Core Viewpoint - The report from Zhongtai Securities highlights the importance of freezer displays in driving instant consumption of soft drinks, emphasizing that product exposure and taste are key factors for consumers [1][3]. Group 1: Freezer Impact on Consumption - Freezer displays enhance instant consumption by improving product exposure and maintaining taste quality, leading to increased sales for brands like Nongfu Spring, which saw a rise in freezer numbers from 360,000 in 2019 to approximately 800,000 in 2022, correlating with significant revenue growth in ready-to-drink tea products [1][2]. - Dongpeng has also prioritized freezer investments, planning to increase its freezer count from 74,000 in 2022 to 300,000 by 2024, with projected sales revenue growth of 32.42% and 140.63% for 2023 and 2024, respectively [2]. Group 2: Inventory Management and New Product Launches - Freezer displays facilitate inventory pre-positioning, with an estimated inventory value of 200 million yuan for every 100,000 freezers, allowing traditional brands to quickly replenish stock and shorten supply chain response times [3]. - The strategic placement of new products in freezers helps avoid promotional pressure, enhancing their sales and survival rates through effective resource planning [3]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Brand Strategies - Leading brands like Nongfu Spring and Coca-Cola dominate core freezer locations in first- and second-tier cities, creating barriers for newer entrants [4]. - Nongfu Spring employs a strategy of using multi-door freezers to secure prime locations, allowing for a mix of its products and those of other brands, thereby enhancing channel profitability and brand loyalty [4]. Group 4: Accounting Practices for Freezer Investments - There are two main accounting methods for freezer costs: Nongfu Spring uses a depreciation model, while Dongpeng records these costs as current sales expenses [5][6]. - Nongfu Spring's depreciation and amortization expenses increased from 1.2% of total revenue in 2018 to 1.6% in 2019, alongside a rise in deposit income from 574 million yuan to 789 million yuan, a 37.46% increase [5]. Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with early investments and substantial freezer inventories, such as Nongfu Spring and Master Kong, as well as Dongpeng, which has aggressively expanded its freezer presence with notable results [7].

Core Insights - The report provides a summary of recommended stocks across various industries for August 2025, highlighting their investment logic and potential growth opportunities [2][3]. Financial and Valuation Summary - **Oriental Fortune (300059.SZ)**: Expected EPS of 0.69 in 2025 with a PE ratio of 35.04, benefiting from high elasticity and a mature community operation model [3]. - **Atour (ATAT.O)**: Projected EPS of 15.1 in 2025 and a low PE of 2.31, with strong retail performance and ongoing product iteration expected to drive growth [3]. - **Times New Material (600458.SH)**: Anticipated EPS of 0.79 in 2025, with a PE of 16.39, supported by new material business expansion and overseas market opportunities [3]. - **Dongpeng Beverage (605499.SH)**: Forecasted EPS of 11.56 in 2025 and a PE of 24.80, with strong revenue growth in specialty drinks and ongoing national expansion [3]. - **Youran Dairy (9858.HK)**: Expected EPS of 0.17 in 2025 with a PE of 21.29, positioned to benefit from rising beef and milk prices in the domestic market [3]. - **Bear Electric (002959.SZ)**: Projected EPS of 2.34 in 2025 and a PE of 21.06, with recovery in demand anticipated due to national subsidy policies [3]. - **Huahong Semiconductor (1347.HK)**: Expected EPS of 0.1 in 2025 with a high PE of 423.50, benefiting from high capacity utilization and local supply chain advantages [3]. - **ZTE Corporation (000063.SZ)**: Anticipated EPS of 1.84 in 2025 and a PE of 19.07, with growth driven by AI server sales and nuclear power projects [3]. - **China General Nuclear Power (003816.SZ)**: Projected EPS of 0.21 in 2025 with a PE of 17.76, with stable earnings from nuclear projects expected to enhance cash flow [3]. - **Xugong Machinery (000425.SZ)**: Expected EPS of 0.86 in 2025 and a low PE of 9.98, with growth potential in both domestic and overseas markets [3].

