YILI(600887)
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中国消费品4月需求报告:多数行业增速小幅改善
Haitong Securities International· 2025-05-06 11:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the Chinese consumer staples sector is generally positive, with multiple companies rated as "Outperform" [1]. Core Insights - In April 2025, five out of eight tracked industries maintained positive growth, two experienced negative growth, and one remained flat. The sectors with single-digit growth include dairy, food and beverage, soft drinks, condiments, and frozen foods. The declining sectors are mass and below liquor and sub-high-end and above liquor, while the beer industry remained flat. Compared to the previous month, six industries showed improved growth rates, while two saw a deterioration. Overall demand has not significantly increased or decreased [10][34]. Summary by Category Liquor Industry - **Sub-high-end and above liquor**: In April, revenue was 26.4 billion yuan, down 1.5% year-on-year. Cumulative revenue for January to April was 167 billion yuan, up 0.3% year-on-year. Inventory levels increased as demand entered a low season [4][14]. - **Mass and below liquor**: Revenue in April was 15 billion yuan, down 10.7% year-on-year, marking 15 consecutive months of negative growth. Cumulative revenue for January to April was 75.2 billion yuan, down 13.9% year-on-year [16]. Beer Industry - Revenue in April was 14 billion yuan, flat compared to the same period last year. Cumulative revenue for January to April was 60.6 billion yuan, down 0.2% year-on-year. The industry is preparing for the upcoming sales season with low inventory levels [5][19]. Condiments - Revenue in April was 36.3 billion yuan, up 2.3% year-on-year, with cumulative revenue for January to April at 155.4 billion yuan, growing 1.3% year-on-year. The industry is experiencing weak sales due to external consumption pressures [21]. Dairy Products - Revenue in April was 33.6 billion yuan, up 3.4% year-on-year, while cumulative revenue for January to April was 156 billion yuan, down 0.6% year-on-year. The industry showed positive growth due to a low base effect from the previous year [23]. Frozen Foods - Revenue in April was 6.7 billion yuan, up 1.5% year-on-year, with cumulative revenue for January to April at 43.1 billion yuan, up 1.3% year-on-year. The industry faces challenges due to lower consumer spending and increased competition [25]. Soft Drinks - Revenue in April was 50 billion yuan, up 2.7% year-on-year, with cumulative revenue for January to April at 235.6 billion yuan, up 2.3% year-on-year. The industry is entering its peak season with intensified competition [27]. Restaurant Sector - Revenue for listed restaurant companies in April was 13.4 billion yuan, up 3.1% year-on-year, with cumulative revenue for January to April at 57.1 billion yuan, up 2.6% year-on-year. The sector is seeing recovery, particularly in tea and Western fast food segments [29].
A股打工者地图:13位董事长年薪超1000万;20家年均收入不足5万
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 11:04
A股贫富差距知多少? 据览富财经统计,2024年,149家上市公司年度人均薪酬高于50万元;377家上市公司年度人均薪酬低于10万元,20家上市公司年度人均薪酬低于5万元; 101家上市公司年度人均创收过千万;83家上市公司年度人均创利超过百万;82家上市公司年度人均创利亏损超过百万; 29位董事长年度薪酬超过800万,13位董事长年度薪酬超过1000万;26位总经理年度薪酬超过800万,12位总经理年度薪酬超过1000万;44位董秘年度薪酬超 过300万,8位董秘年度薪酬超过500万。 149家上市公司年度人均薪酬高于50万元 据览富财经统计,2024年,149家上市公司年度人均薪酬高于50万元。从行业分布看,电子行业有41家,占比27.5%;非银金融有29家,占比19.5%;计算机 有14家,占比9.4%。 | 所属申万一级行业 | 计数 | 早床 | | --- | --- | --- | | 电子 | 41 | 27. 5% | | 非银金融 | 29 | 19. 5% | | 计算机 | 14 | 9. 4% | | 医药生物 | 9 | 6. 0% | | 传媒 | 8 | 5. 4% | | 房 ...
伊利股份(600887):液奶趋势改善 商誉减值落地 25Q1盈利改善
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 10:41
事件描述 伊利股份2024 年度营业总收入1157.8 亿元(同比-8.24%);归母净利润84.53 亿元(同比-18.94%), 扣非净利润60.11 亿元(同比-40.04%)。公司2024Q4 营业总收入267.4 亿元(同比-7.07%);归母净利 润同比-24.16 亿元(同比-330.4%),扣非净利润同比-24.98 亿元(同比-258.82%)。公司2025Q1 营业 总收入330.18 亿元(同比+1.35%);归母净利润48.74 亿元(同比-17.71%),扣非净利润46.29 亿元 (同比+24.19%)。 事件评论 液奶份额逆势提升,25Q1 降幅收窄,奶粉增长连续提速。分品类看营收,2024 年度液体乳750.03 亿元 (同比-12.32%),2024Q4(同比-13.08%),2025Q1(同比-3.06%);2024 年度奶粉及奶制品296.75 亿元(同比+7.53%),2024Q4(同比+8.72%),2025Q1(同比+18.65%);2024 年度冷饮产品87.21 亿元(同比-18.41%),2024Q4(同比+23.74%),2025Q1(同比-5.25%);2 ...
