Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company with a target price of 19 yuan for 2026 [2][8]. Core Views - The company experienced a decline in residential sales, with total revenue for the first nine months of 2025 at 34.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 33.34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.974 billion yuan, down 33.05% [2][8]. - The commercial operation revenue showed steady growth, with a total income of approximately 10.511 billion yuan for the first nine months of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.82% [8]. - The company has diversified its financing channels, with interest-bearing debt of approximately 52.3 billion yuan as of mid-2025, and a net debt ratio of 53.4% [8]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 88.999 billion yuan, 63.948 billion yuan, 57.387 billion yuan, and 54.139 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of -25.3%, -28.1%, -10.3%, and -5.7% [4][9]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 0.752 billion yuan in 2024A, decreasing to 0.637 billion yuan in 2025E, then increasing to 0.831 billion yuan in 2026E, and 0.952 billion yuan in 2027E, with growth rates of 2.1%, -15.4%, 30.5%, and 14.5% respectively [4][9]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.33 yuan in 2024A, 0.28 yuan in 2025E, 0.37 yuan in 2026E, and 0.42 yuan in 2027E [4][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Insights - The company is experiencing rapid growth in mall rental income, which is alleviating debt repayment pressure. The strategy of combining residential and commercial real estate is expected to drive long-term quality growth [6] - The company's financial performance shows a significant decline in revenue and profit, but the gross margin and recurring income are improving, indicating a potential for stable operations [6][8] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 88,999 million yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 25.3%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 752 million yuan, reflecting a slight increase of 2.1% [5] - For 2025, total revenue is estimated at 59,785 million yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 32.8%. The net profit is projected to be 945 million yuan, showing a recovery with a growth rate of 25.6% [5] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 19.8% in 2024 to 34.7% by 2027, indicating better cost management and profitability [5] Operational Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 344 billion yuan, down 33.3% year-on-year, with a net profit of 9.7 billion yuan, also down 33.0% [6] - The company’s mall rental income reached 105 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, up 11% year-on-year, with a target of 140 billion yuan for the full year [6] - The occupancy rate of malls is reported at 97.8%, showing a slight increase compared to the previous year [6] Debt and Financial Health - The company has seen a reduction in interest-bearing debt, with a total of 531 billion yuan, down 7.3% year-on-year. The debt repayment pressure is expected to decrease further in the coming years [6] - As of the end of Q3 2025, the company is classified in the yellow zone of the "three red lines" policy, indicating a manageable level of financial risk [6] Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on enhancing its commercial real estate portfolio to capture the growing consumer market, with a strategic emphasis on quality growth through effective management [6] - The increasing contribution of mall income and gross profit is expected to support the company's stable operations moving forward [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation of stock price appreciation exceeding 15% over the next six months [4][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 34.37 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 33.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 970 million yuan, also down 33.1% year-on-year [1][2]. - The decline in revenue and profit is primarily attributed to a decrease in the scale of development project turnover, while the sales price per square meter has shown a recovery, indicating a potential stabilization in the market [2]. - The company has successfully reduced its accounts payable pressure, with construction payables decreasing from 45.27 billion yuan at the beginning of the year to 38.39 billion yuan by Q3 2025 [2]. - The operational performance of the company's commercial properties, particularly the Wuyue Plaza, has shown a double-digit growth in rental income, reaching 9.81 billion yuan, up 10.8% year-on-year [2]. Financial Summary - The company is expected to benefit from government initiatives aimed at boosting consumption, stable profits from commercial real estate, and a gradual reduction in losses from residential development [4]. - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 63.21 billion yuan, 54.63 billion yuan, and 51.30 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 925 million yuan, 1.13 billion yuan, and 1.49 billion yuan [4]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for the next three years are projected to be 34.54x, 28.33x, and 21.53x, indicating a potential for valuation recovery [4]. Liquidity and Debt Management - The company has effectively eliminated liquidity risks, having issued two domestic notes and two USD bonds within the year, demonstrating a strong financing capability [3]. - The peak debt repayment period has passed, with only a small amount of debt maturing in late 2025, which further alleviates financial pressure [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][10] Core Views - The company has achieved double-digit growth in commercial operating income, with a high occupancy rate maintained [5][10] - Despite a year-on-year decline in revenue and profit for the third quarter, the commercial operating income shows steady growth, indicating a clear trend of recovery in profitability [6][10] - The company is expected to maintain its profit forecast, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 being 10.5 billion, 15.0 billion, and 17.5 billion respectively, and corresponding EPS of 0.67, 0.78 [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 343.71 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 33.34%, and a net profit of 9.74 billion, down 33.05% [6] - The overall gross margin improved to 25.6%, up 5.41 percentage points year-on-year, although it decreased by 1.25 percentage points compared to the mid-year report [6] - The total commercial operating income for September 2025 was 11.7 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.1%, with an average occupancy rate of 97.71% for the first nine months [7] - The company achieved a cumulative contract sales amount of 150.50 billion for the first nine months, with a sales area of 195.91 million square meters [8] Valuation Metrics - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 30.6, 21.3, and 18.3 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend [9][13] - The expected EPS for 2025 is 0.46, increasing to 0.67 in 2026 and 0.78 in 2027, reflecting anticipated growth in profitability [9][13]