东莞证券研报指出，东鹏饮料2025H1实现归母净利润23.75亿元，同比增长37.22%。分季度看，公司今 年二季度加大冰柜的陈列力度，除核心大单品外，补水啦与果之茶亦稳步推进，带动Q2收入维持较高 增速。2025Q2，公司营业总收入为58.89亿元，同比增长34.10%；实现归母净利润13.95亿元，同比增长 30.75%。多点发力，全国化布局稳步推进。截至2025年上半年，公司在全国渠道网点已超过420万家。 作为软饮料龙头，公司进一步优化产品与渠道结构，经营有望行稳致远。给予公司"买入"评级。 ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The performance of listed companies in the first half of the year significantly influenced the adjustments in stock ratings by brokerages, with 25 stocks upgraded and 26 downgraded in July, alongside the first coverage of 273 stocks by brokerages [1][3]. Group 1: Rating Adjustments - Three stocks, including StarNet and Small Commodity City, received simultaneous upgrades from two brokerages [3]. - Seventeen stocks were upgraded from "Hold" to "Buy," with four stocks, including Ecovacs and Jieshun Technology, receiving a "Strong Buy" rating [3]. - Twenty-six stocks were downgraded due to performance factors, with sixteen downgraded from "Buy" to "Hold" and three from "Recommended" to "Underperform" [3]. Group 2: Brokerage Coverage Expansion - The brokerage research coverage expanded significantly, with 273 stocks covered for the first time in July [3]. - Four stocks, including New Times and Yingshi Innovation, received attention from four brokerages, while five stocks, including Defu Technology, were covered by three brokerages for the first time [3]. Group 3: Stock Recommendations - A total of 640 stocks received a "Buy" rating, with Dongpeng Beverage recommended by 26 brokerages and three stocks, including Sailis and Ecovacs, favored by 13 brokerages [3]. - Institutions like China Merchants Securities and Founder Securities cited the mid-year performance of Dongpeng Beverage and Sailis as a key reason for maintaining a "Strong Buy" rating [3]. Group 4: Industry Performance - The electronics sector led with 92 stocks, followed by pharmaceuticals, machinery, and basic chemicals [3]. - Analysts predict that industries with strong mid-year performance, such as light industry and non-ferrous metals, will likely see better market performance from July to August, with significant improvements expected in construction materials and electronics [3].

Group 1 - The article highlights the target price increases for several listed companies, with notable gains for Ecovacs, Yingke Medical, and Ruina Intelligent, showing target price increases of 46.04%, 39.79%, and 38.85% respectively, across the small appliances, medical devices, and general equipment sectors [1][2] - On July 29, a total of 32 listed companies received broker recommendations, with Dongpeng Beverage receiving 5 recommendations, Haida Group 4, and Western Mining 3 [3] Group 2 - Three companies received their first coverage on July 29, including Ruina Intelligent with an "Accumulate" rating from Guotai Junan Securities, Yayi International with a "Buy" rating from Shanghai Securities, and Dongpeng Beverage with a "Buy" rating from Qunyi Securities (Hong Kong) [4]

