Market Overview - The energy metals sector experienced a decline of 5.61% on October 14, with Tengyuan Cobalt leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3865.23, down 0.62%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12895.11, down 2.54% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Tengyuan Diamond (301219) closed at 68.68, down 11.24% with a trading volume of 226,400 shares and a transaction value of 1.636 billion [1] - BQ Materials (605376) closed at 56.70, down 7.88% with a trading volume of 147,300 shares and a transaction value of 863 million [1] - Cold Sharp Diamond (300618) closed at 50.77, down 7.67% with a trading volume of 265,300 shares and a transaction value of 1.398 billion [1] - Huayou Cobalt (603799) closed at 65.17, down 7.53% with a trading volume of 1,571,000 shares and a transaction value of 10.657 billion [1] - Jidian Mining (600711) closed at 10.42, down 6.13% with a trading volume of 3,028,600 shares and a transaction value of 3.336 billion [1] - Tianqi Lithium (002466) closed at 46.98, down 5.61% with a trading volume of 738,800 shares and a transaction value of 3.591 billion [1] - Cangge Mining (000408) closed at 57.13, down 5.48% with a trading volume of 202,100 shares and a transaction value of 266.6 million [1] - Yongxing Materials (002756) closed at 38.14, down 4.10% with a trading volume of 179,800 shares and a transaction value of 701 million [1] - Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240) closed at 19.05, down 4.08% with a trading volume of 442,300 shares and a transaction value of 867 million [1] - Yongshan Lithium (6633399) closed at 9.84, down 3.15% with a trading volume of 144,200 shares and a transaction value of 144 million [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The energy metals sector saw a net outflow of 3.027 billion from main funds, while retail funds had a net inflow of 2.13 billion [1] - The table shows the capital flow for individual stocks, indicating varying levels of net inflow and outflow among different companies [2]

Core Viewpoint - Ganfeng Lithium has led the lithium sector with a price increase of over 60% in the past two months, approaching a market capitalization of 150 billion yuan, indicating a significant shift in the valuation landscape of the lithium industry [1][3]. Market Dynamics - The market capitalization ranking in the lithium sector has changed, with Ganfeng Lithium at the top, followed by Salt Lake Co. and Cangge Mining, both of which have also surpassed a market cap of 100 billion yuan [1][3]. - The valuation gap between leading and mid-tier lithium companies has widened, highlighting a "stronger gets stronger" trend [1][3]. Investment Trends - Institutional investors have shown strong interest in Ganfeng Lithium, with significant capital inflows noted, such as 999.7 million yuan from two major institutions on October 9 [3]. - The number of institutional shareholders in Ganfeng Lithium increased from 65 in the first quarter to 425 in the half-year report, indicating growing confidence in the company [3]. Valuation Logic Shift - The valuation logic in the lithium sector has shifted from "owning mines" to a combination of "technology and resources," emphasizing the importance of low marginal cost resources and advanced lithium extraction technologies [1][4]. - Ganfeng Lithium's valuation has been boosted by its involvement in solid-state batteries, which are currently favored in the capital market [4]. Competitive Landscape - Salt Lake Co. and Cangge Mining have gained traction due to their low marginal costs and capacity releases, with Salt Lake Co. achieving a gross margin of nearly 50% for lithium products [5][6]. - Cangge Mining has also maintained a gross margin of over 30% for its lithium products, alongside its other mineral operations [5][6]. Future Outlook - The current lithium price remains around 70,000 yuan per ton, slightly above the breakeven point for lithium mining companies, which may affect their valuations [7]. - The industry is witnessing a new valuation opportunity driven by the low marginal cost characteristics of salt lake lithium extraction [12].

