Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The suspension of cobalt exports from the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is expected to stabilize cobalt prices, with a projected supply reduction of approximately 25% globally [1][10]. - The market has two misconceptions regarding the company's sales impact due to the DRC's export ban; the company has sufficient in-transit inventory to benefit from rising cobalt prices in the short term, and the long-term potential for price increases is underestimated [2][14]. - The introduction of a quota system post-ban is anticipated to elevate the cobalt price center, significantly enhancing the company's profit margins [3][42]. Summary by Sections Section 1: DRC Export Ban and Cobalt Price Stabilization - The DRC's decision to halt cobalt exports for four months aims to address the oversupply in the global cobalt market, which could lead to a price floor being established [1][10]. - The DRC accounts for approximately 76% of global cobalt production, and the export ban is expected to shift the market from surplus to a potential deficit [1][13]. Section 2: Company Performance and Inventory Management - The company is positioned as a leading player in the cobalt industry, with significant projects located in the DRC [16]. - In the short term, the company's performance is supported by in-transit inventory, which is estimated at around 28,500 tons, providing a profit increase of approximately 870 million yuan [2][34]. - The company’s cobalt production is projected to reach 114,000 tons in 2024, making it the largest cobalt producer globally [26][48]. Section 3: Long-term Profitability and Quota System - The anticipated implementation of a quota system is expected to raise the cobalt price center, with potential net profit per ton increasing from 9,200 yuan to 51,300 yuan [3][44]. - The company is expected to capture a significant share of the quotas, allowing it to benefit from higher prices while maintaining production levels [3][42]. Section 4: Financial Forecasts - The company’s projected net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 13.32 billion, 15.12 billion, and 17.02 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 0.62, 0.70, and 0.79 yuan [5][48].

董事會召開日期 中華人民共和國河南省洛陽市 二零二五年三月十日 洛陽欒川鉬業集團股份有限公司（「本公司」）董事會（「董事會」）茲通告謹訂於二 零二五年三月二十一日（星期五）舉行董事會會議，藉以（其中包括但不限於）考慮 及批准刊發本公司及其附屬公司截至二零二四年十二月三十一日止年度的全年業 績、建議派發末期股息，以及處理任何其他事項。 於本公告日期，本公司之執行董事為孫瑞文先生及李朝春先生；本公司之非執行 董事為袁宏林先生、林久新先生及蔣理先生；及本公司之獨立非執行董事為王開 國先生、顧紅雨女士及程鈺先生。 承董事會命 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚 賴該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 洛陽欒川鉬業集團股份有限公司 CMOC Group Limited* 袁宏林 （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） （股份代號：03993） 董事長 * 僅供識別 ...