伊利股份(600887):2024年年报暨2025年一季报点评:液奶趋势改善,商誉减值落地,25Q1盈利改善
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-06 09:15
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company's total revenue for 2024 was 115.78 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.24%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.453 billion yuan, down 18.94% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 6.011 billion yuan, down 40.04% year-on-year [2][4]. - In Q4 2024, the company reported total revenue of 26.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.07%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of 2.416 billion yuan, a significant decline of 330.4% year-on-year, with a net profit excluding non-recurring items also showing a loss of 2.498 billion yuan, down 258.82% year-on-year [2][4]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 33.018 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.35%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.874 billion yuan, down 17.71% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 4.629 billion yuan, up 24.19% year-on-year [2][4]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The revenue breakdown shows that liquid milk revenue for 2024 was 75.003 billion yuan, down 12.32% year-on-year. In Q4 2024, it decreased by 13.08%, while in Q1 2025, the decline narrowed to 3.06% [10]. - The revenue from milk powder and dairy products for 2024 was 29.675 billion yuan, an increase of 7.53% year-on-year, with Q4 and Q1 showing growth rates of 8.72% and 18.65% respectively [10]. - The company experienced a significant loss in Q4 2024 primarily due to goodwill impairment of 3.037 billion yuan related to Aoyou, which impacted the net profit margin [10]. Cost and Efficiency - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 34.1%, an increase of 1.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin decreased by 0.96 percentage points to 7.3% [10]. - In Q1 2025, the gross profit margin improved to 37.82%, with a net profit margin of 14.76%, indicating a recovery in profitability due to cost management and operational efficiency [10]. Market Outlook - The report suggests that the supply-side turning point is approaching, with expectations of improved competition and a recovery in liquid milk trends. The company is likely to benefit from stable raw milk prices and potential demand recovery due to upcoming stimulus policies [10]. - The company plans to distribute cash dividends of 7.726 billion yuan for 2024, maintaining a high payout ratio of 91.40%, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns [10]. Earnings Forecast - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 2026 are projected to be 1.83 yuan and 2.02 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 16 and 15 times [10].
盈利能力逆势增长、分红金额再创新高 伊利:2025年还会更好
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-06 07:59
Core Insights - The annual report of Yili Group for 2024 shows a total revenue of 115.78 billion yuan, with a net profit of 11.539 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.2% after excluding goodwill impairment [1][2] - The first quarter report for 2025 indicates a revenue of 33.018 billion yuan, a 1.35% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 4.629 billion yuan, up 24.19%, demonstrating improved profitability [1][2] - Yili's dividend payout for 2024 reached a record high of 7.726 billion yuan, with a payout ratio of 91.4%, and total shareholder returns equating to 100.4% of net profit [4] Industry Overview - The dairy industry faces challenges in 2024, including increased raw milk production and insufficient consumer demand, yet Yili maintains a leading position in Asia with stable revenue growth [2] - Yili's gross margin has improved by 377 basis points from 2020 to 2024, indicating strong operational efficiency and resilience against market risks [2] Product Performance - Yili's liquid milk business generated 75.003 billion yuan in revenue, maintaining its industry leadership, while the high-end low-temperature milk segment saw over 30% growth [3] - The infant formula and dairy products segment achieved a revenue of 29.675 billion yuan, a 7.53% increase, with the "Golden Crown" brand experiencing double-digit growth [3] Strategic Initiatives - Yili plans to develop a new five-year strategic plan in the second half of 2025, with a focus on internationalization as a key agenda [1][7] - The company aims to enhance its growth logic through a "dual-wheel drive" strategy, expanding into the health food sector and building a non-dairy business framework [6][7] Future Outlook - Yili is optimistic about maintaining a positive profit margin trend, targeting a 9% profit margin for 2025, and plans to uphold a dividend payout ratio of no less than 70% [8]
伊利股份(600887):24年商誉减值影响利润,25Q1利润超预期
China Post Securities· 2025-05-06 07:53
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 115.78 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 8.24% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.45 billion yuan, down 18.94% year-on-year [4][9] - The company expects to achieve a total revenue of 119 billion yuan in 2025, with a projected net profit of 12.6 billion yuan, indicating a significant recovery [9] - The company has improved its gross margin to 37.82% in Q1 2025, driven by a decrease in raw milk prices and growth in high-margin products [7] Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 29.76 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 189.4 billion yuan [3] - The company has a total share capital of 6.366 billion shares, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 62.9% [3] - The largest shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited [3] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 26.74 billion yuan, a decline of 7.07% year-on-year, with a net profit of -2.42 billion yuan [5] - The company’s revenue from liquid milk, milk powder, and other products in 2024 was 75.003 billion yuan, 29.675 billion yuan, and 0.722 billion yuan respectively, showing varying degrees of decline [6] - The company’s dividend payout ratio increased to 91.4% in 2024, reflecting a strategy to maintain shareholder returns despite profit declines [8] Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 1,220.44 billion yuan, 1,273.85 billion yuan, and 1,332.65 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 112.44 billion yuan, 126.74 billion yuan, and 140.79 billion yuan [9][11] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 1.77 yuan, 1.99 yuan, and 2.21 yuan respectively, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17, 15, and 13 [9][11]
