Core Viewpoint - Jinchengxin's subsidiary, Yuancheng Technology (Hainan) Co., Ltd., has successfully passed the recognition of the cross-border capital centralized operation center in Hainan Free Trade Port, marking a significant step in the company's global capital management and cross-border business layout [1] Group 1: Company Developments - Yuancheng Technology becomes the first company in Danzhou City and the fourth in Hainan to obtain this qualification, indicating the company's growing capabilities in cross-border financial services [1] - The company plans to leverage the cross-border capital operation center to integrate global capital flows and optimize internal capital allocation, providing stronger financial support for its overseas mining projects [1] - Jinchengxin aims to accumulate valuable cross-border capital management experience through innovative practices in the cross-border financial sector, enhancing its competitiveness in the international mining market [1] Group 2: Future Strategies - The company intends to fully utilize the policy dividends and market opportunities of Hainan Free Trade Port to explore various cross-border financial service scenarios, including cross-border investment and financing, capital appreciation and preservation, and domestic and foreign risk management [1] - Jinchengxin will strengthen cooperation with local governments and financial institutions to promote the deep integration of the mining industry and cross-border finance, aiming to write a new chapter in global capital management and international development [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [8] Core Views - The macroeconomic outlook is improving, leading to a comprehensive rise in metal prices, particularly strategic metals [2][4] - The report emphasizes the importance of strategic metals and bottom energy metal allocation opportunities, highlighting the revaluation of rare earths and tungsten [4] - The report suggests that the domestic growth stabilization and anti-involution policies are enhancing expectations, which is driving up domestic commodity prices [5][6] Summary by Sections Strategic Metals - Strategic metals such as rare earths and tungsten are experiencing a revaluation, with significant price increases expected due to government focus and international supply chain developments [4] - The price of rare earth concentrate has increased to 19,100 CNY/ton, reflecting a 1.5% increase [4] - Tungsten prices are also on the rise, supported by strong supply dynamics and improving company performance [4] Energy Metals - The report indicates a high probability of short-term price increases for cobalt, with a significant drop in imports noted [4] - Cobalt intermediate imports in June fell to 18,991 tons, a decrease of 61.6% month-on-month [4] - Nickel prices are expected to stabilize, with long-term price expectations likely to rise [4] Lithium - The report notes a bottoming out of lithium prices, with recent regulatory changes indicating stricter domestic mining controls [4] - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate has rebounded by 15.2% to 76 CNY/kg [24] - The report suggests monitoring potential resource releases in the lithium sector [4] Precious Metals - Gold prices are fluctuating due to improved risk appetite and easing trade tensions, with a recommendation to increase allocation to precious metal stocks [4][6] - The report highlights that gold stocks have underperformed, suggesting a strategic buying opportunity [4] - Silver is noted for its potential upside, with a recommendation to consider silver stocks for recovery [4] Industrial Metals - The report indicates that industrial metals are experiencing mixed performance, with domestic prices leading international trends [5][6] - Copper prices on the SHFE increased by 1.1%, while aluminum prices rose by 1.2% [5] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring macroeconomic policies and their impact on metal demand [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry and specific companies within the sector [6]. Core Views - The report highlights a positive outlook for industrial metals driven by domestic policies aimed at reducing competition and boosting infrastructure investment, alongside U.S. fiscal expansion and ongoing interest rate cuts [2][3]. - Energy metals, particularly lithium and cobalt, are expected to see price increases due to supply disruptions and strong demand from the new energy sector [3]. - Precious metals are favored due to heightened demand for gold as a safe haven amid global trade tensions and ongoing central bank purchases [4]. Summary by Sections Industrial Metals - The report notes that industrial metal prices are rising due to domestic "anti-involution" policies and infrastructure investment, with copper prices experiencing short-term fluctuations due to trade changes [2]. - Key statistics include a weekly increase in aluminum prices by 1.22% and copper prices by 1.07%, while zinc prices rose by 2.65% [11]. - Recommended companies include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Nonferrous Mining [2]. Energy Metals - Lithium prices are rebounding significantly due to supply concerns from regions like Jiangxi and Qinghai, with expectations for continued price increases [3]. - Cobalt prices are also anticipated to rise due to raw material shortages and increased demand as the market recovers from a low trading volume [3]. - Recommended companies in this sector include Huayou Cobalt and Zangge Mining [3]. Precious Metals - The report emphasizes the increasing demand for gold driven by global trade uncertainties and central bank purchases, predicting a long-term upward trend in gold prices [4]. - Gold prices have shown a weekly increase of 0.68%, while silver prices rose by 2.13% [11]. - Recommended companies include Shandong Gold and Zhongjin Gold [4].

