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研报掘金丨东吴证券:维持先导智能“买入”评级,交付多条固态电池干法成膜设备
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-09-18 07:31
Core Viewpoint - Recent deliveries of dry mixing coating equipment for solid-state battery production by XianDao Intelligent to various well-known battery manufacturers and automotive OEMs indicate a significant advancement in the solid-state battery sector, with potential cost and energy savings [1] Group 1: Equipment Performance - The dry mixing coating system from XianDao Intelligent can reduce production energy consumption by over 35% and decrease overall material and manufacturing costs by more than 15% [1] - The system features high compatibility, accommodating various electrode materials including graphite/silicon-carbon anodes and ternary/lithium iron phosphate cathodes [1] - The innovative variable roller diameter heating system saves 60% energy compared to oil heating solutions, while the temperature control in the fiberization segment further reduces energy consumption by approximately 50% [1] Group 2: Production Process and Future Outlook - XianDao Intelligent has established a comprehensive equipment layout covering the entire solid-state battery production process, positioning itself to benefit from the rising demand for solid-state battery equipment [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is expected to conduct a mid-term review of the project by the end of 2025, with the main challenges in solid-state battery manufacturing anticipated to be addressed during the critical period of 2025-2026 [1] - Continuous iteration and optimization of equipment are expected as the industry moves towards pilot production lines [1]
东吴证券:维持先导智能“买入”评级,交付多条固态电池干法成膜设备
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 07:24
Core Viewpoint - Recent deliveries of dry mixing coating equipment for solid-state battery production by XianDao Intelligent to various well-known battery manufacturers and automotive OEMs indicate a significant advancement in the solid-state battery sector, with potential for reduced production costs and energy consumption [1] Group 1: Equipment Performance - XianDao Intelligent's dry mixing coating system can reduce production energy consumption by over 35% and decrease overall material and manufacturing costs by more than 15% [1] - The system features high compatibility, accommodating various electrode materials including graphite/silicon-carbon anodes and ternary/lithium iron phosphate cathodes [1] - The innovative variable roller diameter heating system saves 60% energy compared to oil heating solutions, while the three-stage temperature control in the fiberization segment further reduces energy consumption by approximately 50% [1] Group 2: Precision and Control - The equipment ensures micron-level stability in feeding, roller width, and belt movement, with a blade-roller distance controlled at the micrometer level and roller gap adjustment precision of ±1μm [1] - This high precision is crucial for maintaining dynamic balance in wide roller gaps, enhancing the overall production quality [1] Group 3: Market Outlook - XianDao Intelligent has established a comprehensive equipment layout covering the entire solid-state battery production process, positioning itself to benefit from the anticipated increase in both volume and price of solid-state battery equipment [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's project is expected to undergo a mid-term review by the end of 2025, with the manufacturing challenges of solid-state batteries projected to reach a critical phase between 2025 and 2026 [1] - Continuous iteration and optimization of equipment are expected during this key period [1]
东吴证券:储能电池需求持续性超预期 全面看好电池板块
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 01:46
经营对比:龙头各项指标全方位领先,二线企业底部改善明显 为满足本土化配套,宁德、亿纬等二线厂商纷纷加速欧洲和东南亚产能布局,配套海外客户,价格和盈 利较国内市场具备溢价,预计26-27年海外产能密集投放。技术上,储能电芯大电芯化,同时重视稳定 性、循环寿命等性能,且独立储能追求irr,龙头电芯稳定性强,同等情况下irr可高6-8pct,预计份额可 持续提升;动力将继续CTP,并提升快充、低温等性能。此外,厂商全面布局固态新技术,龙头引领, 二线追随,预计27年小批量、30年大规模量产。 25Q2电池占产业链利润42%,尽管宁德时代(300750)利润确认极其保守,但贡献电池利润最高。出 货端,龙头全球份额保持稳定,产能利用率打满,订单外溢至二三线,因此二三线销量25H1增速高。 价格端,动储价格底部已企稳,宁德受益于产品和客户结构,均价高于同行。盈利端,动力电池整体盈 利水平较好,二线毛利率普遍15-20%,同比改善明显;储能盈利低位,二线储能毛利率10-12%,而宁德 时代盈利仍维持高水平,在保守确认情况下,单wh毛利较二线厂商高0.08-0.1元,单wh利润高0.06-0.08 元。从财务指标看,25H1 ...
