格隆汇10月30日｜兴业证券(601377.SH)发布2025年第三季度报告，第三季度营收为38.73亿元，同比增 长59.20%；净利润为11.91亿元，同比增长214.80%。前三季度营收为92.77亿元，同比增长39.96%；净 利润为25.21亿元，同比增长90.98%。业绩变动主要系三季度A股市场震荡上行，沪深两市股票基金交 易额同比显著放大，经纪业务和自营投资业务创收增加带动营业收入和净利润同比增长。 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ ...

证券代码：601377 证券简称：兴业证券 公告编号：临 2025-041 兴业证券股份有限公司关于召开 2025 年第三季度业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 会议召开时间：2025 年 11 月 24 日（星期一）16:00-17:00 投资者可于 2025 年 11 月 17 日（星期一）至 11 月 21 日（星期五）16:00 前登 录 上 证 路 演 中 心 网 站 首 页 点 击 " 提 问 预 征 集 " 栏 目 或 通 过 公 司 邮 箱 xyzqdmc@xyzq.com.cn 进行提问。公司将在说明会上对投资者普遍关注的问题进 行回答。 兴业证券股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 10 月 31 日发布公司 2025 年第三季度报告，为便于广大投资者更全面深入地了解公司 2025 年第三季 度经营成果、财务状况，公司计划于 2025 年 11 月 24 日（星期一）16:00-17:00 举行 2025 年第三季度业绩说明会，就投资者关心的问题进行 ...

Core Viewpoint - Company is undergoing a strategic transformation, resulting in a significant decline in revenue but showing signs of operational improvement in specific segments, particularly in industrial energy storage and data center businesses. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's revenue was approximately 5.911 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 24.80%, primarily due to a strategic reduction in the recycled lead segment, which saw a revenue drop of 2 billion [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately -220 million, compared to a profit of 247 million in the same period last year, indicating a significant loss primarily from the recycled lead segment [2] - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of approximately 860 million, an improvement of 1.58 billion compared to -720 million last year, reflecting a substantial operational performance improvement [2] Order Backlog - The company currently has an order backlog of approximately 8.9 billion, with large storage orders accounting for about 5.5 billion, including 4 billion from domestic and 1.5 billion from overseas [3] - Data center lithium battery orders are approximately 1.67 billion, all from overseas, while the company has also made significant progress in the consumer lithium battery market with an order backlog of about 380 million [3] Competitive Advantages - The company has secured multiple high-voltage lithium battery projects in the U.S. and other overseas markets, establishing itself as a key player in the data center sector [4] - The company has developed a third-generation high-voltage lithium battery product that addresses high energy density and safety concerns, enhancing its competitive edge in the market [4] Market Outlook - The company anticipates that the North American data center backup battery market demand will reach approximately 20 GWh next year, with global demand expected to be around 30 GWh, driven by explosive growth in computing power [5] Production Capacity - The company currently has a lithium battery cell production capacity of 10 GWh and a new energy storage integration capacity of 10 GWh, with ongoing expansions planned [7] Strategic Direction - The company aims to focus on customer needs and leverage technological innovation to build core competitiveness, with a dual-driven model of "technology research and market expansion" [13] - The company plans to continue prioritizing lithium batteries while advancing new energy storage solutions and maintaining a competitive edge in traditional businesses through differentiation [13]

Core Viewpoint - The aerospace industry has been elevated to a national strategic level, with the goal of becoming a "strong aerospace nation" being closely tied to the development of commercial aerospace [1] Group 1: Policy and Strategic Importance - The term "strong aerospace nation" is now mentioned alongside "manufacturing strong nation," indicating the strategic importance of the aerospace sector [1] - Achieving the goal of a "strong aerospace nation" will require the development of commercial aerospace, which will facilitate a shift from "task-driven" to "demand-driven" aerospace activities [1] Group 2: Industry Development and Opportunities - The commercial aerospace sector in China is currently at a breakthrough stage, with significant projects like the "Star Network" and "Thousand Sails" constellation already initiated [1] - The development of these constellations is expected to lead to a substantial acceleration in industry growth, particularly during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, with a notable increase in rocket launch frequency and satellite demand [1] - There are recommended business opportunities in the rocket launch and satellite manufacturing segments due to the anticipated growth in these areas [1]

