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东吴证券:太空算力中心具备颠覆性优势 HJT或为能源系统最优解
智通财经网· 2026-01-08 08:19
智通财经APP获悉,东吴证券发布研报称,相比传统地面数据中心,太空算力具备部署效率高、能源效 率佳、冷却成本低等颠覆性优势。硅基HJT电池凭借低温工艺、柔性兼容性和减重优势,最适配新一代 卷展式光伏系统,海外厂商已加速布局。同时,HJT亦为钙钛矿叠层的最优底电池,具备长期演进潜 力。重点推荐迈为股份(300751.SZ)、高测股份(688556.SH)。 东吴证券主要观点如下: 太空算力:AI时代算力供需失衡催生"轨道数据中心"新范式 在全球AI大模型推动下,数据中心电力缺口日益凸显,催生将高算力卫星部署于低/中轨的"太空算 力"新形态。相比传统地面数据中心,太空算力具备部署效率高、能源效率佳、冷却成本低等颠覆性优 势。以"之江实验室+国星宇航"推出的"三体计算星座"为例,首批已入轨12星,远期规划1000POPS算力 规模;海外SpaceX、谷歌、英伟达投资的初创企业Starcloud加速推进百GW级太空算力集群建设。 行业受政策波动影响风险,新技术研发不及预期风险,太空算力发展不及预期风险。 能源系统重量决定卫星综合成本,卷展式光伏阵列搭配柔性电池成发展关键 太空算力系统能源系统成本占比高达22%,决定卫 ...
东吴证券:业内领先的智能座舱解决方案供应商 首次覆盖博泰车联(02889)给予“买入”评级
智通财经网· 2026-01-08 07:10
智通财经APP获悉,东吴证券发布研报称,博泰车联(02889)是国内智能座舱域控行业领先者,看好公司 高端域控产品占比稳定上升,盈利能力持续提升,增速优于行业。首次覆盖,给予"买入"评级。 东吴证券主要观点如下: 公司是业内领先的智能座舱解决方案供应商,软硬云一体化革新核心竞争力 公司建立于2009年的汽车智能产业的早期阶段,最初专注于车联网系统的研发,2018年公司将重心转移 至集成软件、硬件和云端服务的智能座舱解决方案,并逐渐巩固行业内的领先地位。公司目前设立有6 个研发中心及3个制造基地,是业内领先的综合型智能座舱和智能网联全栈解决方案供应商。公司客户 众多,累计超50个品牌,其中理想作为公司的核心客户,2024年以来其业务带动公司营收快速增长。 高通华为双生态深度绑定,"擎"系列全栈技术筑牢壁垒,高端域控放量引领增长 公司与高通技术公司的合作进一步扩展,将共同打造搭载骁龙座舱平台至尊版(QAM8397P)的新一代 智能座舱解决方案。同时,公司与高通的合作不断双向加深,为长期稳定合作夯实基础。公司自2018年 起与华为合作不断深入,2025年华为智能汽车解决方案BU与公司达成了智能车控模组合作意向,进一 ...
