%, with a year-to-date rise of 46.56% [2]. - Anhui Heli and Zoomlion both saw increases of over 6%, with Anhui Heli's year-to-date rise at 6.41% and Zoomlion at 9.40% [2]. - Sany Heavy Industry rose by 6.03%, with a year-to-date increase of 7.29% [2]. - Other notable performers included Shantui, Hengli Hydraulic, and Fushite, all rising over 5% [1][2]. Group 2: Market Capitalization - Jiangshun Technology has a total market capitalization of 66.33 billion [2]. - Construction Machinery's market cap stands at 56.44 billion [2]. - Sika Technology has a market cap of 137 billion [2]. - Huadian Engineering's market cap is 134 billion [2]. - Anhui Heli has a market cap of 198 billion, while Zoomlion's is 797 billion [2]. - Sany Heavy Industry has a market cap of 208.5 billion [2]. - Shantui's market cap is 186 billion, and Hengli Hydraulic's is 152.7 billion [2]. - Fushite has a market cap of 47.63 billion, while Tietuo Machinery's is 2.618 billion [2]. - Xugong Machinery has a market cap of 130.5 billion [2].