伊利股份财报中的乳业乾坤:战略锚点的乘数效应
经济观察报· 2025-05-06 07:47
Core Viewpoint - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes that Yili Group demonstrates a dual leadership in both scale and quality, achieving a revenue of 115.78 billion yuan and a net profit growth of 12.2% in 2024, solidifying its position as the leading dairy company in Asia [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Yili Group reported total revenue of 115.78 billion yuan, with a net profit of 11.539 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.2% [5][6]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 33.018 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 1.35%, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items increased by 24.19% to 4.629 billion yuan [5][6]. - The gross margin improved by 131 basis points to 34.03%, driven by product structure optimization and supply chain efficiency [6]. - Operating cash flow increased by 18.86% to 21.74 billion yuan, indicating a significant enhancement in the company's cash-generating ability [6]. Shareholder Returns - Yili Group proposed a dividend payout ratio of 91.4%, with total shareholder returns exceeding the net profit, marking a notable performance in the A-share consumer sector [6][7]. - Since its listing, the company has distributed a total of 50.8 billion yuan in dividends, establishing a positive cycle of performance growth, cash flow abundance, and enhanced shareholder returns [7]. Business Structure and Growth - Yili's business structure consists of three layers: basic dairy products, strategic new products, and future foods, with liquid milk generating 75.003 billion yuan in revenue, maintaining its industry leadership [9][11]. - The high-end low-temperature milk segment grew over 30%, reflecting new consumer trends, while the company’s milk powder and dairy products revenue reached 29.675 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.53% [11][13]. - The cold drink segment achieved revenue of 8.721 billion yuan, benefiting from successful scene innovation strategies [14][16]. Strategic Initiatives - Yili Group is focusing on a dual strategy of functional nutrition and deep processing of dairy products, aiming to capture high-value industry segments [18][20]. - The company is leveraging a "horizontal and vertical" strategic layout to enhance its product offerings and market positioning, including collaborations with traditional medicine to innovate product lines [18][19]. - Digital transformation is integrated across the entire supply chain, enhancing efficiency and reducing operational costs significantly [19][20].
伊利股份财报中的乳业乾坤:战略锚点的乘数效应
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-05-06 06:29
Core Insights - The core point of the article is that Yili Group has demonstrated strong operational resilience and quality in its financial performance, achieving significant revenue and profit growth amidst a competitive and transforming dairy industry [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Yili Group reported total revenue of 115.78 billion yuan, with a net profit growth of 12.2% to 11.54 billion yuan after excluding goodwill impairment [3]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 33.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.35%, and a non-recurring net profit of 4.63 billion yuan, up 24.19% [3]. - The gross profit margin improved by 131 basis points to 34.03%, indicating enhanced product structure and supply chain efficiency [5]. - Operating cash flow increased by 18.86% to 21.74 billion yuan, significantly exceeding net profit, reflecting improved cash generation capability [6]. Cost Management - Management expense ratio decreased by 23 basis points to 3.86%, while sales expense ratio dropped by 152 basis points in Q1 2025 [7]. - These cost control measures have led to a noticeable increase in net profit margin, positioning Yili for a new growth trajectory in 2025 [8]. Shareholder Returns - Yili has maintained a high shareholder return with a proposed dividend payout ratio of 91.4% and a buyback plan of 2 billion yuan, resulting in total shareholder returns exceeding net profit [9]. - Since its listing, Yili has distributed a total of 50.8 billion yuan in dividends, establishing a positive cycle of performance growth, cash flow abundance, and enhanced shareholder returns [9]. Product Strategy - Yili's product matrix has evolved into a three-tier structure: basic dairy products, strategic new products, and future foods [10]. - The liquid milk segment generated 75.00 billion yuan in revenue, maintaining its industry leadership, while high-end low-temperature milk grew by 30%, reflecting new consumer trends [11][13]. - The company achieved a record high revenue of 29.68 billion yuan from milk powder and dairy products, with significant growth in both adult milk powder and sheep milk powder segments [15]. Strategic Initiatives - Yili is focusing on functional nutrition and deep processing of dairy products as part of its strategic initiatives for 2025, aiming to capture high-value industry segments [18]. - The company is leveraging collaborations, such as with Tongrentang, to create innovative products that combine traditional Chinese medicine with dairy [18]. - Yili's digital transformation is enhancing efficiency across its supply chain, from smart management systems on farms to AI quality control in production [19]. Industry Context - The dairy industry in China is at a critical transformation point, moving beyond mere scale expansion to value enhancement as the primary competitive direction [1][2]. - As the second-largest dairy market globally, China's dairy consumption per capita remains below global averages, indicating significant growth potential for the industry [19][20].
