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东吴证券:首予恒逸石化“买入”评级,看好公司未来成长性
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-13 06:25
Core Viewpoint - The polyester industry is experiencing a recovery, with Hengyi Petrochemical's Qinzhou project set to commence production, positioning the company as a leading player in the market [1] Industry Summary - The polyester industry is witnessing a recovery in its economic environment, driven by industry consolidation and supportive growth policies [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing integration within the petrochemical sector, enhancing its profitability [1] Company Summary - Hengyi Petrochemical is leveraging its technological research and development advantages, along with economies of scale, to strengthen its market position [1] - The company has established significant competitive advantages in differentiated product development, intelligent production, and full industry chain collaboration [1] - The Qinzhou caprolactam-polyamide integrated project is anticipated to boost the company's growth [1] - The company expects the first phase of its Guangxi 1.2 million tons caprolactam-polyamide project to commence production in the second half of 2025, with products including civilian fibers, engineering plastics, and films [1] - The commencement of this project is projected to further enhance the company's performance and effectively strengthen its upstream and downstream supply chain [1] - The company is optimistic about its future growth potential and has been given a "buy" rating for the first time [1]
东吴证券:非车险“报行合一”落地 预计推动行业盈利表现改善
智通财经网· 2025-10-13 03:04
东吴证券发布研报称,市场储蓄需求依然旺盛,同时在监管持续引导和险企主动性转型下,负债成本有 望逐步下降,利差损压力将有所缓解。近期十年期国债收益率回落至1.86%左右,该行预计,未来伴随 国内经济复苏,长端利率若继续修复上行,则保险公司新增固收类投资收益率压力将有所缓解。当前公 募基金对保险股持仓仍然欠配,2025年10月10日保险板块估值2025E 0.57-0.87倍PEV、1.02-2.25倍PB, 处于历史低位,行业维持"增持"评级。 事件:10月10日,金监总局发布《关于加强非车险业务监管有关事项的通知》,就非车险业务强化监管 要求,新规自11月1日起执行。 1)要求保险公司加强费率管理,产品备案应明确列示预定附加费率、平均手续费率和逐单手续费率上 限,精算假设与实际经营情况偏差过大时,应及时调整并重新备案,必要时应先行停售相关产品。2)保 险公司应当严格执行经备案的保险条款和保险费率,不得和保险中介机构通过各类方式变相调整保险责 任和保险费率,要加强手续费核算管控,为保险销售支付的中介费用不得超过产品报备的手续费率上 限,不得变相突破报备的手续费率上限。 健全保费收入管理,改进非车险理赔服务 1) ...
东吴证券:政策支持AI赋能新型工业化 行业有望迎来加速发展
智通财经网· 2025-10-13 01:58
2025年8月26日,国务院发布《国务院关于深入实施"人工智能+"行动的意见》。政策明确提出:推进工 业全要素智能化发展。推动工业全要素智能联动,加快人工智能在设计、中试、生产、服务、运营全环 节落地应用。工业和信息化部副部长张云明明确提出"对于实现新型工业化这一关键任务,发展人工智 能是必答题而非选择题。" 工业AI是中国AI发展的特色战略方向 智通财经APP获悉,东吴证券发布研报称,中国工业大模型和工业智能体加快演进,工业大模型百花齐 放,原先各个行业的工业信息化和数字化公司大多都发布了基于本公司产品和本行业的工业大模型。工 业智能体渗透比例逐步提升。国家政策大力支持AI赋能新型工业化,该行预期后续会有工业AI相关支 持政策落地,工业AI行业有望迎来加速发展。 东吴证券主要观点如下: 工业AI已经进入广泛普及阶段 工业AI是AI技术在工业领域的应用,它通过机器学习、深度学习、计算机视觉等先进的计算智能方 法,实现对工业生产过程的优化和智能化,最终帮助企业提高生产效率、降低成本、提升产品质量,实 现数字化转型。工业大模型发展正从初步兴起走向广泛探索阶段,越来越多的工业企业开始布局使用工 业AI技术。 工业A ...
