有色金属行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 流动性预期升级，白热化交易延续 有色及贵金属周报 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 核心观点：流动性预期升级，白热化交易延续。近期市场的乐观降息预期再度发酵，推 动贵金属、工业金属再度突破。近一周铜铝负反馈明显减弱，高价情况下现实端的改善 或能看到，总体而言，内外政策托底预期下，工业品看涨大方向不变。 投资标的： 相关标的：山东黄金(600547，未评级)、山金国际(000975，未评级)、中金黄金 (600489，未评级)、赤峰黄金(600988，买入)、紫金矿业(601899，买入)、洛阳钼业 (603993，未评级)、中国铝业(601600，未评级)、西部矿业(601168，未评级)、金诚 信(603979，未评级)。 风险提示 下游需求弱于预期、供给端大量释放、美联储降息进程不及预期等。 国家/地区 中国 行业 有色金属行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 01 月 25 日 看好维持 | 上行趋势不改，价格加速走强：——钴锂 | 2026-01-24 | | --- | --- | | 金属行业周报 | | | 流动性预期回摆，无碍长多逻辑延续：— | 2026-01- ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The report highlights that copper prices are experiencing high-level fluctuations amidst inventory accumulation, with short-term price adjustments expected to be limited due to the financial attributes of copper supported by rising gold prices. The supply-demand balance for copper may shift from tight equilibrium to shortage in the medium to long term, driven by insufficient capital expenditure in copper mines and frequent supply disruptions. The report suggests monitoring companies such as Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Jiangxi Copper, and others [5] - For aluminum, the report notes that both alumina and aluminum prices are under pressure due to high inventory levels. The short-term outlook for aluminum prices is expected to remain stable amidst high demand, particularly in the air conditioning and consumer goods sectors [5] - Lithium demand remains strong despite seasonal trends, with lithium carbonate prices entering an upward cycle driven by supply-demand reversal. The report recommends focusing on companies with high self-sufficiency in lithium resources [5] - Cobalt prices are expected to continue rising due to tight raw material supply, with the report suggesting companies like Huayou Cobalt and others for investment [5] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The report provides insights into macroeconomic indicators, including the U.S. core PCE price index and unemployment claims, which align with expectations [9] - Key announcements include Zijin Mining's completion of the second phase of the Jilong Copper Mine, significantly increasing its production capacity [10] 2. Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with a weekly increase of 6.03% compared to the index's 0.84% rise [11] - The report lists the top-performing stocks in the sector, highlighting significant movements in various sub-sectors [11] 3. Valuation Changes - The report notes that the TTM PE for the non-ferrous metals sector is 33.82, with a change of 1.79, while the PB is 4.18, reflecting a significant premium over the broader market [20][23]

有色金属周报 20260125 避险情绪持续升温，金银引领商品价格大涨 glmszqdatemark 重点公司盈利预测、估值与评级 | 代码 | 简称 | 股价（元） | | EPS（元） | | | PE（X） | | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | | | 601899.SH | 紫金矿业 | 37.56 | 1.21 | 2.00 | 2.71 | 31 | 19 | 14 | 推荐 | | 603993.SH | 洛阳钼业 | 22.76 | 0.63 | 0.88 | 1.29 | 36 | 26 | 18 | 推荐 | | 000807.SZ | 云铝股份 | 32.64 | 1.27 | 1.94 | 2.31 | 26 | 17 | 14 | 推荐 | | 603799.SH | 华友钴业 | 78.65 | 2.50 | 3.15 | 4.17 | 31 | 25 | 19 | 推 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a bullish outlook for the metals sector, driven by macroeconomic factors such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and a recovering global economy, particularly in China [3][44] - Key investment themes for 2026 include expanding demand for precious metals like gold and silver, improving fundamentals for aluminum and copper, strategic opportunities in rare earths, and supply-side disruptions due to overcapacity in certain sectors [3][4] Group 1: Precious Metals - The report suggests a long-term bullish view on gold, with expectations of price increases driven by anticipated interest rate cuts and geopolitical tensions, which enhance gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [3][44] - Silver is also highlighted as a key investment opportunity due to its high price ratio to gold, indicating potential for significant price appreciation [3] - Specific companies to watch include Shandong Gold (600547.SH) and Zijin Mining (601899.SH), which are expected to benefit from increased production and operational efficiencies [4] Group 2: Industrial Metals - The report notes that aluminum and copper are set to see improved profitability due to lower production costs and increased demand, particularly in the context of infrastructure investments [3][4] - Companies such as Zhongfu Industrial (600595.SH) and Zijin Mining (601899.SH) are identified as having strong positions in the copper market, with expected profit growth [4] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring supply chain dynamics, particularly in copper, where inventory levels are shifting significantly [18][58] Group 3: Rare Earths and Strategic Metals - The report identifies rare earth elements as a critical area for investment, particularly in light of geopolitical tensions between the US and China, which may create opportunities for companies involved in rare earth mining and processing [3][4] - Companies like Northern Rare Earth (600111.SH) and China Rare Earth (000831.SZ) are highlighted for their potential to benefit from price increases in rare earth materials [4] Group 4: Energy Metals - The report discusses the rebound in lithium and nickel prices, driven by strong demand from the battery sector, with specific mention of companies like Tianqi Lithium (002466.SZ) and Ganfeng Lithium (002460.SZ) [4][27] - The expected growth in energy storage solutions is also noted as a significant driver for demand in these metals [4] Group 5: Overall Market Performance - The overall performance of the non-ferrous metals sector is noted to have outperformed the broader market, with a cumulative increase of 96.46% in 2025 compared to a 21.65% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [33][35] - The report indicates that while the sector has seen significant gains, valuations are currently at historical averages, suggesting potential for further growth [35]