东吴证券:业内领先的智能座舱解决方案供应商 首次覆盖博泰车联给予“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-08 07:09
Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities has initiated coverage on Botai Carlink (02889), recognizing it as a leading player in the domestic intelligent cockpit domain control industry, with a positive outlook on the company's increasing share of high-end domain control products and continuous improvement in profitability, thus assigning a "Buy" rating [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Botai Carlink is a leading supplier of intelligent cockpit solutions, leveraging integrated software, hardware, and cloud services as its core competitive advantage [2] - Established in 2009, the company initially focused on vehicle networking systems but shifted its focus in 2018 to intelligent cockpit solutions, solidifying its leading position in the industry [2] - The company operates six R&D centers and three manufacturing bases, serving over 50 brands, with Li Auto being a key customer driving rapid revenue growth since 2024 [2] Group 2: Market Trends - The penetration rate of intelligent cockpits in domestic and global passenger vehicles is steadily increasing, with China's market penetration expected to rise from 35.3% in 2019 to 75.9% by 2025, and the global rate from 38.4% to 59.4% in the same period [3] - The market size for intelligent cockpit solutions in China's passenger vehicle sector is projected to grow from 129 billion RMB in 2024 to 299.5 billion RMB by 2029 [3] Group 3: Strategic Partnerships - The collaboration with Qualcomm has expanded, focusing on developing a new generation of intelligent cockpit solutions based on the Snapdragon cockpit platform [4] - The partnership with Huawei has deepened since 2018, with intentions for collaboration on intelligent vehicle control modules by 2025, enhancing the relationship further [4] - The company's core technology stack, including Qiang OS, Qiang Core, and Qiang Cloud, supports the scalability, rapid customization, and continuous evolution of Botai's intelligent cockpit solutions [4] Group 4: Financial Projections - Revenue growth is expected to be driven by the increasing orders for high-end domain control products, with projected total revenues of 5.452 billion RMB and 7.839 billion RMB for 2026 and 2027, respectively [4]
研报掘金丨东吴证券:维持广发证券“买入”评级,配售H股及发行可转债,有望抓住机遇进一步突破
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-01-08 05:22
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Guangfa Securities plans to issue H-shares and convertible bonds to raise funds for expanding its international business, taking advantage of the improving capital market and macroeconomic recovery [1] - The ongoing reform in the capital market is expected to enhance the policy environment for the securities industry, providing a favorable backdrop for future development [1] - The company has slightly adjusted its previous profit forecasts, expecting net profits attributable to shareholders to reach 14.8 billion, 17.2 billion, and 19.6 billion yuan for the years 2025-2027, with growth rates of 53%, 16%, and 15% respectively [1] Group 2 - The current market capitalization corresponds to price-to-book ratios of 1.37, 1.25, and 1.14 for the years 2025-2027 [1] - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" [1]
东吴证券:量化投资风格与政策促进方向的共振 聚焦景区商超四大边际变化
智通财经网· 2026-01-08 01:47
Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities highlights four marginal changes in the tourism and retail sectors that could activate their investment value, focusing on equity, management, licenses, and new economic models, supported by top-down policies promoting consumption [1]. Group 1: Asset Characteristics - Tourism and retail companies possess unique asset characteristics, with high replacement costs and relatively lower profit performance, indicating a special asset profile that combines high asset replacement value with low profit growth [2]. - Most tourism and retail companies have state-owned backgrounds, providing a strong safety margin for their assets [2]. Group 2: Alignment with Quantitative Investment - The characteristics of tourism and retail companies align with quantitative investment aesthetics, including high replacement costs, actual asset value, low stock prices, low institutional holdings, and ongoing policy support, leading to significant stock price elasticity and substantial total profit capacity [3]. Group 3: Broader Definition of Fundamentals - The concept of "fundamentals" extends beyond profit statements; the actual revaluation of assets in tourism and retail companies is a fundamental aspect that may not be reflected in profit statements but is evident in actual equity transaction cases, such as those involving Sanjiang Shopping and Yonghui Supermarket [4]. Group 4: Policy Impact on Consumption - Since 2023, multiple top-down policies have been introduced to promote consumption, emphasizing the importance of the consumption sector. The most direct implementation of these policies occurs in tourism and retail, exemplified by new consumption models or brands, referred to as "first-launch economy," which can be seen in scenarios like supermarket adjustments and the ice and snow economy [5]. - Investment recommendations include continuous attention to the four marginal changes in tourism and retail: equity changes, management changes, license changes, and new economic model changes, with specific company recommendations such as Guilin Tourism, Hong Kong China Travel, and Changbai Mountain, while also monitoring companies like Three Gorges Tourism, Tianfu Cultural Tourism, and Yinzhu Co. [5].
