Macro - The rise in gold prices since 2022 is driven by three core factors: 1) cyclical factors related to the Federal Reserve's shift from rate hikes to potential cuts; 2) concerns over the credibility of the US dollar, prompting global central banks to diversify their reserves by purchasing gold; 3) short-term factors such as geopolitical tensions and uncertainties in global trade, leading to increased investment in gold as a safe-haven asset [1] - In the short term, gold prices are expected to experience volatility and enter a consolidation phase, but in the medium to long term, three factors will continue to push gold prices higher: 1) ongoing purchases of gold by global central banks to hedge against dollar credit risk; 2) a shift in global gold ETFs from net sellers to net buyers; 3) market expectations of two more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, with potential for larger cuts after a change in leadership next year [1] Asset Allocation - Gold valuation remains at an acceptable level, with domestic institutions having room for increased allocation: based on quantitative metrics, the short-term focus should be on assessing market risk aversion through economic policy uncertainty indices, while the medium-term valuation perspective shows that the ratio of gold priced in dollars to reserve currency M2 is at a historical percentile of 77%, still within acceptable limits [2] - A horizontal comparison of mean-variance, risk budgeting, and all-weather strategies suggests optimal gold allocation ratios of 5%-10%, 10%-20%, and 20%-25% respectively; current allocations by public funds, bank wealth management, and insurance institutions are still at marginal growth levels, indicating potential for absolute increases [2] Precious Metals - Since mid-October, gold stocks have not followed the upward trend of gold prices primarily due to the significant rise in gold prices since August, leading to overbought technical indicators and cautious sentiment in the equity market, causing gold stocks to peak and retreat ahead of gold prices [3] - As gold prices stabilize and build a base, gold stock prices are expected to realign with gold prices; current valuations of gold stocks are at historical lows, with a rolling P/E ratio of approximately 30 times, indicating potential for recovery [3] - Recommended gold stocks include Lingbao Gold, Tongguan Gold, Zijin Mining International, Shandong Gold, Chifeng Jilong Gold, Shanjin International, and Zhongjin Gold; for silver, recommended stocks include Xingye Silver and Shengda Resources [3] Jewelry and Light Industry - Starting in 2024, the gold jewelry industry is expected to exhibit structural demand characteristics: first, consumption among the middle class and high-net-worth individuals in mainland China is weakening and becoming more rational; second, the continuous rise in gold prices will lead to a decline in the consumption of gold for jewelry starting in 2024; third, brands like Lao Pu, Chow Tai Fook, and others are focusing on craftsmanship upgrades and integrating traditional Chinese culture, positioning gold as a mainstream in the domestic jewelry fashion market [4] - Chow Tai Fook has returned to a mid-to-high-end positioning, with significant improvements in channel reform and product upgrades, resulting in a 4.1% year-on-year increase in overall retail value in Q3, with same-store sales growth of 7.6%; high-margin priced products contributed 30% to retail value, enhancing profitability [4]

该行将长城汽车2025至2027年净盈利预测分别下调2%、5%及4%，反映新车型推出以及海外渠道开拓， 提升销售费用预期，同时海外业务占比增加，令公司税率有所上升；目标价由26港元降至24港元，评 级"增持"。 招商证券国际发表报告指，长城汽车第三季业绩低于预期，受俄罗斯报费用递延、汇兑及海外税率扰 动，但高端品牌魏明年指引乐观，出口业务今年明年有望强劲增长。报告指，长城汽车第三季实现营业 总收入612.5亿元，按年和按季分别增长20.5%和+17.1%，略低于市场预测的634亿，但符合该行预期。 汽车销量35.36万辆，按年和按季分别增长20.2%和+13%，增长强劲。对应单车收入17.32万元，按年和 按季分别增长9.3%和3%，中高端车占比提升。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International indicates a downward revision of Great Wall Motors' (02333) earnings forecasts for 2025-2027 by 2%, 5%, and 4% respectively, due to increased sales expense predictions from new model launches and overseas channel expansion [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecasts - Great Wall Motors' earnings estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been reduced by 2%, 5%, and 4% respectively [1] - The adjustments reflect anticipated increases in sales expenses linked to new model introductions and the expansion of overseas channels [1] Group 2: Target Price and Rating - The target price for Great Wall Motors has been lowered by 8%, from HKD 26 to HKD 24 [1] - The rating remains "Buy" despite the downward revision [1] Group 3: Profit Influences - The company's third-quarter profits were impacted by multiple factors, including deferred expenses in Russia, foreign exchange fluctuations, and disturbances in overseas tax rates [1] Group 4: Brand and Export Outlook - The high-end brand "WEY" is expected to have an optimistic guidance for next year, aiming to challenge a monthly delivery of 60,000 units by 2026 [1] - The export business is projected to see strong growth, with an expected 500,000 units exported this year and a growth rate of no less than 20% in 2026 [1] - The European market is anticipated to see the launch of the EC15 model in the second quarter of 2026 to explore new market opportunities [1]

招商证券国际发布研报称，下调长城汽车（601633）(02333)2025-2027年盈测2%/5%/4%，反映新车型 推出及海外渠道开拓提升销售费用预测，同时海外业务占比增加，致使集团税率上升，下调目标价 8%，由26港元降至24港元，维持"增持"评级。 报告表示，集团多因素拖累第三季利润，受俄罗斯费用递延、汇兑及海外税率扰动。但集团高端品 牌"魏"明年指引乐观，将在2026年挑战月交付6万台。出口业务亦有望强劲增长，集团预计今年出口冲 击50万台，2026年增长亦不低于20%。欧洲市场则预计于2026年第二季推EC15车型，以开拓新市场。 ...