Core Viewpoint - Jinchengxin (603979.SH) is solidifying its sustainable development in the mining sector by issuing convertible bonds to raise up to 2 billion yuan for investment in various projects, including the Zambia Luban Copper Mine [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - From 2022 to 2024, the company's net profit is projected to increase from 611 million yuan to 1.584 billion yuan, representing a growth of 159.25% [1][5] - For the first half of 2025, the company expects a net profit of 1.07 billion to 1.12 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 74.62% to 82.78% [1][6] - Revenue is anticipated to grow from 5.355 billion yuan in 2022 to 9.942 billion yuan in 2024, marking an increase of 85.66% [5] Group 2: Investment and Projects - The company plans to allocate 800 million yuan for the Zambia Luban Copper Mine project, which has a designed capacity of 2.5 million tons per year but has not yet reached production [2] - The project is expected to yield a post-tax internal rate of return of 17.36% and a payback period of 7.4 years [2] - Jinchengxin has expanded its resource projects to five across four countries, focusing on copper, silver, gold, and phosphate mining [3] Group 3: Market Expansion - Jinchengxin has been active in overseas markets for over 20 years, with foreign revenue reaching 7.038 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 70.78% of total revenue [1][4] - The company has made significant investments in projects such as the Congo (DRC) Lonshi Copper Mine and the Alacran copper-gold-silver mine in Colombia [4]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of various industries in the first half of the year has shown significant improvement, with 52.88% of the 938 listed companies reporting a year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders [1] Group 1: Non-ferrous Metals Industry - The non-ferrous metals sector has experienced substantial profit growth, driven by rising prices of raw materials such as copper and gold [2] - 20 companies in the non-ferrous metals industry reported a year-on-year profit increase of over 50%, with 6 companies achieving a profit doubling [2] - For instance, Jincheng Mining expects a net profit of 1.07 billion to 1.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 74.62% to 82.78%, attributed to increased sales volume and prices of mineral products [2] - Luoyang Molybdenum anticipates a net profit of 8.2 billion to 9.1 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 51.37% to 67.98% due to rising copper and cobalt prices [2] - Huayou Cobalt's profit is expected to rise by 55.62% to 67.59%, with a projected net profit of 2.6 billion to 2.8 billion yuan, driven by increased cobalt prices [2] Group 2: Gold Industry - The gold sector has also reported strong performance, with companies like Western Gold expecting a net profit of 130 million to 160 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 96.35% to 141.66% [3] - Shandong Gold anticipates a net profit of 2.55 billion to 3.05 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 84.30% to 120.50% due to higher gold sales prices and increased sales volume [3] - Other gold companies, including Chifeng Gold and Zhongjin Gold, also expect net profit increases exceeding 50% [3] Group 3: Agricultural Chemicals Industry - The agricultural chemicals sector has seen significant profit growth, with 49 out of 89 companies reporting increases, representing 55.1% [4] - Xian Da Co. expects a net profit of 130 million to 150 million yuan, a staggering year-on-year increase of 2443.43% to 2834.73%, driven by rising market prices of its main product [4] - Su Li Co. anticipates a net profit of 72 million to 86 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 1008.39% to 1223.91% due to increased sales of pesticides [4] - Li Min Co. expects a net profit of 260 million to 280 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 719.25% to 782.27% [4] Group 4: Fertilizer Industry - Fertilizer companies like Yara International and Dongfang Iron Tower are also forecasting over 50% profit growth due to increased product demand [5] - Yara International expects a net profit of 730 million to 930 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 170% to 244%, driven by higher production and sales volumes [5] - Dongfang Iron Tower anticipates a net profit of 451 million to 495 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 63.80% to 79.78% [5] Group 5: Fluorochemical Industry - The fluorochemical sector has benefited from rising market prices, with companies like Sanmei Co. expecting a net profit of 948 million to 1.042 