港股开盘 | 恒指低开0.59% 银行股走强 招商银行涨近1%
智通财经网· 2026-01-08 01:40
恒生指数低开0.59%,恒生科技指数跌0.44%。盘面上,银行股走强,招商银行涨近1%;有色金属板块 走弱,中国铝业跌超2%;科网股低迷,阿里巴巴、百度集团均跌超1%。 关于港股后市 中信证券认为,受益于内部的"十五五"催化以及外部主要经济体的"财政+货币"双宽松,港股2026年有 望迎来第二轮估值修复以及业绩进一步复苏的行情,建议关注科技、大医疗、资源品、必选消费、造纸 和航空板块。 光大证券认为,国内政策发力叠加美元走弱,港股未来或继续震荡上行。港股整体盈利能力相对较强, 同时互联网、新消费、创新药等资产相对稀缺。此外,尽管港股已经连续多月上涨,但是整体估值仍然 偏低,长期配置性价比仍较高。 东吴证券认为,港股从现在进入震荡上行期,仍需将红利作为底仓,把握上半年的科技成长行情。南向 潜在增量资金保险和固收+会继续增配价值红利。考虑估值,AH对比视角,南向资金整体会增配港股 科技成长股票,但港股科技行情仍会受海外降息节奏和美股科技行情影响,需动态观察。 兴业证券表示,建议积极做多,港股有望在恒生科技指数的带领下开启春季攻势。中期看,2026年港股 牛市将继续,盈利、流动性有望协同驱动行情。风险偏好的变化或呈 ...
研报掘金丨东吴证券:维持绿联科技“买入”评级,产品&渠道均发力
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-01-07 06:02
东吴证券研报指出,绿联科技预计2025年归母净利润6.53至7.33亿,同比增长41~59%;Q4预计归母净 利润1.86~2.66亿元,同比增长33~89%。公司2025年全年业绩指引中枢为6.93亿元,略高于Wind一致预 期的6.75亿元。公司多维度发展要素协同发力,叠加清晰的品牌战略与稳健的经营理念支撑,通过精准 捕捉市场需求,持续夯实核心竞争力,全面拓展市场布局并借力政策利好,最终实现经营质量与效益的 稳步提升。该行认为公司在产品端和渠道端近期均有亮眼表现,未来渠道和产品的发力有望让公司业绩 持续高增,维持"买入"评级。 ...
研报掘金丨东吴证券:维持华友钴业“买入”评级,Q4价格全面向上,业绩超预期
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-01-07 05:39
Core Viewpoint - Huayou Cobalt is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.85 to 6.45 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 40.8% to 55.2% [1] Financial Performance - The net profit for Q4 2025 is projected to be between 1.63 to 2.23 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 44% to 97% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9% to 48% [1] - The company's performance in Q4 2025 is anticipated to exceed market expectations [1] Nickel Price Outlook - The average nickel price in Q4 2025 is expected to be 15,000 USD, remaining stable compared to the previous quarter [1] - The Indonesian government plans to reduce mining quota issuance in 2026, which may support nickel prices; the price has risen from a low of 14,500 USD to 16,800 USD in December [1] - If nickel prices maintain this level, the company's profit per ton of nickel could increase by 1,000 to 4,000 USD, contributing over 4 billion yuan in profit [1] Product Growth - The production of ternary cathodes is expected to reach nearly 100,000 tons in 2025, doubling year-on-year, while ternary precursors are projected to be around 110,000 tons, with stable growth expected in 2026 [1] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 from 6.0/9.0/10.9 billion yuan to 6.2/10.7/12.4 billion yuan, reflecting increases of 50%/72%/15% [1] - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios (PE) are projected to be 22x/13x/11x, with a target PE of 20x for 2026 and a target price of 113 yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]
东吴证券:太空光伏有望迎来高速发展 投资聚焦高效钙钛矿与叠层技术
智通财经网· 2026-01-07 02:25
Core Insights - The report from Dongwu Securities highlights the rapid development of commercial aerospace and low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites, indicating that space photovoltaic power supply is optimal and may experience rapid growth, supported by efficient perovskite/silicon tandem technology [1] Group 1: Commercial Aerospace Development - The maturity of reusable rocket technology has significantly reduced launch costs, breaking down economic barriers to entering