Core Insights - The agricultural commercial bank sector experienced a rise of 0.59% on January 28, with Changshu Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4151.24, up by 0.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14342.9, up by 0.09% [1] Agricultural Commercial Bank Sector Performance - Changshu Bank (601128) closed at 7.34, with an increase of 2.23% and a trading volume of 733,900 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 537 million [1] - Zhangjiagang Bank (002839) closed at 4.52, up by 1.35%, with a trading volume of 333,700 shares and a transaction value of 150 million [1] - Yunnan Agricultural Commercial Bank (601077) closed at 6.21, increasing by 0.98%, with a trading volume of 868,000 shares and a transaction value of 541 million [1] - Other banks such as Wuxi Bank (600908), Jiangyin Bank (002807), and Zijin Bank (601860) also showed modest gains [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The agricultural commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 91.16 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 205 million [1] - Notable net inflows from individual stocks include Hu Agricultural Commercial Bank (601825) with 52.25 million from institutional investors and Zhangjiagang Bank (002839) with 13.01 million [2] - Conversely, Yunnan Agricultural Commercial Bank (601077) and Hu Agricultural Commercial Bank (601825) faced significant net outflows from retail investors, amounting to 88.16 million and 98.40 million respectively [2]

[Table_Page] 深度分析|银行 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 银行行业 一文纵览全国分省份财政社融特征 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： （5）地方债务：2024 年所有省份狭义赤字率平均为 16.4%，广义赤 字率平均为 20.0%，处于 2010 年来偏低水平；债务率平均为 357.0%， 2016 年来持续上行。 [Table_Grade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-01-28 [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 -10% -2% 6% 14% 22% 30% 01/25 04/25 06/25 09/25 11/25 01/26 银行 沪深300 | [分析师： Table_Author]倪军 | | | --- | --- | | | SAC 执证号：S0260518020004 | | | 021-38003646 | | | nijun@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： | 林虎 | | | SAC 执证号：S0260525040004 | | | SFC CE No. BWK411 | | | 021-38003643 ...

Core Viewpoint - The rural commercial bank sector experienced a decline of 0.47% on January 27, with Ruifeng Bank leading the drop, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.18% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.09% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The closing prices and changes for key rural commercial banks are as follows: - Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank (601077) closed at 6.15, up 0.33% - Qingnong Bank (002958) closed at 3.13, unchanged - Changshu Bank (601128) closed at 7.18, down 0.14% - Jiangyin Bank (002807) closed at 4.51, down 0.44% - Sunong Bank (603323) closed at 4.98, down 0.60% - Zhangjiagang Bank (002839) closed at 4.46, down 0.67% - Hunan Rural Commercial Bank (601825) closed at 8.32, down 0.95% - Wuxi Bank (600908) closed at 5.76, down 1.03% - Zijin Bank (601860) closed at 2.77, down 1.07% - Ruifeng Bank (601528) closed at 5.40, down 1.10% [1] Group 2: Capital Flow - The rural commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 88.29 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 112 million yuan [1] - The capital flow for individual banks is as follows: - Hunan Rural Commercial Bank (601825) had a net inflow of 31.55 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 54.50 million yuan from retail investors - Changshu Bank (601128) had a net inflow of 21.64 million yuan from institutional investors and a net inflow of 1.10 million yuan from retail investors - Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank (601077) had a net inflow of 18.99 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 2.01 million yuan from retail investors - Other banks like Jiangyin Bank (002807) and Zijin Bank (601860) also showed mixed capital flows [2]

