Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the steady growth in revenue and profit for Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank in the first three quarters of 2025, with a focus on the bank's income sources, loan and deposit growth, and asset quality improvements [1][2][3] Revenue and Profit Summary - In the first three quarters of 2025, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank achieved operating income of 21.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.7% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 10.7 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.7% [1] - Net interest income was 17.85 billion yuan, up 6.9% year-on-year, accounting for 82.6% of total operating income [1] - Net fee income decreased by 16.7% year-on-year, while other non-interest income fell by 22.7% [1] Loan and Deposit Growth - As of Q3 2025, total loans amounted to 777.97 billion yuan, representing an 8.8% year-on-year increase [2] - The breakdown of loans includes corporate loans at 418.73 billion yuan (up 17.1%), personal loans at 303.68 billion yuan (up 3.6%), and bills at 55.56 billion yuan (down 14.0%) [2] - Total deposits reached 1.03 trillion yuan, a 9.3% year-on-year increase, with corporate deposits at 141.4 billion yuan (up 15.8%) and personal deposits at 883.02 billion yuan (up 8.9%) [2] Asset Quality Improvement - The non-performing loan ratio stood at 1.12%, a decrease of 5 basis points from the previous quarter [2] - The provision coverage ratio improved to 364.82%, an increase of 9.24 percentage points [2] Investment Recommendations - The bank is projected to have a price-to-book ratio of 0.61X in 2025, 0.57X in 2026, and 0.53X in 2027 [3] - Revenue growth is forecasted at 0.6% in 2025, 1.8% in 2026, and 2.0% in 2027, with net profit growth of 5.4%, 4.8%, and 4.0% respectively [3] - Earnings per share are expected to be 1.07 yuan in 2025, 1.12 yuan in 2026, and 1.16 yuan in 2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]

Core Insights - The rural commercial bank sector experienced a slight increase of 0.03% on October 30, with Changshu Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3986.9, down 0.73%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13532.13, down 1.16% [1] Stock Performance - Changshu Bank (601128) closed at 7.04, up 1.73% with a trading volume of 1,123,500 shares and a transaction value of 800 million yuan [1] - Other notable performances include: - Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank (601077) at 6.88, up 0.29% [1] - Wuxi Bank (600908) at 6.06, up 0.17% [1] - Jiangyin Bank (002807) at 4.79, down 0.21% [1] - Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank (601825) at 8.49, down 0.35% [1] Capital Flow - The rural commercial bank sector saw a net outflow of 21.47 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 18.53 million yuan [1] - Specific capital flows for selected banks include: - Jiangyin Bank (002807) with a net outflow of 29.87 million yuan from institutional investors [2] - Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank (601077) with a net inflow of 19.57 million yuan from institutional investors [2] - Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank (601825) with a significant net outflow of 23.35 million yuan from institutional investors [2]

Core Insights - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (渝农商行) reported a slight increase in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with operating income at 21.658 billion yuan, up 0.67% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 10.694 billion yuan, up 3.74% year-on-year [2] - The bank's non-interest income, which had previously driven growth, saw a significant decline of 21% year-on-year, impacting overall revenue growth [2][6] - The bank's investment income decreased by 8% year-on-year to 3.495 billion yuan, with losses from fair value changes expanding to 807 million yuan [5][6] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank achieved operating income of 21.658 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.67% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 10.694 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.74% [2] - Non-interest net income for the bank was 3.808 billion yuan, down 21% year-on-year, with a quarterly decline observed: Q1 down 12%, Q2 down 20%, and Q3 down 34% [6] Non-Interest Income Analysis - The decline in non-interest income is attributed to a downturn in the bond market, with the bank's investment income falling by 8% year-on-year [4][6] - The bank's bond investments amounted to 514.5 billion yuan, representing 82% of its total financial investments, but faced challenges in the third quarter due to rising bond yields [4] - The bank's fair value losses increased significantly, indicating a challenging investment environment [5][6] Management and Governance - The bank's new chairman, Liu Xiaojun, has not yet received regulatory approval for his position, with the current president, Sui Jun, acting as chairman for over a year [7][8] - Liu Xiaojun has a strong background in finance, having held various positions in banking and trust companies prior to his current role [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company's performance continues to improve, with stable asset growth and a recovering net interest income contributing to revenue growth [5][11] - The net interest margin has stabilized, with a slight decrease of 1 basis point compared to the mid-year, and a 2 basis point decrease year-on-year, indicating a trend towards stability [6][11] - The company has seen a significant reduction in funding costs, with the deposit cost rate decreasing by 21 basis points year-on-year, which has positively impacted the net interest margin [6][11] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - The company's revenue growth has rebounded, with a year-on-year increase of 0.7% in operating income and a 3.7% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, although the latter has decreased by 0.9 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [5] - The net interest income growth rate is 6.9%, up by 0.9 percentage points from the first half of the year, primarily due to a significant narrowing of the net interest margin decline [5] Asset Growth - The company has maintained strong asset expansion momentum, with total asset growth increasing by 1.2 percentage points to 9.1% compared to the first half of the year [8] - Loan growth has also accelerated, with a year-on-year increase of 17.1%, and personal loans growing by 3.6% [8] Asset Quality - The company's non-performing loan ratio has decreased to 1.12%, down by 0.05 percentage points from the mid-year, indicating improved asset quality [10] - The provision coverage ratio stands at 364.82%, reflecting a strong ability to absorb potential losses [10] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the company will continue to benefit from regional economic vitality, with effective cost reductions in liabilities alleviating pressure on net interest margins and promoting stable performance growth [11] - The forecast for net profit growth for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 4.5%, 5.0%, and 6.3% respectively, with the current price corresponding to a price-to-book ratio of 0.54, 0.8, and 0.43 times [11]

