交易所数据显示，通宇通讯1月5日股价高开后快速下探，随后震荡回升，上午盘中展开冲高走势；下午 盘中一度回落调整，尾盘阶段出现大幅拉升，最终收盘涨幅显著。整体来看，股价经历了先下探再回 升、午后回落调整后尾盘发力拉升的过程，尾盘阶段上攻动能较强，走势呈现明显的先抑后扬特征。 | 分时 | 五日 日K 周K 月K 5分 15分 30分 60分 | | 五档盘口 | | 明细 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 最新:45,81 | 涨跌额:3.11 涨跌幅:+7.28% | 均价:44.41 2026-01-05 15:00 | 委比 +90.59% | | 委差 5238.88 | | 46.97 | | | 英5 | 45.86 | 58 | | 45.55 | | 6.674 | | | | | | NN | | 卖4 | 45.85 | 114 | | | | 3.33% | 卖3 | 45.84 | 16 | | 2,70 | | 0.00% | 卖2 | 45.83 | 10 | | | | | 卖I | 45.82 | 74 | | 41.28 | | ...

东吴证券研报指出，天顺风能短期承压，后续有望迎来修复拐点。受益于海上风电行业高景气度，业绩 实现快速增长，2019-2021年实现营收60.58/81.00/81.72亿元，同比+58%/+34%/+1%；实现归母净利润 7.47/10.50/13.10亿元，同比+59%/+41%/+25%，2022~2023年，受标志性项目解决进展不顺利的影响， 我国海风装机表现不佳，营业收入下滑至67~77亿元，盈利下滑明显。伴随"十五五"陆海风装机景气度 共振，塔筒/管桩企业有望迎来单吨净利的向上弹性，实现量利双升。公司拟定增募资不超19.5亿元， 深化"海工+运输"全球布局。考虑公司在国内海风行业的龙头地位，历史上因项目延期导致公司业绩难 以释放，预计26年项目开工后将进入业绩拐点，维持"买入"评级。 ...

东吴证券研报指出，北方华创平台化半导体设备龙头，受益于下游资本开支扩张&国产化率提升。看好 先进逻辑&存储加速扩产，预计2026年长江存储与长鑫存储合计新增10–12万片/月产能，重点聚焦于 3DNAND与HBM制程，投资总额有望达155–180亿美元。预计2025年半导体设备国产化率提升至22%， 其中刻蚀、清洗、CMP等环节已实现阶段性突破，光刻、薄膜沉积、检测、涂胶显影等高端环节国产 化率仍低于25%，替代空间广阔。作为国产半导体设备领军者，公司持续受益设备国产替代+产品线延 展。考虑到公司平台化布局持续推进，龙头地位加强巩固，维持"买入"评级。 ...

东吴证券研报指出，桂林旅游立足桂林、辐射华南的多元化旅游集团。经营景区旅游业务、漓江游船客 运、漓江大瀑布饭店、客运服务等多元业务，聚焦旅游主业，文旅深度融合，打造桂林多元化旅游集 团。旅游市场复苏强劲，政策红利持续释放；核心旅游资源赋能，多重举措增效发展。桂林旅游背靠桂 林市国资享受政策红利，保存量&甩包袱优化利润表现，新增项目打开成长空间。考虑到桂林旅游作为 广西旅游龙头，提质增效和资源整合预期下公司有估值溢价，首次覆盖给予"增持"评级。 ...

来源：宏观fans哲 核心观点 核心观点：尽管市场普遍预期2026年财政的边际增量资金可能放缓，但财政支出仍有可能超预期。超预期主要来自两个方向：一是物价回升将带来的财政 收入增量；二是2025年有较多的财政"余粮"留到下年使用。具体而言，若PPI同比增速回升1.8个点（-2.4%→-0.6%），可能带来约2600亿元的额外税收收 入，这一效果相当于赤字率提高0.2个点（即4.0%→4.2%）；同时，2025年支出偏慢，财政"余粮"可能超5000亿。这两项合计7600亿，可额外提升一般公 共预算支出增速约2.6个百分点，从而在预算框架内实现超预期的支出扩张。 （1）赤字率不增，财政支出增速也能提升。不应单纯以赤字率的高低来评判财政的积极程度，财政支出的实际增速受多种因素驱动，历史上曾多次出现 赤字率不增但支出增速反而回升的现象。最近的两次，一是2021-2022年，官方赤字率从3.2%下调至2.8%，但财政支出增速反而从0%大幅拉升至6.1%。二 是2016-2018年，赤字率虽然从3%降至2.6%，支出增速却从6.8%攀升到了8.8%。 （2）"赤字不增、支出提速"可能来自于两个超预期。我国财政支出增量由收 ...

分红险是兼具保障与投资属性的浮动收益型产品，其红利源于利差、死差、费差产生的正向盈余，按不低于 70% 比例分配给保单持有人，设有分红特别储 备平滑收益，分红方式分为现金红利和增额红利两类。收益水平可通过预定利率（当前 1.75%）、演示利率（主流 3.5%-4.0%）、实际收益率（行业上限 3.2%）及红利实现率（2024 年达 62%）四项指标衡量，资产配置上权益类占比高于传统险，新会计准则下倾向以 FVTPL 方式持有权益资产。 中国大陆分红险发展历经多轮起伏：21 世纪初因人身险预定利率下调应运而生；2008-2012 年受益于金融危机后股市熊市、新会计准则调整及银保渠道扩 张，占行业保费比重达 75% 的 "一险独大" 格局；2013-2023 年受利率市场化改革影响，传统险、万能险相继崛起，分红险吸引力下降，保费连续四年下 滑；2024 年以来，在国内利率下行、利差损压力加大背景下，监管政策持续鼓励浮动收益型产品，分红险转型成为行业共识。 当前分红险转型成效显著，2025 年上半年多数险企新单中分红险占比超 50%，中国太平更是超过 90%。其转型核心逻辑在于分红险刚性成本更低、新会计 准则下报表 ...

