Core Viewpoint - The aviation and airport sector experienced a slight decline of 0.29% on January 15, with Xiamen Airport leading the drop. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4112.6, down 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.41% to 14306.73 [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Xiamen Airport (600897) closed at 16.80, down 1.52% with a trading volume of 55,900 shares and a transaction value of 94.38 million [2]. - Huaxia Airlines (002928) saw a gain of 1.71%, closing at 10.68 with a trading volume of 184,300 shares and a transaction value of 197 million [1]. - China Eastern Airlines (600115) closed at 5.83, down 0.34% with a trading volume of 890,800 shares and a transaction value of 523 million [2]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector had a net inflow of 3.57 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 73.65 million [2]. - Spring Airlines (601021) had a net inflow of 27.87 million from institutional investors, representing 9.46% of its total trading [3]. - Xiamen Airport (600897) experienced a significant net outflow of 21.86 million from institutional investors, accounting for -23.17% of its total trading [3].

春秋航空 ：12月客运量同比增长12.4%，邮件及货运量同比增长9.5%。 ...

春秋航空股份有限公司 证券代码：601021 证券简称：春秋航空 公告编号：2026-002 一、本月机队情况 本月无新增飞机。 截至本月末，公司共运营 134 架空客 A320 系列飞机。 2025 年 12 月份主要运营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 春秋航空股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）2025 年 12 月份主要运营数据情 况如下： | 指标 | | 当月数据 | 环比 | 同比 | 当年累计 | 同比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 国际 | 106,545.37 | 6.81% | 0.67% | 1,322,322.03 | 28.52% | | | 地区 | 3,859.65 | 26.73% | 92.04% | 35,967.81 | -27.68% | | 可用货邮吨公里数 | (万吨公里) | 7,737.98 | 6.49% | 182.87% | 66,245.21 | 97.53% | | | 国内 | ...

春秋航空：12月客运量同比增长12.4%，邮件及货运量同比增长9.5%。 ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: Hong Kong/China Transportation and Infrastructure - **2026 Outlook**: More opportunities than risks, with a focus on supply-side opportunities in airlines, tanker shipping, and express delivery, while container shipping faces oversupply concerns [1][2][3] Airlines - **Pricing Trends**: Pricing inflation resumed since October 2025, supported by supply-side constraints and demand recovery from business travel, outbound travel growth, and inbound travel [2][11] - **Demand Drivers**: Business travel recovery positively correlated with capital expenditure, and inbound travel expected to grow, benefiting airlines [2][21] - **Airlines' Up-Cycle**: Chinese airlines are in a multi-year supply-driven up-cycle, with margin upside if pricing performance exceeds expectations [2][11] - **Key Stocks**: Overweight ratings on Air China (0753.HK), China Eastern Airlines (0670.HK), China Southern Airlines (1055.HK), and Spring Airlines (601021.SS) [9][10] Shipping - **Tanker Market**: Increasing demand for compliant tankers due to geopolitical tensions, with limited new supply additions due to low capital expenditure over the past decade [3] - **Container Shipping Risks**: Remains conservative on container shipping due to oversupply concerns [3] - **Key Stocks**: Overweight on COSCO Shipping (1138.HK) and China Merchants Energy Shipping (601872.SS), underweight on COSCO Shipping Holdings (1919.HK) and Orient Overseas (0316.HK) [3] Airports - **Bargaining Power**: Airports are regaining bargaining power through duty-free contract renewals, breaking monopoly dynamics, and increasing shareholdings in duty-free operators [4][54] - **Duty-Free Spending**: Expected upside in duty-free spending with expanded product categories and higher offline sales [4][58] - **Key Stocks**: Equal-weight ratings on Shanghai International Airport (600009.SS), Hainan Meilan Airport (0357.HK), and Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (600004.SS), underweight on Beijing Capital International Airport (0694.HK) [53] Express Delivery - **Market Consolidation**: ZTO (ZTO.N) and YTO (600233.SS) are consolidating market share, leading to cost-efficiency gains and margin expansion [5] - **International Expansion**: J&T (1519.HK) expected to consolidate market share in overseas markets through e-commerce partnerships [5] Key Risks and Considerations - **Airlines**: Risks include faster-than-expected aircraft delivery, deterioration in travel demand, unfavorable RMB depreciation, and surging oil prices [52][51] - **Airports**: Continued underperformance in duty-free business due to weak consumption and competition from other channels [54][55] Conclusion - The transportation sector in Hong Kong/China is poised for growth in 2026, driven by supply-side opportunities in airlines and shipping, while airports are regaining power in duty-free operations. However, risks remain, particularly in container shipping and overall economic conditions.

