丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨中国能建（601868.SH） [Table_Title] 新签高景气，收入业绩双增 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司 2024 年实现营业收入 4367.13 亿元，同比增长 7.56%；归属净利润 83.96 亿元，同比增 长 5.13%；扣非后归属净利润 65.26 亿元，同比减少 8.89%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490520080022 SAC：S0490522060005 SFC：BUT917 张弛 张智杰 袁志芃 龚子逸 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 中国能建（601868.SH） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 新签高景气，收入业绩双增 资料来源：Wind -17% -3% 11% 26% 2024/4 2024/8 2024/12 2025/4 中国能建 建筑与工程 沪深300指数 相关研究 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司 2024 年实现营业收入 4367.13 亿元，同比增长 7.56%；归属净 ...

Investment Rating - Industry rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Viewpoints - The announcement of "reciprocal tariffs" by Trump has exceeded expectations, reinforcing the logic of domestic demand recovery. The focus is on infrastructure and key strategic industries like coal chemical investments, which are expected to receive policy support [2][21] - The construction index rose by 0.13% this week, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 0.57 percentage points, with significant gains in small and mid-cap transformation stocks [1][31] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant increase in local government bond issuance, indicating potential for local investment release despite external demand pressures [4][21] Summary by Sections Section 1: Tariff Impact and Domestic Demand - Trump's new tariffs, including a 10% baseline tariff and higher rates for major trade deficit countries, are expected to suppress overseas and manufacturing investments while boosting domestic demand [2][14] - The previous trade friction period saw a decline in manufacturing and infrastructure investments, with real estate becoming a key contributor to economic stability [3][21] Section 2: Market Performance - The construction index's performance this week was driven by sectors such as professional engineering and building design, with notable stock gains from companies like Shanshui Bide and Zhongyan Dadi [1][31] Section 3: Investment Recommendations - Focus on infrastructure-related stocks, particularly in high-growth regions like Tibet and Xinjiang, and sectors benefiting from domestic demand recovery [21][28] - Coal chemical projects are expected to see significant investment, with recommendations for companies like Sanwei Chemical and China Chemical [28] - Companies with production layouts in North America or Mexico are likely to benefit, with recommendations including China Jushi and Puyang Refractories [28] Section 4: Fiscal Policy and Investment Opportunities - The first quarter of 2025 saw local government bond issuance reach approximately 2.84 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 80%, indicating a strong fiscal push for infrastructure investment [4][21] - The report emphasizes the importance of structural and regional characteristics in infrastructure investment, particularly in water conservancy and transportation sectors [38]

Core Viewpoint - China Energy Construction Group (China Energy) has successfully signed the first green electricity hydrogen ammonia project in Indonesia, marking the first implementation of its independently developed green hydrogen technology in Southeast Asia [1][2]. Group 1: Project Overview - The project is located on Batam Island, Indonesia, and includes a 240 MW photovoltaic power generation system on land and water [2]. - The planned production capacity is 37,500 tons of green synthetic ammonia annually [2]. - The produced green synthetic ammonia will primarily supply the Singapore market [2]. Group 2: Strategic Significance - China Energy is a core player in the development of China's hydrogen energy industry, actively promoting green hydrogen projects both domestically and internationally [2]. - The company is advancing 24 large-scale green hydrogen ammonia projects in China, with a total investment exceeding 300 billion yuan [2]. - Internationally, China Energy has established partnerships with countries such as Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Malaysia [2]. Group 3: Important Milestones - In April 2023, China Energy signed a cooperation memorandum for a green hydrogen project in southern Morocco with companies from Saudi Arabia and Morocco [2]. - In October 2023, a $6.75 billion agreement was signed with the Suez Canal Economic Zone in Egypt, planning an annual production of 1.2 million tons of green ammonia and 210,000 tons of green hydrogen [2]. - In March 2024, a framework agreement for a 200 MW integrated green hydrogen project in Terengganu, Malaysia, was successfully signed [2].