东吴证券:10月预计指数将保持震荡上行态势
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-12 05:38
Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities reports a positive outlook for overseas markets and industry catalysts during the holiday period, suggesting an increase in risk appetite among domestic investors post-holiday [1] Market Performance - The market in September was influenced by factors such as military parades, pre-holiday risk aversion, and quarter-end portfolio adjustments, leading to a volatile performance [1] - Post-holiday, the suppressive factors affecting the market are expected to gradually dissipate [1] Global Market Trends - During the holiday, major global stock markets performed strongly, indicating a favorable environment for investment [1] - The AI industry has seen concentrated catalysts, which may further enhance market dynamics [1]
强势股追踪 主力资金连续5日净流入86股
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-10-10 09:50
Core Insights - A total of 86 stocks on the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing exchanges have experienced net inflows of main funds for five consecutive days or more as of October 10 [1] - The stock "寒武纪-U" has seen the longest streak of net inflows, with 32 consecutive days and a total net inflow of 4.377 billion [1] - "振德医疗" ranks second with 10 consecutive days of net inflows [1] Summary by Category Main Fund Inflows - "寒武纪-U" has the highest total net inflow amounting to 4.377 billion over 32 days, with a net inflow ratio of 0.72% and a cumulative increase of 33.52% [1] - "上海电力" follows with a net inflow of 1.521 billion over 6 days, achieving a cumulative increase of 32.91% [1] - "农业银行" and "万华化学" also show significant inflows, with net inflows of 1.078 billion and 540 million respectively over 6 and 7 days [1] Performance Metrics - "国电南自" has the highest net inflow ratio at 14.99% over 5 days, with a cumulative increase of 18.03% [1] - "振德医疗" has a cumulative increase of 40.10% over 10 days, indicating strong performance alongside its net inflow of 424 million [1] - Other notable stocks include "白银有色" with a cumulative increase of 35.11% and "东吴证券" with a 7.07% increase over 5 days [1]
东吴证券执委丁文韬: 资本市场活力强劲 多重利好提振A股
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-10-09 23:21
Core Viewpoint - The current A-share market is driven by five main factors: robust economic recovery, proactive "anti-involution" policies, significant technological advancements, the introduction of new regulatory frameworks, and favorable global liquidity conditions [1] Economic and Market Conditions - China's economic fundamentals are showing strong resilience, providing solid support for the stock market [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index has reached a ten-year high, indicating strong market vitality [1] - A-share market is expected to maintain a slow bull trend, supported by both fundamental and valuation recovery [1] Policy and Regulatory Environment - The introduction of the "New National Guidelines" is expected to lay a solid institutional foundation for the high-quality development of the capital market [1] - Recent reforms, including the "1+6" reform for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the "merger six guidelines," are restructuring the capital market ecosystem and injecting new momentum [2] Investment Opportunities - Three main investment directions are suggested: 1. The photovoltaic industry chain and related sectors affected by valuation pressures, such as energy storage and lithium battery industries [3] 2. Traditional industries experiencing overcapacity, including steel, cement, and glass [3] 3. Emerging non-manufacturing sectors, such as the e-commerce industry [3] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The trend of mainland companies listing in both A-share and H-share markets is expected to continue, driven by policy incentives, improved liquidity in the Hong Kong market, and companies' strategic needs [2] - The new listing standards are expected to benefit companies in cutting-edge fields like commercial aerospace and artificial intelligence [2]
东吴证券执委丁文韬:资本市场活力强劲多重利好提振A股
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-10-09 18:21
Core Viewpoint - The current A-share market is driven by five main factors: robust economic recovery, proactive "anti-involution" policies, significant technological advancements, the introduction of new regulatory frameworks, and favorable global liquidity conditions [1] Group 1: Market Drivers - The Chinese economy is showing strong resilience, providing solid support for the stock market [1] - The central government's "anti-involution" policies are improving the economic supply-demand structure and boosting corporate profitability [1] - Major technological breakthroughs in China are leading to asset revaluation [1] - The release of the new "National Nine Articles" establishes a solid institutional foundation for the high-quality development of the capital market [1] - The decline of the overseas dollar cycle is creating a marginally loose global liquidity environment, benefiting emerging markets, particularly A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [1] Group 2: Market Trends - The capital market is currently vibrant, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking a ten-year high [1] - A-share market is expected to continue a slow bull trend, supported by both fundamental and valuation recovery [1] - The Chinese economy is transitioning to a high-quality development phase, with new growth drivers gradually replacing old ones [1] - The quality of listed companies in China is improving, with the technology sector now accounting for over 25% of the market capitalization [1] Group 3: Policy and Reform - The "1+6" reform of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and the "merger and acquisition six articles" are restructuring the capital market ecosystem [2] - The introduction of the fifth set of listing standards expands opportunities for companies in commercial aerospace and AI sectors [2] - The Sci-Tech Innovation Board is creating a dedicated channel for unprofitable companies to go public, enhancing the financing ecosystem [2] - The "merger and acquisition six articles" are accelerating the concentration of quality assets in listed companies, potentially leading to the emergence of billion or even trillion-level industry leaders [2] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Investment opportunities are suggested in three main areas: the photovoltaic industry chain, traditional industries facing overcapacity, and emerging non-manufacturing sectors like e-commerce [3]
苏州银行(002966.SZ):国发集团及其一致行动人东吴证券累计增持0.8111%股份
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-09 09:22
Core Viewpoint - Suzhou Bank (002966.SZ) announced that Guofa Group and its concerted party, Dongwu Securities, have increased their shareholding in the bank by 36,262,037 shares, representing 0.8111% of the total share capital, with a total investment of approximately 297.99 million yuan [1] Group 1 - Guofa Group and Dongwu Securities executed the share purchase through the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's centralized bidding system [1] - The shareholding increase occurred between July 1, 2025, and September 30, 2025 [1] - The parties involved plan to continue increasing their shareholding in Suzhou Bank according to their investment plan [1]
研报掘金丨东吴证券:芯原股份预计25Q3盈利能力大幅提升,维持“买入”评级
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-09 07:54
格隆汇10月9日|东吴证券研报指出,芯原股份预计25Q3实现营业收入12.84 亿元,环比增长119.74%, 同比增长78.77%。预计25Q3盈利能力大幅提升,亏损同比、环比均实现大幅收窄。订单方面,公司预 计25Q3新签订单15.93亿元,同比增长145.80%,其中AI算力相关的订单占比约65%。公司在手订单已连 续八个季度保持高位,预计截至25Q3末在手订单金额为32.86亿元,持续创造历史新高!该行认为当前 估值溢价主要是由于公司作为国内顶级ASIC公司,为A股稀缺标的,在技术积累、客户资源及产品落地 方面具备显著优势。根据公司Q3预告披露的业绩与订单情况,上调公司2025-2027年营业收入预期为 38/53/70亿元(前值30/38/47亿元),上调归母净利润预期为-0.8/2.7/5.6亿元(前值-1.0/2.0/4.2亿元)。 维持"买入"评级。 ...