Investment Ratings - Steel industry: Neutral [5] - Non-ferrous metals industry: Positive [5] Core Insights - March is a traditional peak season for steel, with expectations for gradual recovery in demand from the construction sector, supported by automotive and other industries. Steel prices may rebound due to demand, but actual recovery needs to be monitored alongside domestic macro policies and foreign tariff impacts [1][14]. - Copper supply remains tight, providing price support. The "Two New" policies are expected to stimulate consumption, and if demand rebounds, copper prices may have upward potential. Attention should be paid to domestic macro policies and actual demand data, as well as potential new tariffs on copper imports from the U.S. [2][25]. - Aluminum prices have seen a significant decline in February, but profits for electrolytic aluminum companies are expected to improve. March is also a traditional peak season, and if downstream demand recovers well, inventory levels may turn around [2][27]. - Lithium demand is expected to gradually recover in March, but supply remains loose, leading to a weak price outlook [33]. - Cobalt prices are expected to remain strong due to a four-month export suspension of cobalt from the Democratic Republic of Congo, which has increased purchasing willingness in the downstream market [2][37]. - Nickel prices are expected to remain in a range due to oversupply and inventory pressure, with attention needed on policies from Indonesia and the Philippines [2][39]. Summary by Sections Steel - The PMI index for the steel industry in February was 45.1%, indicating contraction but a 1.8 percentage point increase from the previous month. Steel production is stabilizing post-holiday, but demand recovery is slower than supply [14][15]. - In December 2024, national apparent steel consumption was 109.99 million tons, a 0.01% decrease month-on-month but an 8.45% increase year-on-year [15]. - In December 2024, crude steel production was 75.97 million tons, a 3.10% decrease month-on-month but an 11.80% increase year-on-year [16]. Copper - In December 2024, refined copper production was 1.24 million tons, a 9.62% increase month-on-month and a 6.24% increase year-on-year [25]. - LME copper prices increased by 3.45% to $9,400 per ton, while domestic prices rose by 2.23% to ¥76,900 per ton [25]. Aluminum - In December 2024, domestic alumina production was 7.51 million tons, a 0.65% decrease month-on-month but a 9.70% increase year-on-year [27]. - LME aluminum prices increased by 0.80% to $2,600 per ton, while domestic prices rose by 2.44% to ¥20,600 per ton [27]. Lithium - Domestic battery-grade lithium carbonate prices fell by 3.14% to ¥75,600 per ton [33]. - Domestic lithium production in January was 35,100 tons, a 9.37% decrease year-on-year [33]. Cobalt - The average price of 1 cobalt increased by 5.99% to ¥177,000 per ton [37]. - Domestic sulfuric acid cobalt production in January was 19,900 tons, a 24.79% decrease year-on-year [37]. Nickel - LME nickel prices decreased by 0.29% to $15,500 per ton, while domestic nickel sulfate prices fell by 0.68% to ¥29,100 per ton [39]. - Domestic electrolytic nickel production in January was 30,000 tons, an 18.70% increase year-on-year [39]. Rare Earths and Minor Metals - Prices for rare earths such as praseodymium-neodymium oxide increased by 6.99% to ¥444,000 per ton [41]. - Tungsten concentrate prices decreased by 1.38% to ¥143,000 per ton [44].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年2月28日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 洛陽欒川鉬業集團股份有限公司 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 03993 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 3,933,468,000 | RMB | | 0.2 RMB | | 786,693,600 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 3,933,468,000 | RMB | | 0.2 RMB | | 786,693,600 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for Luoyang Molybdenum (603993.SH) with a target price of 9.46 RMB, corresponding to a PE of 43 times and a predicted market value of 2005.94 billion RMB [2][21]. Core Viewpoints - Luoyang Molybdenum is positioned as a world-class resource leader, leveraging strategic acquisitions and a diversified, international approach to enhance its growth in the energy metals sector [1][2]. - The company has successfully completed a cost reduction plan, achieving savings of 500 million USD ahead of schedule, which is expected to accelerate profit release [2][18]. - The intrinsic value of the company's mineral rights is estimated at 1925.47 billion RMB, while its current market capitalization is around 1400 billion RMB, indicating potential for value re-evaluation [2][18]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum has transformed from a regional mining company to a global leader through strategic acquisitions, including the purchase of NPM copper-gold mine and TFM copper-cobalt mine, among others [1][24]. - The company is now one of the largest producers of tungsten, cobalt, niobium, and molybdenum globally, with a diversified portfolio that includes significant assets in various countries [1][24]. Growth Strategy - The company focuses on both internal growth and external expansion, particularly in the energy metals sector, which is expected to drive long-term growth [20][22]. - The TFM project is projected to significantly increase copper and cobalt production, with future capacity reaching 40-50 million tons of copper and 3-4 million tons of cobalt annually [18][20]. Financial Performance - The report forecasts revenue growth from 68.68 billion RMB in 2019 to 134.30 billion RMB in 2023, with net profit expected to rise from 1.86 billion RMB to 8.49 billion RMB during the same period [4][2]. - The company's EPS is projected to increase from 0.09 RMB in 2019 to 0.39 RMB in 2023, reflecting strong earnings growth [4][2]. Market Position - Luoyang Molybdenum's strategic partnerships, such as with CATL for resource development, enhance its competitive position in the energy metals market [1][20]. - The company has established a global marketing network across five continents, which is expected to strengthen its influence in the resource industry [29][24].