Core Viewpoint - Ganfeng Lithium has led the lithium sector with over 60% increase in stock price over the past two months, approaching a market capitalization of 150 billion yuan, indicating a significant shift in the valuation dynamics within the lithium industry [1][3]. Market Dynamics - The market capitalization ranking in the lithium sector has changed, with Ganfeng Lithium at the top, followed by Salt Lake Co. and Cangge Mining, both of which have surpassed 100 billion yuan in market value [1][3]. - The valuation gap between leading and mid-tier lithium companies has widened, highlighting a "stronger getting stronger" trend [1][3]. Institutional Investment - Institutional interest in Ganfeng Lithium has surged, with the number of institutional shareholders increasing from 65 to 425 within six months, indicating strong confidence in the company's prospects [3]. - Salt Lake Co. and Cangge Mining have also seen significant increases in institutional holdings, reflecting a broader shift in investor sentiment towards companies with low marginal costs and integrated resource capabilities [3]. Valuation Logic Shift - The valuation logic in the lithium sector has shifted from "owning mines" to a focus on "technology + resources," emphasizing the importance of having low-cost lithium resources and advanced extraction technologies [1][4]. - Ganfeng Lithium's valuation has been positively influenced by its involvement in solid-state batteries, which are currently favored in the capital market [4]. Profitability and Cost Structure - Salt Lake Co. has maintained a gross profit margin of nearly 50% despite fluctuations in lithium prices, while Cangge Mining reported a gross profit margin of over 30% [5][6]. - Companies that rely solely on lithium ore extraction are facing valuation challenges due to stagnant lithium prices, which are currently around 70,000 yuan per ton [7]. Industry Trends - The current lithium market is characterized by a focus on integrated resource management and technological advancements, with leading companies expanding their operations along the supply chain to capture downstream market demands [10][11]. - The introduction of export controls on key lithium battery materials by the Chinese government is expected to impact the competitive landscape, emphasizing the importance of high-end lithium battery production capabilities [12]. Future Opportunities - New valuation opportunities exist, particularly for companies with low marginal costs, as seen with the recent production commencement of battery-grade lithium carbonate from the Zabuye Salt Lake project [13]. - Cangge Mining is planning to expand its lithium carbonate production capacity, indicating ongoing development in the sector despite current market challenges [13].

Core Viewpoint - Ganfeng Lithium has led the lithium sector with over 60% increase in stock price over the past two months, approaching a market capitalization of 150 billion yuan, indicating a significant shift in valuation dynamics within the lithium industry [1][3]. Market Dynamics - The market capitalization ranking in the lithium sector has changed, with Ganfeng Lithium at the top, followed by Salt Lake Co. and Cangge Mining, both of which have surpassed 100 billion yuan in market value [1][3]. - The valuation gap between leading and mid-tier lithium companies has widened, highlighting a "stronger gets stronger" trend [1][3]. Investment Trends - Institutional investors have shown strong interest in Ganfeng Lithium, with a notable increase in institutional holdings from 65 to 425 in the first half of the year [3]. - Salt Lake Co. and Cangge Mining have also seen significant increases in institutional holdings, indicating a shift in investor focus towards companies with low marginal costs and technological advancements [3]. Valuation Logic Shift - The valuation logic in the lithium sector has shifted from "owning mines" to a combination of "technology and resources," emphasizing the importance of low-cost lithium resources and advanced extraction technologies [1][4]. - Ganfeng Lithium's valuation increase is attributed to its involvement in solid-state batteries and its integrated upstream resource control, which provides resilience against raw material price fluctuations [4][10]. Profitability and Production Capacity - Salt Lake Co. has achieved a gross profit margin of nearly 50% for lithium products, despite lithium carbonate prices fluctuating between 60,000 to 80,000 yuan per ton [5][6]. - Cangge Mining has maintained a gross profit margin of over 30% for its lithium products, showcasing stable profitability amid market fluctuations [6]. Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The current sentiment in the market is driven by expectations of future growth in solid-state batteries and energy storage, with Ganfeng Lithium being a key player in these segments [4][10]. - The industry is witnessing a trend where companies are expanding their operations beyond lithium salt production to capture downstream market demands more effectively [12].

