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研报掘金丨东吴证券:维持五粮液“买入”评级,短期大力去库有利于夯实长期发展基础
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-11-03 08:35
东吴证券研报指出,五粮液25Q1~3归母净利215.11亿元,同比-13.72%;25Q3归母净利20.19亿元,同 比-65.62%。报表压力加速释放,渠道变革持续推进。面对白酒行业深度调整,公司以巩固自身发展的 确定性应对外部环境的不确定性。当前面临外部环境带来的需求压力,期待公司着眼长期,充分发挥专 营公司体制优势,探索与企业团购客户合作共赢的跨界营销新模式,聚焦资源开发新需求、新场景。参 考2025年三季报情况,考虑高端需求复苏进程相对缓和,且公司加大去库出清力度,考虑公司短期大力 去库有利于夯实长期发展基础,且中长期利润中枢有望较当前值实现一定修复,维持"买入"评级。 ...
研报掘金丨东吴证券:维持酒鬼酒“增持”评级,后续收入有望逐步企稳修复
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-11-03 08:35
格隆汇11月3日|东吴证券研报指出,酒鬼酒25Q1~3实现归母净利-0.1亿元,同比-117.4%;25Q3实现归 母净利-0.2亿元,同比+70.9%。"自由爱"贡献增量,营收边际企稳。25Q3酒鬼酒联名胖东来推出新 品"酒鬼·自由爱",以极致"透明主义"深化胖东来"渠道信任资产",激发2C动销活力,产品Q3上市首单 发货已基本完成销售。此外,公司成立专班对接中粮体系、中石油/石化体系团购需求,亦有一定汇量 贡献。公司2025年构建"2+2+2"产品布局,强化终端、团购等多渠道建设。公司核心点状市场销售体量 环比趋稳,在新兴渠道增量贡献下,后续收入有望逐步企稳修复,利润弹性则有待收入体量充分拉升后 体现。维持"增持"评级。 ...
东吴证券:维持五粮液“买入”评级,短期大力去库有利于夯实长期发展基础
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 08:27
Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities report indicates that Wuliangye's net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1-Q3 of 2025 is 21.511 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.72%, with Q3 net profit at 2.019 billion yuan, down 65.62% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Wuliangye's financial statements show significant pressure, with a notable decline in net profit for both the first three quarters and the third quarter of 2025 [1] - The company is facing external demand pressure due to a deep adjustment in the liquor industry [1] Group 2: Strategic Response - In response to external uncertainties, the company aims to consolidate its development certainty and is actively pursuing channel transformation [1] - Wuliangye is exploring new cross-border marketing models in collaboration with corporate group purchasing clients, focusing on resource development for new demands and scenarios [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Considering the relatively slow recovery of high-end demand and the company's increased efforts in inventory clearance, there is potential for a certain degree of profit recovery in the medium to long term [1] - The report maintains a "buy" rating, suggesting that the company's short-term inventory clearance efforts will help solidify its long-term development foundation [1]
上海洗霸跌9.48% 东吴证券昨日刚喊买入就跌
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-11-03 08:17
中国经济网北京11月3日讯 上海洗霸(603200.SH)今日收报82.04元,跌幅9.48%。 东吴证券股份有限公司研究员曾朵红、袁理、阮巧燕、朱家佟11月2日发表研报《上海洗霸 (603200)2025年三季报点评:水处理主业经营稳健 硫化锂产能持续扩张》,给予公司维持"买入"评级。 (责任编辑:魏京婷) ...