Group 1: Aviation Industry - The aviation sector is expected to benefit from the anticipated appreciation of the RMB against the USD due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, leading to foreign exchange gains for airlines [1][2] - International crude oil prices are projected to decline in 2026, alleviating fuel cost pressures for airlines [1][2] - Limited capacity expansion for domestic airlines is attributed to engine issues, while economic growth is expected to drive structural growth in air travel demand, positively impacting ticket prices and airline profits [1][2] - Recommended stocks in the aviation sector include China Southern Airlines (600029), Spring Airlines (601021), and Huaxia Airlines (002928) [2] Group 2: Road Transportation Industry - The road transportation industry in China has entered a mature phase, with total expressway mileage surpassing that of the United States, making it the largest in the world as of 2024 [2] - With a slowdown in road construction investment and increasing pressure from expiring tolls, new regulations on toll road management may be introduced [2] - Future trends in the industry are expected to include renovation and expansion, mergers and acquisitions, and business diversification [2] - Recommended stock in the road transportation sector is Zhongyuan Expressway (600020) [2] Group 3: Shipping Industry - The global shipping industry is transitioning towards zero-emission energy, with green methanol emerging as a mainstream choice due to its mature technology and effective decarbonization performance [3] - As of November 2025, there are 252 renewable methanol projects tracked globally, with an expected total installed capacity of 45.1 million tons by 2030 [3] - The total installed capacity for all electro-methanol projects is projected to be 21.8 million tons, while bio-methanol projects are expected to reach 23.3 million tons by 2030 [3] - Recommended stocks in the shipping sector include CIMC Enric and COSCO Shipping International [3] Group 4: Dry Bulk Shipping - The focus has shifted from the increase in China's iron ore imports to the changes in the sources of iron ore imports, which are leading to longer transportation distances [3] - The increase in domestic alumina production and the strong growth trend in imports require ongoing attention [3] - Recommended stocks in the dry bulk shipping sector include China Merchants Energy Shipping (601872) and Haitong Development (603162) [3]

该行预期中国航空业政策顺风持续。假设政策具持续性，该行预期2026年国内航线票价将同比升1%至 3%，国内旅客量同比增长3%至4%，国际旅客量亦将维持双位数增长。 假设政策具持续性，该行预期2026年国内航线票价将同比升1%至3%，国内旅客量同比增长3%至4%， 国际旅客量亦将维持双位数增长。 该行对中国航空业持建设性看法; 予春秋航空(601021.SH)"买入"评级，目标价61.3元人民币;南方航空 (600029.SH)A股及中国南方航空股份(01055) H股则获"中性"评级，目标价分别为6.5元人民币及4.1港 元。 瑞银发布研报称，过去一年对中国航空业经历转型，主要受惠于根据地、航权及航班时刻等政策调整， 例如在、运力过剩及高铁竞争下，行业的国内运力投放有序，令票价逐步同比上调。另外，受补贴政策 改革影响，航空公司凭借其宽体机队优势，大幅扩展国际航点及航班频次。基于定价及运力优势，中国 航空公司正逐步建立相对于全球同行的竞争优势。 ...

Core Viewpoint - As of January 12, a total of 427 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have experienced net outflows of main funds for five consecutive days or more, indicating a significant trend of capital withdrawal from these stocks [1]. Group 1: Stocks with Longest Net Outflow - Anqi Yeast has the longest net outflow duration at 19 days, followed by Spring Airlines with 17 days [1]. - The largest total net outflow amount is from China Ping An, with a cumulative outflow of 7.961 billion yuan over five days [1]. - Industrial Fulian follows with a net outflow of 4.782 billion yuan over the same period [1]. Group 2: Stocks with Significant Net Outflow - The top stocks by net outflow amount include: - China Ping An: 7.961 billion yuan, 14.10% of trading volume, with a cumulative decline of 6.65% [1]. - Industrial Fulian: 4.782 billion yuan, 8.66% of trading volume, with a cumulative decline of 4.30% [1]. - Huadian Co.: 3.729 billion yuan, 15.05% of trading volume, with a cumulative decline of 8.99% [1]. Group 3: Stocks with Notable Price Changes - ST Tongmai has the highest percentage of net outflow relative to trading volume at 17.72% over the past 10 days [1]. - Other notable stocks with significant price changes include: - Anqi Yeast: 19 days of net outflow, with a cumulative increase of 7.92% [2]. - Spring Airlines: 17 days of net outflow, with a cumulative increase of 9.49% [3].

瑞银发布研报称，过去一年对中国航空业经历转型，主要受惠于根据地、航权及航班时刻等政策调整， 例如在消费降级、运力过剩及高铁竞争下，行业的国内运力投放有序，令票价逐步同比上调。另外，受 补贴政策改革影响，航空公司凭借其宽体机队优势，大幅扩展国际航点及航班频次。基于定价及运力优 势，中国航空公司正逐步建立相对于全球同行的竞争优势。 该行预期中国航空业政策顺风持续。假设政策具持续性，该行预期2026年国内航线票价将同比升1%至 3%，国内旅客量同比增长3%至4%，国际旅客量亦将维持双位数增长。 该行对中国航空业持建设性看法; 予春秋航空（601021）(601021.SH)"买入"评级，目标价61.3元人民币; 南方航空（600029）(600029.SH)A股及中国南方航空股份(01055) H股则获"中性"评级，目标价分别为 6.5元人民币及4.1港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The aviation and airport sector experienced a slight increase of 0.23% on January 12, with CITIC Offshore Helicopter leading the gains. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4165.29, up 1.09%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14366.91, up 1.75% [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - CITIC Offshore Helicopter (000099) closed at 22.36, up 4.24% with a trading volume of 401,400 shares and a transaction value of 886 million yuan [1]. - Xiamen Airport (600897) closed at 17.47, up 1.22% with a trading volume of 82,500 shares and a transaction value of 143 million yuan [1]. - China Eastern Airlines (600115) closed at 6.00, up 0.33% with a trading volume of 1,101,000 shares [1]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector saw a net outflow of 18.41 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 25.28 million yuan [2]. - Major stocks like Hainan Airlines (600221) experienced a net inflow of 77.03 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 49.07 million yuan from retail investors [3]. - Xiamen Airport (600897) had a net outflow of 9.17 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 469,890 yuan [3].