此次复产源于前期的一项停产通知。2025年7月16日，藏格钾肥曾收到海西州自然资源局、海西州盐湖管理局下发的《关于责令立即停止锂资源开发利用活 动的通知》，藏格锂业据此按要求停产。 10月14日，藏格矿业发布公告称，其全资子公司格尔木藏格钾肥有限公司（以下简称"藏格钾肥"）已于近日收到海西州自然资源局、海西州盐湖管理局下发 的《关于同意恢复锂资源开发利用活动的批复》。该《批复》明确同意藏格钾肥恢复锂资源开发利用活动。 根据《批复》要求，公司全资子公司格尔木藏格锂业有限公司（以下简称"藏格锂业"）已于2025年10月11日正式复产。 《批复》指出，鉴于藏格钾肥于2025年9月30日取得自然资源部颁发的不动产权利证书（采矿权）和采矿许可证，已完成增加锂矿矿种手续办理，现同意其 依法依规有序恢复锂资源开发利用活动。 在临时停产期间，藏格锂业坚持"停产不停班"，重点开展了三项工作：对生产期间无法停机的关键核心设备进行系统性检修保养；实施吸附剂补填、设备防 腐、线路维护等专项工作以消除安全隐患；开展生产、工艺、设备等领域培训，优化自动化控制系统，提升员工操作技能与整体生产效率。 藏格锂业2025年原计划实现碳酸锂产量1 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core View of the Report - On October 13, the main contract of lithium carbonate futures oscillated at a low level. The current market trading was weak, and the basis premium widened. With both supply and demand strong, low inventory pressure upstream, weakened expectation of lithium ore supply contraction, peaking downstream stockpiling, and a possible arrival of the demand inflection point, the lithium carbonate price is expected to oscillate at a low level. It is necessary to observe the situation after Jiangxi's mining end submits the output report. The trading strategy suggests waiting and seeing [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1 Lithium Carbonate Futures Market - **Prices**: The closing prices of near - month, consecutive - one, consecutive - two, and consecutive - three contracts decreased compared to previous periods. For example, the near - month contract closed at 71,800 yuan/ton on October 13, down 900 yuan from the previous period [1]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume was 282,178 hands on October 13, a decrease of 12,605 hands compared to the previous period, and the open interest was 207,463 hands, a decrease of 14,456 hands [1]. - **Inventory**: The inventory was 40,329 tons, a decrease of 5,951 tons [1]. - **Spreads**: The spreads between near - month and consecutive - one, consecutive - one and consecutive - two, and consecutive - two and consecutive - three contracts changed. For example, the near - month - consecutive - one spread was - 480 yuan/ton on October 13 [1]. - **Basis**: The basis (SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price - lithium carbonate active contract closing price) was 820 yuan/ton on October 13, up 10 yuan [1]. 3.2 Lithium - Related Product Prices - **Lithium Ore**: The average prices of lithium spodumene concentrate, lithium mica, and other lithium ores decreased. For example, the average price of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) decreased by 10 US dollars/ton [1]. - **Lithium Compounds**: The average prices of battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, and other lithium compounds mostly decreased. For example, the average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate (99.5%/domestic) decreased by 450 yuan/ton [1]. - **Other Products**: The prices of products such as ternary materials, lithium iron phosphate, and cobalt acid lithium also showed various changes. For example, the average price of lithium iron phosphate (power - type) decreased by 110 yuan/ton [1]. 3.3 Inventory of Lithium - Related Products - **SMM Lithium Carbonate Inventory**: The total inventory decreased. The inventory of smelters increased, while that of downstream and other sectors decreased. For example, the SMM lithium carbonate inventory decreased by 2,024 tons in total [1]. 3.4 Company News - **Zangge Mining**: Its wholly - owned subsidiary, Golmud Zangge Lithium Fertilizer Co., Ltd., received a notice to resume lithium resource development and utilization activities and officially resumed production on October 11, 2025. The temporary shutdown lasted 87 days and is expected to have a small impact on the company's 2025 operating performance [1]. - **Jinquan Co., Ltd.**: The company's brine - type lithium project is in the trial - production stage, and the Argentine project is still in the exploration phase [1].

