Group 1 - The food and beverage sector continues to show upward momentum, with the Food ETF (515710) experiencing a peak intraday increase of 1.34% before closing up 0.67% [1][3] - The Food ETF (515710) exhibited a notable premium at the close, with a closing premium rate of 0.28%, indicating strong buying interest [3] - Key stocks in the sector, such as Yanjing Beer, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Wuliangye, showed significant gains, with Yanjing Beer rising by 2.22% and several others increasing by over 1% [3] Group 2 - After a significant prior correction, the food and beverage sector is stabilizing, with Guangfa Securities suggesting that the liquor industry may see a "valuation-earnings" double bottom by 2025, indicating a potential mid-cycle buying point [3][4] - The current dividend yield of the sector compared to the ten-year government bond yield suggests attractive value for investors, especially as the sector's valuation has reached a near 10-year low [3][4] - As of July 8, the price-to-earnings ratio of the Food ETF's underlying index was 19.83, placing it in the 2.94% percentile of the past decade, highlighting its long-term investment appeal [3] Group 3 - Looking ahead, Guosen Securities notes that since September 24, 2024, macro policies have increasingly focused on boosting consumption, with a special action plan aimed at expanding domestic demand [4] - The food and beverage sector is expected to benefit from these consumption-boosting policies, with a gradual recovery in consumer demand anticipated [4] - Hu Long Securities predicts that the revenue and net profit growth rates for the food and beverage industry will slow in the first quarter of 2025, with significant performance differentiation among sub-sectors [4] Group 4 - The Food ETF (515710) tracks the CSI segmented food and beverage industry theme index, with approximately 60% of its holdings in leading high-end and mid-range liquor stocks, and nearly 40% in beverages, dairy, and seasoning stocks [5] - The top ten weighted stocks in the ETF include major brands such as Moutai, Wuliangye, and Yili, indicating a strong focus on core assets within the sector [5]

Core Viewpoint - Yingjia Gongjiu, once a rising star in the Anhui liquor market, is currently facing significant challenges, including a sharp decline in stock price and disappointing financial performance, leading to a strategic shift in its growth targets [2][4][5]. Financial Performance - Yingjia Gongjiu's stock price fell below 40 yuan, reaching a low of 37.12 yuan per share, marking a nearly 23% decline in 2023, the second worst performance since its listing [2][5]. - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 7.344 billion yuan, an 8.46% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.589 billion yuan, up 13.45% [5]. - However, the company did not meet its annual budget targets of 8.064 billion yuan in revenue and 2.866 billion yuan in net profit [6]. Market Challenges - The liquor industry is experiencing a shift towards a "stock competition," with leading brands capturing market share, putting pressure on Yingjia Gongjiu [8]. - The company is increasingly reliant on the Anhui market, with revenue from the province rising from 63.5% in 2021 to 72.74% in 2024, while revenue from outside the province remains below 30% [12]. - The gross profit margin for products sold outside Anhui is lower than that of products sold within the province, indicating challenges in expanding its market presence [13]. Strategic Adjustments - Yingjia Gongjiu has shifted its strategic focus from a "100 billion target" to a more conservative growth approach, aiming for a net profit growth rate of just 1% by 2025 [4][11]. - The company is facing increased competition from both local brands like Gujing Gongjiu and Kouzi Jiao, as well as national giants like Moutai and Wuliangye, which are penetrating regional markets [19]. Operational Issues - The company is experiencing slow sales and high inventory levels, with inventory rising from over 3 billion yuan in 2020 to 5.04 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 37.67% of total assets [21]. - Cash flow from operating activities decreased by 12.89% in 2024, breaking a trend of continuous growth since 2020 [23]. Management and Governance - Despite the company's financial struggles, executive compensation has increased, with the chairman's salary rising by 16% in 2024, surpassing the growth rates of revenue and net profit [24].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Outperform the Market" [5][6]. Core Views - The report highlights that the liquor sector, particularly Moutai, is stabilizing in price, and attention should be paid to the second-quarter performance of the sector [3][12]. - The food and beverage sector saw a slight increase of 0.74% this week, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.67 percentage points [2][22]. - The report emphasizes the importance of consumer demand and market health, with companies focusing on destocking and promoting sales in the short term while nurturing consumer engagement and internationalization in the long term [14][21]. Summary by Sections Liquor Sector - Moutai's stock buyback reached 3.3821 million shares, accounting for 0.27% of total shares, with a total expenditure of 5.202 billion yuan [3][12]. - The liquor index increased by 1.2%, indicating a potential valuation recovery driven by incremental policies [14]. - Recommended stocks include Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Wuliangye, which have demonstrated resilience through multiple cycles [14][21]. Consumer Goods - The report notes that the recent warm weather is favorable for beer consumption, with expectations for slight sales growth among major beer brands [15]. - The snack sector is experiencing a trend of differentiation, with recommendations for companies that are innovating in products and channels [16][17]. - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the seasoning industry, such as Yihai International and Haitian Flavoring, as they show resilience [18]. Frozen Foods - The frozen food sector is stable, with companies actively developing new products despite the off-season [19]. - Anji Food's recent IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange raised 2.302 billion HKD, which will be used to enhance sales networks and optimize supply chains [19]. Dairy Products - The dairy sector is expected to see a gradual recovery in demand, with supply pressures easing and potential policy catalysts on the horizon [20]. - The report recommends focusing on leading dairy companies that are well-positioned for upward elasticity in 2025 [20]. Beverages - The beverage industry is entering a peak season, with expectations for continued growth in segments like sugar-free tea and energy drinks [21]. - The report recommends East Peak Beverage, which is accelerating its national and platform expansion [21].

