中国经济网北京11月18日讯海博思创(688411.SH)今日收报322.00元，跌幅10.86%。 11月16日，东吴证券股份有限公司研究员曾朵红、郭亚男、胡隽颖发布研报《海博思创(688411)：与宁 德签订3年200GWH电芯供应强强联合继续看好国内独储+海外突破逻辑！》称，维持25~27年盈利预 测，预计25~27年归母净利润分别为9.1/19.0/30.9亿元，同比+41%/+109%/+63%，对应PE75/36/22倍，维 持"买入"评级。 ...

东吴证券研报指出，恒铭达依托精密模切技术、精密金属加工等核心工艺平台，聚焦智能终端、数通与 算力基建、新能源三大战略领域。产品现已进入国内外知名品牌客户的供应链体系，持续助推智能终端 设备、通信及新能源产业的技术升级。公司在智能终端、数通与算力基建、新能源三大战略领域协同共 振，既分散单一赛道的周期风险，又能一站式满足不同客户的多维需求，在稳固既有份额的同时，开辟 出第二、第三增长曲线，为长期发展注入持续动能。同时，通过与知名品牌客户的紧密合作，公司持续 抬高技术、品质天花板，进一步夯实精密制造的护城河。此外，公司深度绑定头部客户，产品+客户双 轮驱动构筑可持续增长格局。公司消费电子板块受益AI浪潮，与头部客户深度合作，有望受益行业景 气度复苏及产品单机价值量提升。首次覆盖，给予"买入"评级。 ...

该行指，进口端印尼煤炭生产存在巨大弹性：印尼煤矿生产也均为露天煤矿，由于其热值较低，当市场 低迷的时候，低热值煤炭会被市场优先淘汰摒弃，因此成为中国煤炭供给的重要补充部分，2025年中国 预计煤炭进口量下降0.5-0.6亿吨，而印尼总出口量大约下降同等规模。 东吴证券发布研报称，受益于煤价在2025年二季度见底，煤炭上市公司业绩从三季度开始触底，预计未 来煤价相对稳定造就龙头公司持续盈利稳定。预期2026年上半年煤价震荡运行，且关注"能源安全"主题 投资机会，因此该行建议关注受益于"疆煤外运"逻辑产量有增长，且动力煤价格上涨带来业绩弹性的广 汇能源（600256）(600256.SH);其次建议关注昊华能源（601101）(600378.SH)，以及兖矿能源 （600188）(600188.SH)和陕西煤业（601225）(601225.SH)。 报告中称，2023年中以来，随着经济增速放缓，煤炭供需进入弱均衡状态，正常状态煤价在670-870元/ 吨之间区间震荡，煤价合理常态预期770元/吨左右水平。国内新疆煤炭成为供给补充弹性地区：新疆地 区的大规模露天煤矿产能，成为重要弹性供给部分。新疆准东地区由于运距 ...

近期，中信证券、中金公司、国泰海通证券、中信建投证券、华泰证券、东吴证券等多家头部券商陆续 发布2026年A股投资策略报告，"慢牛行情"成为市场一致预期。 2026年，盈利驱动将成为新主角，投资机会也将从2025年的科技"一骑绝尘"转向2026年的多主线。 当中信证券提出"角逐全球定价权"，东吴证券给出"2026年6月风格切换窗口"，中信建投预警"科技板块 结构性回调"，各家券商在慢牛共识之时，正为投资者描绘一条与今年截然不同的投资路径。 慢牛格局延续 自2024年9月24日政策组合拳出台后，A股市场进入新一轮牛市行情。2025年中国股票在全球市场中表 现优异，上证指数创出十年新高。 多家券商指出，2026年市场有望在慢牛格局中进一步演绎，但驱动力的切换将成为核心特征。 中信证券鲜明提出，A股将迈向"低波动慢牛"，"全球敞口"成为其研判2026年A股的核心变量。其报告 指出："A股不仅是中国的A股，也是全球的A股。"数据显示，当前高境外敞口企业贡献了全A非金融板 块39%的利润和35%的市值，足以撬动整体行情。中信证券认为，未来A股基本面需置于全球需求视角 下审视，中企在全球价值链中的份额优势正转化为定价权， ...