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 146.97% to 171.67% [6] - Juhua Co. anticipates a net profit of 1.97 billion to 2.13 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 136% to 155% due to rising prices of fluorinated refrigerants [6] - Yonghe Co. expects a net profit of 255 million to 280 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 126.30% to 148.49% [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals sector is "Increase" [5] Core Viewpoints - In Q2 2025, the holdings of non-ferrous metal heavy stocks by active equity funds increased, with significant increases in rare earth and minor metals [1][2] - The total market value of active equity funds' holdings in the non-ferrous metals sector reached approximately 70.4 billion yuan, accounting for 4.29% of the total heavy stock holdings, an increase of 0.07 percentage points from Q1 2025 [1] - The top ten heavy stocks are concentrated in copper, gold, and aluminum, with Zijin Mining remaining the largest heavy stock [1] Summary by Sections Heavy Stock Holdings - The market value of the top ten heavy stocks in the non-ferrous metals sector includes Zijin Mining (22.8 billion yuan), Shandong Gold (4.4 billion yuan), and Zhongjin Gold (3 billion yuan) [1] - The increase in holdings is mainly concentrated in rare earth and minor metal sectors, with the largest increases seen in stocks like Guangsheng Nonferrous (rare earth) and Haotong Technology (platinum, palladium, rhodium recovery) [2] Investment Recommendations - Supply constraints are expected to support the price increases of rare earths, copper, and aluminum, while precious metals will benefit from weakened dollar credit and a rate-cutting cycle [2] - Specific recommendations include: - Rare Earth: Favorable outlook for rare earth prices, with recommendations for Northern Rare Earth and Guangsheng Nonferrous [2] - Copper: Limited supply growth due to reduced capital expenditure, with recommendations for Jincheng Mining, Zijin Mining, and Luoyang Molybdenum [2] - Aluminum: Anticipated supply ceiling for electrolytic aluminum, recommending China Hongqiao [2] - Gold: Positive outlook for gold prices due to weakened dollar credit, with recommendations for Zhongjin Gold and Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for key companies are as follows: - Zijin Mining: EPS of 1.21 (2024), PE of 16 (2024) [4] - Luoyang Molybdenum: EPS of 0.63 (2024), PE of 14 (2024) [4] - Jincheng Mining: EPS of 2.54 (2024), PE of 19 (2024) [4] - Western Mining: EPS of 1.23 (2024), PE of 14 (2024) [4] - China Hongqiao: EPS of 2.36 (2024), PE of 8 (2024) [4] - Northern Rare Earth: EPS of 0.28 (2024), PE of 126 (2024) [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has approved the refinancing plan of Jincheng Mining Management Co., Ltd. (金诚信), confirming that it meets the issuance, listing, and information disclosure requirements [1] Group 1: Issuance Details - Jincheng plans to issue convertible bonds with a total fundraising amount not exceeding 200 million RMB, which will be used for various projects including the Zambia Lubanbi Copper Mine [3][4] - The convertible bonds will have a face value of 100 RMB each and a term of six years from the date of issuance [3][5] - The bonds will be convertible into A-shares of the company, with the conversion period starting six months after issuance [6] Group 2: Project Investments - The total investment for the Zambia Lubanbi Copper Mine project is approximately 80.12 million RMB, with 80 million RMB expected to be funded from the bond issuance [4] - Other projects include mining operation and infrastructure equipment purchases, domestic and international mining engineering projects, and research on underground green unmanned intelligent equipment [3][4] Group 3: Credit Rating and Underwriting - The credit rating for Jincheng's bonds has been assessed as AA by a credit rating agency [7] - The underwriting for this issuance is handled by China Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd. [8]

证券代码：603979 证券简称：金诚信 公告编号：2025-062 转债代码：113615 转债简称：金诚转债 金诚信矿业管理股份有限公司 关于向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券申请 获得上海证券交易所上市审核委员会审核通过的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 上海证券交易所上市审核委员会于 2025 年 7 月 21 日召开 2025 年第 24 次 审议会议（以下简称"会议"），对金诚信矿业管理股份有限公司（以下简称"公 司"）向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券的申请进行了审议。根据会议结果，公 司本次向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券的申请符合发行条件、上市条件和信息 披露要求。 公司本次向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券事项尚需获得中国证券监督管 理委员会（以下简称"证监会"）作出同意注册的决定后方可实施。本次发行最 终能否获得证监会同意注册的决定及其时间尚存在不确定性。公司将根据该事项 的进展情况，按照相关规定和要求及时履行信息披露义务，敬请广大投资者注意 投资风险。 特此公告。 金诚信矿业管理股份有限公司 ...