space. The scarcity of satellite frequency resources is driving countries to accelerate the acquisition of strategic resources, leading to a sustained increase in global spacecraft launches. The number of global spacecraft launches has grown from 237 in 2016 to over 4,300 by 2025, with a CAGR of 34% and an increase of over 50% year-on-year in 2025 [2] Group 2: Photovoltaic Energy in Satellites - Photovoltaics are the only efficient and stable energy source for satellites, with solar wings accounting for approximately 20-30% of the satellite manufacturing cost. Solar wings are critical for spacecraft operation, representing over 60% of the value, with current mainstream gallium arsenide costing around 200,000 to 300,000 per square meter. As the power requirements of satellites increase, the area of solar wings is expected to grow significantly, with SpaceX's Starlink V3 satellite solar wing area increasing by over 10 times compared to earlier versions [3] Group 3: Technology Optimization - Gallium arsenide is the mainstream technology in China, known for its high efficiency and radiation resistance, with component efficiency exceeding 30%. However, its high cost (200,000 to 400,000 yuan per square meter) may limit large-scale satellite constellation deployment. In contrast, foreign companies like SpaceX have lower launch costs, and while silicon can offer lower weight-to-cost ratios, the lower-cost P-type silicon route may be preferred for single satellite costs. Perovskite batteries show promise in terms of lightweight, high energy-to-weight ratio, low cost, and stability, potentially becoming a superior solution for space power supply [4] Group 4: Market Potential and Investment Recommendations - The global deployment of low Earth orbit satellites is entering an explosive phase, with over 100,000 satellites registered globally by the end of 2025. The U.S. leads with approximately 42,000 satellites through Starlink, while China has submitted plans for over 51,000 satellites. Assuming an annual launch of 10,000 satellites, the solar wing market could reach nearly 200 billion. The surge in AI computing demand is pushing computational power to space, leveraging the advantages of solar energy and thermal conditions in near-Earth orbit. If a 10GW space computing system is established, the solar wing market could reach several trillion yuan. Investment recommendations include JunDa Co. (collaborating with Shangyi on satellite perovskite), Mingyang Smart Energy (subsidiary focusing on perovskite and HJT technology), and others in the HJT/perovskite battery sector [5]
东吴证券:商业航天+低轨卫星加速发展 太空光伏前景广阔
智通财经网· 2026-01-06 22:37
智通财经APP获悉,东吴证券发布研报称,商业航天+低轨卫星加速发展背景下,太空光伏供能最优, 或有望迎来高速发展。载荷升级推动太阳翼用量扩张,大面积、高效率的太阳翼将成商业航天竞备的关 键。低轨卫星锤炼技术+太空算力需求潜力大,太空光伏前景广阔。若后续构建10 GW太空算力系统, 太阳翼市场规模或达数万亿元。钙钛矿电池在轻量化与高能质比、低成本、稳定性等方面具备优势,潜 力十足、有望成为太空供电更优方案。 东吴证券主要观点如下: 科技竞争前沿,商业航天冉冉升起。随着可回收火箭技术的成熟,航天发射成本大幅下降,逐步打破进 入太空的经济壁垒。卫星频轨资源的稀缺性推动各国加速抢占战略资源,全球航天器发射量持续高增。 近10年来全球航天器发射数自2016年237颗增长至2025年超4300颗,CAGR达34%;25年同增超50%。全 球卫星在轨工作数已超万颗,备案数量超10万颗,后续发射数有望进一步井喷。 光伏是卫星唯一高效、长期稳定的能源形式,随功耗增长太阳翼用量提升。卫星电源系统在整星制造成 本中约20-30%,其中太阳翼是航天器在轨运行的能量心脏,材料特殊、可靠性要求极高,约占60%+价 值量,当前主流砷化镓对 ...