Core Viewpoint - The consensus among major securities firms is that the A-share market is expected to enter a "slow bull market" in 2026, with a shift in investment opportunities from technology dominance in 2025 to multiple main lines in 2026 [1][3][4] Market Outlook - Following the policy measures introduced on September 24, 2024, the A-share market has entered a new bull market, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a ten-year high in 2025 [2] - Securities firms predict that the market will continue to evolve within a slow bull framework, with a key feature being the shift in driving forces [3][4] Driving Forces - The driving force is expected to shift from "valuation repair" to "profit-driven" or "fundamental verification" in 2026 [4] - Estimates suggest that the overall profit growth for A-shares in 2026 could be around 4.7%, with many industries nearing performance improvement turning points [4] Investment Strategies - Major securities firms highlight three main investment lines: technology growth, Chinese enterprises going global, and cyclical resource products [9][11][13] - The technology growth sector remains a favored direction, with a focus on performance rather than concepts, particularly in application breakthroughs [10] - The trend of Chinese enterprises expanding internationally is seen as a significant configuration clue, with a focus on sectors like home appliances, engineering machinery, and electric grid equipment [12] Market Style Rotation - The potential for a style switch from "growth" to "value" around June 2026 is a focal point of discussion among securities firms [7][8] - The market is expected to trend towards a more balanced style, with cyclical industries approaching supply-demand equilibrium [8][6] Resource Products - Resource products are anticipated to become a new main line following technology, driven by global monetary easing and supply-demand gaps [13][14]

Core Viewpoint - The consensus among major securities firms is that the A-share market is expected to enter a "slow bull market" in 2026, with a shift in investment opportunities from technology dominance in 2025 to multiple main lines in 2026 [1][3]. Group 1: Market Outlook - The A-share market has entered a new bull market since the policy measures introduced on September 24, 2024, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a ten-year high in 2025 [2]. - Major securities firms predict that the market will continue to evolve within a slow bull framework, with a key characteristic being the shift in driving forces [3][4]. - CITIC Securities emphasizes that A-shares should be viewed from a global demand perspective, as Chinese companies' advantages in the global value chain are transforming into pricing power, forming the basis for a low-volatility slow bull market [3]. Group 2: Driving Forces - There is a general expectation among securities firms that the driving force for the market will shift from "valuation recovery" to "profit-driven" or "fundamental verification" in 2026 [4]. - CICC estimates that the overall profit growth for A-shares in 2026 could be around 4.7%, with many industries nearing performance improvement [4]. - Dongwu Securities notes that the overall revenue and profit growth for A-shares has ended a four-year downward cycle and is beginning to rebound, supported by economic reforms and improved supply-demand dynamics [4]. Group 3: Investment Styles - The debate among securities firms centers on whether the market style will shift from "growth" to "value" in 2026, with Dongwu Securities identifying June 2026 as a potential key time for this transition [6][7]. - CICC suggests that the market style may become more balanced, as many cyclical industries approach supply-demand equilibrium [8]. - Guotai Junan recommends maintaining a focus on technology while also considering previously underperforming sectors such as real estate and consumer goods during the bull market [8]. Group 4: Investment Themes - Securities firms highlight three main investment themes: technology growth, Chinese companies going global, and cyclical resource products [9][10]. - The technology growth sector remains a favored direction, with a shift in focus from concepts to performance, particularly in application breakthroughs [9]. - The trend of Chinese companies expanding internationally is seen as a significant opportunity, with recommendations to focus on sectors like home appliances, engineering machinery, and global pricing resources [10][11].

Core Points - The Beijing Stock Exchange (BSE) celebrated its fourth anniversary on November 15, with a total of 282 listed companies as of now, having raised a net amount of 51.05 billion yuan through initial public offerings (IPOs) [1] Group 1: Listing Statistics - In 2021, 79 companies were listed, followed by 83 in 2022, 77 in 2023, 23 in 2024, and 20 so far in 2025 [1] - The statistics exclude companies that have transferred to other exchanges, such as Guandian Defense, Taixiang Co., and Hanbo High-tech [1] Group 2: Underwriting Institutions Performance - A total of 60 underwriting institutions provided IPO sponsorship services for the 282 listed companies, resulting in 284 business transactions [2][6] - The top three underwriting institutions by the number of deals are: 1. CITIC Securities with 27 deals 2. Shenwan Hongyuan with 23 deals 3. Dongwu Securities with 16 deals [2] Group 3: Legal Services Performance - 79 law firms provided legal services for the IPOs of the 282 listed companies [6] - The top three law firms by the number of deals are: 1. Shanghai Jintiancheng with 40 deals 2. Beijing Zhonglun with 20 deals 3. Beijing Deheng and Beijing Kangda, each with 16 deals [6][7] Group 4: Accounting Firms Performance - 32 accounting firms provided auditing services for the IPOs of the 282 listed companies [12] - The top three accounting firms by the number of deals are: 1. Tianjian with 43 deals 2. Lixin with 35 deals 3. Rongcheng with 31 deals [12][13]