Core Viewpoint - Yingjia Gongjiu is celebrating its 70th anniversary of factory establishment and 10th anniversary of listing in 2025, focusing on ecological brewing and achieving steady growth in performance [1] Group 1: Company Performance - In 2024, Yingjia Gongjiu achieved an operating income of 7.344 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.46%, and a net profit of 2.589 billion yuan, up 13.45% [1] - The company’s product structure optimization has led to a continuous increase in gross profit margin, with comprehensive gross margins of 68.02%, 71.37%, and 73.94% from 2022 to 2024 [2] Group 2: Ecological Brewing Strategy - Yingjia Gongjiu has established a six-part ecological system focusing on ecological brewing, becoming the first national-level green factory in the liquor industry [1] - The company has collaborated with universities and research institutes to set standards for ecological liquor, promoting a consumption concept that emphasizes health and quality [2] Group 3: Technological Advancements - Since the mid-1990s, Yingjia Gongjiu has embraced new technologies and processes, achieving significant breakthroughs in multi-grain brewing and establishing the first high-quality multi-grain liquor production base in East China [3] - The company has undergone three phases of upgrades from semi-mechanization to mechanization and then to intelligent manufacturing [3][4] Group 4: Digital Transformation - In 2023, Yingjia Gongjiu was recognized as the only ecological liquor intelligent manufacturing demonstration factory in the industry, implementing digital design and online detection systems [4] - The company is enhancing its digital circular economy industrial park, focusing on real-time monitoring and data analysis to improve operational efficiency [4] Group 5: Future Plans - Yingjia Gongjiu plans to focus on core business areas, enhance research on key ecological brewing technologies, and improve production processes to boost product competitiveness [4] - The company aims to optimize its product structure around the Dongcang series, deepen its local market presence, and enhance brand value and influence through cultural storytelling [4]