东吴证券:黄金短期或存在回调风险
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 00:07
Core Viewpoint - The long-term bullish logic for gold remains intact, but there may be short-term pullback risks due to overbought conditions in the market [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - Gold is currently at an overbought level, with a 14-day RSI reaching 78, which is at a percentile level exceeding 90% over the past decade [1] - This overbought condition suggests that some investors may take profits and exit the market [1] Group 2: Trading Dynamics - Despite the extreme RSI readings, global ETF flows, as well as spot and futures positions, do not exhibit the same level of enthusiasm [1] - There are concerns that the short-term trading in gold may be overheated, indicating potential for a price correction [1]
东吴证券:市场已充分定价3次的降息次数 降息并不一定导致美元大幅走弱
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 00:07
东吴证券研报称,市场已充分定价3次的降息次数,全年降息次数没有进一步上调空间。因为就业的疲 软,市场对美国经济产生悲观态度,不过从领先指标来看,美国经济已有"复苏"迹象,如果经济超预期 上行,降息预期会进一步收敛。降息并不一定导致美元大幅走弱。从历史复盘的角度看,预防式降息导 致美元在一周后平均下跌,且跌幅相对较多(-0.91%),但一个月内跌幅收窄并转为上涨,未来三个月 和六个月平均上涨0.84%、2.02%。 ...
东吴证券-先导智能-300450-交付多条固态电池干法成膜设备,龙头强者恒强-250917
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-17 21:11
Core Viewpoint - Recently, the company has delivered multiple sets of dry mixing coating equipment for solid-state battery production lines to various well-known domestic and international battery manufacturers and automotive OEMs, indicating a significant advancement in solid-state battery technology and production capabilities [1] Group 1: Equipment Delivery and Production Cost Reduction - The GWh-level dry film forming equipment can significantly reduce overall production costs by over 15% [1] - The delivered equipment is a mass production type integrated dry mixing coating system, covering all processes including controlled feeding, film formation, thinning, current collector compounding, and quality inspection [1] - The company has established a comprehensive equipment layout covering the entire solid-state battery production process, positioning itself to benefit from the rising volume and price of solid-state battery equipment [1] Group 2: Industry Policy and Application Acceleration - On the policy front, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued a standard system for all-solid-state batteries in April 2025, with a prior investment of 6 billion in dedicated R&D funds [1] - On the application front, terminal road tests and pilot trials by leading battery manufacturers are gradually progressing, indicating an acceleration in the industrialization of solid-state batteries [1] Group 3: Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company maintains its forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 at 1.5 billion, 2 billion, and 2.5 billion respectively [1] - The current stock price corresponds to dynamic P/E ratios of 56, 42, and 35 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on these projections [1]
东吴证券:黄金,短期见顶了吗?
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-09-17 11:28
截至 2025年9月15日,黄金快速上涨至 3674 美元/盎司,首次突破1980年通胀调整峰值。其主要原因是美国就业疲软,市场担忧美国经济基本 面,交易"低增长+高通胀"的滞胀逻辑,并提高了美联储降息的预期,叠加特朗普频繁施压美联储换人,市场质疑美联储政策的独立性。 一、我们认为虽然黄金长牛的逻辑仍在,但短期或存在回调风险。从交易指标上看: 1、黄金处在超买水平,波动可能加大。当前黄金14日RSI达78,已经超买至近10年超90%的分位水平,意味着或有部分止盈兑现离场。更重要的 是,相较于表现更为极致的RSI,全球ETF流量、现货和期货持仓等并没那么热。所以我们担心黄金交易短期过热,存在回调风险。 2、黄金ETF的资金流并未形成一致性趋势。从区域来看,近一个月,美国黄金 ETF 流入量较大,中国反而在流出。美国前三大黄金 ETF共流入 约 3670 亿美元,中国两只黄金 ETF 合计流出超 265 亿美元,成为全球唯一显著减持区域。从机构与散户行为来看,散户在边际增持黄金机构则 边际减持黄金。 4、Comex 黄金投机性净多头仓位回落。根据美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC),投机性黄金净多头头寸快速下降,机 ...
事关智能网联汽车辅助驾驶,工信部公开征求意见!汽车智能化拐点之年来临?
