Group 1 - The AI social platform Moltbook has gained significant popularity overseas, featuring 1.5 million AI agents engaging in discussions across thousands of forums, mimicking human social patterns [1][3] - Tencent's AI platform Yuanbao launched a cash red envelope activity on February 1, leading to a surge in downloads, topping the iPhone app rankings on the same day [2][3] - The advancements in large model reasoning and multi-modal capabilities indicate a strong foundation for human-like interactions in AI social platforms, suggesting a pathway from niche applications to broader social engagement [1][3] Group 2 - Google announced the public testing of its world model Genie3, allowing users to create real-time interactive virtual worlds through natural language dialogue, enhancing game development accessibility [4] - The launch of Taptap Maker by Xindong Company enables game creators to develop games directly within a chat interface, significantly lowering the barriers to game development [4] - The gaming sector is expected to benefit from AI advancements, with recommendations to focus on companies with strong platform attributes, including Xindong Company and others [4]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market for film and television stocks is experiencing a counter-trend rise, indicating a recovery in the market, with significant increases in stock prices for various companies [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The national annual box office has surpassed 2 billion yuan as of February 1, 2026, reflecting a strong start to the Spring Festival season [1] - Six new domestic films, including "Flying Life 3" and "Silent Awakening," are scheduled for release during the Spring Festival, covering multiple genres [1] - In 2025, the national box office reached 51.832 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.95%, with domestic films accounting for 79.67% of the total [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - Hengdian Film's stock rose by 10%, with a total market value of 17.8 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 69.18% [2] - Happiness Blue Sea's stock increased by 7.63%, with a market value of 8.939 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 15.39% [2] - Bona Film's stock rose by 6.88%, with a market value of 14.1 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 35% [2] - Other notable increases include Light Media (5.27%, 60.4 billion yuan), Jinyi Film (5.19%, 4.809 billion yuan), and Huayi Brothers (3.4%, 7.75 billion yuan) [2]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market for the film industry is experiencing a counter-trend rise, with several key stocks showing significant gains, indicating a recovery in the market driven by strong box office performance and upcoming film releases [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Hengdian Film surged to its daily limit, increasing by 10% with a total market value of 17.8 billion [2] - Happiness Blue Sea rose by over 7%, with a market capitalization of 26.67 billion [2] - Bona Film increased by over 6%, with a market value of 14.1 billion [2] - Light Media and Jinyi Film both saw gains of over 5%, with market values of 60.4 billion and 4.809 billion respectively [2] - Other notable increases include Huanrui Century (3.4%), China Film (3.09%), and Shanghai Film (2.11%) [2] Group 2: Box Office Data - As of February 1, 2026, the national annual box office has surpassed 2 billion, reflecting a strong start to the year [1] - In 2025, the total box office reached 51.832 billion, marking a year-on-year growth of 21.95%, with domestic films accounting for 79.67% of the total [1] - There were 51 films that surpassed 100 million in box office revenue, and the total number of screens reached 93,187 [1] - The upcoming Spring Festival releases include six domestic films, indicating a diverse offering for the holiday season [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights the rapid development of AI applications in social media, gaming, and marketing, with significant growth potential in user engagement and monetization opportunities [3][4] - The emergence of AI social platforms like Moltbook and Tencent's Yuanbao indicates a shift towards more interactive AI-driven social experiences, which could lead to increased user traffic and revenue generation through various channels [3] - The gaming sector is expected to benefit from advancements in AI tools, such as Genie3 and Taptap Maker, which lower the barriers for game development and enhance content diversity [4] Industry Data Overview - The report notes that "Fashion Department City" ranked first in the iOS free game chart in mainland China, while "Honor of Kings" topped the iOS revenue chart [10] - The film "Zootopia 2" achieved the highest box office revenue for the week, with a total of 4.453 billion yuan [20] - The gaming sector saw a high volume of game approvals in January, with "Supernatural Action Group" achieving over 10 million daily active users [23] Industry News Summary - Major AI models are entering a phase of intensive updates, with significant advancements in AI social, gaming, and film sectors [23] - Alibaba's Qwen3-Max-Thinking model has been released, boasting over a trillion parameters and achieving performance comparable to leading international models [24] - OpenAI launched Prism, a workspace designed for researchers, integrating various tools for collaborative scientific writing [25] - Kimi's K2.5 model supports visual understanding and code capabilities, enhancing user interaction with AI [26]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the industry [4] Core Insights - The media index (Shenwan) increased by 0.21%, ranking 10th among 31 industries, outperforming the CSI 300 index which rose by 0.08% [8] - The report suggests investing in vertical segments with high growth potential, recommending companies such as Wanda Film, Perfect World, and Mango Super Media [8] Summary by Sections DeepSeek Model Release and Spring Festival Film Schedule - DeepSeek launched a new document recognition model, DeepSeek-OCR2, which significantly enhances image recognition capabilities through a novel "Causal Flow" visual reasoning logic [9] - As of now, six films have been scheduled for the 2026 Spring Festival, showcasing a diverse range of genres including drama, comedy, crime, action, martial arts, and animation [15] Industry and Company News - The report highlights key developments in AI and the internet, including Alibaba's AI chip launch and Tencent's AI-powered input method [20] - In the cinema sector, the film "Star River Dream" has been officially scheduled for the 2026 Spring Festival [22] - The gaming industry is also active, with Nintendo announcing a classic game library for its Switch Online service [22] Company Performance and Recommendations - The report provides a valuation table for recommended companies, indicating their expected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2024 to 2026, with all recommended companies rated as "Overweight" [16][17] - Notable companies include: - Wanda Film: Market cap of 250.03 billion, PE of 19.41 for 2024 [16] - Perfect World: Market cap of 365.49 billion, PE of 44.86 for 2024 [16] - Mango Super Media: Market cap of 532.40 billion, PE of 32.36 for 2024 [16]