Core Insights - The company reported a slight increase in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue reaching 21.658 billion and net profit at 10.694 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 0.67% and 3.74% respectively [1] - The non-performing loan ratio decreased to 1.12%, while the provision coverage ratio improved to 364.82% [1] Financial Performance - In Q3, the company's revenue experienced a significant decline, with a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7.98% and a year-on-year increase of only 1.1% [2] - The net profit for Q3 saw a quarter-on-quarter drop of 24.26% and a year-on-year increase of 1.53%, indicating a substantial decline in profitability [2] - The company's revenue and net profit have stagnated since 2019, with Q3 revenue dropping over 12% compared to its peak in 2021 [2] Income Sources - The net interest margin has further narrowed, with the net interest yield for the first three quarters at 1.59%, down 0.02 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The company's revenue growth is heavily reliant on regional economic vitality and credit expansion, which are currently constrained by macroeconomic pressures [4] - The company has not effectively developed its fee-based income, with traditional interest margin still dominating its revenue structure [4] Asset and Liability Management - The growth rate of loans is lagging behind the growth of total assets, with total assets increasing by 9.3% year-on-year, while customer loans and advances grew by only 8.92% [5] - The company's financial investment business is expanding slowly, with a mere 4.54% growth in financial investments compared to the end of the previous year [5] - The deposit structure is heavily weighted towards individual deposits, which account for 85.7% of total deposits, while corporate deposits are weak, limiting the bank's access to stable, low-cost funding [5] Strategic Challenges - The company's strategy of "leading in rural areas and catching up in urban areas" has not effectively overcome regional and business bottlenecks [6][7] - The business remains highly concentrated in the Chongqing area, facing intensified competition and limited growth opportunities due to a slowdown in regional economic growth [7] - There is a noticeable gap in the company's investment and output in emerging business areas compared to peers, hindering its ability to attract quality clients and expand high-yield businesses [7]

渝农商行（601077.SH）2025 年三季报点评 优于大市 规模扩张提速，资产质量稳健 营收利润稳健增长。公司 2025 年前三季度分别实现营收、归母净利润 216.58 亿元、106.94 亿元，分别同比增长 0.67%、3.74%，增速较上半年分别回升 0.20pct、下滑 0.89pct。其中三季度单季实现营收 69.17 亿元，同比增长 1.10%；实现归母净利润 29.95 亿元，同比增长 1.53%。公司 2025 年前三季 度年化加权 ROE14.48%，同比下降 0.40pct。从业绩增长归因来看，主要是 公司资产规模扩张及拨备反哺对业绩贡献较大，但在去年同期高基数上，其 他非息收入则显示为拖累项。 规模扩张提速。公司 2025 年 9 月末总资产同比增长 9.1%至 1.66 万亿元，环 比来看增速仍然提升。资产端，9 月末贷款（不含应计利息）同比增长 8.8% 至 7780 亿元。前三季度累计新增信贷 626 亿元，分项来看，对公/个人/票 据贷款分别投放 610/106/-90 亿元。三季度单季新增信贷 127 亿元，同比多 增 42 亿元，分项来看，对公/个人/票据贷款分别投放 2 ...