Core Insights - On July 29, 2023, brokerage firms provided target prices for listed companies, with notable increases for companies such as Ecovacs, Yingke Medical, and Ruina Intelligent, showing target price increases of 46.04%, 39.79%, and 38.85% respectively, across the small appliances, medical devices, and general equipment sectors [1][2]. Group 1: Target Price Increases - Ecovacs (603486) received a target price of 112.00 with a target increase of 46.04% from CITIC Securities [2]. - Yingke Medical (300677) has a target price of 45.00, reflecting a 39.79% increase, also from CITIC Securities [2]. - Ruina Intelligent (301129) was assigned a target price of 35.63, indicating a 38.85% increase from Guotai Junan Securities [2]. Group 2: Brokerage Recommendations - A total of 32 listed companies received brokerage recommendations on July 29, with Dongpeng Beverage receiving 5 recommendations, Hai Da Group 4, and Western Mining 3 [4]. - Dongpeng Beverage (605499) closed at 286.72 and was recommended by 5 firms in the beverage and dairy industry [5]. - Hai Da Group (002311) closed at 54.84 with 4 recommendations in the same sector [5]. Group 3: First Coverage - On July 29, 2023, 3 companies received their first coverage from brokerages, including Ruina Intelligent with an "Increase" rating from Guotai Junan Securities, Yayi International with a "Buy" rating from Shanghai Securities, and Dongpeng Beverage with a "Buy" rating from Qunyi Securities (Hong Kong) [6][7]. - Ruina Intelligent (301129) was rated "Increase" in the general equipment sector [7]. - Yayi International (000893) received a "Buy" rating in the agricultural chemical products sector [7].

21世纪经济报道记者贺泓源、实习生李晴 东鹏饮料（605499）在性价比浪潮中保持增长。 近期，该公司披露业绩。财报显示，在2025年上半年，东鹏饮料营收同比增长36.37%至107.37 亿元； 归母净利润同比增长37.22%至23.75亿元。具体到二季度，该公司营收58.89亿元，同比增长34.10%；归 母净利润13.95亿元，同比增长30.75%。 在二季度，东鹏饮料毛利率为45.7%，同比下滑0.4pct。费用方面，当期，东鹏饮料销售/管理/研发/财务 费用分别为增长0.5/增长0.3/下滑0.2/增长0.6pct。 此外，在行业价格战下，东鹏饮料促销货折力度有所加大，这也影响了毛利率。 更关键的是，东鹏饮料正在加大投入。比如，其销售人员人数增加导致上半年职工薪酬同比增长 26.06%；东鹏饮料还在加快冰柜费用投放节奏、加大冰柜投入导致，导致上半年渠道推广费用支出同 比增长61.20%；其更在持续投入品宣费用，包括与韩红的代言合作等，导致上半年广告宣传费用支出 同比增长34.3%。 总体来看，狂奔的东鹏饮料，已经受到价格战影响。特别在竞争激烈的电解质饮料领域，目前价格战看 不到尽头。 而东鹏饮料的种 ...

Macro Strategy - The chemical sector has seen continuous catalysts on both supply and demand sides since 2024, with the current "anti-involution" trend enhancing the market outlook, driven by a favorable fundamental environment and potential valuation uplift from emerging industries [1][23] - More than half of the existing convertible bonds in the chemical sector are issued at the peak of the cycle, currently entering or about to enter the redemption period, coinciding with an upward cycle, leading to more proactive debt conversion measures [1][23] - The majority of chemical convertible bonds are small-cap, which, combined with their near-term characteristics, amplifies the asymmetry of returns [1][23] Currency Exchange Rate - The RMB central parity has shown a gradual appreciation trend, with the exchange rate expected to challenge the 7.15 range again, and the spot exchange rate may drop to the 7.10-7.15 range in August [1][25] - The recent strengthening of the RMB is supported by optimistic expectations from US-China trade negotiations and a robust domestic stock market [1][25] Anti-Involution Policy - The "anti-involution" price governance aims to address three main objectives: short-term regulation of price wars, medium-term capacity reduction to promote supply-demand balance, and long-term price recovery, particularly in PPI [2][26] - The previous supply-side reforms led to a 10-month recovery in PPI, and under neutral assumptions, a similar recovery may take 11-12 months, potentially reaching around 1.9% by September next year [2][26] Industry Rotation - The market is expected to remain optimistic in the third quarter, with a focus on sectors that align with upcoming policies and key events, particularly those benefiting from the "anti-involution" strategy [3][5] - Suggested sectors for investment include those with potential short-term demand improvements, such as photovoltaic, coal, and chemical industries, as well as technology sectors with recent catalysts [5][3] Company-Specific Insights - Xidi Microelectronics is positioned as a leading player in the analog chip sector, with a projected revenue growth of 32.10% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2024, driven by significant contributions from its audio coil motor driver chip product line [11][12] - Minshida reported a 27.91% year-on-year revenue increase in its 2025 mid-year report, with expectations for continued growth in the transformer market driven by demand from sectors like new energy vehicles and wind power [13] - Gaomei's second-quarter performance is expected to turn profitable due to supply-side optimization driven by the "anti-involution" policy, with N-type silicon wafer prices rising to 1.1 yuan per piece [14][15]