Group 1 - The company China Energy Engineering Corporation (中国能建) announced a contract with Astana City Water Supply Company for a water supply project in Kazakhstan, valued at approximately 96 million RMB [1] - The project includes the construction of a water intake pumping station with a capacity of 342,000 m3/day, two booster pumping stations, a 400 km long water pipeline, and a water treatment plant with a capacity of 210,000 m3/day, with a total construction period of 36 months [1] - The company was established in December 2014, with a registered capital of approximately 30 billion RMB, and is primarily engaged in surveying, design, consulting, engineering construction, industrial manufacturing, and investment operations [1] Group 2 - The company's revenue for 2021 to 2023 was 322.32 billion RMB, 366.39 billion RMB, and 406.03 billion RMB, representing year-on-year growth of 19.23%, 13.67%, and 10.82% respectively [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 6.50 billion RMB, 7.81 billion RMB, and 7.99 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 39.26%, 20.07%, and 2.07% respectively [2] - The company's asset-liability ratio increased from 71.69% in 2021 to 75.96% in 2023 [2]

Summary of Key Points Overall Market Performance - The performance of the CSI 300 and ChiNext indices over the past year shows a significant decline, with the CSI 300 down by 32% and the ChiNext down by 16% [1]. Industry Performance - The top five performing industries yesterday included textiles and apparel (+1.448%), beauty and personal care (+1.014%), telecommunications (+0.971%), banking (+0.897%), and diversified industries (+0.742%) [1]. - Conversely, the bottom five performing industries were defense and military (-1.17%), non-ferrous metals (-0.866%), utilities (-0.801%), steel (-0.580%), and pharmaceuticals and biology (-0.537%) [1]. Communication Industry - The satellite internet construction in China is gradually taking shape, with significant developments in the commercial aerospace industry [10]. - On April 1, 2025, China successfully launched a satellite for internet technology testing, marking a step towards the integration of satellite and terrestrial networks [12]. - The "Thousand Sails Constellation" plan aims to deploy 648 satellites by the end of 2025 and 1,296 satellites globally by 2027, with a long-term goal of 15,000 satellites by 2030 [13]. Coal Mining Industry - China Jushi (600176.SH) reported a significant increase in Q4 2024 performance, with revenue reaching 42.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.49% [16]. - The company’s glass fiber yarn sales reached a record high of 3.025 million tons in 2024, driven by structural optimization and market expansion [17]. Real Estate and Construction Industry - China Overseas Development (00688.HK) ranked first in equity sales and land acquisition, with a steady growth in commercial income [21]. - The company reported a revenue of 1,851.5 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 8.6%, while its equity sales amounted to 3,107 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.3% [22][23]. Food and Beverage Industry - China Feihe (06186.HK) achieved a revenue of 20.749 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, with a proposed dividend of 0.3264 HKD per share [27]. - The company’s ultra-high-end product series continues to drive growth, with a focus on expanding its market share in the infant formula sector [28]. Chemical Industry - Shengquan Group (605589.SH) reported a revenue of 10.02 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 9.87% [37]. - The company is expanding its high-frequency and high-speed resin varieties, indicating a robust growth trajectory [38]. Light Industry - Jiayi Co., Ltd. (301004.SZ) achieved a revenue of 2.836 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 59.8%, supported by strong customer relationships [31]. - The company’s overseas revenue growth is a significant driver of its overall performance [32].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company has shown stable revenue and profit growth, with a balanced expansion in both domestic and international markets. The new energy business continues to develop, and there is a significant increase in industrial manufacturing orders. The company has a strong potential in investment operations [6][7] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is projected to be 10.6 billion, 12.3 billion, and 12.9 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.25, 0.30, and 0.31 yuan. The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 9.0, 7.7, and 7.4 times [6][9] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating revenue of 436.71 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.56%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.40 billion yuan, up 5.13% year-on-year. The gross margin was 12.41%, a decrease of 0.23 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 2.71%, down 0.06 percentage points year-on-year [7][9] - The company maintained a stable debt structure, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 76.31% and a current ratio of 1.02. Cash on hand reached 91.16 billion yuan, an increase of 17.95% year-on-year, indicating a strong liquidity position [7][9] Order Growth and International Expansion - The company signed new orders totaling 1.408 trillion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.75%. The engineering construction business saw a significant increase, particularly in traditional energy contracts, which grew by 57.6% year-on-year [8] - The international business has shown remarkable results, with overseas new contracts increasing by 14.5% year-on-year. Notable contracts were signed in Saudi Arabia and the Philippines, each exceeding 20 billion yuan [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company has reported a year-on-year increase in revenue and net profit, with a significant growth in new orders. The expansion in both domestic and international markets is balanced, and the company continues to explore opportunities in the new energy sector [6][8] - The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is projected to be 106.0 billion, 123.3 billion, and 128.7 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.25, 0.30, and 0.31 yuan. The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 9.0, 7.7, and 7.4 times for the respective years [6][9] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating revenue of 436.71 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.56%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.40 billion yuan, up 5.13% year-on-year [7] - The gross margin for 2024 was 12.41%, a decrease of 0.23 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 2.71%, down 0.06 percentage points [7] - The company maintained a stable debt structure with a debt-to-asset ratio of 76.31% and a current ratio of 1.02, indicating a reasonable overall debt structure [7] Order Growth and Market Expansion - The company signed new orders totaling 1.408 trillion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.75%. The engineering construction segment saw a significant increase, particularly in traditional energy contracts, which grew by 57.6% [8] - Internationally, the company achieved a 14.5% increase in new contracts, with notable contracts in Saudi Arabia and the Philippines exceeding 20 billion yuan each [8] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The projected operating revenue for 2025 is 445.98 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.1%. The net profit is expected to reach 10.60 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 26.3% [9][11] - Key financial ratios include a projected ROE of 6.8% for 2025 and a P/E ratio decreasing to 9.0 by 2025 [9][11]