Core Viewpoint - The current chemical industry in China is at a critical stage of transformation and upgrading, facing challenges such as structural overcapacity, weak demand, and declining profitability, but policies are guiding the industry's development [1] Group 1: Industry Challenges - The chemical industry is experiencing structural overcapacity [1] - There is a notable weakness in demand within the industry [1] - Profitability is on a downward trend [1] Group 2: Policy and Future Direction - Policies are providing clear direction for the development of the chemical industry [1] - Over the next five years, the industry aims to enhance global competitiveness through various strategies [1] - Key strategies include improving the self-control level of the industrial chain, promoting technological upgrades, enhancing quality and technical capabilities, and optimizing industrial layout [1] Group 3: Goals - The ultimate goal is to achieve industrial upgrading and rank among the top tier of global chemical industries [1]

Core Insights - The market experienced a rebound today, with the growth style sector leading the gains, as evidenced by the 1.7% increase in the Guozheng Growth 100 Index, marking its fourth consecutive day of gains [1] - Key stocks in the index included Honghe Technology, which hit the daily limit, Fujida rising over 14%, Dingtai High-Tech increasing over 12%, and Dazhu CNC up over 10% [1] - According to Industrial Securities, with the easing of U.S.-China trade tensions and strengthened expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, the most disruptive period may be gradually passing, and the "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to boost confidence and consensus, supporting a positive long-term narrative for the market [1] Industry Analysis - The Guozheng Growth 100 Index focuses on A-share stocks with prominent growth characteristics, closely aligned with the economic transformation, particularly in high-growth sectors such as electronics, communications, and computers [1] - Wind data indicates that the latest expected net profit growth rate for the index's constituent stocks is over 100% for 2025, highlighting significant performance potential [1] - Historically, the index has shown an annualized return of over 20% since its base date at the end of 2012, with returns exceeding 115% since the beginning of 2024 and over 55% year-to-date, outperforming similar style indices [1] - The Growth ETF (159259) is currently the only ETF product tracking the Guozheng Growth 100 Index, providing investors with an opportunity to capitalize on growth style investments [1]

Core Viewpoint - The securities sector is experiencing significant growth, with major brokerage firms reporting strong earnings and a favorable market environment, indicating a strategic investment opportunity in this industry [3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of October 29, 2025, the CSI Securities Company Pioneer Strategy Index rose by 2.47%, with notable gains from stocks such as Huazhong Securities (10% limit up), Northeast Securities (up 9.73%), and Changjiang Securities (up 4.98%) [1]. - The Securities ETF Pioneer has seen a 57.26% increase in net value over the past three years, with a maximum monthly return of 39.27% since its inception [3]. Group 2: Earnings and Valuation - For the first three quarters of 2025, 14 brokerage firms reported a combined net profit of approximately 46.726 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 46.42%, with three firms doubling their profits and eight firms showing growth between 50% and 100% [3]. - The latest price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) for the Securities ETF Pioneer is 19.78, indicating it is at a historical low, being below 80.8% of the time over the past year [3]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The capital market is expected to maintain a steady upward trend, providing a solid foundation for continued earnings growth in the brokerage sector [3]. - The current market conditions, including new account openings and the movement of household deposits, suggest that trading sentiment will remain high, further boosting brokerage business growth [4].

Core Insights - The Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) has released the information disclosure evaluation results for listed companies in the Shanghai market for 2024-2025, covering 30 listed securities firms [1][2] Group 1: Evaluation Results - 10 securities firms received an A rating, including CITIC Securities, Guojin Securities, and Huatai Securities [1] - 18 firms were rated B, such as Southwest Securities and China Galaxy Securities [1] - 2 firms received a C rating: Xiangcai Securities and Pacific Securities [2] Group 2: Importance of Information Disclosure - The SSE emphasizes that high-quality listed companies are essential for the stable development of the capital market and the healthy interaction between finance and the real economy [2] - Information disclosure quality is a significant indicator of a company's overall quality and has a substantial impact on investor decision-making [2] Group 3: Evaluation Criteria and Application - The evaluation results are based on the quality of information disclosure, compliance with operational standards, and protection of investor rights, categorized into four levels: A, B, C, and D [3] - The evaluation period spans from July 1 of the previous year to June 30 of the current year, with results influencing the review of refinancing and restructuring matters [3] Group 4: Regulatory Framework - The SSE and Shenzhen Stock Exchange have revised their self-regulatory guidelines to enhance information disclosure oversight and improve the investment value of listed companies [4] - The revised guidelines focus on strengthening information disclosure regulation, punishing financial fraud, and promoting cash dividend supervision [4]