Core Viewpoint - Dongpeng Beverage maintains growth amidst a wave of cost-effectiveness, with significant revenue and profit increases reported for the first half of 2025 [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Dongpeng Beverage's revenue grew by 36.37% year-on-year to 10.737 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 37.22% to 2.375 billion yuan [1]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 5.889 billion yuan, a 34.10% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.395 billion yuan, up 30.75% [1]. Product Sales - New product sales, particularly "Bup Shui La" and other beverages, contributed significantly to revenue growth, with Q2 revenues of 4.46 billion yuan from Dongpeng Special Drink, 0.92 billion yuan from Bup Shui La (up 190.1%), and 0.50 billion yuan from other drinks (up 61.2%) [1]. - The proportion of revenue from Dongpeng Special Drink decreased by 9.3 percentage points to 77.9% [1]. Regional Performance - In Q2, Dongpeng Beverage generated 1.42 billion yuan in Guangdong, 3.55 billion yuan in other regions, and 0.91 billion yuan from online and direct sales, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.5%, 39.0%, and 42.8%, respectively [1]. Margin and Cost Structure - The gross margin for Dongpeng Beverage in Q2 was 45.7%, down 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - Sales, management, R&D, and financial expenses increased by 0.5%, 0.3%, decreased by 0.2%, and increased by 0.6% respectively during the same period [2]. Competitive Landscape - The company is facing pressure from a price war in the industry, which has led to increased promotional discounts affecting gross margins [3]. - Dongpeng Beverage is investing heavily in sales personnel, with employee compensation rising by 26.06% year-on-year, and channel promotion expenses increasing by 61.20% due to accelerated investment in freezers [3][4]. Strategic Positioning - Despite the challenges posed by the competitive environment, Dongpeng Beverage has established certain advantages that may help it navigate the intensified competition [5].

但另一头，东鹏饮料毛利率下滑。 在二季度，东鹏饮料毛利率为45.7%，同比下滑0.4pct。费用方面，当期，东鹏饮料销售/管理/研发/财务 费用分别为增长0.5/增长0.3/下滑0.2/增长0.6pct。 近期，该公司披露业绩。财报显示，在2025年上半年，东鹏饮料营收同比增长36.37%至107.37 亿元； 归母净利润同比增长37.22%至23.75亿元。具体到二季度，该公司营收58.89亿元，同比增长34.10%；归 母净利润13.95亿元，同比增长30.75%。 业绩增长背后是，补水啦等新品销售狂奔。 二季度，东鹏特饮/补水啦/其他饮料分别实现收入44.6/9.2/5.0 亿元，分别同比增长 18.8%/190.1%/61.2%。此种格局下，东鹏特饮大单品占比同比下滑9.3pct至77.9%。同期，东鹏饮料全国 有效网点已突破420万家。 分地区来看，二季度，东鹏饮料在广东/全国其他地区/线上+直营分别实现收入14.2/35.5/9.1 亿元，分别 同比增长19.5%/增长39.0%/增长42.8%。 21世纪经济报道记者贺泓源、实习生李晴 东鹏饮料在性价比浪潮中保持增长。 同日，上证消费80指数报收 ...