大众品综述:24年承压,25年改善可期
HTSC· 2025-05-06 04:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the food and beverage industry [9]. Core Insights - The food and beverage sector is expected to see improvements in 2025 after a challenging 2024, with various sub-sectors showing signs of recovery and growth potential [1][16]. Dairy Products - The dairy sector experienced a revenue decline of 7.2% in 2024, with a significant drop in net profit by 27% and 43.3% for attributable and non-recurring net profit respectively. However, Q1 2025 showed a slight revenue increase of 0.4% and a notable recovery in non-recurring net profit by 24.4% [2][16]. - Major dairy companies are expected to stabilize operations after channel adjustments, with recommendations for Yili and Mengniu [2][24]. Snack Foods - The snack food sector saw a revenue increase of 2.8% in 2024, but faced challenges in Q1 2025 with a revenue decline of 4.8%. The sector is benefiting from channel innovations and the growth of the konjac category [3][29]. - Companies like Yanjinpuzi and Ganyuan Foods are recommended due to their adaptability to market changes [3][33]. Beer - The beer sector faced a revenue decline of 1.5% in 2024, but Q1 2025 showed a recovery with a 3.7% revenue increase. The sector is expected to improve due to low inventory levels and a stabilizing restaurant demand [4][24]. - Recommended stocks include Yanjing Beer and Zhujiang Beer [4][24]. Soft Drinks - The soft drink sector demonstrated resilience with a revenue growth of 15.7% in 2024, and a stable performance in Q1 2025 with a 5.5% increase. The sector is benefiting from strong travel demand and new product launches [5][24]. - Key recommendations include Nongfu Spring and attention to Kangshifu and Uni-President [5][24]. Condiments - The condiment sector saw a revenue increase of 7.7% in 2024, but growth has been modest in 2025. Major players are adjusting to improve market share [6][24]. - Companies like Haitian Flavoring and Zhongju Gaoxin are highlighted for their ongoing transformations [6][24]. Frozen Foods - The frozen food sector has been under pressure with a revenue increase of only 1.6% in 2024 and a decline of 5.1% in Q1 2025. Intense price competition is affecting profitability [7][24]. - The sector is expected to improve as restaurant demand recovers [7][24].
千亿乳企的攻守道:伊利重构乳业增长逻辑,备战行业拐点
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-05-06 03:04
Core Viewpoint - The company demonstrates resilience and strong performance in a challenging industry environment, achieving significant revenue and profit growth despite market pressures [1][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 115.78 billion yuan, maintaining its position as the leading dairy company in Asia, with a net profit of 11.54 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.2% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 33.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 1.35%, and a net profit of 4.63 billion yuan, up 24.19% year-on-year [1][4]. - The overall gross margin improved by 131 basis points to 34.03%, and operating cash flow reached 21.74 billion yuan, an increase of 18.86% [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is preparing for industry recovery by focusing on maintaining channel and supply chain health, enhancing profitability, and promoting high-quality business development [1][4]. - The company has successfully adjusted its strategies in response to market challenges, leading to improved channel health and stable sales during peak seasons [4][5]. Business Segments - The liquid milk and ice cream businesses remain the company's primary revenue drivers, with liquid milk revenue reaching 75.00 billion yuan in 2024, maintaining the top position in the industry [6]. - The milk powder and dairy products segment achieved revenue of 29.68 billion yuan in 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 7.53% [8]. - The company is also expanding into the health food sector, with strong growth in non-dairy products such as bottled water and beef [10]. Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about the industry's recovery, noting positive signals from upstream and downstream sectors and supportive government policies aimed at boosting consumption and health [13][14]. - The company anticipates that the restructuring of the dairy value chain will enhance operational efficiency and profitability in the upcoming strategic cycle [14].