| 转债代码：113615 | 转债简称：金诚转债 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码：603979 转债代码：113699 | 证券简称：金诚信 转债简称：金 25 | 转债 | 公告编号：2026-008 | 金诚信矿业管理股份有限公司 2026年第一次临时股东会决议公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 一、 会议召开和出席情况 | 1、出席会议的股东和代理人人数 | 450 | | --- | --- | | 2、出席会议的股东所持有表决权的股份总数（股） | 343,253,504 | | 3、出席会议的股东所持有表决权股份数占公司有表决权股 | 55.0272 | | 份总数的比例（%） | | (四) 表决方式是否符合《公司法》及《公司章程》的规定，会议主持情况等。 本次股东会由公司董事会召集，公司董事长王青海先生主持，采用现场投票 (一) 股东会召开的时间：2026 年 1 月 23 日 (二) 股东会召开的地点：北京市丰台区育仁南路 3 号院 3 号楼公 ...

厦 7 层 8 电话· 010-88004488/66090088 传真:010-66090016 北京国枫律师事务所 关于金诚信矿业管理股份有限公司 2026 年第一次临时股东会的 法律意见书 国枫律股字[2026]A0027 号 致: 金诚信矿业管理股份有限公司(贵公司) 北京国枫律师事务所(以下简称"本所")接受贵公司的委托,指派律师出席并见 证贵公司 2026年第一次临时股东会(以下简称"本次会议")。 本所律师根据《中华人民共和国公司法》（以下简称"《公司法》"）、《中华人 民共和国证券法》(以下简称"《证券法》")、《上市公司股东会规则》(以下简称 "《股东会规则》")、《律师事务所从事证券法律业务管理办法》(以下简称"《证 券法律业务管理办法》")、《律师事务所证券法律业务执业规则(试行)》(以下简 称"《证券法律业务执业规则》")等相关法律、行政法规、规章、规范性文件及《金 诚信矿业管理股份有限公司公司章程》(以下简称"《公司章程》")的规定,就本次 会议的召集与召开程序、召集人资格、出席会议人员资格、会议表决程序及表决结果等 事宜,出具本法律意见书。 对本法律意见书的出具,本所律师特作如下声 ...