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural commercial bank sector experienced a decline of 0.27% on January 26, with the Shanghai Agricultural Commercial Bank leading the drop. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4132.61, down 0.09%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14316.64, down 0.85% [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The closing prices and performance of key agricultural commercial banks are as follows: - Zijin Bank: Closed at 2.80, up 1.08% with a trading volume of 592,100 shares and a transaction value of 164 million yuan - Zhangjiagang Bank: Closed at 4.49, up 0.45% with a trading volume of 293,200 shares and a transaction value of 131 million yuan - Jiangyin Bank: Closed at 4.53, up 0.22% with a trading volume of 376,000 shares and a transaction value of 170 million yuan - Wuxi Bank: Closed at 5.82, up 0.17% with a trading volume of 169,700 shares and a transaction value of 98.42 million yuan - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank: Closed at 6.13, up 0.16% with a trading volume of 806,700 shares - Changshu Bank: Closed at 7.19, up 0.14% with a trading volume of 365,700 shares - Su Nong Bank: Closed at 5.01, down 0.20% with a trading volume of 246,100 shares - Qing Nong Bank: Closed at 3.13, down 0.32% with a trading volume of 643,900 shares - Ruifeng Bank: Closed at 5.46, down 0.55% with a trading volume of 200,900 shares - Shanghai Agricultural Commercial Bank: Closed at 8.40, down 1.06% with a trading volume of 377,700 shares [1] Group 2: Capital Flow - On that day, the agricultural commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 140 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 259 million yuan. The net inflow from speculative funds was 119 million yuan [1] - The detailed capital flow for specific banks is as follows: - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank: Net inflow of 43.43 million yuan from institutional investors, 26.47 million yuan from speculative funds, and a net outflow of 69.89 million yuan from retail investors - Shanghai Agricultural Commercial Bank: Net inflow of 36.54 million yuan from institutional investors, 29.93 million yuan from speculative funds, and a net outflow of 66.47 million yuan from retail investors - Changshu Bank: Net inflow of 22.25 million yuan from institutional investors, 10.94 million yuan from speculative funds, and a net outflow of 33.19 million yuan from retail investors - Jiangyin Bank: Net inflow of 11.74 million yuan from institutional investors, 8.70 million yuan from speculative funds, and a net outflow of 20.44 million yuan from retail investors - Ruifeng Bank: Net inflow of 9.70 million yuan from institutional investors, 8.78 million yuan from speculative funds, and a net outflow of 18.48 million yuan from retail investors [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of 127 regional banks in Jiangsu Province, highlighting their asset and liability structures, profitability, and asset quality [6][18] - Jiangsu's regional banks have shown a significant increase in asset growth, with major city commercial banks growing at 19.4%, surpassing the growth of listed city commercial banks at 14.2% [24][26] - The report indicates that the loan-to-asset ratio for city commercial banks is projected to reach 48.4% in 2024, reflecting a gradual increase in lending activities [30] - Jiangsu's regional banks exhibit better return on assets (ROA) compared to listed banks, with city commercial banks outperforming by 16 basis points and rural commercial banks by 9 basis points [6][42] - The asset quality of Jiangsu's regional banks is superior to that of listed banks, with lower non-performing loan ratios and higher provision coverage ratios [6][42] Summary by Sections 1. Economic Structure of Jiangsu Province - Jiangsu Province is focusing on new industrialization and strategic emerging industries, with significant contributions from cities like Nanjing and Suzhou [13][14] 2. Overview of 127 Regional Banks in Jiangsu - The report categorizes the banks into city commercial banks, rural commercial banks, and others, with a total of 127 banks established between 2006 and 2015 [18][20] 3. Asset/Liability Structure - The asset growth of major city commercial banks is accelerating, while rural commercial banks are experiencing a decline in growth rates [24][26] - The loan-to-asset ratio for city commercial banks is expected to increase to 48.4% by 2024, indicating a shift towards more lending [30] 4. Profitability - Jiangsu's regional banks have a higher ROA compared to listed banks, with city commercial banks showing a 16 basis point advantage [6][42] 5. Asset Quality/Capital Levels - Jiangsu's regional banks maintain a lower non-performing loan ratio compared to listed banks, with city commercial banks having a 30 basis point lower ratio [6][42]

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural commercial bank sector experienced a decline of 0.91% on January 23, with Changshu Bank leading the drop, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.33% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.79% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The closing price of Changshu Bank was 7.18, reflecting a decrease of 1.51% [1] - The sector's main stocks showed mixed performance, with XD Yunnong Bank increasing by 0.82% to 6.12, and Wuxi Bank decreasing by 0.17% to 5.81 [1] - The total trading volume for the agricultural commercial bank sector was significant, with XD Yunnong Bank recording a volume of 921,300 shares and a transaction value of 565 million [1] Group 2: Capital Flow - The agricultural commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 9.78 million from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 76.56 million [1] - Among individual banks, Shanghai Agricultural Commercial Bank had the highest net inflow from main funds at 26.90 million, while Changshu Bank faced a net outflow of 22.49 million [2] - Retail investors showed a significant net inflow into Qingnong Bank at 24.98 million, despite the bank experiencing a net outflow from main and speculative funds [2]