Core Insights - The competitiveness of the Yangtze River Delta wine industry is fundamentally driven by the release of policy dividends, activation of geographical endowments, and the reconstruction of the industrial chain [12] Economic Overview - In 2024, the GDP of the Yangtze River Delta is projected to exceed 33 trillion yuan, contributing 25% of the national economic total with only 4% of the land [3] - The region accounts for approximately 17% of the national population and contributes about 30% to national economic growth [3] - In the first quarter of 2025, the GDP surpassed 8 trillion yuan, maintaining a strong position in the national economic landscape [3] Industry Performance - Anhui's liquor industry reported significant growth in 2024, with revenue from large enterprises reaching 37.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.2%, and total profits of 12.77 billion yuan, up 13.2% [4] - Jiangsu faced challenges with a 9.83% decline in liquor production and a 16.69% drop in profits, contrasting with the expansion of production capacity by major brands [4] - Zhejiang's yellow wine industry, which holds 57.02% of national production, has seen leading companies achieve growth through structural upgrades and market expansion [4] Challenges Faced - Shanghai's local brands are struggling, with Jin Feng Wine achieving a revenue of 578 million yuan, a mere 0.87% increase, while its net profit plummeted by 94.49% [5] - Shanghai Gui Jiu experienced an 82.54% revenue drop to 285 million yuan, resulting in a net loss of 217 million yuan due to issues like related party transactions and funding chain disruptions [5] - The overall industry faces challenges such as aging consumers in Zhejiang and insufficient penetration into younger markets [6] Strategic Insights - The integration strategy of the Yangtze River Delta aims to break down administrative barriers and inject new momentum into the wine industry [8] - The region's economic foundation and scale have fostered the rise of Su and Hui wines, with leading companies capturing over 60% of their respective provincial markets [7] - Experts suggest that the wine industry must shift from provincial strategies to a more integrated approach, leveraging the strengths of the entire region [10] Future Opportunities - The Yangtze River Delta's one-integration strategy presents a historic opportunity for the wine industry, emphasizing the need for collaboration and resource sharing among provinces [9] - Initiatives include establishing a smart brewing innovation chain, promoting integrated cultural tourism, and developing new green consumption scenarios [9] - The region's unique economic and demographic characteristics create a fertile ground for high-end consumption, with significant potential for growth in premium wine markets [8]

审计报告 安徽迎驾贡酒股份有限公司 容诚审字2025230Z0521 号 容诚会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙) 中国·北京 目 录 序号 内 容 页码 容诚会计师事务所（特殊普通合伙） 总所：北京市西城区阜成门外大街 22 号 审 计 报 告 TEL:010-6600 1391 FAX:010-6600 1392 E-mail:bj@rsmchina.com.cn https://www.rsm.global/china/ 容诚审字2025230Z0521 号 安徽迎驾贡酒股份有限公司全体股东： 一、审计意见 我们审计了安徽迎驾贡酒股份有限公司（以下简称迎驾贡酒）财务报表，包括 合并及母公司现金流量表、合并及母公司所有者权益变动表以及相关财务报表附 注。 我们认为，后附的财务报表在所有重大方面按照企业会计准则的规定编制，公 允反映了迎驾贡酒 2024 年 12 月 31 日的合并及母公司财务状况以及 2024 年度的 合并及母公司经营成果和现金流量。 二、形成审计意见的基础 我们按照中国注册会计师审计准则的规定执行了审计工作。审计报告的"注册 会计师对财务报表审计的责任"部分进一步阐述了我们在这些准则下的责任。按 ...

审计报告 安徽迎驾贡酒股份有限公司 容诚审字[2025]230Z0521 号 容诚会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙) 中国·北京 目 录 | 序号 | 内 容 | 页码 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 审计报告 | 1-6 | | | 2 | 合并资产负债表 | 1 | | | 3 | 合并利润表 | 2 | | | 4 | 合并现金流量表 | 3 | | | 5 | 合并所有者权益变动表 | 4 | | | 6 | 母公司资产负债表 | 5 | | | 7 | 母公司利润表 | 6 | | | 8 | 母公司现金流量表 | 7 | | | 9 | 母公司所有者权益变动表 | 8 | | | 10 | 财务报表附注 | 9 - | 114 | 审 计 报 告 容诚会计师事务所（特殊普通合伙） 总所：北京市西城区阜成门外大街 22 号 1 幢 10 层 1001-1 至 1001-26 (100037) TEL:010-6600 1391 FAX:010-6600 1392 E-mail:bj@rsmchina.com.cn https://www.rsm.global/chi ...