Group 1: Key Insights on Precious Metals - The upward momentum for precious metals, particularly gold, is strong, with London gold prices reaching $4,611.05 per ounce, an increase of $117.20 per ounce from the previous week, reflecting a rise of 2.59% [2] - The market is closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting, with a 95% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut anticipated in January [2][3] Group 2: Key Insights on Copper and Aluminum - Copper prices are experiencing high-level consolidation, with LME copper closing at $12,925 per ton, down $65 per ton, a decrease of 0.50% [4] - Domestic copper inventory is reported at 213,515 tons, showing an increase of 4,600 tons from January 9, while SHFE inventory also reflects a similar trend [4] - Aluminum prices are at 24,000 yuan per ton, down 60 yuan, with LME aluminum inventory at 488,000 tons, a decrease of 9,825 tons [6] Group 3: Key Insights on Tin and Antimony - Domestic refined tin prices are at 41,4640 yuan per ton, up 639.40 yuan per ton, indicating a positive trend [8] - Antimony prices have rebounded, with domestic antimony ingot prices increasing by 0.2 million yuan per ton from January 9 [10] Group 4: Investment Ratings and Recommendations - The copper industry maintains a "recommended" investment rating due to ongoing tightness in copper supply [13] - The aluminum industry also holds a "recommended" investment rating, supported by rigid supply dynamics [14] - The tin industry is rated "recommended" as supply constraints are expected to support tin prices [14] - The antimony industry is rated "recommended" following a rebound in prices after a six-month decline [14] Group 5: Stock Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the gold sector include Zhongjin Gold (600489), Shandong Gold (600547), and China National Gold (600916) [15] - In the copper sector, recommended stocks include Zijin Mining (601899) and Western Mining (601168) [15] - For aluminum, recommended stocks are Shenhuo Co. (000933) and Yunnan Aluminum (000807) [15] - In the tin sector, recommended stocks include Tin Industry Co. (000960) and Hunan Gold (002155) [15]

格隆汇1月20日｜西部证券研报指出，金诚信三项大额合同落地，矿服业务业绩确定性增强。近期，金 诚信及子公司落地三项矿山采掘承包合同，合计预估金额10.74亿元，覆盖铁矿、铅锌矿多矿种及1-4 年 多周期，其中3-4年长期合同（肃北博伦5.10亿元+四川鑫源4.57亿元）合计9.67亿元，占比90.0%，为公 司未来营收增长提供坚实支撑。展望未来，随着卡库拉生产恢复、科马考铜矿逐步起量，矿服业务成长 可期。远期来看，L矿东区、鲁班比铜矿达产和哥伦比亚SanMatias项目预计将继续贡献增量，扩产计划 明确。维持"买入"评级。 ...

事件：近期金诚信及子公司新签/续签三项矿山采掘承包合同，合计预估金额10.74 亿元，覆盖26-29 年 多周期经营，中长期业绩增量确定性持续增强。 盈利预测：我们预计2025-2027 年公司EPS 分别为3.97、5.50、6.37 元，PE 分别为19、14、12 倍，维 持"买入"评级。 三项大额合同落地，矿服业务业绩确定性增强。近期，金诚信及子公司落地三项矿山采掘承包合同，合 计预估金额10.74 亿元，覆盖铁矿、铅锌矿多矿种及1-4 年多周期，其中3-4 年长期合同（肃北博伦5.10 亿元+四川鑫源4.57亿元）合计9.67 亿元，占比90.0%，为公司未来营收增长提供坚实支撑。 风险提示：矿服业务合同执行和资源开发业务不达预期、应收账款风险、地缘政治风险、外汇风险等。 具体来看，公司本部续签肃北博伦七角井铁矿4 年期合同（5.10 亿元）、四川鑫源矿业3 年期合同 （4.57 亿元），子公司云南金诚信新签云南驰宏锌锗1 年期铅锌矿采矿合同（1.07 亿元），形成多区域 业务布局。订单"长期为主、续约为辅"的特点，也印证了公司高客户粘性，叠加有色矿服需求景气，头 部优势有望持续凸显，且长期订单高占 ...

关于签署日常经营合同的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 金诚信矿业管理股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）及子公司近日取得了部 分经双方签字盖章的日常经营合同文件。其中主要合同情况如下： 一、工程项目及协议主要情况 （一）四川鑫源矿业有限责任公司矿山采矿生产承包合同 1、工程名称：四川鑫源矿业有限责任公司第四期矿山生产承包 | 证券代码：603979 | 证券简称：金诚信 公告编号：2026-007 | | --- | --- | | 转债代码：113615 | 转债简称：金诚转债 | | 转债代码：113699 | 转债简称：金 25 | | | 转债 | 金诚信矿业管理股份有限公司 承包人：金诚信矿业管理股份有限公司 （二）云南驰宏锌锗股份有限公司会泽矿业分公司麒麟厂矿山生产剥离（开 拓）、采矿外委工程合同（第一年） 1、项目名称：云南驰宏锌锗股份有限公司会泽矿业分公司麒麟厂矿山西区 标段 2026-2027 年度采矿业务工程 2、工程内容：会泽矿业分公司麒麟厂矿山西区标段 2026-2027 年度采 ...