4 1 11 100 6395 r 626- (Cir (56- (0 ed 陈亮 : . , . 111- ( = ) Ma 刘健 t the O T . 4. Jh 顾伟 0 l P t . t . 范力 钱文海 黄德良 王海河 陈戈 张东 钟文岳 刘宗治 高云程 王庆 中金公司党委书记、董事长陈亮： 坚守初心 奋力谱写一流投行建设新篇章 2026年是"十五五"规划开局之年，我国经济长期向好的坚实基础和积极态势将持续巩固，中央经济工作 会议为今年工作指明了方向，助力"十五五"稳健开篇。在这一关键时期，资本市场肩负着服务国家战 略、赋能实体经济的重要使命，金融作为国之重器，更需要在应对外部挑战、维护经济金融安全稳定中 展现更大担当。 2025年恰逢中金公司成立三十周年。三十年来，中金公司始终与国家发展同频共振，以专业服务助力资 本市场建设。站在新的历史起点上，中金公司将坚定不移围绕金融强国建设目标，以打造"让党放心、 让人民满意的国际一流投行"为愿景，积极贡献专业力量。 我们将着力打造"财富投行"与"资产投行"，把握居民财富多元配置趋势，努力做大社会财富"蛋糕"，服 务扩大内需、提振市场信心；深耕"产业投行 ...

[Table_Page] 跟踪分析|证券Ⅱ [Table_Title] 证券Ⅱ行业 公募销售费改平稳落地，框架完善兼顾市场关切 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Grade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-01-04 [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 -10% -2% 6% 14% 22% 30% 01/25 03/25 05/25 08/25 10/25 12/25 证券Ⅱ 沪深300 [分析师： Table_Author]陈福 SAC 执证号：S0260517050001 SFC CE No. BOB667 0755-82535901 chenfu@gf.com.cn 分析师： 严漪澜 SAC 执证号：S0260524070005 0755-82544248 yanyilan@gf.com.cn 请注意，严漪澜并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注 册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 | DocReport] [Table_ 相关研究： | | | --- | --- | | 证券行业 2026 年投资策略: | 2025-12-04 | | 本 ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China is officially transitioning the digital yuan from a "cash-type 1.0" to a "deposit currency type 2.0," introducing a historical transformation that enhances its functionality as a financial asset with value storage capabilities [1][2]. Group 1: Mechanism Innovation - The core mechanism innovation of version 2.0 is characterized by the redefinition of liability attributes and the incorporation of a macro framework, allowing digital yuan balances in commercial banks to be classified as "account-based commercial bank liabilities" [3][6]. - The cancellation of the "non-interest" policy for digital yuan enables liquidity to flow directly into the electronic wallet system, marking the end of the cash era [3][6]. - The new framework enhances user willingness to hold and use digital yuan while providing banks with a manageable asset-liability space [6]. Group 2: Technical Architecture - The technical architecture features three major innovations: an account system, a currency string, and smart contracts, which facilitate a digital path for the digital yuan [7]. - The upgrade maintains compliance with existing bank account rules while introducing a "currency string" for value transfer and offline circulation, enhancing verification and system resilience [7]. - Smart contracts embedded in the funding flow can trigger conditions and automate verification in various scenarios, reducing misuse risks and compliance costs [7]. Group 3: Cross-Border Applications - The transition to "digital deposit currency" is reshaping the liquidity foundation and settlement efficiency of the multilateral central bank digital currency bridge (mBridge) [11]. - As of November 2025, digital yuan holds a dominant position in mBridge operations, accounting for 95.3% of transactions, with a total of 4,047 cross-border payments amounting to 387.2 billion yuan [14]. - The introduction of deposit insurance significantly lowers the risk costs for foreign participants holding digital yuan, enabling more robust fund position management [14].

Core Insights - The article reflects on the evolution and growth of the Dongwu Automotive team over the past decade, emphasizing the journey of self-discovery and the establishment of a cohesive team [2][4][6]. Group 1: First Decade (2013-2022) - The first decade was characterized by a process of self-exploration and trial-and-error, navigating through the SUV boom and the rise of electric vehicles, ultimately leading to a clearer direction for the team [2]. - The team achieved recognition as the second-best automotive analyst in the New Fortune awards in 2022, marking a significant milestone in their growth [2]. Group 2: Transition Period (2023-2025) - The years 2024-2025 are anticipated to bring further accolades, with expectations of being recognized as the top automotive analyst, although the team acknowledges that this success is not built on a solid competitive advantage but rather on luck [4]. - The team aims to embrace a new goal of "seeking common ground while allowing for differences," recognizing the balance between personal growth and team development [4]. Group 3: Second Decade (2026-2035) - Starting in 2026, the team will focus on each member's journey of self-discovery and contribution, with a vision to witness the global rise of the Chinese automotive industry and serve the capital market [6]. - The team's philosophy emphasizes independent thinking, objectivity, and foresight, with a flexible framework that encourages innovation and iteration [6]. - The team plans to release an updated division of labor annually to better serve the capital market and the automotive industry, inviting collaboration and internships [6]. Group 4: Team Structure and Expertise - The team is structured into three main segments: smart automotive full industry chain, large vehicles (electrification & globalization), and automotive parts & robotics, each led by experienced analysts [7][9][13][18][20]. - Analysts within the team focus on various aspects of the automotive industry, including technology iteration, market demand, and investment opportunities, ensuring a comprehensive approach to research and analysis [9][11][18][20].