Group 1 - The market experienced a significant upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 1% and approaching 4000 points, marking a ten-year high [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.34 trillion, an increase of 365.9 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - Sectors such as storage chips, CPO, and controllable nuclear fusion saw the highest gains, while gaming and wind power equipment sectors faced declines [1] Group 2 - Guojin Securities expressed optimism about the upward trend in quantum computing and controllable nuclear fusion industries, supported by the "14th Five-Year Plan" which aims to promote these sectors as new economic growth points [2] - Citic Construction Investment recommended focusing on investment opportunities in the liquid cooling sector, anticipating significant growth in market penetration by 2025 due to increased chip power consumption and the adoption of liquid cooling solutions [3] -招商证券 projected a marginal improvement in the profit growth rate of non-financial A-shares in the upcoming quarterly reports, with high growth expected in information technology and midstream manufacturing sectors [4]

Group 1 - Hong Kong Stock Exchange data shows that on October 27, shareholders of Longfor Properties (06968) transferred shares from Deutsche Bank to China Merchants Securities Hong Kong, with a transfer market value of HKD 14.0646 million, accounting for 10.98% [1] - Longfor Properties reported that the group, along with its joint ventures and associates, achieved a contract sales amount of approximately RMB 4.0524 billion from January to September 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 0.15% [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that on October 27, Hong Kong Dragon Real Estate (06968) transferred shares from Deutsche Bank to China Merchants Securities Hong Kong, with a market value of HKD 14.0646 million, accounting for 10.98% of the total shares [1] - Hong Kong Dragon Real Estate reported that the group, along with its joint ventures and associates, achieved a contract sales amount of approximately RMB 4.0524 billion from January to September 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 0.15% [1]

招商证券研报指出，预计三季报非金融A股盈利增速在较低基数背景下有望边际改善。大类行业中盈利 增速较高的行业预计主要集中在信息技术、中游制造业；上游资源品和医疗保健业绩降幅有望较中报收 窄，金融地产和消费服务相对承压。重点关注业绩有望延续较高增速的信息技术（通信设备、半导体、 消费电子、游戏、计算机设备等；持续复苏的中高端制造业（汽车零部件、电池、光伏设备、工程机 械、航天装备等）；低位修复的资源品和医药生物（钢铁、有色金属、化学制药等）。 ...

Key Points - The article discusses the recent developments in the Chinese capital market, including new stock listings, regulatory updates, and economic indicators [2][4][8][10]. Group 1: New Stock Listings - Four new stocks are listed today, including three unprofitable companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, marking the first batch of newly registered companies in the Sci-Tech Growth Layer [7]. - The new stocks include DeLiJia with an issue price of 46.68 CNY per share and a subscription limit of 9,500 shares, and ZhongCheng Consulting with an issue price of 14.27 CNY per share and a subscription limit of 630,000 shares [7]. Group 2: Regulatory Updates - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) released opinions on enhancing the protection of small and medium investors in the capital market, aiming to improve investor protection mechanisms [8]. - The CSRC also published a plan to optimize the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) system, introducing a green channel and simplified processes for certain foreign investors [10]. Group 3: Economic Indicators - From January to September, the total profit of large-scale industrial enterprises in China reached 53,732 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 3.2% [10]. - The profit breakdown shows that state-owned enterprises experienced a slight decline of 0.3%, while private enterprises saw a growth of 5.1% [10]. Group 4: Financial Forum Insights - At the 2025 Financial Street Forum, the People's Bank of China announced plans to resume public market operations for government bonds, indicating a positive outlook for the bond market [8]. - The Financial Regulatory Administration emphasized its commitment to preventing systemic financial risks and improving the efficiency of financial regulation [9].

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has released the evaluation results for information disclosure work of listed companies for 2024-2025, categorizing 30 listed brokerages into three grades: A, B, and C, reflecting their performance in information disclosure and governance [1][2]. Group 1: Evaluation Results - A total of 10 brokerages received an A grade, including CITIC Securities, Guotai Junan Securities, and Huatai Securities, indicating excellent performance in information disclosure [1][2]. - 18 brokerages were rated B, including Southwest Securities and China Galaxy Securities, reflecting good performance but with room for improvement [1][2]. - 2 brokerages received a C grade, namely Xiangcai Securities and Pacific Securities, indicating a need for significant improvement in their information disclosure practices [1][2]. Group 2: Importance of Evaluation - The information disclosure evaluation serves as an annual "report card" for listed companies, promoting their responsibility to maintain market stability and protect investor rights [2]. - The evaluation criteria include the quality of information disclosure, corporate governance standards, and the degree of investor rights protection, categorized into four levels: A (excellent), B (good), C (qualified), and D (unqualified) [2]. Group 3: Regulatory Context - In March 2023, the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges released revised self-regulatory guidelines for information disclosure work evaluation, aimed at enhancing regulatory oversight and improving the investment value of listed companies [3]. - The revised guidelines focus on strengthening information disclosure regulation, punishing financial fraud, and promoting cash dividend oversight, thereby raising the standards for information disclosure quality [3]. Group 4: Company Responses - CITIC Securities highlighted its achievement of the A grade due to its strong performance in information disclosure, corporate governance, and investor relations, emphasizing the importance of effective communication with the capital market [4]. - Industrial Securities noted that its continuous A grade for eight years reflects recognition of its information disclosure quality and governance standards, aiming for sustainable value creation [4].