IPO and Financing Overview - Two companies are scheduled for IPO review next week, aiming to raise a total of 1.397 billion yuan [1] - 恒坤新材 plans to reduce its fundraising target from 1.2 billion yuan to 1.007 billion yuan, removing the SiARC development project from its proposal [2] - 泰凯英 has also cut its fundraising target from 770 million yuan to 390 million yuan, with several projects being deleted or adjusted [4] 恒坤新材 Company Profile - 恒坤新材 focuses on the research and industrial application of key materials for integrated circuits, being one of the few domestic companies capable of developing and mass-producing key materials for 12-inch integrated circuit wafers [7] - The company reported a net profit of 96.91 million yuan in the last year, with a total asset value of 2.645 billion yuan [9] 泰凯英 Company Profile - 泰凯英 specializes in the design, research, sales, and service of tires for the global mining and construction industries, particularly in engineering radial tires and all-steel truck tires [11] - The company reported a net profit of 156.65 million yuan for the last year, with total assets amounting to approximately 1.647 billion yuan [12] Upcoming Financing Plans - Next week, two companies are set to review their refinancing plans, aiming to raise a total of 3.5 billion yuan [1] - 金诚信 plans to issue convertible bonds to raise 2 billion yuan, focusing on mining services and resource development [15] - 应流股份 aims to raise 1.5 billion yuan through convertible bonds, specializing in high-temperature alloy products and precision castings [18]

Core Views - The report maintains a positive long-term outlook on gold, copper, and aluminum, emphasizing the importance of strategic metals [1][3] - In H1 2025, domestic economic indicators show signs of bottoming out, with improvements in real estate construction and a gradual shift towards new economic drivers [4][8] - The global economic landscape is being reshaped by fluctuating interest rate expectations from the Federal Reserve and the impacts of trade wars, leading to significant changes in resource sectors [4][8] Investment Strategies - **Main Line 1: Expansion on the Denominator Side - Gold and Silver**: Focus on gold and silver, with specific attention to the performance of gold stocks and the potential for silver due to its high price ratio to gold [4][5] - **Main Line 2: Improvement on the Numerator Side - Aluminum, Copper, Tin**: Anticipate continued high profitability in aluminum due to falling costs, while remaining cautious of potential short-term demand weakness [4][7] - **Main Line 3: Key Strategic Metals**: Highlighting opportunities in rare earths and other strategic metals amid US-China tensions, particularly in six key strategic metals [4][7] - **Main Line 4: Supply-Side Disruptions from Anti-Competition**: The report suggests that supply-side constraints in sectors like lithium carbonate may present attractive bottom-fishing opportunities [4][7] Market Performance - The CRB metal spot index increased by 7.08% from the beginning of 2025 to June 30, 2025, indicating a general upward trend in metal prices [9][10] - Gold prices surged by 23.93% during the same period, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut [12][14] - Industrial metals, particularly tin and copper, saw significant price increases of 19.91% and 15.59% respectively, while zinc prices fell by 5.55% [16][19] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Global copper inventories saw a significant reduction, with LME copper stocks decreasing by 66.17% by June 30, 2025 [21][69] - The report anticipates limited growth in global copper supply due to insufficient capital expenditure in mining, projecting only a 2.3% increase in global copper production in 2025 [62][64] - The refined copper market is expected to remain slightly short, with a projected demand growth of 7.1% for 2025, supporting a high price center for copper [69] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector outperformed the broader market, with a cumulative increase of 19.17% from January to June 2025, compared to a 5.6% rise in the Shanghai Composite Index [38][40] - Sub-sectors such as tungsten, gold, and rare earths performed particularly well, with respective increases of 39.64%, 33.57%, and 31.88% [42][44] - Companies closely tied to resource price fluctuations, particularly in gold and rare earths, showed strong performance, while midstream processing companies faced challenges due to weak downstream demand [44]