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 新能源观点：新能源⾦属供应端政策不明朗，现实供需暂主导盘⾯ 交易逻辑：新能源金属交易逻辑如下，碳酸锂供需双增，供需延续偏 紧格局；工业硅和多晶硅供需走势反复，工业硅和多晶硅有累库压 力。中短期来看，供应预期反复，新能源金属价格宽幅波动，仍需等 待供给端政策明朗。长期来看，硅供应端收缩预期较强，尤其多晶 硅，价格重心可能抬升；锂矿产能还处于上升阶段，碳酸锂供应高增 将限制锂价上方高度。 ⼯业硅观点：关注西北复产节奏，硅价短期震荡。 多晶硅观点：供需现实偏差，多晶硅价格震荡承压。 碳酸锂观点：供需双强下，价格震荡运⾏。 ⻛险提⽰：供应扰动；国内政策刺激超预期；美联储鸽派不及预期； 国内需求复苏不及预期；经济衰退。 中信期货研究（新能源⾦属每⽇报告） 2025-10-14 新能源金属供应端政策不明朗，现实供 需暂主导盘面 有⾊与新材料团队 研究员： 郑非凡 从业资格号F03088415 投资咨询号Z0016667 白帅 从业资格号F03093201 投资咨询号Z0020543 杨飞 从业资格号F03108013 投资咨询号Z0021455 王雨欣 从业资格号F0310 ...

Core Viewpoint - Cangge Mining's subsidiary, Cangge Lithium, has received approval to resume lithium resource development, marking a significant step in the company's operations and the broader lithium extraction industry [1][2]. Group 1: Company Developments - Cangge Mining announced that its subsidiary, Cangge Lithium, has been granted permission by the Haixi State Natural Resources Bureau to resume lithium resource development activities [1]. - The resumption of operations is scheduled for October 11, 2025, following a previous suspension due to regulatory compliance issues [1][2]. - During the temporary shutdown, Cangge Lithium focused on equipment maintenance, safety improvements, and staff training to enhance operational efficiency [2]. Group 2: Production and Sales Goals - Cangge Lithium aims to achieve a lithium carbonate production and sales target of 11,000 tons in 2025 [3]. - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a production of 5,170 tons and sales of 4,470 tons of lithium carbonate [3]. - The temporary shutdown lasted for 87 days, but the company anticipates minimal impact on its overall financial performance for the year [3].

每经记者｜朱成祥 每经编辑｜董兴生 丨 2025年10月14日 星期二 丨 NO.1 皖能电力：间接持有聚变新能（安徽）有限公司约3.5%的股权 NO.3 盐湖股份：第三季度净利同比预增97%至141% 10月13日，盐湖股份公告称，公司预计2025年前三季度归属于上市公司股东的净利润为43.00亿元至 47.00亿元，比上年同期增长36.89%至49.62%。三季度归属于上市公司股东的净利润为18亿元至22亿 元，比上年同期增长97.41%至141.28%。报告期内，氯化钾价格较上年同期上升，带动盈利增长；碳酸 锂市场价格下行，但公司整体业绩仍实现同比增长。 点评：盐湖股份前三季度业绩亮眼，尤其三季度净利近乎翻倍，远超市场预期。这主要得益于主营产品 氯化钾价格上行，有效对冲了碳酸锂价格下跌的冲击。公司"钾锂"双主业战略展现出强大的抗风险能力 和盈利韧性，凸显其作为行业龙头的成本优势与核心价值。 免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自 担。 点评：皖能电力间接参股聚变新能，前瞻性布局核聚变这一未来能源终极赛道。虽然当前持股比例不 高，但此举彰显了公司向战略性新兴产业转 ...

证券日报网讯 10月13日晚间，藏格矿业发布公告称，近日，公司全资子公司格尔木藏格钾肥有限公司 （简称"藏格钾肥"）收到海西州自然资源局、海西州盐湖管理局下发的《关于同意恢复锂资源开发利用 活动的批复》（西自然资〔2025〕312号）（简称《批复》），该《批复》明确同意藏格钾肥恢复锂资 源开发利用活动。根据《批复》要求，公司全资子公司格尔木藏格锂业有限公司（以下简称"藏格锂 业"）于2025年10月11日正式复产。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...