Core Viewpoint - COMEX copper has recently experienced a significant premium compared to LME copper and Shanghai copper futures, driven by supply disruptions and U.S. government investigations into copper imports [1][2][3]. Group 1: Price Movements and Market Dynamics - On February 26, COMEX copper surged by 4.9%, reaching 4.732 cents per pound, equivalent to $10,432 per ton, which is nearly $1,000 higher than LME copper during the same period [2][3]. - The year-to-date increase in COMEX copper prices stands at 17%, significantly outperforming LME copper's 7.98% and Shanghai copper's 4.23% [10]. - The price disparity between COMEX and LME copper has led to an increase in arbitrage activities, with more shipments directed towards the U.S. market [5][11]. Group 2: Supply Chain Disruptions - A large-scale power outage in Chile on February 25 affected several major copper mines, disrupting mining operations in the world's largest copper-producing country [4][18]. - The COMEX copper inventory has reached a historical high, exceeding 100,000 tons, indicating a potential for further increases in the future [6][12]. Group 3: U.S. Government Investigations - The U.S. initiated a Section 232 investigation into copper imports, which may lead to new tariffs and further impact copper prices and supply chains [3][8]. - The investigation is expected to focus on major copper suppliers from the Americas, including Chile, Mexico, and Canada, while Chinese brands currently have minimal direct impact on COMEX [14]. Group 4: Company Performance and Growth - The recent price increases are likely to enhance profitability for copper-related companies in the first quarter, with a high probability of year-on-year profit growth [21][23]. - Chinese copper companies, such as Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum, have shown significant production growth, with Zijin Mining expected to produce 115,000 tons of copper in 2025, a 7.5% increase from 2024 [24][27]. - Luoyang Molybdenum is also projected to enter the top ten global copper producers, with a production target of 65,000 tons [25].

重要内容提示： 一、担保审批及授权情况 2024年6月7日，公司2023年年度股东大会审议通过《关于本公司 股票代码：603993 股票简称：洛阳钼业 编号：2025—010 洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司 关于对外担保计划的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导 性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法 律责任。 被担保方：相关全资子公司 本次担保金额：洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公 司"）直接或通过全资子公司（含直接及间接全资子公司，下同） 为其他全资子公司合计提供总额预计不超过35亿元的担保。 本次担保不涉及反担保。 截至本公告披露日公司无逾期担保。 本次担保计划部分被担保方为资产负债率超过70%的全资子公司； 截至本公告披露日，公司对外担保总额占公司最近一期经审计净 资产的29.98%。敬请投资者注意相关风险。 2024年度对外担保额度预计的议案》，同意授权董事会或董事会授权 人士（及该等授权人士的转授权人士）批准公司直接或通过全资子公 司（含直接及间接全资子公司，下同）或控股子公司（含直接及间接 控股子公司，下同）为其他全资子公司、控股子公司 ...

股票代码：603993 股票简称：洛阳钼业 编号：2025—009 洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司 关于实施回购股份注销暨股份变动的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司（以下简称"洛阳钼业" 或"公司"）本次将注销回购专用证券账户中的99,999,964股股 份，占注销前公司总股本21,599,240,583股的比例为0.46%。本次 注 销 完 成 后 ， 公 司 的 总 股 本 将 由 21,599,240,583 股 变 更 为 21,499,240,619股。 资本。公司回购专用证券账户中的二期库存股99,999,964股于2021 年9月1日至2021年12月17日期间回购，上述股份的使用期限已满36 个月。 公司于2024年10月28日召开第七届董事会第三次会议，于2024 年12月10日召开2024年第一次临时股东大会，审议通过《关于注销部 分回购股份并减少注册资本的议案》，同意对根据2021年第一期员工 持股计划回购的二期库存股99,999,964股进 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is "Buy" (maintained) [1]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in copper production and exceeded expectations for Q4 2024 earnings, with a projected net profit of 12.8 to 14.2 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 55% to 72% [6]. - The company aims to achieve an annual copper production of 800,000 to 1,000,000 tons over the next five years, positioning itself among the top global mining companies [6]. - The earnings forecast for 2024-2026 has been revised upwards due to higher-than-expected copper production, with projected net profits of 13.47 billion, 13.77 billion, and 14.37 billion yuan respectively [6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2023 is expected to be 186.27 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 7.7%. For 2024, revenue is projected at 217.50 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 16.8% [5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is estimated at 8.25 billion yuan, with a significant increase of 238.6% in Q1-3 2024, leading to a forecast of 13.47 billion yuan for 2024 [5][7]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to be 15.7% in 2024, with a return on equity (ROE) of 18.7% [5].