Group 1 - The film and cinema sector saw a significant increase of 3.28% on January 30, with Hengdian Film leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4117.95, down 0.96%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14205.89, down 0.66% [1] - Key stocks in the film and cinema sector showed notable price increases, with Hengdian Film rising by 10.01% to a closing price of 25.50 [1] Group 2 - The film and cinema sector experienced a net inflow of 542 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 768 million yuan [2] - Major stocks such as China Film and Wanda Film attracted significant net inflows from institutional investors, with China Film receiving 206 million yuan [3] - Retail investors showed a negative trend in several stocks, with significant outflows from Happiness Blue Sea and Huayi Brothers [3]

Group 1: Precious Metals Market - Spot gold first broke the $5500/oz mark, reaching nearly $5600/oz before dropping below $5200/oz [1] - The non-ferrous metals sector saw significant declines, with major companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum falling over 8% and 9% respectively [1] - The performance of the non-ferrous metals sector pressured the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index, while the ChiNext Index rose due to gains in key stocks like CATL and Sungrow [1] Group 2: Agricultural and Consumer Sectors - Some cyclical sectors showed strong performance, with agriculture and aquaculture sectors rising significantly, indicating a typical rotation pattern in commodity markets [1] - The rise in agricultural products is expected to transmit to the aquaculture sector and further into the consumer market [1] - By the close of the morning session, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.19%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.96%, while the ChiNext Index increased by 0.8% [1] Group 3: Film and Entertainment Sector - The film and cinema sector saw active performance, with stocks like Hengdian Film and Happiness Blue Sea experiencing significant gains [4][6] - A favorable policy environment, including the State Council's plan to enhance service consumption, is expected to support the film industry [6][7] - The upcoming 2026 Spring Festival film lineup is anticipated to drive market recovery, with multiple new films scheduled for release [7] Group 4: AI and Optical Communication Sector - The North American computing power chain showed strong performance, with stocks like "Yizhongtian" and Tianfu Communication reaching historical highs [7] - The demand for AI computing power is driving upgrades in the optical communication industry, with strong demand for high-speed optical modules [10] - Despite short-term supply gaps in high-speed optical chips, upstream manufacturers are actively expanding production, which is expected to alleviate supply chain bottlenecks [10]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share film industry stocks have shown strong performance against the market trend, with several key stocks experiencing significant gains ahead of the upcoming Chinese New Year film releases [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Happiness Blue Sea (幸福蓝海) increased by over 11%, while Hengdian Film (横店影视) achieved a two-day consecutive limit-up [1]. - Light Media (光线传媒) rose by over 9%, and Golden Screen Media (金逸影视) saw an increase of over 7% [1]. - Bona Film (博纳影业) and Huace Film (华策影视) grew by over 4% and 3% respectively, while China Film (中国电影) and Shanghai Film (上海电影) both increased by over 2% [1]. Group 2: Upcoming Film Releases - As of January 28, 2026, six domestic films have been officially scheduled for release on February 17, the first day of the Lunar New Year [1]. - According to a report by China International Capital Corporation (中金公司), the effective screening days for the 2026 Spring Festival are expected to remain at 7 days, consistent with 2025 [1]. Group 3: Box Office Projections - The projected box office revenue for the 2026 Spring Festival, including service fees, is estimated to be approximately 6.5 billion, 7.5 billion, and 8.5 billion yuan under conservative, neutral, and optimistic scenarios respectively [1].

Group 1 - A-share film stocks are performing strongly, with notable increases in share prices for several companies, including Happiness Blue Sea up over 11% and Hengdian Film up 10% [1][2] - Six domestic films have been officially scheduled for release on February 17, 2026, coinciding with the Lunar New Year [1] - CICC's report indicates that the effective screening days for the 2026 Spring Festival period will remain at 7 days, consistent with 2025 [1] Group 2 - CICC forecasts the box office revenue for the 2026 Spring Festival under three scenarios: conservative at 6.5 billion, neutral at 7.5 billion, and optimistic at 8.5 billion [1] - The stock performance of various film companies shows significant year-to-date increases, with Hengdian Film at 53.80% and Light Media at 21.86% [2] - The market capitalization of Happiness Blue Sea is reported at 8.514 billion, while Light Media stands at 58.6 billion [2]

Market Overview - The film and theater sector experienced a decline of 0.68% on January 28, with Huayi Brothers leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4151.24, up 0.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14342.9, up 0.09% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Hengdian Film (603103) saw a closing price of 21.07, with an increase of 4.57% and a trading volume of 155,400 shares, totaling a transaction value of 331 million yuan [1] - Light Media (300251) closed at 17.89, up 1.07%, with a trading volume of 709,300 shares and a transaction value of 1.267 billion yuan [1] - Huayi Brothers (300027) closed at 2.20, up 0.46%, with a trading volume of 645,600 shares and a transaction value of 14.2 million yuan [1] - The biggest decline was seen in Huayi Century (000892), which closed at 7.80, down 5.34%, with a trading volume of 516,300 shares and a transaction value of 410 million yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The film and theater sector experienced a net outflow of 244 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 143 million yuan [2] - The capital flow for individual stocks showed that Light Media had a net inflow of 13.9 million yuan from institutional investors, while Huayi Brothers had a net outflow of 22.49 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Overall, retail investors contributed positively to the sector, with a net inflow of 143 million yuan, indicating a potential interest in the sector despite the overall decline [2][3]