每经记者 张宝莲 每经编辑 文多 3月28日，缅甸发生7.9级地震，震源深度30公里，震中紧邻曼德勒市。英国剑桥大学地震学家詹姆斯·杰克逊对这场地震形容 道，其破坏力如同一把巨刀切入地球。 曼德勒市是曼德勒省省会、缅甸第二大城市，也是缅甸新能源战略的核心区域之一。伊洛瓦底江从曼德勒穿流而过，平原广 阔、日照充足和地理位置优渥，让它成为光伏等新能源基础设施建设的主要实施地。 近年，缅甸正在加强光伏发电对电力系统的支持，中国电建（SH601669）、中国能建（SH601868）等公司在缅甸投建了大型 光伏项目群或者吉瓦级别的光伏发电基地项目。 4月2日上午，中国电建工作人员通过微信向《每日经济新闻》记者表示，缅甸中部光伏项目群由中国电建方面投资，其中的京 荣光伏电站于北京时间今日8点50分恢复送电，目前设备运行正常，已开始向外供电，电厂经受住了强震考验。 中国电建：京荣光伏电站恢复送电 近年来，缅甸政府积极寻求能源结构转型，清洁能源便是一个重要方向。 据公开资料，缅甸中部光伏项目群由中国电建投资建设，是缅甸境内最大的新能源项目群。该光伏项目群由佐托塔亚、京荣、 薛京、希达、京达五个光伏子项目组成，总装机160兆瓦 ...

特此公告。 签署重大合同的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假 记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确 性和完整性承担法律责任。 近日，中国能源建设股份有限公司所属子公司中国葛洲坝 集团股份有限公司作为总承包方，与阿斯塔纳市首都供水公司， 签署了阿斯塔纳市供水项目合同。合同金额约为6,512亿坚戈, 折合人民币约96亿元。该项目位于哈萨克斯坦阿斯塔纳市东南 部。项目建设内容包括一座规模34.2万m³ /天的取水泵站、两 座加压泵站、总长约400km的输水管道和一座处理能力为21万m ³ /天的净水厂的设计、采购、施工和调试等。项目总工期约为 36个月。 A 股代码：601868 A 股简称：中国能建 公告编号：临 2025-021 H 股代码:03996 H 股简称:中国能源建设 中国能源建设股份有限公司 中国能源建设股份有限公司董事会 2025 年 4 月 2 日 ...

金融界3月31日消息，上证指数下跌0.46%，中证基建指数 (中证基建，930608)下跌2.06%，报7698.26 点，成交额141.97亿元。 数据统计显示，中证基建指数近一个月下跌0.15%，近三个月下跌2.91%，年至今下跌1.80%。 据了解，中证基建指数选取50只基础设施建设、专业工程、工程机械以及房屋建设等基建相关领域上市 公司证券作为指数样本，反映基础设施建设类上市公司证券的整体表现。该指数以2004年12月31日为基 日，以1000.0点为基点。 从指数持仓来看，中证基建指数十大权重分别为：中国建筑（9.24%）、中国中铁（8.27%）、三一重 工（6.06%）、中国电建（6.01%）、徐工机械（5.72%）、中联重科（5.44%）、中国铁建（5.31%）、 中国交建（4.74%）、中国能建（4.29%）、中国化学（3.84%）。 从中证基建指数持仓的市场板块来看，上海证券交易所占比75.54%、深圳证券交易所占比24.46%。 从中证基建指数持仓样本的行业来看，工业占比100.00%。 资料显示，指数样本每半年调整一次，样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月的第二个星期五的下一 交易日。 ...