Group 1: Solid-State Battery Equipment - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is currently conducting a mid-term review, and it is expected that leading manufacturers will soon initiate equipment bidding for pilot production lines [1][2] - Solid-state batteries are still in the pilot production stage, primarily utilizing hundred-megawatt-level pilot lines, with dry processing technology as the main focus, creating new demand for equipment [2] - Investment recommendations include solid-state battery equipment suppliers such as XianDao Intelligent, laser welding equipment manufacturers like LianYing Laser, and others [2] Group 2: Gas Turbine Market - The expansion of AI data centers is driving an increase in electricity demand, necessitating reliable and stable power sources [3] - Major players in the global gas turbine market include Siemens, GE, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, and Caterpillar, with significant potential for domestic brand substitution [3] - Companies such as Jereh, Haomai Technology, Yingliu, and Liande are highlighted as beneficiaries of this trend due to their existing partnerships and product offerings [3] Group 3: Liquid Cooling Technology - AI computing capital expenditures (CAPEX) are accelerating, with significant growth expected in the shipment of GB200/300 racks [4] - Liquid cooling technology is essential for addressing heat dissipation challenges in data centers, offering advantages such as low energy consumption and reduced total cost of ownership (TCO) [4] - The domestic supply chain is gradually entering the market, with companies like Yingwei and Hongsheng being recommended for their roles in liquid cooling solutions [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongwu Securities indicates that the A-share market is entering a new bull market, with growth style leading the way and small-cap indices outperforming large-cap indices. A potential shift from "growth to value" is expected around June 2026, influenced by industry trends and liquidity conditions [1][2]. Industry Trends - The absence of blockbuster AI applications in the first half of the year, combined with liquidity pressure from a strengthening dollar in the second half, may lead to a cautious market sentiment and a mid-term adjustment for AI stocks [3]. - The "15th Five-Year Plan" starting in 2026 is expected to reinforce policies centered on technological innovation and modern industrial systems, becoming a focal point for the market in the first half of the year [3]. Market Dynamics - The transition from growth to value style is closely tied to industry and liquidity turning points. A weak dollar trend may attract previously overseas capital back to the domestic market, creating a multiplier effect that supports the economy [2]. - The report anticipates that the dollar may weaken in the first half of 2026, with a potential turning point around June, as global liquidity conditions remain favorable [2]. Profitability Analysis - A rebound in overall revenue and profit growth for A-shares is expected, ending a four-year decline since 2021. This is attributed to improved supply-demand dynamics and the deepening of market reforms [4]. - The stabilization of Return on Equity (ROE) is linked to the rebalancing of supply and demand, with expectations of improved corporate profits as anti-involution policies take effect [4]. Investment Strategy - The investment strategy emphasizes "technology and security" and "reform and growth." Key areas include AI technology, resource security, and sectors benefiting from geopolitical dynamics [5][6]. - The report highlights the importance of focusing on sectors with improving supply-demand structures, such as lithium battery materials and traditional industries with price recovery potential [6][7]. Consumer Trends - There is an increasing necessity for policy support for service consumption and non-durable goods, with a focus on sectors like travel, hospitality, and essential consumer products expected to see improved sentiment in 2026 [7].

现金流与资产负债方面，经营性现金流表现改善，杠杆率基本稳定 (1)2025Q3基建地产链样本上市公司经营活动产生的现金流量净额为926.9 亿元，同比+143.8%，其中建 筑、建材行业经营活动产生的现金流量净额分别为754.8、172.1亿元，同比分别+278.4%、-4.8%，其中 基建房建、国际工程子行业明显改善，反映现金流管控的成效。 智通财经APP获悉，东吴证券发布研报称，2025年Q3基建地产链需求依然疲弱，行业整体盈利持续承 压。尽管营业收入降幅有所收窄，且经营性现金流显著改善，但归母净利润下滑幅度扩大，销售净率仍 处于低位，反映出终端需求不足下的激烈市场竞争。大宗周期类子行业(如水泥、玻璃玻纤)受益于价格 因素有所回暖，而建筑及部分工程类子行业则成为主要拖累。同时，应收账款周转效率放缓，表明资金 回笼压力仍在。 东吴证券主要观点如下： 利润方面营收降幅收窄，但盈利仍然承压 (1)基建地产链需求持续承压下，上市公司 2025Q3 营收延续下降态势，但降幅收窄。2025Q3基建地产 链样本上市公司整体营业收入同比 4.5%，增速环比2025Q2 变动+1.1pct。其中建筑、建材行业2025Q3 ...