从微观出发的风格轮动月度跟踪-20251103
Soochow Securities· 2025-11-03 05:04
Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Style Rotation Model - **Model Construction Idea**: The model is built from basic style factors such as valuation, market capitalization, volatility, and momentum, gradually constructing a style timing and scoring system[4][9] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Construct 640 micro features based on 80 basic micro indicators[9] 2. Use common indices as style stock pools to replace the absolute proportion division of style factors, constructing new style returns as labels[4][9] 3. Use a random forest model for style timing and obtain the current score for each style[4][9] 4. Integrate the timing results and scoring results to construct a monthly frequency style rotation model[4][9] - **Model Evaluation**: The model effectively avoids overfitting risks through rolling training of the random forest model and constructs a comprehensive framework from style timing to style scoring and from style scoring to actual investment[9] Model Backtesting Results 1. **Style Rotation Model**: - Annualized Return: 16.18%[10][11] - Volatility: 20.28%[10][11] - Information Ratio (IR): 0.80[10][11] - Win Rate: 59.43%[10][11] - Maximum Drawdown: 25.20%[11] 2. **Market Benchmark (Hedged)**: - Annualized Return: 10.36%[10][11] - Volatility: 10.85%[10][11] - Information Ratio (IR): 0.95[10][11] - Win Rate: 54.72%[10][11] - Maximum Drawdown: 8.53%[11]
IPO月报|第一创业投行前十月承销“颗粒无收” 持续督导未勤勉尽责遭立案
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-11-03 03:57
Core Insights - In October, 10 A-share IPO companies were reviewed and all were approved, marking a significant achievement for the IPO market [1] - The number of terminated IPOs in October was only 2, the lowest this year, indicating a positive trend in the IPO process [2] - A total of 9 companies successfully completed their IPOs in October, raising a combined total of 12.869 billion yuan [1][8] IPO Termination - The two companies that terminated their IPO processes in October were Beijing Kunlun Unicom Technology Development Co., Ltd. and Zhuzhou Keno New Materials Co., Ltd. [2][4] - Kunlun Unicom faced scrutiny regarding the authenticity of its revenue and customer relationships during its IPO applications [3][4] - Zhuzhou Keno's application raised questions about its innovation attributes, with its R&D investment being just above the minimum requirement [5] Successful IPOs - In October, 9 companies raised a total of 12.869 billion yuan, with Xi'an Yicai-U raising the highest amount at 4.636 billion yuan [7][8] - Notably, several companies listed in October, including Xi'an Yicai-U and He Yuan Biology-U, reported fundraising amounts exceeding 1 billion yuan [8] - Dao Sheng Tian He had a notably high issuance cost rate of 12.89%, which was higher than its peers [8][9] Underwriting and Brokerage - From January to October, 87 companies successfully completed their IPOs, raising a total of 90.172 billion yuan, with 34 brokerages sharing the underwriting fees [11][14] - CITIC Securities led the underwriting with 12 companies and raised 12.827 billion yuan, followed by Guotai Junan and Huatai United Securities [12][14] - Notably, some brokerages, such as First Capital and Dongguan Securities, reported zero underwriting revenue in 2025 [15]
东吴证券给予酒鬼酒“增持”评级
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 02:54
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Dongwu Securities has given a "Buy" rating to Jiugui Liquor (000799.SZ) based on several positive factors [1] - Emerging channels contributed positively to incremental growth in Q3 2025, while existing channels are gradually stabilizing [1] - Despite stagnant revenue putting continuous pressure on profitability, there has been marginal improvement in expense control [1] - The company plans to establish a "2+2+2" product layout by 2025, enhancing multi-channel development including terminal sales and group purchases [1]
东吴证券给予分众传媒“买入”评级,互联网客户贡献增量业绩,盈利质量持续提升
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 02:54
每经AI快讯,东吴证券11月2日发布研报称,给予分众传媒(002027.SZ,最新价:7.63元)"买入"评 级。评级理由主要包括:1)营收利润稳健增长,维持实行高分红策略;2)互联网闪购业务广告投放加 大,提振公司收入端增速加速;3)公司盈利质量持续提升。风险提示:经济增速不及预期,行业竞争 超预期。 每经头条(nbdtoutiao)——"为了孩子吃上饭,自己只能靠喝水撑着"!美政府停摆危机逼近"临界 点",4200万人吃饭成问题 (记者 王瀚黎) 免责声明:本文内容与数据仅供参考,不构成投资建议,使用前请核实。据此操作,风险自担。 每日经济新闻 ...
研报掘金丨东吴证券:维持星宇股份“买入”评级,看好公司长期成长
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-31 06:53
Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities report indicates that Xingyu Co., Ltd. achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.141 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.76% [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 435 million yuan, which is a year-on-year increase of 13.48% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.08% [1] - The Q3 2025 performance met expectations [1] Growth Drivers - The company's growth is driven by a dual strategy of "product upgrades and customer expansion" [1] - As a leading domestic automotive lighting enterprise, the company is expected to continue benefiting from product upgrades and customer expansion [1] Global Expansion - The company's Serbia factory is gradually releasing production capacity [1] - Xingyu has registered new entities in Mexico and the United States, indicating a continued push for global expansion and overseas market development [1] Investment Rating - The report maintains a "buy" rating for the company, reflecting confidence in its long-term growth prospects [1]
研报掘金丨东吴证券:维持德业股份“买入”评级,目标价110元
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-31 06:30
Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongwu Securities indicates that Deye Co., Ltd. achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.347 billion yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.79%. However, the net profit for Q3 2025 was 825 million yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 17.84% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.00%, slightly below expectations [1] Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.347 billion yuan, up 4.79% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the net profit was 825 million yuan, down 17.84% year-on-year but up 1.00% quarter-on-quarter, indicating a slight underperformance compared to expectations [1] - As of Q3 2025, the company's inventory stood at 1.449 billion yuan, an increase of 4.99% year-on-year [1] - Contract liabilities amounted to 325 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 37.90% [1] Business Outlook - The inverter and battery pack shipments are expected to continue to grow quarter-on-quarter in Q4 2025 [1] - High demand in the Australian market in 2026 is anticipated to drive significant growth in the company's household storage inverters and battery pack shipments [1] Valuation - Given the company's steady growth and the gradual ramp-up of industrial storage, a target price of 110 yuan is set based on a 25x PE ratio for 2026, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]