Core Points - The rural commercial bank sector experienced a decline of 1.59% on October 29, with Jiangyin Bank leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4016.33, up 0.7%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13691.38, up 1.95% [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Ruifeng Bank (601528) closed at 5.51 with no change in price [1] - Qingnong Commercial Bank (002958) closed at 3.21, down 0.93% [1] - Changshu Bank (601128) closed at 6.92, down 1.14% [1] - Sunong Bank (603323) closed at 5.17, down 1.34% [1] - Zijin Bank (601860) closed at 2.87, down 1.37% [1] - Yunnan Agricultural Commercial Bank (601077) closed at 6.86, down 1.44% [1] - Wuxi Bank (600908) closed at 6.05, down 1.47% [1] - Zhangjiagang Bank (002839) closed at 4.42, down 1.56% [1] - Shanghai Agricultural Commercial Bank (601825) closed at 8.52, down 2.07% [1] - Jiangyin Bank (002807) closed at 4.80, down 2.83% [1] Group 2: Capital Flow - The rural commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 78.64 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 10.52 million yuan [2] - Speculative funds had a net outflow of 68.12 million yuan [2]

农商行Ⅱ 详解渝农商行 2025 三季报： 存贷规模稳步增长，资产质量持续提升 渝农商行（601077.SH） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2025 年 10 月 29 日 | 评级： | 买入（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师：戴志锋 | | 营业收入（百万元） | 27,902 | 28,179 | 28,342 | 28,857 | 29,421 | | | | 增长率 yoy% | -3.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | | 执业证书编号：S0740517030004 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 10,900 | 11,513 | 12,134 | 12,721 | 13,230 | | Email：daizf@zts.com.cn | | 增长率 yoy% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | ...

Core Viewpoint - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank reported a slight increase in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating stable performance despite some declines in operational efficiency metrics [1][2]. Financial Performance - The bank achieved an operating income of 21.658 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.67% [1]. - Net interest income reached 17.850 billion yuan, growing by 6.88% compared to the previous year [1]. - Net profit for the first three quarters was 10.925 billion yuan, reflecting a 3.32% increase year-on-year [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 10.694 billion yuan, up 3.74% from the same period last year [1]. Operational Efficiency - The net interest margin was 1.59%, a decrease of 0.02 percentage points from the previous year, although the decline was narrower than the previous year's drop of 0.14 percentage points [1]. - The annualized average return on total assets was 0.92%, down 0.03 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The annualized weighted average return on equity was 10.86%, a decrease of 0.30 percentage points compared to the previous year [1]. Asset Quality - As of September 30, 2025, the bank's non-performing loan balance was 8.711 billion yuan, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.12%, down 0.06 percentage points from the end of the previous year [1]. - The provision coverage ratio stood at 364.82%, an increase of 1.38 percentage points from the end of the previous year [1]. Asset and Liability Growth - The total assets of the bank reached 1.66 trillion yuan, an increase of 140.869 billion yuan, representing a growth of 9.30% compared to the end of the previous year [2]. - Total liabilities amounted to 1.51 trillion yuan, increasing by 134.801 billion yuan, which is a growth of 9.76% from the previous year-end [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (601077) with a target price of 8.36 CNY / 7.60 HKD, compared to the current price of 6.96 CNY / 6.45 HKD [2]. Core Views - The bank's net interest margin has stabilized, and its risk compensation ability remains strong. The bank reported a 0.67% year-on-year increase in operating income for the first three quarters, reaching 21.658 billion CNY, and a 3.74% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, totaling 10.694 billion CNY [2]. - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio decreased by 5 basis points to 1.12%, while the provision coverage ratio increased by 9 percentage points to 365% [2]. - The bank's core revenue-generating capacity continues to improve, driven by net interest income, which grew by 8.7% year-on-year to 6.11 billion CNY in Q3 2025 [2][5]. - The bank's asset quality remains stable, with a slight increase in retail loan risks expected due to macroeconomic conditions [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the bank achieved operating income of 216.58 billion CNY, a year-on-year growth of 0.67%, and a net profit of 106.94 billion CNY, reflecting a 3.74% increase [2]. - The bank's total loans reached 777.973 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 8.75% [2]. - The bank's net interest margin for the first three quarters was 1.59%, showing a minor decline of 1 basis point from the first half of 2025 [2]. Asset Quality - The overall NPL ratio decreased to 1.12%, with a quarterly NPL net generation rate rising to 0.67% [2][8]. - The provision coverage ratio increased to 365%, indicating strong risk compensation capabilities [2][8]. Future Outlook - The bank is expected to benefit from strategic opportunities in the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle and the "33618" modern manufacturing cluster, which will support future performance growth [2]. - Revenue growth projections for 2025E-2027E are 1.5%, 4.5%, and 5.8% respectively, with net profit growth of 4.6%, 4.8%, and 5.3% [2][6].