Market Overview - The A-share market continued its volatile trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3359.90 points, down 0.07%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 10005.03 points, down 0.47% [2] - Market trading volume shrank again, with a total turnover of 106.78 billion yuan, decreasing by over 18 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2] Banking Sector - The banking sector showed strong performance, with the Shenwan Banking Index rising by 0.69%, accumulating nearly 5% this month and over 12% year-to-date [3] - Key banking stocks such as Bank of Communications, Xiamen Bank, and Minsheng Bank rose over 2%, while Hangzhou Bank, Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, and Nanjing Bank reached historical highs during the session [3] - As of the end of May, the RMB loan balance was 266.32 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.07%, and new RMB loans in May increased by 620 billion yuan [3] Liquor Sector - The liquor sector, particularly the white wine segment, rebounded with the Shenwan Liquor Index increasing by 1.13% after hitting a new low for the year [3] - Notable stock performances included Huangtai Liquor reaching the daily limit, and Yingjia Gongjiu rising over 7% [3] - The price of Feitian Moutai has been declining, with the wholesale reference price dropping by 30 yuan to 1950 yuan per bottle as of June 20 [4] TMT Sector - The TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) sector experienced a short-term decline, with the Shenwan Computer Index dropping over 2% this week [6] - Some institutions believe that the TMT sector has fully digested its previous congestion, and a new round of market activity is expected due to supportive policies for technology innovation [6] - The trading volume of the technology sector has significantly decreased, with the proportion of total A-share trading volume dropping to around 30% as of June 17, down from over 46% in February [6] Policy and Investment Outlook - The recent "1+6" policy measures for the Science and Technology Innovation Board signify a systematic upgrade aimed at supporting technology companies [7] - Future A-share investments are expected to favor companies with strategic direction and high-quality growth potential, particularly those with hard technology attributes [7]

Core Viewpoint - The tightening of government regulations on alcohol consumption, particularly the new "ban on alcohol" policy, poses challenges for the liquor industry, but also presents opportunities for the growth of low-cost bottled liquor, which is gaining popularity among consumers [2][8][10]. Group 1: Policy Impact - The revised "Regulations on Strict Economy and Opposition to Waste" clearly prohibits alcohol in official receptions, with recent upgrades to the "ban on alcohol" emphasizing a comprehensive prohibition for public officials during work and training periods [2][8]. - The implementation of these policies has led to a significant increase in the stock prices of companies in the liquor sector, indicating a market response to the regulatory changes [8]. - The policies aim to eliminate corrupt practices associated with alcohol consumption in government settings, while allowing for normal social interactions among officials, provided they do not affect public duties [4][10]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The bottled liquor segment is experiencing rapid growth, with market size projected to increase from 352 billion yuan in 2013 to 1.5 trillion yuan by 2024, capturing over 18% of total liquor sales in China [11]. - The rise of low-cost bottled liquor is attributed to changing consumer preferences, particularly among younger generations who prioritize value and simplicity over extravagant packaging [10][11]. - Major liquor brands are shifting their focus towards high-end dining and private events, while also adapting to the growing demand for affordable and high-quality bottled liquor in casual settings [8][10]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The bottled liquor market is becoming increasingly competitive, with a diverse range of products from both established and emerging brands, targeting various price points [13][15]. - Brands like Jiangxiaobai and Guangliang are leveraging trendy packaging and marketing strategies to appeal to younger consumers, while traditional brands are focusing on maintaining a broad consumer base [13][15]. - Despite the growth potential, the bottled liquor segment faces challenges such as product homogenization and limited profit margins, necessitating a focus on quality improvement and digital transformation to enhance market positioning [15].

Market Performance - The liquor concept index rose by 0.83%, ranking sixth among concept sectors, with 28 stocks increasing in value [1] - Notable gainers included Huangtai Liquor, which hit the daily limit, and other stocks like Yingjia Gongjiu, Jinzongzi Liquor, and Zhongrui Co., which rose by 7.19%, 5.67%, and 5.42% respectively [1] Capital Flow - The liquor sector saw a net inflow of 1.559 billion yuan, with 30 stocks receiving net inflows, and 6 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net inflow [2] - Leading the net inflow was Kweichow Moutai with 357 million yuan, followed by Luzhou Laojiao, Wuliangye, and Shanxi Fenjiu with net inflows of 341 million yuan, 218 million yuan, and 205 million yuan respectively [2] Stock Performance - Stocks with the highest net inflow ratios included Huangtai Liquor at 30.18%, Luzhou Laojiao at 17.06%, and Yiyaton at 15.50% [3] - Kweichow Moutai had a slight increase of 0.19% with a turnover rate of 0.28% and a net inflow of 357.21 million yuan [4] - Other notable performers included Luzhou Laojiao with a 2.78% increase and a turnover rate of 1.20%, and Wuliangye with a 1.94% increase and a turnover rate of 0.76% [4] Decliners - The stocks with the largest declines included Liujin Technology, Ju Li Suo Ju, and *ST Yedao, which fell by 5.26%, 3.01%, and 2.68% respectively [1]