Core Insights - New City Holdings (601155.SH) reported its Q3 2025 results, revealing that 46 institutional investors hold a total of 1.634 billion shares, accounting for 72.44% of the company's total share capital [1] - The top ten institutional investors collectively hold 71.40% of the shares, with a decrease of 1.18 percentage points compared to the previous quarter [1] Institutional Holdings - In the public fund sector, 9 funds increased their holdings, with a total increase ratio of 0.77%, while 20 funds decreased their holdings, with a total decrease ratio of 0.45% [2] - New public funds disclosed this quarter include 10 funds, while 289 funds did not disclose their holdings this quarter [2] Social Security Fund - Two new social security funds disclosed their holdings in New City Holdings, namely the National Social Security Fund 115 Portfolio and the National Social Security Fund 418 Portfolio [2] Foreign Investment - One foreign fund, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, reduced its holdings slightly compared to the previous quarter [2]

Core Viewpoint - New City Holdings is a prominent real estate company in China, focusing on real estate development and sales, with strong competitive advantages in the commercial real estate sector [1] Group 1: Business Performance - In Q3 2025, New City Holdings achieved a revenue of 34.371 billion, ranking 2nd in the industry, surpassing the industry average of 18.556 billion and the median of 9.162 billion [2] - The main business composition includes real estate development and sales at 15.168 billion, accounting for 68.63%, property leasing and management at 6.423 billion, accounting for 29.06%, and other supplementary income at 0.051 billion, accounting for 2.31% [2] - The net profit for Q3 2025 was 1.02 billion, ranking 3rd in the industry, higher than the industry average of -0.137 billion and the median of 0.038 billion [2] Group 2: Financial Ratios - As of Q3 2025, the asset-liability ratio for New City Holdings was 72.00%, a decrease from 75.45% year-on-year, but still above the industry average of 68.96% [3] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 25.60%, an increase from 20.19% year-on-year, and higher than the industry average of 22.73% [3] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders decreased by 12.34% to 43,200, while the average number of circulating A-shares held per household increased by 14.07% to 52,200 [5] - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited ranked fourth with 16.6308 million shares, a decrease of 701,400 shares compared to the previous period [5] Group 4: Commercial Operations - In the first three quarters of 2025, the total revenue from commercial operations was 10.51 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.8%, with Q3 revenue at 3.57 billion, up 9.0% [6] - The total occupancy rate of 177 leased properties remained high at 97.7% as of the end of Q3 [6] - The company successfully issued two domestic medium-term notes totaling 1.9 billion and repaid 1 billion in bonds in the domestic and overseas public markets, indicating stable financial conditions [6]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Xincheng Holdings (601155.SH) reported its Q3 2025 financial results, showing a revenue of 12.271 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 79.01 million yuan [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 61.9982 million yuan [1]

Core Viewpoint - New City Development (01030) announced that New City Holdings (601155.SH) reported a revenue of 34.371 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 33.34% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.974 billion yuan, down 33.05% year-on-year [1] - The basic earnings per share stood at 0.43 yuan [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025: 34.371 billion yuan, a decrease of 33.34% year-on-year [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders: 0.974 billion yuan, a decline of 33.05% year-on-year [1] - Basic earnings per share: 0.43 yuan [1]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示，概 不 對 因 本 公 告 全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責 任。 SEAZEN GROUP LIMITED 新城發展控股有限公司 （於 開 曼 群 島 註 冊 成 立 的 有 限 責 任 公 司） （股 份 代 號：1030） 海外監管公告 本公告乃由新城發展控股有限公司（「本公司」）根據香港聯合交易所有限公司 證券上市規則第13.10B條 而 作 出。茲 載 列 本 公 司 旗 下 一 間 於 上 海 證 券 交 易 所 上 市 的A股 附 屬 公 司，新 城 控 股 集 團 股 份 有 限 公 司（股 份 代 號：601155），在 上 海 證 券交易所網站(www.sse.com.cn)刊登的《新 城 控 股 集 團 股 份 有 限 公 司2025年第三季 度 報 告》，僅 供 參 閱。 承董事會命 新城發展控股有限公司 董事長 王曉松 中 國，2025年10月30日 於 本 公 告 日 期，董 事 包 括 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that New城控股 reported a significant decline in both revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue approximately 34.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 33.34%, and net profit around 974 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 33.05% [1] - As of the report date, New城控股 has a market capitalization of 32 billion yuan [2]