Core Insights - The report indicates a significant increase in the allocation of active equity funds, with a quarter-over-quarter rise of 1.46 percentage points to 87.43% as of Q3 2025 [1][2][3] Fund Positioning - Active equity funds saw an increase in positions across various types: ordinary equity funds rose by 0.93 percentage points, mixed equity funds by 1.33 percentage points, and flexible allocation funds by 1.87 percentage points [1][3] - The allocation to the ChiNext board increased significantly by 4.70 percentage points to 23.7%, while the STAR Market allocation grew by 2.12 percentage points to 17.45%. Conversely, the main board allocation decreased by 6.71 percentage points to 58.51% [1][3] Sector Allocation - The sectors with the highest increases in allocation include electronics (+6.77 percentage points), telecommunications (+3.96 percentage points), and power equipment (+2.42 percentage points). The technology growth sector is identified as a key area for increased investment in Q3 [3] - The sectors with the largest reductions in allocation are banking (-3.05 percentage points), food and beverage (-1.81 percentage points), and home appliances (-1.62 percentage points) [3] Sub-sector Insights - In the secondary industry, the top sectors for increased allocation are communication equipment (+4.45 percentage points), consumer electronics (+3.09 percentage points), and semiconductors (+2.34 percentage points). The sectors with the largest reductions include white goods (-1.67 percentage points), city commercial banks (-1.45 percentage points), and liquor (-1.02 percentage points) [3] Individual Stock Movements - The stocks with the highest increases in allocation include Zhongji Xuchuang, Industrial Fulian, Xinyi Technology, Cambrian, and Luxshare Precision, with increases of 2.17, 2.03, 1.92, 0.91, and 0.63 percentage points respectively. The stocks with the largest decreases in allocation are China Merchants Bank, Kweichow Moutai, and Gree Electric Appliances [3] Hong Kong Market Insights - In the Hong Kong market, the allocation of active equity funds slightly decreased by 0.76 percentage points to 19.09%. The sectors with increased allocation include healthcare and materials, while reductions were seen in telecommunications, finance, and energy [1][3] - The stocks with the most significant increases in allocation in the Hong Kong market are Alibaba, SMIC, and Tencent, while Xiaomi was notably reduced [1][3]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.18% to close at 3996.94 points, with a daily high of 3999.07 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.51% to close at 13489.4 points, reaching a high of 13510.71 points [1] - The ChiNext Index saw a rise of 1.98%, closing at 3234.45 points, with a peak of 3241.95 points [1] ETF Market Performance - The median return for stock ETFs was 1.27%, with the highest return from the E Fund CSI 500 Enhanced Strategy ETF at 2.81% [2] - The Southern CSI 500 Information Technology ETF had the highest return among industry index ETFs at 3.61% [2] - The highest return in thematic ETFs was from the Huaxia CSI 5G Communication Theme ETF at 5.07% [2] ETF Gain and Loss Rankings - The top three performing ETFs were: - Huaxia CSI 5G Communication Theme ETF (5.07%) - Yinhua CSI 5G Communication Theme ETF (5.01%) - Bosera CSI 5G Industry 50 ETF (4.88%) [4] - The ETFs with the largest declines included: - Huaxia CSI Animation Game ETF (-1.77%) - Huatai-PB CSI Animation Game ETF (-1.57%) - Guotai Junan CSI Animation Game ETF (-1.51%) [4] ETF Fund Flows - The top three ETFs with the highest inflows were: - Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board 50 ETF (inflow of 984 million yuan) - Guolian An CSI All-Index Semiconductor Products and Equipment ETF (inflow of 618 million yuan) - Huaxia CSI A500 ETF (inflow of 551 million yuan) [6] - The ETFs with the largest outflows included: - Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF (outflow of 581 million yuan) - Bosera CSI Chengdu Economic Circle ETF (outflow of 527 million yuan) - GF ChiNext ETF (outflow of 487 million yuan) [6] ETF Margin Trading Overview - The top three ETFs by margin buying were: - Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board 50 ETF (855 million yuan) - Guotai Junan CSI All-Index Securities Company ETF (795 million yuan) - E Fund ChiNext ETF (561 million yuan) [8] - The ETFs with the highest margin selling included: - Southern CSI 500 ETF (71.43 million yuan) - Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF (28.52 million yuan) - Southern CSI 1000 ETF (18.36 million yuan) [8] Institutional Insights - Industrial chain research indicates a continuous increase in demand for 1.6T optical modules, with overseas clients raising their procurement plans for 2026 from 10 million to 20 million units due to the rapid growth in AI training and inference network bandwidth needs [9] - Guojin Securities expresses optimism regarding AI demand, recommending focus on companies benefiting from the AI computing power supply chain, particularly in AI-PCB and core hardware sectors [10][11]