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-09-17 07:09
最新数据显示,今年1—7月,我国具备组合驾驶辅助系统的乘用车新车销量为775.99万辆,同比增长21.31%,渗透率升至62.58%。组合驾驶辅助系统的规模 化应用为产业发展注入了新动能,但也存在着产品性能缺乏统一基线等问题。专家表示,标准对智能网联汽车的行车安全提出更高要求,计划明年正式发 布。 相关阅读 此前,工银瑞信基金指出,除了智驾政策有望不断带来催化,当前高端智能化配置加速上车,10-20万价格、具有城市NOA功能的车型渗透率有望加速,或 带动智能化产业进程,高阶智驾有望迈过导入期,进入快速渗透期。行业智能化加速发展带来的智驾渗透率提升也有望带动零部件企业智能化进程,从而带 来更大的价值增量。 东吴证券发布研报称,2025年汽车智能化或是拐点之年。城市NOA(L3智能化核心体验)普及是推动智能化成为消费者购车前三考虑因素的力量。目前根 据"引领车企新车周期—终端草根调研—爆款车型验证"体系将紧密跟踪"L3智能化渗透率"2025-2027年从10%-50%-80%+的变化过程。整车未来或分为三类公 司: B端Robotaxi运营+ C端个性化品牌+整车高端制造。建议关注VLA/下一代智驾架构上车及渗透 ...
瑞可达不超10亿元可转债获上交所通过 东吴证券建功
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-09-17 03:04
Core Viewpoint - The company Ruikeda (688800.SH) has received approval from the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Listing Review Committee for its application to issue convertible bonds to unspecified investors, pending further approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) [1][3]. Group 1: Convertible Bond Issuance - The company plans to issue convertible bonds with a total fundraising amount not exceeding 100 million yuan, which will be allocated to projects including the upgrade of high-frequency and high-speed connection systems and smart energy connection systems, as well as to supplement working capital [3][4]. - The total investment for the high-frequency and high-speed connection system upgrade project is approximately 66.91 million yuan, while the smart energy connection system upgrade project is estimated at 27.92 million yuan [4]. - The bonds will be convertible into the company's A-shares and will be listed on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board of the Shanghai Stock Exchange [4]. Group 2: Shareholder Rights and Management - Existing shareholders will have priority in the subscription of the convertible bonds, with the specific allocation ratio to be determined by the board of directors based on market conditions [5]. - The controlling shareholder and actual controller of the company is Wu Shijun, who holds a combined 29.46% stake in the company as of March 31, 2025 [6].
市场交投活跃 上市券商上半年业绩增长
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-09-17 00:44
Overall Performance Growth - The overall performance of listed securities firms in the first half of 2025 showed significant growth, with total revenue reaching 251.87 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.8%, and net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 104.02 billion yuan, up 65.08% [2] - Leading firms like CITIC Securities, Guotai Junan, Huatai Securities, and GF Securities reported revenues exceeding 10 billion yuan, indicating a strong competitive landscape [2][3] - CITIC Securities maintained its industry leadership with a revenue of 33.04 billion yuan, a growth of 20.44%, and a net profit of 13.72 billion yuan, up 29.8% [2] Small and Medium-sized Firms' Performance - Small and medium-sized securities firms demonstrated impressive growth, with companies like Dongbei Securities and Guojin Securities reporting net profit growth exceeding 100% [3] - Dongbei Securities achieved a revenue of 2.05 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.66%, and a net profit of 431 million yuan, up 225.9% [3] - The recovery of the market environment was cited as a key factor for this growth, with increased financing activities in both primary and secondary markets [3] Business Segment Performance - Proprietary trading remained the primary growth driver, with total proprietary income for 42 listed firms reaching 112.35 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 53% [5] - Brokerage business also contributed significantly, with CITIC Securities leading with brokerage income of 6.40 billion yuan, followed by Guotai Junan and GF Securities [6] - Investment banking revenue for the first half of the year reached 15.53 billion yuan, reflecting an 18% year-on-year growth, driven by improved equity financing conditions [7] Mergers and Acquisitions - The pace of mergers and acquisitions in the securities industry has accelerated, with notable combinations such as Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities [8] - The integration of resources through mergers is becoming a catalyst for transformation and growth among securities firms [8][9] - The regulatory environment is supportive of mergers, which may lead to significant changes in industry dynamics and increased competitiveness [9][10] Future Outlook - The securities industry is expected to maintain a positive growth trajectory, supported by capital market reforms and increased market activity [1][4] - Analysts express optimism regarding the potential for continued improvement in return on equity (ROE) and valuation levels for securities firms [10]