Core Viewpoint - The rural commercial bank sector experienced a rise of 0.58% on January 22, with Changshu Bank leading the gains, while the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index also saw slight increases [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4122.58, up 0.14% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14327.05, up 0.5% [1] - Changshu Bank's stock price increased by 1.96% to 7.29, with a trading volume of 631,600 shares and a transaction value of 457 million yuan [1] Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank's stock rose by 1.29% to 6.27, with a trading volume of 698,700 shares and a transaction value of 437 million yuan [1] - Jiangyin Bank's stock price increased by 0.67% to 4.52, with a trading volume of 258,400 shares and a transaction value of 117 million yuan [1] - Wuxi Bank's stock price rose by 0.34% to 5.82, with a trading volume of 123,800 shares and a transaction value of 72 million yuan [1] Group 3: Fund Flow Analysis - The rural commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 93.8 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 80.29 million yuan [1] - Yunnan Rural Commercial Bank had a main fund net inflow of 37.2 million yuan, but retail investors had a net outflow of 26.99 million yuan [2] - Changshu Bank experienced a main fund net inflow of 15.36 million yuan, with retail investors seeing a net inflow of 33.52 million yuan [2]

Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for all major banks analyzed, indicating a positive outlook for the banking sector [7]. Core Insights - The digital renminbi has entered its 2.0 era, transitioning from a central bank liability (M0) to a commercial bank liability (M1), allowing it to earn interest and be included in deposit insurance and reserve requirements [6][14]. - This transformation positions China as the first economy to offer interest on its central bank digital currency (CBDC), fundamentally altering its monetary attributes and creating a new financial paradigm in the digital economy [27]. - The digital renminbi's interest-bearing feature enhances user motivation to hold it, shifting its perception from a mere payment tool to a viable store of value, thus promoting its integration into everyday financial activities [27][28]. Summary by Sections 1. Digital Renminbi 2.0 Era - The digital renminbi (e-CNY) is now classified as a digital deposit currency, which can earn interest and is managed under a new regulatory framework [14]. - Major state-owned banks have begun offering interest on digital renminbi wallet balances, marking a significant shift in its utility and appeal [14][27]. 2. Development Progress and Application Status - The development of the digital renminbi began in 2014, with significant milestones including pilot tests in various cities and the establishment of a comprehensive operational framework by 2025 [32][33]. - As of November 2025, the digital renminbi has processed 34.8 billion transactions amounting to 16.7 trillion yuan, with extensive coverage across multiple provinces and cities [37]. 3. Global CBDC Development Trends - The report identifies three main trends in global CBDC development: active retail CBDC initiatives, innovation in payment systems, and cautious approaches in some countries like the U.S. [6]. - China's proactive stance in developing its CBDC positions it favorably in the global digital economy landscape, particularly in cross-border trade applications [30].

Core Viewpoint - The rural commercial bank sector experienced a decline of 1.32% on January 21, with the Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank leading the drop, while the overall Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.08% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4116.94, up 0.08%, and the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14255.12, up 0.7% [1] - The rural commercial bank sector saw various individual stock performances, with the following notable declines: - Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank: -1.83% - Changshu Bank: -1.38% - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank: -1.28% [1] Group 2: Trading Volume and Capital Flow - The total trading volume for the rural commercial bank sector was significant, with the following notable figures: - Jiangyin Bank: 32.52 million shares traded - Yunnan Bank: 69.28 million shares traded [1] - The net capital flow for the rural commercial bank sector showed a net inflow of 107 million yuan from institutional investors and a net inflow of 109 million yuan from retail investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 217 million yuan [1] Group 3: Individual Stock Capital Flow - The following stocks had notable capital flows: - Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank: 34.33 million yuan net inflow from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 62.48 million yuan from retail investors [2] - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank: 29.51 million yuan net inflow from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 38.80 million yuan from retail investors [2] - Zhangjiagang Bank: 18.05 million yuan net inflow from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 24.22 million yuan from retail investors [2]

Core Viewpoint - Ruifeng Bank has completed the registration of changes in its business scope and the filing of its revised articles of association, obtaining a new business license from the Zhejiang Provincial Market Supervision Administration [1][3][4] Group 1: Business Changes - The bank's extraordinary general meeting held on September 11, 2025, approved the proposal for changing its business scope and revising its articles of association [1][3] - Following the approval, Ruifeng Bank applied to the Shaoxing Regulatory Bureau of the National Financial Supervision Administration for the revision of its articles of association and received approval [4] - The bank's business scope now includes a new license for "public securities investment fund sales" in addition to its original "banking business" [4]